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Not yet recruitingNCT07605312Updated May 28, 2026

AI-Based Risk Prediction Model for Upper Digestive Tract Cancer

An observational study in Gastric Cancer (GC), Premalignant Lesion and Gastric Intestinal Metaplasia, sponsored by National Taiwan University Hospital. Not yet recruiting. Open to participants aged 40 Years and older, including healthy volunteers. Per ClinicalTrials.gov, last updated 2026-05-28.

Sponsored by National Taiwan University Hospital · Observational

Study type
Observational
Model
Cohort
Time perspective
Prospective
Enrollment
10,000
Ages
40 Years and older
Sex
All
01

Study summary

Upper digestive tract cancers are often preceded by pre-malignant lesions, but there is limited evidence regarding optimal risk prediction models and screening strategies for disease progression and cancer development. This prospective multicenter cohort study aims to establish a longitudinal database integrating clinical information, endoscopic findings, pathology, genetics, epigenetics, and gastrointestinal microbiota data from subjects undergoing upper digestive tract endoscopy.

The study will develop explainable artificial intelligence (AI)-based risk prediction models to identify factors associated with disease progression, treatment response, and cancer development. Participants will be followed longitudinally to evaluate changes in lesion severity and clinical outcomes.

Read the detailed description

Objectives:

There is no solid evidence about the risk prediction model and screening duration for upper digestive tract pre-malignant lesions and its progression. There is also no longitudinal study combining multi-omic approach, endoscopic and pathologic images and the association with disease development. Hence we design a prospective cohort targeting upper digestive tract disease progression and cancer development, with standardized clinical data collection, quality control and explainable AI (artificial intellegence) model for better reliability of risk prediction model.

Aims:

We aim to develop risk prediction model for the progression of upper digestive tract disease and cancer development.

Methods:

The study is disigned as a multi-center prospective cohort, targeting subjects undergoing upper digestive tract endoscopy. The development of AI risk prediction models will combine endoscopic pre-malignant lesion, pathology, genetics, epigenetics, oro-gastro-intestinal microbiota, and follow-up longitudinally with change in lesion severity, medication response, cancer development.

Outcome measurement:

Primary endpoints: upper digestive tract cancer development. Secondary endpoints: progression in pre-malignant lesions, recurrent colon polyps, other cancer developement, metabolic and cardiovascular disease, response to medication in gastro-esophageal reflux and dyspepsia population.

02

Conditions studied

  • Gastric Cancer (GC)
  • Premalignant Lesion
  • Gastric Intestinal Metaplasia
  • Atrophic Gastritis
  • Dysplasia Stomach
  • Esophageal Cancer (EsC)
03

In context

Stomach Neoplasms

3,399 studies on the registry are indexed under Stomach Neoplasms; 992 are open to participants now.

This study's planned enrollment of 10,000 is above the median of 278 across 790 observational studies indexed under Stomach Neoplasms.

Browse Stomach Neoplasms studies →

Lead sponsor

National Taiwan University Hospital is the lead sponsor of 2,615 studies on the registry; 576 are open to participants now.

Of its 11 completed or terminated interventional studies of FDA-regulated products, 2 (18%) have results posted.

Counted across the registry records on this site, refreshed daily.

04

Who can participate

Ages eligible
40 Years and older
Sexes eligible
All
Accepts healthy volunteers
Yes
Sampling method
Non-probability sample

Study population

  • Patients with a history of surgery involving the esophagus, stomach, or duodenum.
  • Patients with gastric deformity secondary to severe gastric inflammation.
  • Patients unable to undergo regular follow-up upper gastrointestinal endoscopy every 1-3 years.
  • Patients with severe comorbidities that preclude follow-up upper gastrointestinal endoscopy or with an estimated life expectancy of less than 10 years.

Go through the criteria one by one — yes, no or not sure — and take the list to your doctor or the study team. Kept in this browser only.

Inclusion criteria

  • Patients undergoing upper gastrointestinal endoscopy.
  • Patients with at least one of the following conditions or indications:

    • Previous or current Helicobacter pylori infection (confirmed by serology, histopathology, urea breath test, rapid urease test, or stool antigen test);
    • Dyspeptic symptoms;
    • Gastroesophageal reflux disease;
    • History of oral, oropharyngeal, or hypopharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma;
    • Barrett's esophagus;
    • Gastric premalignant lesions (intestinal metaplasia or atrophic gastritis);
    • Gastric subepithelial lesions.

Exclusion criteria

Exclusion Criteria:

-

05

Study design

Observational model
Cohort
Time perspective
Prospective
Enrollment
10,000 participants (estimated)
Target follow-up
10 Years
Patient registry
Yes
Biospecimen retention
Samples with dna
06

What researchers measure

Primary outcomes

  1. Number of participants with upper digestive tract cancer confirmed by histopathological examination

    Upper digestive tract cancer development will be defined as newly diagnosed upper digestive tract malignancy during follow-up, including esophageal cancer and gastric cancer. Diagnosis will be confirmed by histopathological examination of biopsy or resection specimens.

    Time frame: "From enrollment to the end of follow-up at 10 years"

Secondary outcomes

  1. Number of participants with progression of gastric premalignant lesions assessed by OLGA, OLGIM, and EGGIM staging systems

    Progression of premalignant lesions will be defined as worsening of gastric atrophy and intestinal metaplasia during follow-up based on histological and endoscopic assessment. Histological progression will be evaluated using changes in OLGA and OLGIM stages, while endoscopic progression will be assessed using EGGIM scores. Progression is defined as an increase in stage or score compared with baseline evaluation.

    Time frame: From enrollment to the end of follow-up at 10 years

  2. Recurrent colon polyps

    Time frame: From enrollment to the end of follow-up at 10 years

  3. Number of participants with non-upper digestive tract malignancies confirmed by histopathological examination

    Other cancer development will be defined as newly diagnosed malignancies other than upper digestive tract cancers during follow-up, including but not limited to colorectal cancer, hepatobiliary cancer, pancreatic cancer, lung cancer, breast cancer, prostate cancer, and hematologic malignancies. Diagnosis will be confirmed by histopathological examination, imaging findings, or cancer registry records.

    Time frame: From enrollment to the end of follow-up at 10 years

  4. Number of participants with newly diagnosed metabolic and cardiovascular diseases

    Metabolic and cardiovascular disease development will be defined as newly diagnosed metabolic or cardiovascular conditions during follow-up, including diabetes mellitus, hypertension, dyslipidemia, coronary artery disease, cerebrovascular disease, heart failure, and peripheral arterial disease. Diagnoses will be confirmed based on medical records and clinical assessments.

    Time frame: From enrollment to the end of follow-up at 10 years

  5. Number of participants with symptom or endoscopic improvement after medication treatment in gastroesophageal reflux disease and dyspepsia populations

    Treatment response will be defined as improvement of reflux and dyspeptic symptoms after medical therapy during follow-up. Symptom response will be assessed based on patient-reported symptom improvement and medical records. Endoscopic response will be assessed endoscopically

    Time frame: From enrollment to the end of follow-up at 10 years

07

Study locations

No study locations are listed for this record.

08

Timeline

Tracking since Sep 25, 2026
ElapsedEstimatedEstimated, not yet reachedSimilar studies: half by the dot; the band is the middle halfHalf of similar studies reached it by the dot; the band is the middle half, from a quarter to three quarters

Start is estimated for May 2026; primary completion for May 2030, 48 months later.

Of 322 non-industry observational studies under Stomach Neoplasms, half reached primary completion within 57 months of starting (the median), counting those still running; a quarter within 29 and three quarters within 171. This study's planned 48 months is below that.

Counting every sponsor, half of 364 studies reached it within 54 months; a quarter within 29 and three quarters within 119.

How these figures are worked out, and which studies are left out of them.

Registered
May 17, 2026
First posted
May 22, 2026
StartEst.
May 18, 2026
Primary completionEst.
May 18, 2030
CompletionEst.
May 18, 2030
Last update
May 28, 2026
What these dates mean
Start.
When the first participant enrolled; while estimated, when the study expects to open to recruitment.
Primary completion.
When the last participant was examined or treated to collect data for the study's main question, its primary outcome. A study that stopped early gives the date its data collection stopped.
Completion.
When the last participant's last visit took place, for every outcome, secondary ones and side effects included: the end of the study. Often later than primary completion, sometimes the same day.
Actual and Est.
Actual means the registry says the date has happened. Est. (estimated) is a date the sponsor plans or expects. It can still move, and the sponsor is expected to change it to actual once it has passed.
No changes since tracking began. The registry record was last updated on May 28, 2026, before this site started recording changes on Sep 25, 2026. Its history is on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗
09

Registry details

Key details

Study ID
NCT07605312
Responsible party
Sponsor
First posted
May 22, 2026
Start date
May 18, 2026 (estimated)
Primary completion
May 18, 2030 (estimated)
Completion
May 18, 2030 (estimated)
Last update
May 28, 2026

Study contacts

Jyh-Ming Liou, MD, PhD
Contact
jyhmingliou@gmail.com
+886972651883
Tzu-Chan Hong, MD, PhD
Contact
edisonhong77@gmail.com
+886-2-2322-0322 ext. 238061

Oversight

Data monitoring committee
No
FDA-regulated drug
No
FDA-regulated device
No
View the source record on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗

Not currently enrolling

This study is not yet recruiting, as verified in May 2026. You cannot join it, but the record below documents what was studied.

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