ClinicalTrials.gg
RecruitingNCT07681583FUNGAL-PUpdated Jul 2, 2026

Derivation and Validation of the Fungal Pneumonia Assessment and Likelihood Predictor Score

An observational study in Pneumonia, Fungal Pneumonia and Aspergillosis Pneumonia, sponsored by Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria Careggi. Recruiting at 1 site in Italy. Open to participants aged 18 Years to 90 Years. Per ClinicalTrials.gov, last updated 2026-07-02.

Primary conditionPneumonia, PneumocystisRegistry: PneumoniaReclassifiedWhy we changed it
Registry
Pneumonia — the first condition term the registry derived for this study.
ClinicalTrials.gg
Pneumonia, Pneumocystis
Why
  1. The study's listed conditions name Pneumonia, Pneumocystis, a narrower term within Pneumonia.
Confidence
High: the new condition is named in the study's own listed conditions. Of 351 hand-checked studies reclassified this way, 68% were exactly right and 84% in the right disease family; the registry's first term was right for 5% (measured 2026-10-21). How we classify →
Wrong?
Tell us the study's main condition →

Sponsored by Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria Careggi · Observational

From the registry’s dates

  • Started Nov 2025; still recruiting 11 months later.
Study type
Observational
Model
Cohort
Time perspective
Other
Enrollment
400
Ages
18 Years to 90 Years
Sex
All
01

Study summary

The FUNGAL-P study is a single-center observational study designed to derive and validate a clinical prediction score for the early identification of fungal pneumonia in adult patients presenting with pneumonia.

The study includes a retrospective derivation cohort and a prospective validation cohort of patients undergoing microbiological evaluation of lower respiratory tract samples. Clinical, laboratory, radiological, microbiological, and treatment-related variables associated with fungal pneumonia will be analyzed to identify independent predictors of fungal infection. These predictors will be combined to develop the FUNGAL-P score.

The derived score will subsequently be evaluated in a prospective validation cohort to assess its diagnostic performance, calibration, and clinical utility. The ultimate goal is to facilitate earlier recognition of fungal pneumonia and support timely diagnostic testing and antifungal treatment in patients presenting to the Emergency Department or hospital with pneumonia.

Read the detailed description

Fungal pneumonia is an increasingly recognized cause of severe respiratory infection and is associated with substantial morbidity and mortality. Early diagnosis remains challenging because clinical manifestations are often nonspecific and conventional diagnostic criteria may not be readily applicable in emergency care settings. Delayed recognition may result in delayed diagnostic investigations and initiation of targeted antifungal therapy.

The FUNGAL-P study is a no-profit, single-center observational study conducted at Careggi University Hospital (Florence, Italy). The study was designed to derive and validate a clinical prediction rule for the early identification of fungal pneumonia or fungal-bacterial coinfection among adult patients presenting with pneumonia.

The study consists of two sequential phases.

Retrospective derivation phase

The derivation cohort includes adult patients with microbiologically confirmed pneumonia diagnosed between January 1, 2022 and December 31, 2023. Eligible patients underwent bronchoalveolar lavage (BAL), bronchial aspirate, or endotracheal aspirate collection within 48 hours of hospital presentation. Microbiological investigations included fungal and bacterial cultures, galactomannan testing, molecular assays for Aspergillus species and Pneumocystis jirovecii, and multiplex molecular respiratory pathogen testing.

Patients with microbiologically confirmed fungal pneumonia constituted the study group, whereas patients with bacterial or viral pneumonia served as controls. Cases of fungal-bacterial coinfection were classified as fungal pneumonia. Patients without microbiological identification of a pathogen were excluded.

Prospective validation phase

The validation cohort includes consecutive adult patients with pneumonia enrolled between January 1, 2024 and December 31, 2024. Patients underwent routine microbiological investigations according to standard clinical practice. The performance of the derived FUNGAL-P score was evaluated prospectively without influencing clinical decision-making.

Outcome definition

The primary study outcome is fungal pneumonia, including infections caused by Aspergillus species, Pneumocystis jirovecii, and other fungal pathogens, as well as fungal-bacterial coinfections. Diagnosis is based on an integrated assessment of clinical presentation, radiological findings, microbiological results, fungal biomarkers, and molecular testing results. Final case adjudication includes review of clinical follow-up data, imaging studies, microbiological findings, and treatment decisions.

Data collection

Demographic characteristics, medical history, comorbidities, fungal infection risk factors, vital signs, laboratory findings, radiological data, microbiological results, administered treatments, and clinical outcomes are collected for all participants.

Statistical analysis

Independent predictors of fungal pneumonia are identified using multivariable logistic regression. Candidate variables are selected based on prior evidence and univariable analyses. Predictors retained in the final model are incorporated into the FUNGAL-P score. Diagnostic performance is evaluated using sensitivity, specificity, predictive values, likelihood ratios, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, and area under the ROC curve (AUROC). Calibration is assessed using calibration plots and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test. Internal validation is performed using bootstrap resampling, and clinical utility is evaluated through decision curve analysis.

Primary Objective

To derive a clinical prediction score for fungal pneumonia or fungal-bacterial coinfection in adult patients presenting with pneumonia.

Secondary Objectives

To prospectively validate the FUNGAL-P score. To assess score calibration and discrimination. To determine sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value.

To evaluate the clinical utility of the score for identifying patients at increased risk of fungal pneumonia.

02

Conditions studied

  • Pneumonia
  • Fungal Pneumonia
  • Aspergillosis Pneumonia
  • Pulmonary Aspergillosis
  • Pulmonary Aspergillosis Invasive
  • Pneumocystis
  • Pneumocystis Pneumonia
  • Fungal Disease
  • Fungal Infection
  • Fungal Infection Lungs

Keywords

  • Fungal Pneumonia
  • Aspergillus
  • Pulmonary Aspergillosis
  • Pneumocystis jirovecii
  • Pneumocystis Pneumonia
  • Coinfection
  • Community-Acquired Pneumonia
  • CAP
  • Risk Prediction
  • Clinical Prediction Rule
  • Clinical Risk Score
  • FUNGAL-P Score
  • SCORE
  • Bronchoalveolar Lavage
  • Emergency Department
  • Internal medicine
  • Infectious disease
  • Diagnostic Accuracy
  • Risk Factors
  • Respiratory Infection
03

In context

Pneumonia, Pneumocystis Reclassified

108 studies on the registry are indexed under Pneumonia, Pneumocystis; 16 are open to participants now.

This study's planned enrollment of 400 is above the median of 250 across 29 observational studies indexed under Pneumonia, Pneumocystis.

Browse Pneumonia, Pneumocystis studies →

Lead sponsor

Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria Careggi is the lead sponsor of 77 studies on the registry; 23 are open to participants now.

Compared within Pneumonia, Pneumocystis, this study's primary condition as ClinicalTrials.gg classifies it; the registry's first condition term is Pneumonia. The counts are of registry records indexed under each term, refreshed daily. How we classify →

04

Who can participate

Ages eligible
18 Years to 90 Years
Sexes eligible
All
Accepts healthy volunteers
No
Sampling method
Non-probability sample

Study population

Adult patients presenting with pneumonia at Careggi University Hospital who underwent microbiological evaluation of lower respiratory tract samples, including bronchoalveolar lavage, bronchial aspirate, or endotracheal aspirate, within 48 hours of hospital presentation. The study population includes patients with microbiologically confirmed fungal, bacterial, or viral pneumonia enrolled in retrospective and prospective cohorts for derivation and validation of the FUNGAL-P clinical prediction score.

Go through the criteria one by one — yes, no or not sure — and take the list to your doctor or the study team. Kept in this browser only.

Inclusion criteria

  • Age ≥18 years and ≤90 years.
  • Presentation to the Emergency Department or hospital with pneumonia.
  • Pneumonia defined according to IDSA/ATS criteria as the presence of at least two clinical signs or symptoms of lower respiratory tract infection (temperature \<36.0°C or >38.0°C, respiratory rate >20 breaths/min, oxygen saturation \<90% on room air, arterial PaO₂ \<60 mmHg, cough, sputum production, white blood cell count \<4,000/μL or >10,000/μL, or bandemia >10%) together with radiographic evidence of a new pulmonary infiltrate or cavitary lesion.
  • Bronchoalveolar lavage (BAL), bronchial aspirate (BAS), or endotracheal aspirate (ETA) performed within 48 hours of hospital presentation.
  • Modified Rankin Scale score \<5.
  • Availability of microbiological investigations for identification of fungal, bacterial, or viral pathogens.
  • Provision of , when required by applicable regulations and ethics committee approval.

Exclusion criteria

Exclusion Criteria:

  • Refusal or withdrawal of .
  • Age \<18 years or >90 years.
  • Pregnancy.
  • Expected \<3 months.
  • Hospital-acquired pneumonia with onset >48 hours after hospital admission.
  • Modified Rankin Scale score ≥5.
  • Absence of microbiological diagnostic evaluation.
  • No identified bacterial, fungal, or viral pathogen after microbiological investigations.
Terms in these criteria, in plain language(2)

Underlined terms in the criteria open these too. Explained by clinicaltrials.gg, not part of the registry record. The study team decides who can take part.

Informed consent

Before you join, the study team explains what taking part involves — its purpose, what happens, the risks and possible benefits — and answers your questions, so you can decide freely. Consent is usually recorded on a form (the informed consent form, ICF) signed by you or, where the law allows, by someone legally authorised to decide for you.

You can keep asking questions during the study, you are told of new information that matters, and you can choose to leave at any time.

Life expectancy

The study doctor’s estimate of how long someone is likely to live. Criteria use it so that people can stay in the study long enough for it to answer its question.

05

Study design

Observational model
Cohort
Time perspective
Other
Enrollment
400 participants (estimated)
Target follow-up
30 Days
Patient registry
Yes

Groups and cohorts

  • Retrospective Derivation Cohort

    Adult patients with microbiologically confirmed pneumonia enrolled at Careggi University Hospital between January 1, 2022 and December 31, 2023. Clinical, laboratory, radiological, microbiological, treatment, and outcome data were collected to identify independent predictors of fungal pneumonia and to derive the FUNGAL-P clinical prediction score.

    Other: FUNGAL-P Score Assessment

  • Prospective Validation Cohort

    Consecutive adult patients with pneumonia enrolled at Careggi University Hospital between 13 nov, 2025 and December 31, 2030. The cohort was used to prospectively evaluate the diagnostic performance, calibration, and clinical utility of the derived FUNGAL-P score without influencing clinical management.

    Other: FUNGAL-P Score Assessment

Interventions

  • OtherFUNGAL-P Score Assessment

    Observational assessment of clinical, laboratory, radiological, and microbiological variables used to derive and validate the FUNGAL-P clinical prediction score for fungal pneumonia. No study-specific intervention was performed and patient management was not influenced by the study.

06

What researchers measure

Primary outcomes

  1. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of the FUNGAL-P score

    Evaluation of the discriminative ability of the FUNGAL-P score for identifying fungal pneumonia.

    Time frame: At completion of study analysis (30 days)

Secondary outcomes

  1. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of the FUNGAL-P score

    Evaluation of the discriminative ability of the FUNGAL-P score for identifying fungal pneumonia.

    Time frame: At completion of study analysis (30 days)

  2. Sensitivity and specificity of the FUNGAL-P score

    Assessment of sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value of the FUNGAL-P score at predefined score thresholds.

    Time frame: At completion of study analysis (30 days)

  3. Calibration of the FUNGAL-P score

    Assessment of agreement between predicted and observed probabilities of fungal pneumonia using calibration plots and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test.

    Time frame: At completion of study analysis (30 days)

  4. Clinical utility of the FUNGAL-P score

    Evaluation of the net clinical benefit of the FUNGAL-P score using Decision Curve Analysis.

    Time frame: At completion of study analysis (30 days)

07

Study locations

1 of 1 sites recruiting
08

References and documents

Publications

  • 1. Esandi M, Magnasco L, Farina EC, et al. Early diagnosis of candidiasis in non-neutropenic critically ill patients: prospective study. Intensive Care Med. 2003;29(9):1534-1540. doi:10.1007/s00134-003-1825-3 2. Wang K, Wang Y, Liu M, et al. Retrospective evaluation of risk factors for invasive Candida infections in a medical ICU. Medicine (Baltimore). 2024;103(14):e38338. doi:10.1097/MD.0000000000038338 3. Kullberg BJ, Arendrup MC. Invasive candidiasis. N Engl J Med. 2015;373(15):1445-1456. doi:10.1056/NEJMra1315399 4. Playford EG, Eggimann P, Calandra T, et al. Epidemiology of invasive candidiasis in non-neutropenic critically ill patients. Lancet Infect Dis. 2010;10(12):775-784. doi:10.1016/S1473-3099(10)70267-7 5. Leroy G, Lambiotte F, Thévenin D, et al. Risk factors of invasive fungal disease in critically ill adult patients: a systematic review. Crit Care. 2012;16(5):R242. doi:10.1186/cc11844 6. Aguilar C, Kumar D, Humar A, et al. Risk factors for invasive fungal infections in lung transplant recipients: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Clin Transplant. 2021;35(4):e14232. doi:10.1111/ctr.14232 7. Li Y, Wang J, Zhang H, et al. A novel scoring system to predict invasive candidiasis in immunocompetent critically ill patients. Front Microbiol. 2023;14:1097574. doi:10.3389/fmicb.2023.1097574 8. Bougnoux ME, Kac G, Aegerter P, et al. Candidemia and Candida colonization in critically ill patients: incidence and risk factors. Intensive Care Med. 2008;34(11):1955-1961. doi:10.1007/s00134-008-1197-4 9. Bassetti M, Righi E, Ansaldi F, et al. A multicenter study of candidemia in intensive care units in Italy. Intensive Care Med. 2006;32(10):1523-1529. doi:10.1007/s00134-006-0298-8 10. Blot SI, Taccone FS, Van den Abeele AM, et al. A clinical algorithm to diagnose invasive pulmonary aspergillosis in critically ill patients. Intensive Care Med. 2012;38(9):1294-1303. doi:10.1007/s00134-012-2600-5 11. Lu LY, Cheng Y, Wang H, et al. Risk factors and outcomes of influenza

Individual participant data

Plan to share: Undecided

09

Timeline

Tracking since Sep 25, 2026
ElapsedEstimatedEstimated, not yet reached

Started Nov 2025 (actual). Primary completion is estimated for Nov 2030, 60 months after the start.

How these figures are worked out, and which studies are left out of them.

Registered
Jun 26, 2026
First posted
Jul 2, 2026
StartActual
Nov 13, 2025
Primary completionEst.
Nov 13, 2030
CompletionEst.
Nov 13, 2031
Last update
Jul 2, 2026
What these dates mean
Start.
When the first participant enrolled; while estimated, when the study expects to open to recruitment.
Primary completion.
When the last participant was examined or treated to collect data for the study's main question, its primary outcome. A study that stopped early gives the date its data collection stopped.
Completion.
When the last participant's last visit took place, for every outcome, secondary ones and side effects included: the end of the study. Often later than primary completion, sometimes the same day.
Actual and Est.
Actual means the registry says the date has happened. Est. (estimated) is a date the sponsor plans or expects. It can still move, and the sponsor is expected to change it to actual once it has passed.
No changes since tracking began. The registry record was last updated on Jul 2, 2026, before this site started recording changes on Sep 25, 2026. Its history is on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗
10

Registry details

Key details

Study ID
NCT07681583
Lead sponsor
Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria Careggi
Responsible party
Peiman Nazerian (md, Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria Careggi) — Principal investigator
First posted
Jul 2, 2026
Start date
Nov 13, 2025
Primary completion
Nov 13, 2030 (estimated)
Completion
Nov 13, 2031 (estimated)
Last update
Jul 2, 2026

Study contacts

Lorenzo Pelagatti, MD, PhDs
Contact
pelagattil@aou-careggi.toscana.it
+39 3385917317
Peiman Nazerian, MD
Contact
nazierianp@aou-careggi.toscana.it
Lorenzo Pelagatti, MD, PhD
principal investigator · University of Florence

Oversight

Data monitoring committee
No
FDA-regulated drug
No
FDA-regulated device
No
View the source record on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗

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