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RecruitingNCT05828056Updated Jul 31, 2026

Prediction on the Recurrence of Manic and Depressive Episodes in Bipolar Disorder

An observational study in Bipolar Disorder and Depressive Disorder, sponsored by National Taiwan University Hospital. Recruiting at 1 site in Taiwan. Open to participants aged 20 Years to 60 Years. Per ClinicalTrials.gov, last updated 2026-07-31.

Sponsored by National Taiwan University Hospital · Observational

From the registry’s dates

  • Started Mar 2020; still recruiting 6 years 8 months later.
Study type
Observational
Model
Case-only
Time perspective
Prospective
Enrollment
100
Ages
20 Years to 60 Years
Sex
All
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Study summary

Mood disorders (including bipolar disorder and major depressive disorder) are chronic mental disorders with high recurrent rate. The more the number of recurrence is, the worse long-term prognosis is. This study aims to establish a prediction model of recurrence of manic and depressive episodes in mood disorders, with a hope to detect recurrence relapse as early as possible for timely clinical intervention. We will adopt wearable smart watch to collect heart rate, sleep pattern, activity level, as well as emotional status for one year long in 100 patients with bipolar disorder, and annotated their mood status (i.e., manic episode, depressive episode, and euthymic state). We expect to establish prediction models to predict the recurrence of mood episodes.

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Conditions studied

  • Bipolar Disorder
  • Depressive Disorder

Keywords

  • biomarker
  • Bipolar disorder
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In context

Bipolar Disorder

1,683 studies on the registry are indexed under Bipolar Disorder; 266 are open to participants now.

This study's planned enrollment of 100 is below the median of 159 across 348 observational studies indexed under Bipolar Disorder.

Browse Bipolar Disorder studies →

Lead sponsor

National Taiwan University Hospital is the lead sponsor of 2,615 studies on the registry; 576 are open to participants now.

Of its 11 completed or terminated interventional studies of FDA-regulated products, 2 (18%) have results posted.

Counted across the registry records on this site, refreshed daily.

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Who can participate

Ages eligible
20 Years to 60 Years
Sexes eligible
All
Accepts healthy volunteers
No
Sampling method
Non-probability sample

Study population

We will recruit 100 patients with mood disorders from the psychiatric ward and outpatient services of the Department of Psychiatry, National Taiwan University Hospital. All the participants will be followed for one year to collect the daily activity level, sleep patterns, heart rate through actigraphy, as well as location, mood report, drug compliance and face photo through smartphone app that will be developed by Co-PI Lai.

Go through the criteria one by one — yes, no or not sure — and take the list to your doctor or the study team. Kept in this browser only.

Inclusion criteria

  • Bipolar disorder or depressive disorder
  • 20\~60 years old
  • Willing to carry smartwatch and smartphone most of the time

Exclusion criteria

Exclusion Criteria:

  • Comorbid with substance use disorder
  • Unable to use smartwatch and smartphone
Terms in these criteria, in plain language(1)

Underlined terms in the criteria open these too. Explained by clinicaltrials.gg, not part of the registry record. The study team decides who can take part.

DSM diagnostic criteria

The American Psychiatric Association’s manual of mental health diagnoses. DSM-5 (2013, revised as DSM-5-TR in 2022) replaced DSM-IV, and some studies still name the older edition. “Meets DSM criteria for …” means diagnosed by that edition’s diagnostic criteria, usually by a clinician in an interview.

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Study design

Observational model
Case-only
Time perspective
Prospective
Enrollment
100 participants (estimated)
Patient registry
No

Groups and cohorts

  • BP

    100 patients with mood disorders from the psychiatric ward and outpatient services of the Department of Psychiatry, National Taiwan University Hospital

    Device: Wearable activity tracker

Interventions

  • DeviceWearable activity tracker

    Garmin smartwatch will record features, such as activities, heart rate, sleep, through smartphone App

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What researchers measure

Primary outcomes

  1. Development and verification of mood episode prediction algorithm

    Collected data will apply to learning algorithm, random forest, which constructs a multitude of decision trees at training time and outputting a class that is the mode of the classes of the individual trees. Performance of the trained prediction model was evaluated by assessing the model's accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and the area under the curve. In a machine learning evaluation process, a part of data is used for model training, and the other portion is used for model testing.

    Time frame: 1 year

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Study locations

1 of 1 sites recruiting
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References and documents

Individual participant data

Plan to share: No — All the data in this study will be appropriately maintained with protection of privacy and confidentiality. Any personal identifiable data will be replaced by research ID number.

No publications or documents are linked to this record.

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Timeline

Tracking since Sep 25, 2026
ElapsedEstimatedEstimated, not yet reachedSimilar studies: half by the dot; the band is the middle halfHalf of similar studies reached it by the dot; the band is the middle half, from a quarter to three quarters

Started Mar 2020 (actual). Primary completion is estimated for Dec 2027, 93 months after the start.

Of 95 non-industry observational studies under Bipolar Disorder, half reached primary completion within 65 months of starting (the median), counting those still running; a quarter within 39 and three quarters within 119. This study's planned 93 months is above that.

Counting every sponsor, half of 105 studies reached it within 64 months; a quarter within 31 and three quarters within 118.

How these figures are worked out, and which studies are left out of them.

Registered
Apr 13, 2023
First posted
Apr 25, 2023
StartActual
Mar 2, 2020
Primary completionEst.
Dec 31, 2027
CompletionEst.
Dec 31, 2027
Last update
Jul 31, 2026
What these dates mean
Start.
When the first participant enrolled; while estimated, when the study expects to open to recruitment.
Primary completion.
When the last participant was examined or treated to collect data for the study's main question, its primary outcome. A study that stopped early gives the date its data collection stopped.
Completion.
When the last participant's last visit took place, for every outcome, secondary ones and side effects included: the end of the study. Often later than primary completion, sometimes the same day.
Actual and Est.
Actual means the registry says the date has happened. Est. (estimated) is a date the sponsor plans or expects. It can still move, and the sponsor is expected to change it to actual once it has passed.
No changes since tracking began. The registry record was last updated on Jul 31, 2026, before this site started recording changes on Sep 25, 2026. Its history is on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗
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Registry details

Key details

Study ID
NCT05828056
Responsible party
Sponsor
First posted
Apr 25, 2023
Start date
Mar 2, 2020
Primary completion
Dec 31, 2027 (estimated)
Completion
Dec 31, 2027 (estimated)
Last update
Jul 31, 2026

Study contacts

Yi-Ling Chien
Contact
chienyiling@gmail.com
+886223123456#66013

Oversight

FDA-regulated drug
No
FDA-regulated device
No
View the source record on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗

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