ClinicalTrials.gg
RecruitingNCT07304648Updated Nov 4, 2026

Role of End-Tidal CO2 During Passive Leg Raising to Predict Fluid Responsiveness in ICU

An observational study in Circulatory Failure, Critical Illness and Hypovolemia, sponsored by Izmir Katip Celebi University. Recruiting at 1 site in Turkey (Türkiye). Open to participants aged 18 Years and older. Per ClinicalTrials.gov, last updated 2026-11-04.

Sponsored by Izmir Katip Celebi University · Observational

From the registry’s dates

  • Started Jan 2026; still recruiting 10 months later.
Updated Nov 4, 2026Now RecruitingSite recruiting status changedGo to Updates ↓
Study type
Observational
Model
Cohort
Time perspective
Prospective
Enrollment
68
Ages
18 Years and older
Sex
All
01

Study summary

This prospective observational study evaluates whether monitoring changes in exhaled carbon dioxide (End-Tidal CO2 or EtCO2) during a "Passive Leg Raising" (PLR) test can reliably predict fluid responsiveness in critically ill patients.

In the Intensive Care Unit (ICU), fluid management is a critical balance; while fluid is necessary for tissue perfusion, overload can lead to severe complications. Traditional static measurements (like central venous pressure) are often unreliable for guiding therapy. Dynamic tests like PLR are preferred as they simulate a fluid bolus reversibly by shifting blood from the legs to the heart.

Researchers will observe mechanically ventilated patients planned for fluid resuscitation. The study compares the accuracy of non-invasive EtCO2 changes during PLR against a reference standard "Mini Fluid Challenge" (100 mL fluid administration). Fluid responsiveness will be confirmed using echocardiographic measurements (LVOT-VTI) or arterial pressure changes. The goal is to validate EtCO2 as a practical, real-time tool for safe fluid management.

Read the detailed description

Fluid management is the cornerstone of hemodynamic stabilization in ICU patients with circulatory failure. However, distinguishing between patients who will benefit from fluid (responders) and those who will not is vital to prevent the high mortality associated with inappropriate fluid administration.Static parameters (e.g., CVP, MAP) fail to reliably predict fluid responsiveness. Dynamic parameters are superior but have limitations, such as dependence on regular heart rhythm and specific ventilation settings. Consequently, interest has shifted toward non-invasive surrogates for cardiac output, such as End-Tidal CO2 (EtCO2), which tracks pulmonary blood flow changes under constant ventilation. This study investigates whether Delta EtCO2 during a PLR maneuver can accurately predict the response to a fluid challenge. The primary objective is to determine the diagnostic accuracy of Delta EtCO2 during PLR. Its predictive value will be validated against the hemodynamic response to a Mini Fluid Challenge (MFC), serving as the reference method. This prospective, single-center, observational cohort study includes adult patients in the ICU receiving mechanical ventilation who require fluid resuscitation.

Passive Leg Raising (PLR) Test: The patient starts in a semi-recumbent position (45°). They are then moved to a supine position with legs raised to 45° without manual handling to avoid sympathetic stimulation. This auto-transfuses blood from the lower body to the central circulation, increasing preload.

Mini Fluid Challenge (MFC): Following PLR, 100 mL of crystalloid fluid is infused intravenously over approximately 1 minute.

Definition of Fluid Responsiveness (Reference Standard): An increase in Left Ventricular Outflow Tract Velocity Time Integral (LVOT-VTI) of >10% on echocardiography. If cardiac output/VTI cannot be assessed, responsiveness is defined as a Systolic Arterial Pressure increase of > 4%, a Pulse Pressure variation decrease of > 2%, or a Mean Arterial Pressure increase of > 15%.

The sample size was calculated using G*Power 3.1 software based on a pilot study of 6 patients. In the pilot study, Delta EtCO2 values were found to be 3.5±2.1 mmHg in the fluid responder group and 2.1±1.1 mmHg in the non-responder group. Based on these findings, with an effect size (Cohen's d) of 0.72, an alpha error level of 0.05, and a targeted power (1-beta) of 0.80, the required sample size was calculated. Accounting for a potential 10% attrition rate, the study is planned to be conducted with a total of 68 patients.

02

Conditions studied

  • Circulatory Failure
  • Critical Illness
  • Hypovolemia

Keywords

  • Fluid Responsiveness
  • Passive Leg Raising
  • End-Tidal CO2
  • Mini Fluid Challenge
  • Mechanical Ventilation
  • Intensive Care
03

In context

Shock

487 studies on the registry are indexed under Shock; 107 are open to participants now.

This study's planned enrollment of 68 is below the median of 100 across 247 observational studies indexed under Shock.

Browse Shock studies →

Lead sponsor

Izmir Katip Celebi University is the lead sponsor of 198 studies on the registry; 39 are open to participants now.

Counted across the registry records on this site, refreshed daily.

04

Who can participate

Ages eligible
18 Years and older
Sexes eligible
All
Accepts healthy volunteers
No
Sampling method
Non-probability sample

Study population

The study population consists of adult patients (aged 18 years or older) admitted to the Intensive Care Unit (ICU) of a university hospital. Eligible participants are those who have been receiving mechanical ventilation support for at least 24 hours and have been identified by the primary intensive care team as requiring a fluid responsiveness assessment via a mini fluid challenge. The cohort includes patients with circulatory failure or suspected hypovolemia where fluid resuscitation is clinically indicated. Patients with contraindications to passive leg raising (e.g., intracranial hypertension, deep vein thrombosis), spontaneous breathing, or severe cardiac valve pathologies are excluded.

Go through the criteria one by one — yes, no or not sure — and take the list to your doctor or the study team. Kept in this browser only.

Inclusion criteria

  • Patients aged 18 years or older.
  • Patients who have been followed in the intensive care unit (ICU) with mechanical ventilation support for at least 24 hours.
  • Patients for whom a mini fluid challenge (MFC) is clinically planned by the intensive care team.
  • Patients for whom has been obtained from first-degree relatives or a legal representative.

Exclusion criteria

Exclusion Criteria:

  • Patients younger than 18 years of age.
  • Pregnant patients.
  • Patients without consent from first-degree relatives or a legal representative.
  • Patients with known deep vein thrombosis (DVT) in the leg veins (risk of embolism during leg raising).
  • Patients with pathologies that may cause increased intracranial pressure (e.g., intracranial mass, hemorrhage).
  • Patients with uncontrolled hypertension.
  • Patients with severe cardiac disease (e.g., right heart failure, pulmonary hypertension, advanced valvular pathology).
  • Patients with carbon dioxide (CO2) retention.
  • Patients who have undergone hip surgery or hip replacement surgery where Passive Leg Raising (PLR) cannot be performed.
  • Patients with spontaneous breathing.
  • Patients with a probability of high intra-abdominal pressure.
  • Patients who cannot lie in a supine position.
  • Patients with current peripheral oxygen saturation (SpO2) \< 88%.
  • Patients on mechanical ventilation requiring pressure support > 16 mmHg or PEEP > 10 mmHg.
Terms in these criteria, in plain language(1)

Underlined terms in the criteria open these too. Explained by clinicaltrials.gg, not part of the registry record. The study team decides who can take part.

Informed consent

Before you join, the study team explains what taking part involves — its purpose, what happens, the risks and possible benefits — and answers your questions, so you can decide freely. Consent is usually recorded on a form (the informed consent form, ICF) signed by you or, where the law allows, by someone legally authorised to decide for you.

You can keep asking questions during the study, you are told of new information that matters, and you can choose to leave at any time.

05

Study design

Observational model
Cohort
Time perspective
Prospective
Enrollment
68 participants (estimated)
Target follow-up
1 Day
Patient registry
Yes

Groups and cohorts

  • Fluid Responders

    Patients who demonstrate a significant hemodynamic improvement following the Mini Fluid Challenge (MFC. Defined as an increase in Left Ventricular Outflow Tract Velocity Time Integral (LVOT-VTI) of \>10%. If VTI unavailable, increase in Systolic Arterial Pressure \> 4%, Pulse Pressure variation decrease \> 2%, or Mean Arterial Pressure increase \> 15%.

  • Fluid Non-Responders

    Patients who do not demonstrate a significant hemodynamic improvement following the Mini Fluid Challenge (MFC). Defined as an increase in LVOT-VTI of \< 10% (or failure to meet the alternative blood pressure criteria).

06

What researchers measure

Primary outcomes

  1. Change in End-Tidal Carbon Dioxide (Delta EtCO2) during Passive Leg Raising (PLR)

    The absolute difference in End-Tidal CO2 (EtCO2) levels will be calculated between the baseline measurement (T0, patient semi-recumbent at 45°) and the measurement taken during the Passive Leg Raising test (T1, patient supine with legs raised to 45°). The diagnostic accuracy of this Delta EtCO2 will be evaluated by comparing it against the patient's fluid responsiveness status (Responder vs. Non-Responder) determined by the subsequent Mini Fluid Challenge.

    Time frame: Measured between 60 to 90 seconds after the position change.

Secondary outcomes

  1. Change in Arterial Blood Pressures (SAP, DAP, MAP)

    Systolic (SAP), Diastolic (DAP), and Mean Arterial Pressure (MAP) will be monitored at baseline (T0) and during the PLR maneuver (T1). The changes in these pressures will be compared between the fluid responder and non-responder groups.

    Time frame: Measured between 60 to 90 seconds after the position change.

  2. Change in Heart Rate (Delta HR)

    Heart rate will be monitored at baseline (T0) and during the PLR maneuver (T1). The absolute change (Delta HR) will be compared between the fluid responder and non-responder groups.

    Time frame: Measured between 60 to 90 seconds after the position change.

  3. Change in Pulse Pressure Variation (Delta PPV)

    Pulse Pressure Variation (PPV) will be monitored at baseline (T0) and during the PLR maneuver (T1). The change in PPV will be compared between the fluid responder and non-responder groups.

    Time frame: Measured between 60 to 90 seconds after the position change.

  4. Change in Oxygen Saturation (Delta SO2)

    Oxygen Saturation (SO2) will be monitored at baseline (T0) and during the PLR maneuver (T1). The change will be compared between the fluid responder and non-responder groups.

    Time frame: Measured between 60 to 90 seconds after the position change.

  5. Change in Vena Cava Inferior (VCI) Distensibility Index

    The VCI diameter will be measured using ultrasonography during inspiration and expiration at baseline (T0) and during the PLR maneuver (T1). The VCI distensibility index will be calculated and its change compared between the groups.

    Time frame: Measured between 60 to 90 seconds after the position change.

  6. Change in Left Ventricular Outflow Tract Velocity Time Integral (LVOT-VTI)

    This is the reference standard used to classify patients. Following the Mini Fluid Challenge (100ml crystalloid over 1 min), the percentage change in LVOT-VTI is measured. An increase of \>10% defines the patient as a "Fluid Responder".

    Time frame: Immediately following the 1-minute Mini Fluid Challenge.

07

Study locations

1 of 1 sites recruiting
08

References and documents

Individual participant data

Plan to share: Undecided — All data necessary to support the study protocol, including de-identified individual participant data (IPD) related to study protocol, and primary and secondary outcome measures, will be made available upon reasonable request from qualified researchers for academic purposes, in accordance with institutional and ethical guidelines.

No publications or documents are linked to this record.

09

Timeline

1 registry update since Sep 25, 2026
ElapsedEstimatedEstimated, not yet reachedSimilar studies: half by the dot; the band is the middle halfHalf of similar studies reached it by the dot; the band is the middle half, from a quarter to three quarters

Started Jan 2026 (actual). Primary completion is estimated for Jan 2027, 12 months after the start.

Of 120 non-industry observational studies under Shock, half reached primary completion within 26 months of starting (the median), counting those still running; a quarter within 12 and three quarters within 52. This study's planned 12 months is below that.

Counting every sponsor, half of 127 studies reached it within 26 months; a quarter within 12 and three quarters within 52.

How these figures are worked out, and which studies are left out of them.

Registered
Dec 13, 2025
First posted
Dec 26, 2025
StartActual
Jan 1, 2026
Primary completionEst.
Jan 1, 2027
CompletionEst.
Jul 1, 2027
Last update
Nov 4, 2026
What these dates mean
Start.
When the first participant enrolled; while estimated, when the study expects to open to recruitment.
Primary completion.
When the last participant was examined or treated to collect data for the study's main question, its primary outcome. A study that stopped early gives the date its data collection stopped.
Completion.
When the last participant's last visit took place, for every outcome, secondary ones and side effects included: the end of the study. Often later than primary completion, sometimes the same day.
Actual and Est.
Actual means the registry says the date has happened. Est. (estimated) is a date the sponsor plans or expects. It can still move, and the sponsor is expected to change it to actual once it has passed.
Status
Not yet recruiting→Recruiting
changed Nov 4, 2026
Sites
Izmir Katip Celebi University Atatürk Training and Research Hospital is now Recruiting
Nov 4, 2026
Show all 1 update
  1. Nov 4, 2026
    Not yet recruiting→Recruiting
    Izmir Katip Celebi University Atatürk Training and Research Hospital is now Recruiting
    + 2 other changes: verification date and date precision

From the registry record's own update history. This site started tracking changes on Sep 25, 2026; for anything earlier, see the record history on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗

10

Registry details

Key details

Study ID
NCT07304648
Responsible party
Ahmet Salih Tüzen, MD (Medical Doctor, Izmir Katip Celebi University) — Principal investigator
First posted
Dec 26, 2025
Start date
Jan 1, 2026
Primary completion
Jan 1, 2027 (estimated)
Completion
Jul 1, 2027 (estimated)
Last update
Nov 4, 2026

Study contacts

Murat Aksun, M.D.
Contact
murataksun@yahoo.com
+90 552 363 16 14
Ahmet Salih Tüzen, M.D.
Contact
astuzen@icloud.com
+90 535 391 55 77
Murat Aksun, M.D.
principal investigator · Izmir Katip Celebi University Atatürk Training and Research Hospital

Oversight

Data monitoring committee
No
FDA-regulated drug
No
FDA-regulated device
No
View the source record on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗

Interested in this study?

Eligibility is decided by the study team. Share this record with your doctor or contact the team directly.

Contact study team

Follow this study

Get an email when the registry record changes — status, dates, results — or when someone posts here.

Sign in to follow

Discussion

Questions and observations about this study, from anyone following it. Not medical advice, and not a channel to the study team — their contact details are on the registry record.

Sign in to join the discussion. Reading takes no account; posting does. You choose a display name, and a pseudonym is the default.

Nothing here yet. If you are running this trial, taking part in it, or weighing whether to, this is the place to say so.

Start the discussion