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CompletedNCT03406624Updated Apr 28, 2026

Epigenetic and Molecular Biomarkers in Chronic Low Back Pain and Modic Changes

An observational study in Low Back Pain, sponsored by Oslo University Hospital. Completed at 4 sites in Norway. Open to participants aged 18 Years and older. Per ClinicalTrials.gov, last updated 2026-04-28.

Sponsored by Oslo University Hospital · Observational

Study type
Observational
Model
Cohort
Time perspective
Prospective
Enrollment
200
Ages
18 Years and older
Sex
All
01

Study summary

In the present study the investigators aim to examine the presence of bacteria in the disc and Modic Changes (MCs) (bone). A prospective study with 1-year follow-up of two patient populations undergoing elective spinal surgery (spinal fusion or disc herniation surgery) will be conducted. Patients previously operated on at index level will also be included, and evaluated as sub-groups.

The following tissues are collected: dermis, sub-fascial tissue, nucleus pulposus, annulus fibrosus, and endplates. Endplate and annular biopsies are only performed in patients undergoing fusion surgery. In addition, air samples from the operating theatre during surgery are collected as negative controls.

All tissue samples undergoing culturing should be processed within 4 hours of sampling. The time for sampling and culture processing is noted for each sample. Details are available in a published Method article.

For each tissue sample, bacterial growth is recorded and the bacteria are identified at species level. Initially, the microbiologist grades the plates as "no growth", "possible contamination", and "significant growth".

"Possible contamination" means that the bacteria may be derived from the environment and could have been introduced at any step from the sample is taken to the analyses in the laboratory. Therefore, we have included negative controls in each step.

The investigators will perform direct 16S rDNA amplicon nanopore sequencing on all frozen tissue samples and air samples. Nanopore sequence reads are searched against a 16S rDNA database and the read counts per bacterium are evaluated for each sequencing batch containing 96 samples with regard to the included negative and positive controls.

Other broad metagenomic methods may be considered, e.g. Illumina sequencing.

Since Cutibacterium acnes is considered the main pathogen in this setting, the investigators will also use a specific PCR on all samples. To validate any positive findings, negative DNA extraction control and negative PCR control will be included in each run. Since C. acnes DNA is known to be highly prevalent within the air and environment generally, the negative controls may give a late positive signal due to environmental contamination. To reach a conclusion on either positive or negative finding for the C. acnes PCR, we will use a cutoff of 37 cycle threshold (Ct) values which is the lowest Ct value for any negative controls.

In addition, the investigators will use whole genome sequencing on C. acnes isolates for phylogenetic analyses to compare isolates found in different samples from the same patient.

In cases of a culture-negative but 16S rDNA nanopore-positive biopsy, the sample is classified as "no growth" when we find the same bacterial species in the air control sample as in the biopsy.

After the study was designed and the method article was prepared, nanopore sequencing technology became available and was incorporated into the present analysis. Although not part of the original protocol, 16S rDNA nanopore sequencing was applied to all samples to complement the diagnostic approach.

The results derived from 16S rDNA nanopore sequencing will be included as part of prespecified sensitivity analyses to evaluate the robustness of the main finding. These analyses allow assessment of whether the inclusion of sequencing-based detection influences the overall estimates and conclusions, while maintaining the original study design.

Based on cultivation alone, samples will be graded as "significant growth", "possible contamination" or "no growth". Before unblinding, in preparation for the sensitivity analyses, all samples of nucleus and annulus will be classified into a final categorization of "significant growth", "possible significant growth", "nanopore positive" or "no growth" based on cultivation and PCR (see Table 1 under Study Documents "Final categorization of bacterial growth and PCR-based methods for each tissue sample").

The microbiologists, pathologist, statistician and clinicians are blinded until end of study, April 22th 2026.

Blood-samples are collected to characterize gene expression patterns and related markers.

Read the detailed description

Planned analyses

The investigators will perform the following analyses, with terms based on final categorization above:

Primary analyses:

I. Dependent variable (outcome): positive = significant growth, negative = no growth or possible significant growth. Main explanatory variable (group): MC1 vs. control II. Dependent variable (outcome): positive = significant growth, negative = no growth or possible significant growth. Main explanatory variable (group): MC2 vs. control

For each of the primary analyses (I and II), we will perform the following sensitivity analyses:

  1. st sensitivty analysis: Dependent variable (outcome): positive = significant growth or possible significant growth, negative = no growth and 16S rDNA nanopore sequencing positive.
  2. nd sensitivity analysis: Dependent variable (outcome): positive = significant growth, possible significant growth or 16S rDNA nanopore sequencing positive, negative = no growth

Exploratory analyses:

The investigators will perform exploratory analyses using the following as main explanatory variables (using the same dependent variable as the primary analysis):

I - MC1 and MC2 in previously operated vs. control II - Large MCs vs. control (significant growth from disc, yes/no). Large MCs are defined as MCs with volume ≥ 25 % of vertebral body volume or height > 50 % of vertebral body height.

III - MC1 and MC2 vs. control in fusion group (significant growth from vertebral body biopsy, yes/no). Vertebral body biopsies are not performed in the disc herniation group.

For each of these three exploratory analyses, the investigators will consider to perform similar sensitivity analyses as for the primary analyses, depending on the results of those.

Statistics and power:

The main aim of this study is to investigate if the proportions of patients with significant bacterial growth from perioperative disc biopsies differ between cases (MC1 patients or MC2 patients) vs controls without MCs. The null hypothesis is that there is no difference between cases and controls. The alternative hypothesis is that there is a difference.

The sample size calculation is based on previously published data and a pre-specified relevant difference in proportions of bacterial growth among cases vs. controls

The investigators calculated the sample size using a two-sided Pearson's chi-squared test. For the primary analysis, with two primary endpoints, the investigators aim to achieve 80 % power to detect a difference in bacterial growth in 25 % of cases with MC1 or MC2 vs. 5% of controls. Due to multiple testing the investigators use Bonferroni correction (alfa 0.025). The investigators therefore plan to analyze at least 60 cases with MC1, 60 cases with MC2 and 60 controls.

The MC2 sample is likely to become larger than n = 60, since the investigators recruit MC1 and MC2 patients consecutively and MC2 is more common than MC1.

The primary endpoint will be analyzed with a logistic regression model with bacterial growth (positive/negative) as the outcome and group (MC1 or MC2 vs. control) as the main explanatory variable.

After fitting the model, the model-predicted marginal probabilities of positive bacterial findings will be estimated for both groups. The effect measure will be the difference between the two probabilities, and will be reported with a 95 % confidence interval and a P-value for the null hypothesis of a zero difference. The standard error of the difference will be estimated using the delta method.

The exploratory and sensitivity analyses will be carried out with the same model, after replacing outcome and main explanatory variable as appropriate. The subgroup analysis of previously operated will be carried out by adding previously operated as an interaction term between groups, and previously operated as covariates in the logistic model. A significant coefficient for the interaction term will indicate a subgroup effect.

02

Conditions studied

  • Low Back Pain

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Keywords

  • Modic changes
  • biomarkers
  • low back pain
03

Who can participate

Ages eligible
18 Years and older
Sexes eligible
All
Accepts healthy volunteers
No
Sampling method
Non-probability sample

Study population

Patients will be recruited from orthopaedic outpatient clinics at four university hospitals. They will be asked for participation after being scheduled for surgery with lumbar spinal fusion with procedures involving moderate to extensive removal of the disc (i.e. transforaminal lumbar interbody fusion (TLIF), posterior Lumbar Interbody Fusion (PLIF)) or or disc herniation surgery.

Inclusion criteria

  • Patients scheduled for surgery with lumbar spinal fusion with procedures involving moderate to extensive removal of the disc or disc herniation surgery (for cases: MC seen on MRI at the actual level for surgery, for controls: no MC seen on MRI at the actual level for surgery)
  • LBP in the area below the 12th rib and above the gluteal folds
  • Age > 18 years
  • Written informed consent

Exclusion criteria

Exclusion Criteria:

  • Antibiotic treatment within the preceding one month before surgery
  • Use of glucocorticoids the preceding month before surgery
  • Small dots (i.e. \<= 5 mm or height \<10% of vertebra) are not included for any cases or control group
  • Unwilling to participate
  • Contraindications to MRI
04

Study design

Observational model
Cohort
Time perspective
Prospective
Enrollment
200 participants (actual)
Patient registry
No

Groups and cohorts

  • Spinal fusion with modic changes

    Patients scheduled for surgery with lumbar spinal fusion with procedures involving moderate to extensive removal of the disc, and with modic changes seen on MRI at the actual level for surgery

    Procedure: Biopsy

  • Spinal fusion without modic changes

    Patients scheduled for surgery with lumbar spinal fusion with procedures involving moderate to extensive removal of the disc, but with no modic changes seen on MRI at the actual level for surgery

    Procedure: Biopsy

  • Disc herniation surgery with modic changes

    Patients scheduled for disc herniation surgery, and with modic changes seen on MRI at the actual level for surgery

    Procedure: Biopsy

  • Disc herniation surgery without modic changes

    Patients scheduled for disc herniation surgery, but with no modic changes seen on MRI at the actual level for surgery

    Procedure: Biopsy

Interventions

  • ProcedureBiopsy

    Biopsies will be taken from disc and / or endplates during elective lumbar fusion surgery or disc herniation surgery (endplate biopsy is omitted in disc herniation surgery)

05

What researchers measure

Primary outcomes

  1. Microbiological analysis (aerob, anaerob cultivation)

    Time frame: During surgery

  2. Histopathology and PCR

    Time frame: During surgery

  3. Gene expression profiling

    Time frame: During surgery

Secondary outcomes

  1. Oswestry disability index

    The Oswestry Disability Index (ODI) provides the level of self-reported impairment of activity of daily living due to low back pain. There are 10 items in the ODI, each rated on a Likert scale from 0-5. The total range of possible scores is from 0 -50, which is converted to a percentage ranging from 0-100. The percentage of self-reported disability ranges from 0='no impairment' to 100='complete impairment'.

    Time frame: Pre surgery, 3 and 12 months postoperatively

  2. Roland and Morris Disability Questionnaire

    The Roland Morris Questionnaire (RMQ) provides the level of self-reported impairment of activity of daily living due to low back pain. There are 24 items in the RMQ, each answered yes/no on a dichotomous questionnaire. All items answered with "yes" are summarized into a scale ranging from 0='no impairment' to 24='complete impairment'.

    Time frame: Pre surgery, 3 and 12 months postoperatively

  3. Low back pain

    Self-reported level of low back pain, measured on a 0 to 10 Likert scale anchored by 0 indicating "no pain" and 10 indicating "unbearable pain".

    Time frame: Pre surgery, 3 and 12 months postoperatively

  4. Leg pain

    Self-reported level of leg pain, measured on a 0 to 10 Likert scale anchored by 0 indicating "no pain" and 10 indicating "unbearable pain".

    Time frame: Pre surgery, 3 and 12 months postoperatively

  5. Health-related quality of life (EQ-5D)

    EQ-5D, measuring patients health-related quality of life, have 5 dimensions: "Mobility", "Human Autonomy," "Current Daily Activities", "Pain / Discomfort", "Anxiety / Depression" and all dimensions are described by 5 problem levels corresponding to patient response choices. A quality of life score is obtained according to the answers to the questionnaires.

    Time frame: Pre surgery, 3 and 12 months postoperatively

  6. Magnetic Resonance Imaging

    Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI): Sagittal T1- and T2 weighted images, axial T2 weighted images, sagittal short tau inversion recovery (STIR) images, sagittal fat-water separation images, sagittal diffusion weighted images (DWI), and sagittal T1 weighted DCE images (only if the patient can receive gadolinium injection). The same MRI protocol and the same type of 1.5 Tesla MRI scanners will be used at all study sites.

    Time frame: Pre surgery and 12 months postoperatively (12 months postoperatively only for patients undergoing lumbar disc herniation surgery

  7. Blood samples

    Time frame: Pre surgery and 12 months postoperatively

06

Study locations

4 sites
  • Haukeland University Hospital
    Bergen, Bergen 5021, Norway
  • Akershus University Hospital
    Lørenskog, Lørenskog 1478, Norway
  • Oslo University Hospital Ullevål
    Oslo, Oslo 4950, Norway
  • Stavanger Universitetssjukehus
    Stavanger, Norway
07

References and documents

Publications

  • Rolfsen MP, Gammelsrud KW, Espeland A, Braten LC, Mjones SB, Austevoll I, Dolatowski FC, Arrestad MB, Toppe MK, Orlien IE, Holberg-Petersen M, Fagerland M, Zwart JA, Storheim K, Hellum C. Bacterial growth in patients with low back pain and Modic changes: protocol of a multicentre, case-control biopsy study. BMJ Open. 2024 May 6;14(5):e082244. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2023-082244. PubMed 38719329 ↗

Study documents

  • Study protocol · Apr 18, 2026
  • Study protocol · Apr 22, 2026

Documents are hosted by the registry — open the source record to download them.

Individual participant data

Plan to share: No

08

Registry details

Key details

Study ID
NCT03406624
Lead sponsor
Oslo University Hospital
Collaborators
Haukeland University Hospital, University Hospital, Akershus, Helse Stavanger HF
Responsible party
Kjersti Storheim (Head of FORMI, Oslo University Hospital) — Principal investigator
First posted
Jan 23, 2018
Start date
Jan 29, 2018
Primary completion
Apr 3, 2026
Completion
Apr 3, 2026
Last update
Apr 28, 2026

Study contacts

Smeland, Professor
study director · Oslo University Hospital

Oversight

Data monitoring committee
No
FDA-regulated drug
No
FDA-regulated device
No
View the source record on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗

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