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Not yet recruitingNCT07778056TTE-ESCCUpdated Aug 21, 2026

Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy Versus Neoadjuvant Immunochemotherapy for Resectable Esophageal Cancer: A Target Trial Emulation Study

An observational study in Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma (ESCC), sponsored by Henan Cancer Hospital. Not yet recruiting. Open to participants aged 18 Years and older. Per ClinicalTrials.gov, last updated 2026-08-21.

Sponsored by Henan Cancer Hospital · Observational

Study type
Observational
Model
Cohort
Time perspective
Retrospective
Enrollment
400
Ages
18 Years and older
Sex
All
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Study summary

Esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) is highly prevalent in China, with most patients presenting with locally advanced disease. Neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) is the current standard of care, while neoadjuvant immunochemotherapy (nICT) has emerged as a promising alternative. However, no large-scale randomized controlled trial has directly compared nICT versus nCRT for long-term overall survival (OS) in this population. This study aims to compare the causal effects of nICT versus nCRT on OS and other key outcomes in patients with resectable locally advanced ESCC using target trial emulation (TTE) methodology. This is a single-center, retrospective, observational cohort study using TTE. Data are derived from electronic health records (EHR) of esophageal cancer patients hospitalized at Henan Cancer Hospital between January 2013 and December 2025. Patients meeting eligibility criteria (age ≥18 years; histologically confirmed ESCC; clinical stage cT3-4a N0-2 M0 or cT2N+ M0; ECOG PS 0-1; no prior antitumor therapy) are assigned to nICT or nCRT groups based on actual treatment initiation. Propensity score overlap weighting is used to balance baseline covariates. The primary outcome is overall survival (OS). Secondary outcomes include event-free survival (EFS), pathological complete response (pCR) rate, tumor regression grade (TRG), R0 resection rate, and safety. This study will provide real-world causal evidence on the comparative effectiveness of nICT versus nCRT in the Chinese ESCC population.

Read the detailed description

Detailed Description This study is a target trial emulation (TTE) designed to compare the causal effects of neoadjuvant immunochemotherapy (nICT) versus neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) in patients with resectable locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). The TTE framework, as proposed by Hernán and Robins, is used to emulate a hypothetical randomized controlled trial using observational data.

Data Source: Electronic health records (EHR) from Henan Cancer Hospital, including medical records, pathology reports, imaging reports, prescription systems, radiotherapy records, and follow-up systems, covering the period from January 2013 to December 2025.

Target Trial Specification:

  • Eligibility: Age ≥18 years; histologically confirmed ESCC; clinical stage cT3-4a N0-2 M0 or cT2N+ M0 (AJCC 8th edition); ECOG PS 0-1; no prior antitumor therapy for esophageal cancer; curative surgical intent at Time Zero.
  • Treatment Strategies: Strategy A (nCRT): platinum-based chemotherapy with concurrent radiotherapy (41.4-50.4 Gy). Strategy B (nICT): PD-1 inhibitor combined with platinum-based chemotherapy (2-4 cycles).
  • Assignment: In the target trial, patients are randomized 1:1. In the emulation, patients are assigned based on actual treatment received, with propensity score overlap weighting to simulate randomization.
  • Follow-up: Time Zero is defined as the day before the first neoadjuvant treatment order. Follow-up continues until death, loss to follow-up, or administrative end of study (December 31, 2026). A grace period of up to 180 days is allowed for treatment initiation (i.e., the order date must be within 180 days from Time Zero). Patients who initiate treatment beyond this window are excluded from the primary analysis or evaluated separately in sensitivity analyses.
  • Outcomes: Primary: Overall Survival (OS). Secondary: Event-Free Survival (EFS), pathological complete response (pCR) rate, tumor regression grade (TRG), R0 resection rate, and safety (≥grade 3 adverse events per CTCAE v5.0, postoperative complications per Clavien-Dindo classification).

Statistical Analysis:

  • Primary Analysis: Overlap weighting using propensity scores to balance baseline covariates; weighted Cox proportional hazards models to estimate hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals for OS and EFS.
  • Secondary Analysis: pCR, TRG, and R0 rates compared between groups in the surgical subgroup.
  • Sensitivity Analyses: Per-protocol analysis, clone-censor-weight method, E-value for unmeasured confounding, different Time Zero definitions, different grace periods (4 weeks, 12 weeks), complete-case analysis vs multiple imputation.
  • Sensitivity Analyses: Per-protocol analysis, clone-censor-weight method, E-value for unmeasured confounding, different Time Zero definitions, different grace periods (4 weeks, 12 weeks), complete-case analysis vs multiple imputation.
  • Subgroup Analyses: By age, sex, tumor location, clinical stage, ECOG PS, and diagnosis period (2013-2019 vs 2020-2025).

Sample Size: Based on historical data, the target sample size is approximately 150-200 patients per group, with a total enrollment of approximately 400 patients (final sample size determined after data extraction and pilot feasibility assessment).

Ethics: Approved by the Medical Ethics Committee of Henan Cancer Hospital (Approval No. 2026-366-001). A waiver of informed consent was granted for this retrospective study.

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Conditions studied

  • Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma (ESCC)

Keywords

  • Esophageal Cancer
  • Squamous Cell Carcinoma
  • Neoadjuvant Immunochemotherapy
  • Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy
  • Target Trial Emulation
  • Real-World Data
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In context

Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma

675 studies on the registry are indexed under Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma; 267 are open to participants now.

This study's planned enrollment of 400 is above the median of 247 across 86 observational studies indexed under Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma.

Browse Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma studies →

Lead sponsor

Henan Cancer Hospital is the lead sponsor of 235 studies on the registry; 131 are open to participants now.

Counted across the registry records on this site, refreshed daily.

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Who can participate

Ages eligible
18 Years and older
Sexes eligible
All
Accepts healthy volunteers
No
Sampling method
Non-probability sample

Study population

The study population consists of patients with locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) diagnosed at Henan Cancer Hospital between January 2013 and December 2025. Eligible patients are those who meet the inclusion criteria and initiated either neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) or neoadjuvant immunochemotherapy (nICT) within 180 days after Time Zero. Patients are identified from electronic health records (EHR) including medical records, pathology reports, imaging reports, and prescription systems.

Go through the criteria one by one — yes, no or not sure — and take the list to your doctor or the study team. Kept in this browser only.

Inclusion criteria

  1. Age ≥ 18 years at the time of diagnosis.
  2. confirmed esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC).
  3. Clinical stage cT3-4a N0-2 M0 or cT2N+ M0 (AJCC 8th edition), with no distant (M1), based on clinical staging records available at Time Zero.
  4. performance status 0-1 (or proxy: total hospitalization days ≤14 days in the past year if ECOG PS is missing).
  5. No prior antitumor therapy for esophageal cancer (surgery, radiotherapy, chemotherapy, targeted therapy, or immunotherapy).
  6. Curative surgical intent documented at Time Zero.

Exclusion criteria

Exclusion Criteria:

  1. Distant (M1) or clinically determined unresectable disease.
  2. Active concurrent within 5 years prior to diagnosis (excluding basal cell carcinoma of the skin or carcinoma in situ).
  3. Severe comorbidities significantly limiting or precluding therapy (proxy: total hospitalization days >30 days in the past year).
  4. Pregnancy or lactation.
  5. Known or to the study drugs.
Terms in these criteria, in plain language(8)

Underlined terms in the criteria open these too. Explained by clinicaltrials.gg, not part of the registry record. The study team decides who can take part.

Histologically or cytologically confirmed

The diagnosis was confirmed by looking at a sample under a microscope: tissue from a biopsy or surgery (histology), or cells from a fluid or needle sample (cytology).

Your pathology report is the document that shows this.

Metastases

Cancer that has spread from where it began to other parts of the body. “Metastatic” cancer is cancer that has spread this way.

ECOG performance status

A scale of how much an illness limits everyday activity. For people being assessed to join a study, scores run from 0 (fully active) to 4; lower is more active.

0
Fully active, no restrictions.
1
Limited in strenuous activity, but walking and able to do light work, such as housework or office work.
2
Walking and able to look after yourself, but unable to work; up and about more than half of waking hours.
3
Able to look after yourself only in part; in bed or a chair more than half of waking hours.
4
Unable to look after yourself at all; in bed or a chair all day.

Studies most often ask for 0–1 or 0–2. Your doctor gives the score; the WHO scale uses the same steps. The full scale also has 5, which records death.

Cancer (malignancy)

Malignancy means cancer. Criteria about another or earlier malignancy ask whether you have had a different cancer, usually within a set number of years.

Some are commonly allowed, such as treated skin cancers other than melanoma and early cancers removed completely — check the exceptions this study lists.

Life expectancy

The study doctor’s estimate of how long someone is likely to live. Criteria use it so that people can stay in the study long enough for it to answer its question.

Adjuvant and neoadjuvant

Neoadjuvant treatment is given before the main treatment (usually surgery), often to shrink a tumour. Adjuvant treatment is given after it, to lower the chance of the cancer coming back.

Contraindication

A reason a treatment, test or procedure should not be given to a particular person, such as an allergy, another illness or a medicine they take.

Hypersensitivity

An allergy, or another reaction of the immune system, to a substance. “Hypersensitivity to the study drug” means a known allergic reaction to it — not every side effect a medicine can have.

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Study design

Observational model
Cohort
Time perspective
Retrospective
Enrollment
400 participants (estimated)
Patient registry
No

Groups and cohorts

  • Neoadjuvant Immunochemotherapy (nICT) Group

    Patients who initiated neoadjuvant immunochemotherapy (PD-1 inhibitor combined with platinum-based chemotherapy) within 180 days after Time Zero. Treatment includes PD-1 inhibitors (e.g., camrelizumab, sintilimab, toripalimab, tislelizumab) combined with paclitaxel/nab-paclitaxel and cisplatin/carboplatin, planned for 2-4 cycles, followed by surgery when feasible.

    Radiation: Radiotherapy · Drug: Platinum-based Chemotherapy

  • Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) Group

    Patients who initiated neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (platinum-based chemotherapy with concurrent radiotherapy) within 180 days after Time Zero. Radiotherapy is typically administered at 41.4-50.4 Gy in fractionated doses, with concurrent platinum-based chemotherapy, followed by surgery when feasible.

    Drug: Platinum-based Chemotherapy · Drug: PD-1 Inhibitor

Interventions

  • RadiationRadiotherapy

    Concurrent radiotherapy administered as part of neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy, typically 41.4-50.4 Gy in fractionated doses, combined with platinum-based chemotherapy.

  • DrugPlatinum-based Chemotherapy

    Platinum-based chemotherapy administered as part of neoadjuvant treatment, combined with either concurrent radiotherapy (nCRT) or PD-1 inhibitors (nICT).

  • PD-1 inhibitors administered as part of neoadjuvant immunochemotherapy, combined with platinum-based chemotherapy for 2-4 cycles.

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What researchers measure

Primary outcomes

  1. Overall Survival (OS)

    Overall Survival (OS) is defined as the time from Time Zero (the day before the first neoadjuvant treatment order) to death from any cause. Patients alive at the time of analysis are censored at the date of last known contact.

    Time frame: From Time Zero up to 10 years

Secondary outcomes

  1. Event-Free Survival (EFS)

    Event-Free Survival (EFS) is defined as the time from Time Zero to the first occurrence of death, disease progression, local recurrence, distant metastasis, or inoperability, whichever occurs first.

    Time frame: From Time Zero up to 10 years

  2. Pathological Complete Response (pCR) Rate

    Pathological complete response (pCR) is defined as the absence of viable tumor cells in the primary tumor and all resected lymph nodes (ypT0 ypN0) on postoperative pathological examination.

    Time frame: At the time of surgery

  3. Tumor Regression Grade (TRG)

    Tumor regression grade assessed according to Mandard criteria or Chinese standard (TRG 0-3) on postoperative pathological examination.

    Time frame: At the time of surgery

  4. R0 Resection Rate

    R0 resection rate is defined as the proportion of patients achieving microscopically margin-negative resection on postoperative pathological examination.

    Time frame: At the time of surgery

  5. Incidence of Treatment-Related Adverse Events

    Incidence and severity of treatment-related adverse events (≥grade 3), graded according to the National Cancer Institute Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events (NCI CTCAE) version 5.0.

    Time frame: From treatment initiation through 90 days after treatment completion

  6. Incidence of Postoperative Complications

    Incidence and severity of postoperative complications graded according to the Clavien-Dindo classification (≥grade III) and Esophagectomy Complications Consensus Group (ECCG) criteria.

    Time frame: From surgery through 90 days postoperatively

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Study locations

No study locations are listed for this record.

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References and documents

Individual participant data

Plan to share: No

No publications or documents are linked to this record.

09

Timeline

Tracking since Sep 25, 2026
ElapsedEstimatedEstimated, not yet reached

Start is estimated for Aug 2026; primary completion for Dec 2027, 16 months later.

How these figures are worked out, and which studies are left out of them.

Registered
Aug 17, 2026
First posted
Aug 21, 2026
StartEst.
Aug 20, 2026
Primary completionEst.
Dec 31, 2027
CompletionEst.
Aug 20, 2028
Last update
Aug 21, 2026
What these dates mean
Start.
When the first participant enrolled; while estimated, when the study expects to open to recruitment.
Primary completion.
When the last participant was examined or treated to collect data for the study's main question, its primary outcome. A study that stopped early gives the date its data collection stopped.
Completion.
When the last participant's last visit took place, for every outcome, secondary ones and side effects included: the end of the study. Often later than primary completion, sometimes the same day.
Actual and Est.
Actual means the registry says the date has happened. Est. (estimated) is a date the sponsor plans or expects. It can still move, and the sponsor is expected to change it to actual once it has passed.
No changes since tracking began. The registry record was last updated on Aug 21, 2026, before this site started recording changes on Sep 25, 2026. Its history is on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗
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Registry details

Key details

Study ID
NCT07778056
Responsible party
YanZheng,MD (Director, Henan Cancer Hospital) — Principal investigator
First posted
Aug 21, 2026
Start date
Aug 20, 2026 (estimated)
Primary completion
Dec 31, 2027 (estimated)
Completion
Aug 20, 2028 (estimated)
Last update
Aug 21, 2026

Study contacts

Yan Zheng, M.D./Ph.D
Contact
hnszlyylixiang@163.com
+86-371-65587610
Ming Song
Contact
hnszlyylixiang@163.com

Oversight

Data monitoring committee
No
FDA-regulated drug
No
FDA-regulated device
No
View the source record on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗

Not currently enrolling

This study is not yet recruiting, as verified in Aug 2026. You cannot join it, but the record below documents what was studied.

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