ClinicalTrials.gg
RecruitingNCT05467683Updated Jun 10, 2026

CO2 Reactivity as a Biomarker of Non-Response to Exposure-Based Therapy

An interventional study of Exposure-Based Therapy in Obsessive-Compulsive Disorder, Post Traumatic Stress Disorder and Generalized Anxiety Disorder, sponsored by Jasper A. Smits. Recruiting at 2 sites in United States. Open to participants aged 18 Years to 70 Years. Per ClinicalTrials.gov, last updated 2026-06-10.

Sponsored by Jasper A. Smits · Not applicable, Interventional, and Treatment

From the registry’s dates

  • Started Nov 2022; still recruiting 4 years later.
Phase
Not applicable
Study type
Interventional
Enrollment
600
Allocation
Not applicable
Ages
18 Years to 70 Years
Sex
All
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Study summary

Anxiety-, obsessive-compulsive and trauma- and stressor-related disorders reflect a significant public health problem. This study is designed to evaluate the predictive power of a novel biomarker based on a CO2 challenge, thus addressing the central question "can this easy-to-administer assay aid clinicians in deciding whether or not to initiate exposure-based therapy?"

Read the detailed description

Exposure-based therapy is an effective first-line treatment for anxiety-, obsessive-compulsive and trauma- and stressor-related disorders. However, many patients fail to respond or achieve remission with exposure-based therapy, resulting in prolonged suffering, loss of productivity, and poorly used resources. Making available a biomarker assay that can aid clinicians and patients in treatment selection has the potential to have considerable public health impact.

Basic research on fear extinction--a core mechanism of action of exposure-based therapy--may inform the development of a biomarker for the selection (yes/no) of exposure-based therapy. Growing evidence links orexin system activity to deficits in fear extinction. Our group has demonstrated that reactivity to CO2 challenge, which is a safe, affordable and easy-to-implement procedure, can serve as a proxy for orexin system activity and predicts fear extinction deficits in rodents.

Building upon this basic research, the goal for the proposed study is to validate CO2 reactivity as a biomarker of exposure-based therapy non-response. To this end, we will assess CO2 reactivity in 600 adults meeting for one or more fear- or anxiety-related disorders prior to providing open, state-of-the art, transdiagnostic exposure-based therapy. By incorporating CO2 reactivity into a multivariable model predicting treatment non-response that also includes reactivity to hyperventilation as well as a number of related and theoretically-relevant prognostic variables, we will establish the mechanistic specificity and the additive predictive value of the putative biomarker. By developing models independently within two study sites and predicting the other site's data, we will validate that the results are likely to generalize to future clinical samples.

The proposed study represents a necessary stage in translating basic research to strategies for treatment selection. The investigation addresses an important public health issue by testing an accessible clinical assessment strategy--informed by basic research--that may lead to a more effective treatment selection (personalized medicine) for patients with anxiety- and fear-related disorders and enhance our understanding of the mechanisms governing exposure-based therapy.

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Conditions studied

  • Obsessive-Compulsive Disorder
  • Post Traumatic Stress Disorder
  • Generalized Anxiety Disorder
  • Social Anxiety Disorder
  • Panic Disorder
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In context

Obsessive-Compulsive Disorder

635 studies on the registry are indexed under Obsessive-Compulsive Disorder; 166 are open to participants now.

This study's planned enrollment of 600 is above the median of 45 across 520 interventional studies indexed under Obsessive-Compulsive Disorder.

Browse Obsessive-Compulsive Disorder studies →

Lead sponsor

Jasper A. Smits is the lead sponsor of 11 studies on the registry; 2 are open to participants now.

Counted across the registry records on this site, refreshed daily.

04

Who can participate

Ages eligible
18 Years to 70 Years
Sexes eligible
All
Accepts healthy volunteers
No

Go through the criteria one by one — yes, no or not sure — and take the list to your doctor or the study team. Kept in this browser only.

Inclusion criteria

  • A primary diagnosis of panic disorder (with or without an agoraphobia diagnosis), social anxiety disorder, generalized anxiety disorder, obsessive-compulsive disorder, or post-traumatic stress disorder as assessed by the Structured Clinical Interview for the DSM-5 (SCID-5)
  • A score of 8 or greater on the Overall Anxiety Severity and Impairment Scale (OASIS)
  • Ages 18 to 70
  • Willingness and ability to provide and comply with the requirements of the study protocol.
  • Proficiency in English (because assessment instruments have only been validated in English)

Exclusion criteria

Exclusion Criteria:

  • A lifetime history of bipolar or psychotic disorders, substance use disorders (other than nicotine) or eating disorder in the past 6 months; serious cognitive impairment.
  • Active suicidal ideation with at least some intent to act with or without specific plan (a rating of 4 for suicidal ideation on the Columbia-Suicide Severity Rating Scale) or suicidal behaviors (actual attempt, interrupted attempt, aborted or self-interrupted attempt, or preparatory acts or behavior) within the past 6 months.
  • Medical conditions contraindicating CO2 inhalation or hyperventilation challenge (e.g., cardiac arrhythmia, cardiac failure, asthma, lung fibrosis, high blood pressure, epilepsy, or stroke).
  • Pregnancy or lactation
  • Ongoing psychotherapy directed toward the primary disorder.
  • Pharmacological treatment started within 8 weeks prior to the screen (patients "stable" on their medication regimen will be included and their medication status will be included as a variable in the model)
Terms in these criteria, in plain language(2)

Underlined terms in the criteria open these too. Explained by clinicaltrials.gg, not part of the registry record. The study team decides who can take part.

DSM diagnostic criteria

The American Psychiatric Association’s manual of mental health diagnoses. DSM-5 (2013, revised as DSM-5-TR in 2022) replaced DSM-IV, and some studies still name the older edition. “Meets DSM criteria for …” means diagnosed by that edition’s diagnostic criteria, usually by a clinician in an interview.

Informed consent

Before you join, the study team explains what taking part involves — its purpose, what happens, the risks and possible benefits — and answers your questions, so you can decide freely. Consent is usually recorded on a form (the informed consent form, ICF) signed by you or, where the law allows, by someone legally authorised to decide for you.

You can keep asking questions during the study, you are told of new information that matters, and you can choose to leave at any time.

05

Study design

Phase
Not applicable
Primary purpose
Treatment
Allocation
Not applicable
Intervention model
Single group
Masking
None (open label)
Enrollment
600 participants (estimated)

Study arms

  • Other
    Open Exposure-Based Therapy (EBT)

    All participants will receive a well-established psychological treatment.

    Behavioral: Exposure-Based Therapy

Interventions

  • BehavioralExposure-Based Therapy

    Treatment will consist of 12 one-hour sessions, delivered over the course of 12 weeks. EBT will be delivered by trained and experienced license-eligible clinicians. The study clinician will develop a personalized assessment and treatment plan for each patient. Consistent with contemporary models of EBT, exposure practice aims to help patients reestablish a sense of safety around feared cues. Hence, exposure exercises are planned to ensure violation of threat expectancies. That is, exposure practice is deemed appropriate and effective if it allows the patient to learn that what they feared would happen does not happen. Practice will occur across relevant contexts both within and outside the session (i.e., homework) and clinicians will guide patients in processing practice to facilitate the consolidation of safety learning. To achieve these ends, study clinicians will use the manual "Personalized Exposure Therapy: A Person-Centered Transdiagnostic Approach".

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What researchers measure

Primary outcomes

  1. Non-response to exposure-based therapy

    Participants will be classified as non-responders if their Clinical Global Impression - Global Improvement (CGI-I) score is 3 or above OR if their Overall Anxiety Severity and Impairment Scale (OASIS) score has not improved by at least 4 points.

    Time frame: Week 13 (post-treatment)

Secondary outcomes

  1. Clinical Global Impression - Severity of Illness (CGI-S)

    A 7 point widely used clinician rating scale for indexing the how mentally ill a patient is at the time using a 7 point scale ranging from 1(normal, not at all ill); 2 (borderline mentally ill); 3 (mildly ill); 4 (moderately ill); 5 (markedly ill); 6 (severely ill); 7(among the most extremely ill patients).

    Time frame: Weekly for 14 weeks + follow-up after 24 weeks

  2. Overall Anxiety Severity and Impairment Scale (OASIS)

    The OASIS is a self-report rating scale that comprises five items to assess the frequency and severity of anxiety, avoidance, work/school/home interference, and social interference due to anxiety. Participants select among five different response options for each item, which are coded 0-4 and are summed to obtain a total score (0-20).

    Time frame: Weekly for 14 weeks + follow-up after 24 weeks

  3. GAD-7

    For participants with generalized anxiety disorder (GAD) as their primary DSM-V diagnosis, intended to assess the severity of participant symptoms. Ranged from 0 to 21, with higher scores indicating more severe distress and impairment.

    Time frame: Weekly for 14 weeks + follow-up after 24 weeks

  4. Panic Disorder Severity Scale (PDSS)

    For participants with panic disorder (PD) as their primary DSM-V diagnosis, intended to assess the severity of participant symptoms. Ranged from 0 to 28, with higher scores indicating more severe distress and impairment.

    Time frame: Weekly for 14 weeks + follow-up after 24 weeks

  5. Social Phobia Inventory (SPIN)

    For participants with social anxiety disorder (SAD) as their primary DSM-V diagnosis, intended to assess the severity of participant symptoms. Ranged from 0 to 68, with higher scores indicating more severe distress and impairment.

    Time frame: Weekly for 14 weeks + follow-up after 24 weeks

  6. Dimensional Obsessive-Compulsive Scale (DOCS)

    For participants with obsessive compulsive disorder (OCD) as their primary DSM-V diagnosis, intended to assess the severity of participant symptoms. Ranged from 0 to 80, with higher scores indicating more severe distress and impairment.

    Time frame: Weekly for 14 weeks + follow-up after 24 weeks

  7. PTSD Checklist for DSM-5 (PCL-5)

    For participants with post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) as their primary DSM-V diagnosis, intended to assess the severity of participant symptoms. Ranged from 0 to 80, with higher scores indicating more severe distress and impairment.

    Time frame: Weekly for 14 weeks + follow-up after 24 weeks

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Study locations

2 of 2 sites recruiting
08

References and documents

Publications

  • Smits JAJ, Monfils MH, Otto MW, Telch MJ, Shumake J, Feinstein JS, Khalsa SS, Cobb AR, Parsons EM, Long LJ, McSpadden B, Johnson D, Greenberg A; Exposure Therapy Consortium. CO2 reactivity as a biomarker of exposure-based therapy non-response: study protocol. BMC Psychiatry. 2022 Dec 27;22(1):831. doi: 10.1186/s12888-022-04478-x. PubMed 36575425 ↗

Individual participant data

Plan to share: Yes — In line with National Institute of Mental Health (NIMH) guidance, we will share de-identified data derived from this study via the National Data Archive (NDA), along with supporting documentation to enable efficient and appropriate use of the data. Data sharing is now a requirement for all NIMH-funded awards (NOT-MH-14-015). Consistent with the National Database for Clinical Trials related to Mental Illness (NDCT) guidelines, we will share data in a two-tiered approach. The first tier involves semi-annual uploading of descriptive and raw data while the study is ongoing, including data from standard assessments, standard clinical measures, demographic data, and raw behavioral data. The second tier includes analyzed data that result from publications. We will ensure that submitted data will conform to relevant data and terminology standards. Throughout our resource sharing plan, we will comply with NDCT guidelines.

Supporting information: Study protocol, Statistical analysis plan, Informed consent form, Clinical study report, Analytic code

Time frame: Descriptive/raw data will be shared on a semi-annual basis (on or before January 15 and July 15, beginning six months after the award budget period has begun). Analyzed data will be submitted prior to publication/public dissemination (whether the findings are positive or negative) using the NDA Study feature that links data deposited in the NDA with publications/findings.

Access criteria: We agree that data will be deposited and made available through NDA, and that these data will be shared with investigators working at an institution with a Federal Wide Assurance (FWA) and could be used for secondary study purposes. All submitted data (both descriptive/raw and analyzed data) will be made available for access by qualified members of the research community according to the provisions defined in the NIMH Data Repositories Data Access Agreement and Use Certification.

Data sharing details ↗ · nda.nih.gov

09

Updates

Tracking since Sep 25, 2026
No changes since tracking began. The registry record was last updated on Jun 10, 2026, before this site started recording changes on Sep 25, 2026. Its history is on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗
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Registry details

Key details

Study ID
NCT05467683
Lead sponsor
Jasper A. Smits
Responsible party
Jasper A. Smits (Professor of Psychology, University of Texas at Austin) — Sponsor-investigator
First posted
Jul 20, 2022
Start date
Nov 2, 2022
Primary completion
Dec 1, 2026 (estimated)
Completion
Feb 28, 2027 (estimated)
Last update
Jun 10, 2026

Study contacts

Jasper Smits, Ph.D.
principal investigator · The University of Texas at Austin
Michael Otto, Ph.D.
principal investigator · Boston University

Oversight

Data monitoring committee
Yes
FDA-regulated drug
No
FDA-regulated device
No
View the source record on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗

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