ClinicalTrials.gg
Not yet recruitingNCT07427966MoodCatcherUpdated Feb 23, 2026

Psychobiological Markers to Improve Diagnosis and to Predict Affective Episodes in Bipolar Disorder

An observational study in Major Depressive Disorder, Mood Disorders and Bipolar Disorder (BD), sponsored by Karolinska Institutet. Not yet recruiting. Open to participants aged 18 Years to 65 Years, including healthy volunteers. Per ClinicalTrials.gov, last updated 2026-02-23.

Sponsored by Karolinska Institutet · Observational

Study type
Observational
Model
Cohort
Time perspective
Prospective
Enrollment
600
Ages
18 Years to 65 Years
Sex
All
01

Study summary

This trial has two studies. In study 1, the investigators will explore the relationships between three psychobiological factors (sleep patterns, motor activity, and decision-making ability). The investigators aim to investigate how these factors interact in BD patients. This understanding will facilitate the distinction of BD patients from patients with recurrent depressive disorder (MDD) and healthy controls.

In study 2, the investigators will continue following patients with bipolar disorder and use the interplay between the three psychobiological factors to develop early markers of full-blown affective episodes.

02

Conditions studied

  • Major Depressive Disorder
  • Mood Disorders
  • Bipolar Disorder (BD)

Keywords

  • Mood disorders
  • Bipolar Disorder
  • Affective disorder assesment
  • Major depressive disorder
  • Cognition
  • Sleep
  • Activity
03

In context

Depressive Disorder, Major

3,041 studies on the registry are indexed under Depressive Disorder, Major; 588 are open to participants now.

This study's planned enrollment of 600 is above the median of 131 across 400 observational studies indexed under Depressive Disorder, Major.

Browse Depressive Disorder, Major studies →

Lead sponsor

Karolinska Institutet is the lead sponsor of 1,148 studies on the registry; 276 are open to participants now.

Counted across the registry records on this site, refreshed daily.

04

Who can participate

Ages eligible
18 Years to 65 Years
Sexes eligible
All
Accepts healthy volunteers
Yes
Sampling method
Non-probability sample

Study population

  • Healthy control comes from the Stockholm region general population.
  • Patients comes from different psychiatric clinics in the Stockholm region.

Go through the criteria one by one — yes, no or not sure — and take the list to your doctor or the study team. Kept in this browser only.

Inclusion criteria

For all participants:

  • Participants must be capable of giving .
  • Participants must be able to understand and follow the instructions in the project.
  • Access to a smartphone and ability to use a smartphone and actimeter.

For patients with bipolar disorder

  • Confirmed diagnosis of bipolar disorder (type 1 or type 2) according to ICD-10 after completion of an assessment at a psychiatric clinic in the Stockholm Region.
  • Patients must be euthymic (stable and free from affective episodes) at the time of inclusion.
  • Consent for the research team to access relevant clinical data from patient records.

For patients with recurrent depression

  • Confirmed diagnosis of recurrent depression according to ICD-10 after completion of an assessment at a psychiatric clinic in Region Stockholm.
  • Patients must have been referred for diagnostic assessment with the question of bipolar disorder.
  • Patients must be euthymic (stable and free from affective episodes) at the time of inclusion.

Exclusion criteria

Exclusion Criteria:

Common to all participants:

  • Active substance abuse or dependence (alcohol or other substances).
  • Neurological disease or cognitive impairment that may affect study results or compliance with study procedures.
  • Inability to use a smartphone and smartwatch as required by the study.
  • Inability to provide valid .
  • Inability to understand and follow the study instructions (good knowledge of Swedish is required).

For adults without psychiatric illness:

  • Current or previous psychiatric diagnosis.

For patients with bipolar disorder and patients with recurrent depression:

  • Patients who are in an active affective episode (mania, hypomania or depression) at the time of recruitment.
Terms in these criteria, in plain language(1)

Underlined terms in the criteria open these too. Explained by clinicaltrials.gg, not part of the registry record. The study team decides who can take part.

Informed consent

Before you join, the study team explains what taking part involves — its purpose, what happens, the risks and possible benefits — and answers your questions, so you can decide freely. Consent is usually recorded on a form (the informed consent form, ICF) signed by you or, where the law allows, by someone legally authorised to decide for you.

You can keep asking questions during the study, you are told of new information that matters, and you can choose to leave at any time.

05

Study design

Observational model
Cohort
Time perspective
Prospective
Enrollment
600 participants (estimated)
Target follow-up
12 Weeks
Patient registry
Yes

Groups and cohorts

  • Bipolar Patients

    150 Individuals with a diagnosis of bipolar disorder will participate in studies 1 and 2

  • New Mood Disorder Patients

    250 patients from three affective clinics in the Stockholm Region (Northwest Psychiatry, North Stockholm Psychiatry, Southwest Psychiatry) who have been referred for assessment for bipolar disorder. Based on clinical experience, approximately 20% (approximately 50 patients) will ultimately be diagnosed with bipolar disorder, while the remaining 200 patients will retain their diagnosis of recurrent depression and be included as a comparison group in study 1 only. The 50 patients newly diagnosed with bipolar disorder will be included in studies 1 and 2.

  • Healthy control

    200 Individuals with no major psychiatric disorder will participate in study 1 only.

06

What researchers measure

Primary outcomes

  1. Sleep onset

    Smartwatch measure of sleep onset.

    Time frame: 12 weeks for study 1; 1 year for study 2

  2. Motor activity

    Smartwatch data on number of steps each half time of the day

    Time frame: 12 weeks for study 1; 1 year for study 2

  3. Learning rate

    We will administer a reward learning task and use computational modeling to extract a learning rate.

    Time frame: 12 weeks for study 1; 1 year for study 2

  4. Reward sensitivity

    We will administer a valence go/no go task and use computational model to extract reward sensitivity.

    Time frame: 12 weeks for study 1; 1 year for study 2

  5. Motivational bias

    We will administer a valence go/no go task and use computational model to extract a motivational bias.

    Time frame: 12 weeks for study 1; 1 year for study 2

  6. Effort discounting

    We will administer an effort discounting task and use computational modeling to extract an effort discounting parameter.

    Time frame: 12 weeks for study 1; 1 year for study 2

  7. Foraging exit threshold

    We will administer foraging task and calculate a foraging exit threshold.

    Time frame: 12 weeks for study 1; 1 year for study 2

  8. Sleep duration

    Smartwatch measure of sleep duration.

    Time frame: 12 weeks for study 1; 1 year for study 2

  9. Sleep quality

    Smartwatch measure of sleep quality.

    Time frame: 12 weeks for study 1; 1 year for study 2

Secondary outcomes

  1. Questionnaire

    Karolinska Sleep Questionnaire (KSQ)

    Time frame: 12 weeks for study 1; 1 year for study 2

  2. Questionnaire

    Reduced Morningness-Eveningness Questionnaire

    Time frame: 12 weeks for study 1; 1 year for study 2

  3. Questionnaire

    Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression Scale Revised (CESD-R)

    Time frame: 12 weeks for study 1; 1 year for study 2

  4. Questionnaires

    Altman Self-Rating Mania Scale (ASRM)

    Time frame: 12 weeks for study 1; 1 year for study 2

  5. Questionnaire

    Munich Chronotype Questionnaire (MCTQ)

    Time frame: 12 weeks for study 1; 1 year for study 2

  6. Questionnaire

    Insomnia Severity

    Time frame: 12 weeks for study 1; 1 year for study 2

  7. Questionnaire

    Patient Health Questionnaire-9 (PHQ-9)

    Time frame: 12 weeks for study 1; 1 year for study 2

07

Study locations

No study locations are listed for this record.

08

References and documents

Individual participant data

Plan to share: Undecided

No publications or documents are linked to this record.

09

Timeline

Tracking since Sep 25, 2026
ElapsedEstimatedEstimated, not yet reachedSimilar studies: half by the dot; the band is the middle halfHalf of similar studies reached it by the dot; the band is the middle half, from a quarter to three quarters

Start is estimated for Apr 2026; primary completion for Dec 2030, 56 months later.

Of 121 non-industry observational studies under Depressive Disorder, Major, half reached primary completion within 46 months of starting (the median), counting those still running; a quarter within 29 and three quarters within 73. This study's planned 56 months is above that.

Counting every sponsor, half of 150 studies reached it within 38 months; a quarter within 21 and three quarters within 67.

How these figures are worked out, and which studies are left out of them.

Registered
Dec 5, 2025
First posted
Feb 23, 2026
StartEst.
Apr 2026
Primary completionEst.
Dec 2030
CompletionEst.
Dec 2030
Last update
Feb 23, 2026
What these dates mean
Start.
When the first participant enrolled; while estimated, when the study expects to open to recruitment.
Primary completion.
When the last participant was examined or treated to collect data for the study's main question, its primary outcome. A study that stopped early gives the date its data collection stopped.
Completion.
When the last participant's last visit took place, for every outcome, secondary ones and side effects included: the end of the study. Often later than primary completion, sometimes the same day.
Actual and Est.
Actual means the registry says the date has happened. Est. (estimated) is a date the sponsor plans or expects. It can still move, and the sponsor is expected to change it to actual once it has passed.
No changes since tracking began. The registry record was last updated on Feb 23, 2026, before this site started recording changes on Sep 25, 2026. Its history is on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗
10

Registry details

Key details

Study ID
NCT07427966
Responsible party
Marc Guitart-Masip (Principal Investigator, Specialist in Psychiatry, Karolinska Institutet) — Principal investigator
First posted
Feb 23, 2026
Start date
Apr 2026 (estimated)
Primary completion
Dec 2030 (estimated)
Completion
Dec 2030 (estimated)
Last update
Feb 23, 2026

Oversight

Data monitoring committee
No
FDA-regulated drug
No
FDA-regulated device
No
View the source record on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗

Not currently enrolling

This study is not yet recruiting, as verified in Oct 2025. You cannot join it, but the record below documents what was studied.

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