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Not yet recruitingNCT07896616HFNC-NIVUpdated Oct 27, 2026

Predicting the Need for Invasive Mechanical Ventilation Using Different Risk Scores

An observational study in High Flow Oxygen Therapy and Non Invasive Ventilation (NIV), sponsored by Ankara Ataturk Sanatorium Training and Research Hospital. Not yet recruiting. Open to participants aged 18 Years and older. Per ClinicalTrials.gov, last updated 2026-10-27.

Sponsored by Ankara Ataturk Sanatorium Training and Research Hospital · Observational

Updated Oct 27, 2026Newly registeredGo to Updates ↓
Study type
Observational
Model
Cohort
Time perspective
Prospective
Enrollment
84
Ages
18 Years and older
Sex
All
01

Study summary

This prospective, single-center observational study aims to evaluate the predictive performance of the ROX index, modified ROX index, and HACOR score for the need for invasive mechanical ventilation in adult intensive care unit patients with acute respiratory failure.

Patients receiving high-flow nasal oxygen (HFNO), noninvasive ventilation (NIV), or sequential HFNO and NIV will be included. Patients will be followed for 24 hours, and clinical and laboratory parameters will be recorded at baseline and at 2, 6, 12, and 24 hours.

The predictive performance of these indices and their changes over time will be evaluated according to respiratory support modality and type of respiratory failure.

No additional diagnostic or therapeutic interventions will be performed as part of the study. All treatment decisions will be made by the attending clinicians according to routine clinical practice.

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Conditions studied

  • High Flow Oxygen Therapy
  • Non Invasive Ventilation (NIV)

Keywords

  • rox index
  • invasive mechanical ventilation
  • HACOR index
  • modified rox index
03

In context

Lead sponsor

Ankara Ataturk Sanatorium Training and Research Hospital is the lead sponsor of 38 studies on the registry; 15 are open to participants now.

Counted across the registry records on this site, refreshed daily.

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Who can participate

Ages eligible
18 Years and older
Sexes eligible
All
Accepts healthy volunteers
No
Sampling method
Non-probability sample

Study population

The study population will consist of adult patients aged 18 years or older admitted to the tertiary-level Anesthesiology and Reanimation Intensive Care Units of Ankara Ataturk Sanatorium Training and Research Hospital with acute respiratory failure (Type I, Type II, or combined Type I-II) who receive high-flow nasal oxygen (HFNO), noninvasive ventilation (NIV), or sequential HFNO-NIV respiratory support. Eligible patients will be enrolled prospectively after obtaining informed consent from the patient or their legally authorized representative. Patients will be followed for 24 hours to evaluate the ability of ROX, modified ROX, and HACOR scores to predict the need for invasive mechanical ventilation. All respiratory support decisions will be made by the treating clinicians as part of routine clinical care, without any study-related intervention.

Go through the criteria one by one — yes, no or not sure — and take the list to your doctor or the study team. Kept in this browser only.

Inclusion criteria

  • Age 18 years or older.
  • Diagnosis of acute respiratory failure.
  • Type I, type II, or combined type I-II respiratory failure.
  • Initiation of noninvasive respiratory support after admission to the intensive care unit.
  • Written obtained from the patient or legally authorized representative.

Exclusion criteria

Exclusion Criteria:

  • Patients admitted to the intensive care unit already intubated.
  • Patients for whom immediate invasive mechanical ventilation is decided at the initial assessment.
  • Patients undergoing cardiopulmonary resuscitation during follow-up.
  • Patients with missing essential clinical data.
  • Patients with type III or type IV respiratory failure.
  • Patients with active who are currently receiving treatment.
Terms in these criteria, in plain language(2)

Underlined terms in the criteria open these too. Explained by clinicaltrials.gg, not part of the registry record. The study team decides who can take part.

Informed consent

Before you join, the study team explains what taking part involves — its purpose, what happens, the risks and possible benefits — and answers your questions, so you can decide freely. Consent is usually recorded on a form (the informed consent form, ICF) signed by you or, where the law allows, by someone legally authorised to decide for you.

You can keep asking questions during the study, you are told of new information that matters, and you can choose to leave at any time.

Cancer (malignancy)

Malignancy means cancer. Criteria about another or earlier malignancy ask whether you have had a different cancer, usually within a set number of years.

Some are commonly allowed, such as treated skin cancers other than melanoma and early cancers removed completely — check the exceptions this study lists.

05

Study design

Observational model
Cohort
Time perspective
Prospective
Enrollment
84 participants (estimated)
Target follow-up
8 Months
Patient registry
Yes

Groups and cohorts

  • HFNO Group

    Patients with acute respiratory failure receiving high-flow nasal oxygen as their respiratory support modality.

  • NIV Group

    Patients with acute respiratory failure receiving noninvasive ventilation as their respiratory support modality.

  • Sequential HFNO-NIV Group

    Patients receiving sequential or alternating high-flow nasal oxygen and noninvasive ventilation during the first 24 hours of intensive care follow-up.

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What researchers measure

Primary outcomes

  1. Predictive Performance of the ROX Index for Invasive Mechanical Ventilation Requirement

    The predictive performance of the baseline ROX index for the need for invasive mechanical ventilation within 24 hours of ICU admission will be assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. The outcome will be reported as the area under the ROC curve (AUC), ranging from 0 to 1.

    Time frame: Within 24 hours of ICU admission.

  2. Predictive Performance of the Modified ROX Index for Invasive Mechanical Ventilation Requirement

    The predictive performance of the baseline modified ROX index, calculated as (PaO2/FiO2)/respiratory rate, for the need for invasive mechanical ventilation within 24 hours of ICU admission will be assessed using ROC curve analysis. The outcome will be reported as the AUC, ranging from 0 to 1.

    Time frame: Within 24 hours of ICU admission.

  3. Predictive Performance of the HACOR Score for Invasive Mechanical Ventilation Requirement

    The predictive performance of the baseline HACOR score, incorporating heart rate, acidosis, consciousness, oxygenation, and respiratory rate, for the need for invasive mechanical ventilation within 24 hours of ICU admission will be assessed using ROC curve analysis. The outcome will be reported as the AUC, ranging from 0 to 1.

    Time frame: Within 24 hours of ICU admission.

Secondary outcomes

  1. Changes in ROX Score Over Time

    Changes in ROX score from baseline to 2, 6, 12, and 24 hours will be evaluated in relation to invasive mechanical ventilation requirement.

    Time frame: Baseline, 2, 6, 12, and 24 hours.

  2. Changes in Modified ROX Score Over Time

    Changes in modified ROX score from baseline to 2, 6, 12, and 24 hours will be evaluated in relation to invasive mechanical ventilation requirement.

    Time frame: Baseline, 2, 6, 12, and 24 hours.

  3. Changes in HACOR Score Over Time

    Changes in HACOR score from baseline to 2, 6, 12, and 24 hours will be evaluated in relation to invasive mechanical ventilation requirement.

    Time frame: Baseline, 2, 6, 12, and 24 hours.

  4. Predictive Performance According to Respiratory Support Modality

    The predictive performance of ROX, modified ROX, and HACOR indices will be compared among patients receiving HFNO, NIV, or sequential HFNO-NIV support.

    Time frame: Within 24 hours after intensive care admission.

  5. Predictive Performance According to Respiratory Failure Type

    The predictive performance of ROX, modified ROX, and HACOR indices will be evaluated in patients with type I, type II, and combined type I-II acute respiratory failure.

    Time frame: Within 24 hours after intensive care admission.

07

Study locations

No study locations are listed for this record.

08

References and documents

Publications

  • Okano H, Yamamoto R, Iwasaki Y, Irimada D, Konno D, Tanaka T, Oishi T, Nawa H, Yano A, Taniguchi H, Otawara M, Matsuoka A, Yamauchi M. External validation of the HACOR score and ROX index for predicting treatment failure in patients with coronavirus disease 2019 pneumonia managed on high-flow nasal cannula therapy: a multicenter retrospective observational study in Japan. J Intensive Care. 2024 Feb 15;12(1):7. doi: 10.1186/s40560-024-00720-8. PubMed 38360681 ↗
  • Muhetaer Y, Zhang SM, Moming A, Liu K, Zhong M. Prediction of high-flow nasal cannula failure in critically ill patients: a narrative review. J Intensive Care. 2026 Mar 3;14(1):27. doi: 10.1186/s40560-026-00871-w. PubMed 41776692 ↗
  • Zhou X, Liu J, Pan J, Xu Z, Xu J. The ROX index as a predictor of high-flow nasal cannula outcome in pneumonia patients with acute hypoxemic respiratory failure: a systematic review and meta-analysis. BMC Pulm Med. 2022 Apr 1;22(1):121. doi: 10.1186/s12890-022-01914-2. PubMed 35365110 ↗

Individual participant data

Plan to share: No

09

Updates

1 registry update since Sep 25, 2026
Registered
First appeared on the registry. No changes since
Oct 27, 2026
Show all 1 update
  1. Oct 27, 2026
    First appeared on the registry

From the registry record's own update history. This site started tracking changes on Sep 25, 2026; for anything earlier, see the record history on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗

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Registry details

Key details

Study ID
NCT07896616
Lead sponsor
Ankara Ataturk Sanatorium Training and Research Hospital
Responsible party
Aslan Mert (Resident physician in anestesiology, Ankara Ataturk Sanatorium Training and Research Hospital) — Principal investigator
First posted
Oct 27, 2026
Start date
Nov 1, 2026 (estimated)
Primary completion
May 1, 2027 (estimated)
Completion
May 1, 2027 (estimated)
Last update
Oct 27, 2026

Study contacts

ASLAN MERT
Contact
aslanmert95@gmail.com
+90-544-276-94-71
GÜLER ERARSLAN DOGANAY
principal investigator · ANKARA ATATURK SANATORYUM EDUCATION AND RESEARCH HOSPİTAL

Oversight

FDA-regulated drug
No
FDA-regulated device
No
View the source record on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗

Not currently enrolling

This study is not yet recruiting, as verified in Oct 2026. You cannot join it, but the record below documents what was studied.

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