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RecruitingNCT07894107Updated Oct 26, 2026

Development and Validation of Risk Prediction Models for Stroke and Cognitive Impairment in Moyamoya Disease and Moyamoya Syndrome

An observational study in Moyamoya Disease and Moyamoya Syndrome, sponsored by Beijing Tiantan Hospital. Recruiting at 13 sites in China. Open to participants aged 12 Years to 70 Years. Per ClinicalTrials.gov, last updated 2026-10-26.

Sponsored by Beijing Tiantan Hospital · Observational

From the registry’s dates

  • Started Aug 2026; still recruiting 2 months later.
Updated Oct 26, 2026Newly registeredGo to Updates ↓
Study type
Observational
Model
Cohort
Time perspective
Prospective
Enrollment
3,000
Ages
12 Years to 70 Years
Sex
All
01

Study summary

This multicenter prospective observational cohort study aims to develop and validate individualized risk prediction models for stroke and cognitive decline in patients with moyamoya disease or moyamoya syndrome by integrating clinical characteristics, laboratory data, multimodal neuroimaging, genetic information, and other available multidimensional data. Approximately 3,000 participants will be enrolled and followed for up to 24 months.

Read the detailed description

This is a multicenter prospective observational cohort study enrolling approximately 3,000 patients with moyamoya disease or moyamoya syndrome.

At baseline, demographic and clinical characteristics, neurological and cognitive assessments, laboratory data, multimodal neuroimaging, and peripheral blood samples will be collected according to the study protocol. Baseline vascular imaging will include at least one analyzable CTA, MRA, or DSA examination. Additional structural MRI and perfusion imaging, including CTP, ASL, or DSC, will be collected when available.

The study does not assign treatment. Participants will receive conservative management or cerebral revascularization according to their clinical condition, current standards of care, and shared decision-making between treating physicians and patients.

Participants will be followed at 3-6 months, 12 months, and 24 months after enrollment. The primary outcome is incident stroke within 24 months. Secondary outcomes include stroke at earlier time points, transient ischemic attack, functional deterioration, mortality, cognitive change assessed by the Montreal Cognitive Assessment, disease progression, and subsequent cerebral revascularization among participants initially managed conservatively.

Prediction models for ischemic stroke, intracerebral hemorrhage, and cognitive decline will be developed and validated using baseline clinical, imaging, laboratory, genetic, and other available multidimensional data. Twelve-month prediction and dynamically updated models will be considered secondary or exploratory analyses.

02

Conditions studied

  • Moyamoya Disease
  • Moyamoya Syndrome

Keywords

  • Stroke
  • Multimodal neuroimaging
  • Artificial intelligence
  • Cognitive impairment
  • Ischemic stroke
  • Intracerebral hemorrhage
  • Risk prediction
  • RNF213
03

In context

Moyamoya Disease

61 studies on the registry are indexed under Moyamoya Disease; 26 are open to participants now.

This study's planned enrollment of 3,000 is above the median of 120 across 29 observational studies indexed under Moyamoya Disease.

Browse Moyamoya Disease studies →

Lead sponsor

Beijing Tiantan Hospital is the lead sponsor of 483 studies on the registry; 289 are open to participants now.

Counted across the registry records on this site, refreshed daily.

04

Who can participate

Ages eligible
12 Years to 70 Years
Sexes eligible
All
Accepts healthy volunteers
No
Sampling method
Non-probability sample

Study population

Patients with moyamoya disease or moyamoya syndrome diagnosed by imaging criteria at participating centers.

Go through the criteria one by one — yes, no or not sure — and take the list to your doctor or the study team. Kept in this browser only.

Inclusion criteria

  1. Age 12 to 70 years.
  2. Diagnosis of moyamoya disease or moyamoya syndrome by DSA, CTA or MRA.
  3. Ability to complete neurological and cognitive assessments.
  4. Ability to complete at least 12 months of clinical follow-up and willingness, in principle, to complete 24 months of follow-up.
  5. At least one analyzable baseline vascular imaging examination in original DICOM format, including CTA, MRA, or DSA.
  6. Written informed consent provided by the participant and/or legally authorized representative.

Exclusion criteria

Exclusion Criteria

  1. Refusal to participate or inability to complete follow-up.
  2. Pregnancy or breastfeeding.
  3. Coexisting cerebrovascular malformation, intracranial tumor, hydrocephalus, or another disorder that may independently affect stroke or cognitive outcomes.
  4. Severe visual impairment, aphasia, impaired consciousness, psychiatric illness, or another disorder that prevents valid cognitive assessment, including Alzheimer's disease, Parkinson's disease, or frontotemporal dementia.
  5. Cardiac conditions that may cause cardioembolic stroke, including atrial fibrillation, patent foramen ovale or other right-to-left shunting cardiac disease, intracardiac mural thrombus, or infective endocarditis; or severe hepatic or renal dysfunction, coagulation disorders, malignancy, or severe cardiopulmonary disease.
  6. Receipt of an investigational drug or device within 30 days before screening, or current participation in another interventional clinical trial that may interfere with this study.
  7. Previous cerebral revascularization surgery.
05

Study design

Observational model
Cohort
Time perspective
Prospective
Enrollment
3,000 participants (estimated)
Patient registry
No
Biospecimen retention
Samples with dna

Groups and cohorts

  • Patients with moyamoya disease or moyamoya syndrome

    Participants with moyamoya disease or moyamoya syndrome will be enrolled in a prospective observational cohort. Treatment is not assigned by the study protocol. Participants may receive conservative management or cerebral revascularization according to their clinical condition and routine clinical practice and will be followed for clinical, cognitive, imaging, and treatment outcomes for up to 24 months.

06

What researchers measure

Primary outcomes

  1. Incidence of stroke within 24 months after enrollment

    Stroke is defined as symptomatic ischemic stroke or intracerebral hemorrhage occurring after enrollment. Suspected stroke events will be identified through scheduled or event-driven follow-up, telephone interviews, and review of hospitalization records and will be confirmed by brain CT or MRI whenever available. The outcome will be reported as the percentage of participants experiencing at least one incident stroke within 24 months after enrollment.

    Time frame: From enrollment through 24 months

Secondary outcomes

  1. Incidence of stroke within 6 months after enrollment

    Stroke is defined as symptomatic ischemic stroke or intracerebral hemorrhage occurring after enrollment and confirmed by clinical records and brain CT or MRI whenever available. The outcome will be reported as the percentage of participants experiencing at least one incident stroke within 6 months after enrollment.

    Time frame: From enrollment through 6 months

  2. Incidence of stroke within 12 months after enrollment

    Stroke is defined as symptomatic ischemic stroke or intracerebral hemorrhage occurring after enrollment and confirmed by clinical records and brain CT or MRI whenever available. The outcome will be reported as the percentage of participants experiencing at least one incident stroke within 12 months after enrollment.

    Time frame: From enrollment through 12 months

  3. Incidence of transient ischemic attack within 24 months

    Transient ischemic attack is defined as an acute focal neurological deficit attributable to cerebral ischemia that completely resolves within 24 hours without evidence of a new cerebral infarction on CT or MRI. The outcome will be reported as the percentage of participants experiencing at least one transient ischemic attack during follow-up.

    Time frame: From enrollment through 24 months

  4. Number of transient ischemic attack episodes within 24 months

    The total number of protocol-defined transient ischemic attack episodes occurring in each participant during follow-up will be recorded. The outcome will be reported as the number of transient ischemic attack episodes per participant.

    Time frame: From enrollment through 24 months

  5. Incidence of disabling stroke within 24 months

    Disabling stroke is defined as an incident stroke associated with a modified Rankin Scale score greater than 1, according to the study protocol. The outcome will be reported as the percentage of participants experiencing a disabling stroke.

    Time frame: From enrollment through 24 months

  6. Participants with an increase of at least 1 point in the modified Rankin Scale score at 6 months

    Neurological disability will be assessed using the modified Rankin Scale, which ranges from 0 to 6, with higher scores indicating greater disability. The outcome will be reported as the percentage of participants whose modified Rankin Scale score increases by at least 1 point from baseline.

    Time frame: Baseline to 6 months

  7. Participants with an increase of at least 1 point in the modified Rankin Scale score at 12 months

    Neurological disability will be assessed using the modified Rankin Scale, which ranges from 0 to 6, with higher scores indicating greater disability. The outcome will be reported as the percentage of participants whose modified Rankin Scale score increases by at least 1 point from baseline.

    Time frame: Baseline to 12 months

  8. Participants with an increase of at least 1 point in the modified Rankin Scale score at 24 months

    Neurological disability will be assessed using the modified Rankin Scale, which ranges from 0 to 6, with higher scores indicating greater disability. The outcome will be reported as the percentage of participants whose modified Rankin Scale score increases by at least 1 point from baseline.

    Time frame: Baseline to 24 months

  9. All-cause mortality within 24 months

    The outcome will be reported as the percentage of participants who die from any cause during follow-up.

    Time frame: From enrollment through 24 months

  10. Vascular mortality within 24 months

    The outcome will be reported as the percentage of participants whose death is adjudicated as being due to a vascular cause during follow-up.

    Time frame: From enrollment through 24 months

  11. Change from baseline in Montreal Cognitive Assessment total score at 12 months

    Cognitive function will be assessed using the Montreal Cognitive Assessment. The total score ranges from 0 to 30, with higher scores indicating better cognitive performance. Change will be calculated as the 12-month total score minus the baseline total score. A negative value indicates a decline in cognitive performance.

    Time frame: Baseline to 12 months

  12. Participants with a decrease of at least 1 point in Montreal Cognitive Assessment total score at 12 months

    Cognitive function will be assessed using the Montreal Cognitive Assessment, which ranges from 0 to 30, with higher scores indicating better cognitive performance. Cognitive decline for this outcome is defined as a decrease of at least 1 point in the total score from baseline. The outcome will be reported as the percentage of participants meeting this criterion.

    Time frame: Baseline to 12 months

  13. Change from baseline in Montreal Cognitive Assessment total score at 24 months

    Cognitive function will be assessed using the Montreal Cognitive Assessment. The total score ranges from 0 to 30, with higher scores indicating better cognitive performance. Change will be calculated as the 24-month total score minus the baseline total score. A negative value indicates a decline in cognitive performance.

    Time frame: Baseline to 24 months

  14. Participants with a decrease of at least 1 point in Montreal Cognitive Assessment total score at 24 months

    Cognitive function will be assessed using the Montreal Cognitive Assessment, which ranges from 0 to 30, with higher scores indicating better cognitive performance. Cognitive decline for this outcome is defined as a decrease of at least 1 point in the total score from baseline. The outcome will be reported as the percentage of participants meeting this criterion.

    Time frame: Baseline to 24 months

  15. Disease progression at 12 months

    Disease progression is defined as the presence of at least one prespecified imaging change compared with baseline, including progression of intracranial arterial stenosis or occlusion, reduction in collateral circulation, or deterioration in cerebral perfusion according to the study protocol. The outcome will be reported as the percentage of participants meeting the criteria for disease progression.

    Time frame: Baseline to 12 months

  16. Disease progression at 24 months

    Disease progression is defined as the presence of at least one prespecified imaging change compared with baseline, including progression of intracranial arterial stenosis or occlusion, reduction in collateral circulation, or deterioration in cerebral perfusion according to the study protocol. The outcome will be reported as the percentage of participants meeting the criteria for disease progression.

    Time frame: Baseline to 24 months

  17. Conversion from initial conservative management to cerebral revascularization within 24 months

    Among participants initially managed conservatively, the outcome is defined as subsequent cerebral revascularization performed during follow-up because surgery is considered clinically necessary. Treatment decisions are made by treating physicians and participants and are not assigned by the study protocol. The outcome will be reported as the percentage of initially conservatively managed participants undergoing cerebral revascularization.

    Time frame: From enrollment through 24 months

07

Study locations

1 of 13 sites recruiting
  • Xuanwu Hospital, Capital Medical University
    Beijing, Beijing Municipality 100053, China
    Not yet recruiting
  • Beijing Tiantan Hospital
    Beijing, Beijing Municipality 100070, China
    Recruiting
  • Peking Union Medical College Hospital
    Beijing, Beijing Municipality 100730, China
    Not yet recruiting
  • The First Medical Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital
    Beijing, Beijing Municipality 100853, China
    Not yet recruiting
  • Henan Provincial People's Hospital
    Zhengzhou, Henan 450003, China
    Not yet recruiting
  • The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University
    Zhengzhou, Henan 451191, China
    Not yet recruiting
  • Zhongnan Hospital of Wuhan University
    Wuhan, Hubei 430071, China
    Not yet recruiting
  • The First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University
    Suzhou, Jiangsu 215006, China
    Not yet recruiting
  • The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University
    Nanchang, Jiangxi 330006, China
    Not yet recruiting
  • Huashan Hospital, Fudan University
    Shanghai, Shanghai Municipality 200040, China
    Not yet recruiting
  • Children's Hospital of Fudan University
    Shanghai, Shanghai Municipality 201102, China
    Not yet recruiting
  • West China Hospital, Sichuan University
    Chengdu, Sichuan 610041, China
    Not yet recruiting
  • The Second Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine
    Hangzhou, Zhejiang 310009, China
    Not yet recruiting
08

References and documents

Individual participant data

Plan to share: No — Individual participant data will not be shared because of participant privacy, ethical requirements, and data security considerations.

No publications or documents are linked to this record.

09

Timeline

1 registry update since Sep 25, 2026
ElapsedEstimatedEstimated, not yet reached

Started Aug 2026 (actual). Primary completion is estimated for Feb 2030, 42 months after the start.

How these figures are worked out, and which studies are left out of them.

Registered
Aug 27, 2026
First posted
Oct 26, 2026
StartActual
Aug 3, 2026
Primary completionEst.
Feb 28, 2030
CompletionEst.
Feb 28, 2030
Last update
Oct 26, 2026
What these dates mean
Start.
When the first participant enrolled; while estimated, when the study expects to open to recruitment.
Primary completion.
When the last participant was examined or treated to collect data for the study's main question, its primary outcome. A study that stopped early gives the date its data collection stopped.
Completion.
When the last participant's last visit took place, for every outcome, secondary ones and side effects included: the end of the study. Often later than primary completion, sometimes the same day.
Actual and Est.
Actual means the registry says the date has happened. Est. (estimated) is a date the sponsor plans or expects. It can still move, and the sponsor is expected to change it to actual once it has passed.
Registered
First appeared on the registry. No changes since
Oct 26, 2026
Show all 1 update
  1. Oct 26, 2026
    First appeared on the registry

From the registry record's own update history. This site started tracking changes on Sep 25, 2026; for anything earlier, see the record history on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗

10

Registry details

Key details

Study ID
NCT07894107
Collaborators
West China Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, The First Medical Center of Chinese PLA General Hospital, Huashan Hospital, Zhongnan Hospital, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Xuanwu Hospital, Beijing, Henan Provincial People's Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, Children's Hospital of Fudan University, Second Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University, School of Medicine
Responsible party
Sponsor
First posted
Oct 26, 2026
Start date
Aug 3, 2026
Primary completion
Feb 28, 2030 (estimated)
Completion
Feb 28, 2030 (estimated)
Last update
Oct 26, 2026

Study contacts

Qian Zhang
Contact
zhangqianttchina@163.com
010-59978316
Xudong Sun
Contact
sunxudong0108@163.com
010-59978316

Oversight

Data monitoring committee
No
FDA-regulated drug
No
FDA-regulated device
No
View the source record on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗

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