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RecruitingNCT07830576Updated Sep 21, 2026

Multimodal Survival Prediction Model for Colorectal Liver Metastases Post-Operation

An observational study in Colorectal Liver Metastases, Colorectal Neoplasms and Liver Neoplasms, sponsored by Anhui Provincial Hospital. Recruiting at 1 site in China. Open to participants aged 18 Years to 80 Years. Per ClinicalTrials.gov, last updated 2026-09-21.

Sponsored by Anhui Provincial Hospital · Observational

From the registry’s dates

  • Started Feb 2017; still recruiting 9 years 9 months later.
Study type
Observational
Model
Cohort
Time perspective
Retrospective
Enrollment
205
Ages
18 Years to 80 Years
Sex
All
01

Where this study stands

Counted across the records on this site · 2026-11-12

Among 1,132 studies in Colorectal Neoplasms with a site in China — 526 open to participants now, 602 under way, 67 of them phase 3. Colorectal Neoplasms · China.

Planned enrollment
157th of 242
205 · median 400
Started
2017
with 30 others
Observational
242 of 1,132
92 open now
Primary completion
2026-09
later than 275 of 601 live
Registered
1,099th of 1,132
by date

Among the 1,132 studies in Colorectal Neoplasms with a site in China, this one is the 157th largest by planned enrollment of the 242 observational ones, is one of 31 that started in 2017, is one of 242 observational ones, reaches primary completion later than 275 of the 601 other live ones, and was the 1,099th registered.

By phase

1,132 studies; the count open now beside each. This study's row is marked.

Phase 2348 · 176 open
Observationalthis study242 · 92 open
No phase149 · 81 open
Phase 1130 · 72 open
Phase 3124 · 46 open
Phase 1/294 · 43 open
Phase 2/323 · 9 open
Phase 421 · 7 open
Other kind1 · 0 open

By the year they started

First in 1993; this study’s year is marked. 31 started in 2017.

Size and results

Median enrollment 80 across the 888 interventional studies, 400 across the 242 observational. Of the 212 that completed or were terminated, 27 (13%) have results posted.

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Watch this landscapeDownload CSVWith an account: a weekly mail of what changed among 1,132 studies in Colorectal Neoplasms with a site in China, or all of them as a file.
02

Study summary

The purpose of this study is to construct and validate a multimodal survival prediction model by integrating 3D radiomics features derived from preoperative magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) with systemic clinical baseline indicators for patients with colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) after surgery. By combining micro-level radiomics signatures reflecting tumor micro-heterogeneity with macro-level clinical parameters (such as liver function and tumor biomarkers), the study aims to accurately evaluate individual post-operative prognostic risks. This quantitative tool will provide reliable decision support for clinicians to customize post-operative follow-up and personalized adjuvant treatment strategies.

Read the detailed description

This study is based on a strictly screened multicenter cohort of patients with colorectal liver metastases who underwent surgical intervention. First, high-throughput quantitative features are automatically extracted from the 3D regions of interest (ROIs) segmented based on pre-operative magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). Advanced machine learning dimensionality reduction algorithms are subsequently applied to eliminate redundant variables and select core imaging signatures that deeply reflect tumor micro-heterogeneity, microvascular proliferation, and invasive status. On this basis, these micro-level radiomics features are fused with macro-level clinical parameters, including liver function indexes and tumor load markers. Multivariable survival analysis models are performed to identify independent prognostic factors, which are further used to develop a visual and intuitive predictive nomogram tool. Finally, time-dependent evaluation metrics and an external validation cohort will be utilized to systematically test the dynamic predictive performance and cross-platform generalizability of the model. This multimodal dual-track data paradigm aims to achieve a non-invasive and efficient "digital optical biopsy" approach for prognostic evaluation.

03

Conditions studied

  • Colorectal Liver Metastases
  • Colorectal Neoplasms
  • Liver Neoplasms

Keywords

  • Colorectal Liver Metastases
  • Radiomics
  • Magnetic Resonance Imaging
  • Nomogram
  • Prognosis
04

Who can participate

Ages eligible
18 Years to 80 Years
Sexes eligible
All
Accepts healthy volunteers
No
Sampling method
Non-probability sample

Study population

The study population consists of adult patients diagnosed with colorectal liver metastases who underwent surgical resection across multiple participating clinical centers, featuring high-quality preoperative liver MRI scans and complete clinical follow-up histories.

Go through the criteria one by one — yes, no or not sure — and take the list to your doctor or the study team. Kept in this browser only.

Inclusion criteria

Age >= 18 years old. Confirmed diagnosis of colorectal cancer with liver (CRLM). Underwent surgical resection for colorectal liver metastases. Preoperative liver magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) was performed with high-quality images available for 3D radiomics feature extraction.

Complete baseline clinical, laboratory, and post-operative follow-up survival data.

Exclusion criteria

Exclusion Criteria:

Patients who received local ablation only (such as radiofrequency ablation) without surgical resection.

Preoperative MRI images with severe artifacts or poor quality that prevent high-throughput radiomics analysis.

Concurrent history of other primary malignant neoplasms. Missing key clinical variables or lost to follow-up immediately after surgical intervention.

Terms in these criteria, in plain language(1)

Underlined terms in the criteria open these too. Explained by clinicaltrials.gg, not part of the registry record. The study team decides who can take part.

Metastases

Cancer that has spread from where it began to other parts of the body. “Metastatic” cancer is cancer that has spread this way.

05

Study design

Observational model
Cohort
Time perspective
Retrospective
Enrollment
205 participants (estimated)
Patient registry
No

Groups and cohorts

  • CRLM Surgical Cohort

    A multicenter cohort consisting of patients with colorectal liver metastases who underwent surgical resection. Preoperative magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) is utilized for 3D modeling and three-dimensional reconstruction of the liver and lesions, from which key spatial/morphological features and systemic clinical parameters are analyzed to predict post-operative recurrence-free survival.

    Procedure: Multimodal Predictive Evaluation

Interventions

  • ProcedureMultimodal Predictive Evaluation

    Observational and non-invasive assessment based on preoperative MRI-derived 3D modeling and three-dimensional lesion reconstruction, combined with clinical parameters, to build a survival prediction model. No experimental intervention is assigned.

06

What researchers measure

Primary outcomes

  1. Recurrence-Free Survival (RFS)

    Recurrence-free survival (RFS) is defined as the time from the date of surgical resection to the date of first tumor recurrence (local, regional, or distant) or death from any cause, whichever occurs first.

    Time frame: Up to 5 years post-surgery

07

Study locations

1 of 1 sites recruiting
08

References and documents

Individual participant data

Plan to share: No — To protect participant privacy and comply with institutional data governance policies, individual participant data from this retrospective study will not be publicly shared.

No publications or documents are linked to this record.

09

Timeline

Tracking since Sep 25, 2026
ElapsedEstimatedEstimated, not yet reached

Started Feb 2017 (actual). Primary completion is estimated for Sep 2026, 115 months after the start.

How these figures are worked out, and which studies are left out of them.

Registered
Jul 31, 2026
First posted
Sep 21, 2026
StartActual
Feb 1, 2017
Primary completionEst.
Sep 2026
CompletionEst.
Sep 2026
Last update
Sep 21, 2026
What these dates mean
Start.
When the first participant enrolled; while estimated, when the study expects to open to recruitment.
Primary completion.
When the last participant was examined or treated to collect data for the study's main question, its primary outcome. A study that stopped early gives the date its data collection stopped.
Completion.
When the last participant's last visit took place, for every outcome, secondary ones and side effects included: the end of the study. Often later than primary completion, sometimes the same day.
Actual and Est.
Actual means the registry says the date has happened. Est. (estimated) is a date the sponsor plans or expects. It can still move, and the sponsor is expected to change it to actual once it has passed.
No changes since tracking began. The registry record was last updated on Sep 21, 2026, before this site started recording changes on Sep 25, 2026. Its history is on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗
10

Registry details

Key details

Study ID
NCT07830576
Collaborators
Anhui Provincial Cancer Hospital
Responsible party
Lianxin Liu,PhD (Professor, Anhui Provincial Hospital) — Principal investigator
First posted
Sep 21, 2026
Start date
Feb 1, 2017
Primary completion
Sep 2026 (estimated)
Completion
Sep 2026 (estimated)
Last update
Sep 21, 2026

Study contacts

can zhang
Contact
15755077865@163.com
+8615755077865
Jizhou Wang, MD, PhD
principal investigator · The First Affiliated Hospital of University of Science and Technology of China

Oversight

Data monitoring committee
No
FDA-regulated drug
No
FDA-regulated device
No
View the source record on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗

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