ClinicalTrials.gg
RecruitingNCT07191730ML-CardioToxUpdated Mar 19, 2026

ML Score Prediction of Cardiotoxicity in Cancer Patients Receiving Anthracycline Chemotherapy or HER2-Targeted Therapies

An observational study in Cardiotoxicity, Heart Failure and Neoplasms, sponsored by University Hospital, Caen. Recruiting at 1 site in France. Open to participants aged 18 Years and older. Per ClinicalTrials.gov, last updated 2026-03-19.

Sponsored by University Hospital, Caen · Observational

From the registry’s dates

  • Started Oct 2025; still recruiting 1 year later.
Study type
Observational
Model
Cohort
Time perspective
Prospective
Enrollment
600
Ages
18 Years and older
Sex
All
01

Study summary

Cancer treatments have improved substantially over the past decades, but some effective therapies such as anthracyclines and HER2-targeted agents are associated with severe cardiovascular adverse effects, including heart failure. Existing cardiovascular risk prediction scores have limited evidence in this setting.

The ML-CardioTox study is a prospective, multicenter, observational cohort conducted in 15 centers in France. The primary objective is to develop a one-year prediction score for cancer therapy-related cardiotoxicity using machine learning methods. A dedicated software platform will be used to standardize data collection and support integration of artificial intelligence tools.

A total of 600 patients treated with anthracyclines or HER2-targeted therapies in cardio-oncology clinics will be enrolled over a one-year inclusion period starting in December 2024, with a 12-month follow-up. The primary endpoint is the occurrence of cardiotoxicity as defined by the 2022 European Society of Cardiology guidelines (hospitalization for heart failure, initiation or escalation of diuretic therapy, decline in cardiac function on imaging, or increase in cardiac biomarkers such as troponin or natriuretic peptides).

Secondary objectives include comparison of the predictive performance of the machine learning-derived score with the established HFA-ICOS risk score. Patients will be managed according to routine clinical practice.

This study aims to improve prognostic stratification tools for patients receiving anthracyclines or HER2-targeted therapies, with the goal of better identifying those at high risk of developing cardiotoxicity during follow-up.

02

Conditions studied

  • Cardiotoxicity
  • Heart Failure
  • Neoplasms
  • Breast Neoplasms

Keywords

  • Cancer Therapy-Related Cardiac Dysfunction
  • Anthracyclines
  • HER2-targeted Therapy
  • Cardio-Oncology
  • Machine Learning
03

In context

Cardiotoxicity

262 studies on the registry are indexed under Cardiotoxicity; 75 are open to participants now.

This study's planned enrollment of 600 is above the median of 111 across 124 observational studies indexed under Cardiotoxicity.

Browse Cardiotoxicity studies →

Lead sponsor

University Hospital, Caen is the lead sponsor of 512 studies on the registry; 82 are open to participants now.

Counted across the registry records on this site, refreshed daily.

04

Who can participate

Ages eligible
18 Years and older
Sexes eligible
All
Accepts healthy volunteers
No
Sampling method
Non-probability sample

Study population

Patients with cancer scheduled to receive anthracyclines and/or HER2-targeted therapy, referred to cardio-oncology clinics in 15 participating French centers for a baseline pre-treatment evaluation and planned follow-up. Consecutive eligible patients will be enrolled over a 12-month inclusion period, with a 12-month follow-up.

Go through the criteria one by one — yes, no or not sure — and take the list to your doctor or the study team. Kept in this browser only.

Inclusion criteria

  • Age ≥ 18 years
  • Planned follow-up in cardio-oncology clinic as part of a baseline pre-treatment evaluation before a sequence of anthracycline and/or -targeted therapy, according to the 2022 ESC recommendations
  • Inclusion regardless of prior exposure to potentially cardiotoxic anticancer therapies or thoracic radiotherapy

Exclusion criteria

Exclusion Criteria:

  • Patients not covered by the French national health insurance system (Sécurité Sociale)
  • Patients for whom 12-month follow-up is planned outside the center performing the baseline pre-treatment evaluation
Terms in these criteria, in plain language(1)

Underlined terms in the criteria open these too. Explained by clinicaltrials.gg, not part of the registry record. The study team decides who can take part.

HER2

HER2 is a protein, made from the ERBB2 gene, that drives the growth of some cancers. A study may look for a level of the protein, extra copies of the gene, or a particular change in it.

In breast cancer, protein tests are read as HER2-positive, HER2-low or HER2-negative; other cancers use their own rules. Check which test result the study requires.

05

Study design

Observational model
Cohort
Time perspective
Prospective
Enrollment
600 participants (estimated)
Target follow-up
12 Months
Patient registry
Yes
06

What researchers measure

Primary outcomes

  1. Incidence of cardiotoxicity at 12 months

    Cardiotoxicity defined as a composite outcome, according to the 2022 ESC guidelines: hospitalization for heart failure OR initiation or escalation of diuretic therapy for signs or symptoms of heart failure OR decrease in left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) by \>10 percentage points from baseline or to a value \<40% OR relative decrease in global longitudinal strain (GLS) ≥15% from baseline OR new increase in cardiac biomarkers (troponin or NT-proBNP/BNP). Events will be adjudicated by an independent committee.

    Time frame: 12 months after initiation of anthracycline or HER2-targeted therapy.

Secondary outcomes

  1. Predictive performance of machine learning-derived cardiotoxicity risk score

    Performance assessed by AUC-ROC, AUC-PR, balanced accuracy, F1 score, PPV, NPV, McNemar's test, and Brier score. Unit of Measure: AUC values, accuracy (%), predictive values (%).

    Time frame: 12 months after initiation of anthracycline or HER2-targeted therapy.

  2. Comparison of predictive performance with HFA-ICOS risk score and traditional Cox model

    Direct comparison of ML-derived risk score vs. HFA-ICOS and Cox model. Unit of Measure: Difference in AUC values (%), statistical comparison (DeLong test).

    Time frame: 12 months after initiation of anthracycline or HER2-targeted therapy.

  3. Correlation between baseline prognostic factors and cardiotoxicity at 12 months

    Evaluation of demographic, clinical, biological (including biomarkers), and echocardiographic factors for correlation with cardiotoxicity occurrence. Unit of Measure: Odds ratios (OR) or hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals.

    Time frame: 12 months after initiation of anthracycline or HER2-targeted therapy.

07

Study locations

1 of 1 sites recruiting
08

Timeline

Tracking since Sep 25, 2026
ElapsedEstimatedEstimated, not yet reachedSimilar studies: half by the dot; the band is the middle halfHalf of similar studies reached it by the dot; the band is the middle half, from a quarter to three quarters

Started Oct 2025 (actual). Primary completion is estimated for Mar 2028, 29 months after the start.

Of 69 non-industry observational studies under Cardiotoxicity, half reached primary completion within 69 months of starting (the median), counting those still running; a quarter within 33 and three quarters within 122. This study's planned 29 months is below that.

Counting every sponsor, half of 71 studies reached it within 69 months; a quarter within 33 and three quarters within 122.

How these figures are worked out, and which studies are left out of them.

Registered
Aug 25, 2025
First posted
Sep 25, 2025
StartActual
Oct 29, 2025
Primary completionEst.
Mar 2028
CompletionEst.
Nov 2028
Last update
Mar 19, 2026
What these dates mean
Start.
When the first participant enrolled; while estimated, when the study expects to open to recruitment.
Primary completion.
When the last participant was examined or treated to collect data for the study's main question, its primary outcome. A study that stopped early gives the date its data collection stopped.
Completion.
When the last participant's last visit took place, for every outcome, secondary ones and side effects included: the end of the study. Often later than primary completion, sometimes the same day.
Actual and Est.
Actual means the registry says the date has happened. Est. (estimated) is a date the sponsor plans or expects. It can still move, and the sponsor is expected to change it to actual once it has passed.
No changes since tracking began. The registry record was last updated on Mar 19, 2026, before this site started recording changes on Sep 25, 2026. Its history is on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗
09

Registry details

Key details

Study ID
NCT07191730
Responsible party
Sponsor
First posted
Sep 25, 2025
Start date
Oct 29, 2025
Primary completion
Mar 2028 (estimated)
Completion
Nov 2028 (estimated)
Last update
Mar 19, 2026

Study contacts

Damien Legallois, MD, PhD
Contact
damien.legallois@unicaen.fr
33231064418

Oversight

FDA-regulated drug
No
FDA-regulated device
No
View the source record on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗

Interested in this study?

Eligibility is decided by the study team. Share this record with your doctor or contact the team directly.

Contact study team

Follow this study

Get an email when the registry record changes — status, dates, results — or when someone posts here.

Sign in to follow

Discussion

Questions and observations about this study, from anyone following it. Not medical advice, and not a channel to the study team — their contact details are on the registry record.

Sign in to join the discussion. Reading takes no account; posting does. You choose a display name, and a pseudonym is the default.

Nothing here yet. If you are running this trial, taking part in it, or weighing whether to, this is the place to say so.

Start the discussion