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RecruitingNCT07059507GDUpdated Aug 11, 2026

Prevalence and Predictors of Incidental Thyroid Carcinoma in Patients With Graves' Disease Undergoing Thyroidectomy.

An observational study in Thyroid Cancer and Graves Disease, sponsored by Minia University. Recruiting at 1 site in Egypt. Open to participants aged 18 Years to 75 Years. Per ClinicalTrials.gov, last updated 2026-08-11.

Sponsored by Minia University · Observational

From the registry’s dates

  • Started Jul 2025; still recruiting 1 year 3 months later.
Study type
Observational
Model
Cohort
Time perspective
Prospective
Enrollment
280
Ages
18 Years to 75 Years
Sex
All
01

Study summary

The prevalence of incidental thyroid cancer (ITC) in Graves' Disease (GD) patients undergoing thyroidectomy appears higher than historically believed, potentially exceeding 10% in large contemporary series, although significant variability exists. The presence of nodules is a strong predictor, while the roles of age, sex, and BMI require clarification. Most ITCs are papillary thyroid microcarcinoma(PTMCs) with generally favorable prognoses, but concerns about aggressiveness persist.

The purpose of the present study is to accurately evaluate the prevalence of incidental thyroid carcinoma (ITC), including microcarcinomas, in a prospectively enrolled cohort of patients undergoing total thyroidectomy for Graves' disease, utilizing standardized pathological examination protocols and secondary outcomes including predictors and histopathological characteristics.

Read the detailed description

Graves' disease (GD) is the most common cause of hyperthyroidism, affecting approximately 0.5% of the US population.

While definitive treatment often involves radioactive iodine (RAI) or antithyroid drugs (ATDs), thyroidectomy is increasingly utilized, especially for patients with large goiters, compressive symptoms, coexisting suspicious nodules, or contraindications/failure of other therapies.

However, numerous studies over the past few decades have challenged this notion, reporting varying rates of incidental thyroid carcinoma (ITC) discovered in thyroidectomy specimens from GD patients. Understanding the true prevalence and identifying predictors of incidental thyroid cancer (ITC) in this population is crucial for appropriate patient counseling, surgical decision-making, and determining the optimal extent of thyroidectomy.

Identifying factors associated with an increased risk of incidental thyroid cancer in GD patients could help stratify risk and guide management. Several potential predictors in literatures reviews have been investigated, with some conflicting results:

  • Presence of Nodules: The presence of thyroid nodules within the diffuse goiter of GD is a consistently reported risk factor for ITC.
  • Age: Some studies suggest older age is a risk factor. However others, identified younger age as a predictor. This discrepancy requires further investigation.
  • Sex: Male sex has been identified as a risk factor in some studies, although GD is much more prevalent in females.
  • Body Mass Index (BMI): patients with cancer had a higher BMI.
  • Thyroid Autoantibodies and Thyroglobulin: thyroid peroxidase antibodies (TPOAbs), thyroglobulin antibody(TgAbs), and thyroglobulin(Tg) levels but found no statistically significant differences between benign and malignant groups in their cohort undergoing total thyroidectomy for benign diseases. The role of specific GD-related antibodies (e.g., thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) receptor antibodies) as predictors requires further study.

The study will enroll approximately 280 patients , utilizing standardized data collection (demographics, clinical history, laboratory, imaging and operative data) and pathological examination protocols. The primary outcome is the prevalence of incidental thyroid cancer (ITC), secondary outcomes including predictors and histopathological characteristics.

02

Conditions studied

  • Thyroid Cancer
  • Graves Disease

Keywords

  • Incidental thyroid cancer
03

In context

Thyroid Neoplasms

785 studies on the registry are indexed under Thyroid Neoplasms; 204 are open to participants now.

This study's planned enrollment of 280 is above the median of 178 across 241 observational studies indexed under Thyroid Neoplasms.

Browse Thyroid Neoplasms studies →

Lead sponsor

Minia University is the lead sponsor of 370 studies on the registry; 117 are open to participants now.

Of its 6 completed or terminated interventional studies of FDA-regulated products, 0 (0%) have results posted.

Counted across the registry records on this site, refreshed daily.

04

Who can participate

Ages eligible
18 Years to 75 Years
Sexes eligible
All
Accepts healthy volunteers
No
Sampling method
Non-probability sample

Study population

Adult patients diagnosed with Graves' disease undergoing total thyroidectomy at Minia University Hospital, a tertiary care center with specialized endocrine surgery services.

Go through the criteria one by one — yes, no or not sure — and take the list to your doctor or the study team. Kept in this browser only.

Inclusion criteria

  • Age 18 years or older.
  • Confirmed diagnosis of Graves' disease based on clinical features (e.g., diffuse goiter, ophthalmopathy if present) and biochemical evidence (suppressed TSH, elevated free T4 and/or T3) and/or positive TSH receptor antibody (TRAb) test.
  • Indication for total thyroidectomy for Graves' disease, based on established guidelines:

Relapse or persistence of hyperthyroidism after a course of antithyroid drugs (ATDs).

Intolerance or adverse reaction to ATDs. Patient preference for surgery over radioactive iodine (RAI) or long-term ATDs. Presence of a large goiter causing compressive symptoms. Coexisting suspicious thyroid nodule(s) on preoperative evaluation. Moderate to severe active Graves' ophthalmopathy where RAI is relatively .

  • Patient is scheduled for total thyroidectomy (near-total or subtotal thyroidectomy patients will be excluded).
  • Ability and willingness to provide written .
  • Ability to understand study procedures and requirements.

Exclusion criteria

Exclusion Criteria:

  • Age less than 18 years.
  • Previous thyroid surgery.
  • Previous neck irradiation.
  • Preoperative diagnosis of thyroid confirmed by fine-needle aspiration (FNA) cytology (Bethesda V or VI) , the focus is on incidental carcinoma.
  • Inability to provide (e.g., due to cognitive impairment).
  • Patients undergoing thyroidectomy primarily for reasons other than Graves' disease (e.g., primary indication is large non-toxic MNG).
  • Patients undergoing less than total thyroidectomy (e.g., lobectomy, subtotal thyroidectomy).
Terms in these criteria, in plain language(3)

Underlined terms in the criteria open these too. Explained by clinicaltrials.gg, not part of the registry record. The study team decides who can take part.

Contraindication

A reason a treatment, test or procedure should not be given to a particular person, such as an allergy, another illness or a medicine they take.

Informed consent

Before you join, the study team explains what taking part involves — its purpose, what happens, the risks and possible benefits — and answers your questions, so you can decide freely. Consent is usually recorded on a form (the informed consent form, ICF) signed by you or, where the law allows, by someone legally authorised to decide for you.

You can keep asking questions during the study, you are told of new information that matters, and you can choose to leave at any time.

Cancer (malignancy)

Malignancy means cancer. Criteria about another or earlier malignancy ask whether you have had a different cancer, usually within a set number of years.

Some are commonly allowed, such as treated skin cancers other than melanoma and early cancers removed completely — check the exceptions this study lists.

05

Study design

Observational model
Cohort
Time perspective
Prospective
Enrollment
280 participants (estimated)
Target follow-up
1 Month
Patient registry
Yes

Groups and cohorts

  • Graves' Disease Undergoing Thyroidectomy

    Remove of both thyroid lobes and isthmus

    Procedure: Total thyroidectomy

Interventions

  • ProcedureTotal thyroidectomy

    Remove of both thyroid lobes and isthmus

06

What researchers measure

Primary outcomes

  1. Prevalence of Incidental Thyroid Carcinoma (ITC)

    The proportion of patients with histologically confirmed incidental thyroid carcinoma, including microcarcinomas, among those undergoing total thyroidectomy for Graves' disease.

    Time frame: Assessed at the time of final pathology report post-surgery (within 30 days post-operation).Histopathological examination of thyroidectomy specimens using standardized protocols.

Secondary outcomes

  1. Factors Associated with Incidental Thyroid Carcinoma (ITC) Risk.

    Identification of predictors for incidental thyroid carcinoma (ITC) through univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis of preoperative clinical, laboratory, imaging, and demographic data. Factors to be assessed include, but are not limited to, presence of nodules, age, sex, and Body Mass Index (BMI).

    Time frame: Assessed at the time of data analysis, approximately 1 year after enrollment completion.

  2. Histopathological Characteristics of Incidental Thyroid Carcinoma.

    Frequency and percentage of ITC characteristics (e.g., histological type, size, stage, multifocality).

    Time frame: Assessed at the time of final pathology report post-surgery (within 30 days post-operation).

07

Study locations

1 of 1 sites recruiting
08

References and documents

Publications

  • Moronta S, Slattery L, Wang R, Nwariaku F, McMullin JL. Incidental Thyroid Cancer in Patients With Graves' Disease: Not as Rare as We Previously Believed. J Surg Res. 2025 Apr;308:122-128. doi: 10.1016/j.jss.2025.02.024. Epub 2025 Mar 17. PubMed 40101333 ↗
  • Ross DS, Burch HB, Cooper DS, Greenlee MC, Laurberg P, Maia AL, Rivkees SA, Samuels M, Sosa JA, Stan MN, Walter MA. 2016 American Thyroid Association Guidelines for Diagnosis and Management of Hyperthyroidism and Other Causes of Thyrotoxicosis. Thyroid. 2016 Oct;26(10):1343-1421. doi: 10.1089/thy.2016.0229. PubMed 27521067 ↗
  • Patel KN, Yip L, Lubitz CC, Grubbs EG, Miller BS, Shen W, Angelos P, Chen H, Doherty GM, Fahey TJ 3rd, Kebebew E, Livolsi VA, Perrier ND, Sipos JA, Sosa JA, Steward D, Tufano RP, McHenry CR, Carty SE. The American Association of Endocrine Surgeons Guidelines for the Definitive Surgical Management of Thyroid Disease in Adults. Ann Surg. 2020 Mar;271(3):e21-e93. doi: 10.1097/SLA.0000000000003580. PubMed 32079830 ↗
  • Staniforth JUL, Erdirimanne S, Eslick GD. Thyroid carcinoma in Graves' disease: A meta-analysis. Int J Surg. 2016 Mar;27:118-125. doi: 10.1016/j.ijsu.2015.11.027. Epub 2015 Nov 26. PubMed 26626367 ↗
  • Phitayakorn R, McHenry CR. Incidental thyroid carcinoma in patients with Graves' disease. Am J Surg. 2008 Mar;195(3):292-7; discussion 297. doi: 10.1016/j.amjsurg.2007.12.006. PubMed 18206132 ↗
  • You E, Mascarella MA, Al Jassim A, Forest VI, Hier MP, Tamilia M, Pusztaszeri M, Payne RJ. Prevalence and aggressiveness of papillary thyroid carcinoma in surgically-treated graves' disease patients: a retrospective matched cohort study. J Otolaryngol Head Neck Surg. 2019 Aug 28;48(1):40. doi: 10.1186/s40463-019-0364-5. PubMed 31462328 ↗
  • Askitis D, Efremidou EI, Karanikas M, Mitrakas A, Tripsianis G, Polychronidis A, Liratzopoulos N. Incidental thyroid carcinoma diagnosed after total thyroidectomy for benign thyroid diseases: incidence and association with thyroid disease type and laboratory markers. Int J Endocrinol. 2013;2013:451959. doi: 10.1155/2013/451959. Epub 2013 Nov 20. PubMed 24348554 ↗
  • Hay ID, Hutchinson ME, Gonzalez-Losada T, McIver B, Reinalda ME, Grant CS, Thompson GB, Sebo TJ, Goellner JR. Papillary thyroid microcarcinoma: a study of 900 cases observed in a 60-year period. Surgery. 2008 Dec;144(6):980-7; discussion 987-8. doi: 10.1016/j.surg.2008.08.035. PubMed 19041007 ↗

Individual participant data

Plan to share: No

09

Updates

Tracking since Sep 25, 2026
No changes since tracking began. The registry record was last updated on Aug 11, 2026, before this site started recording changes on Sep 25, 2026. Its history is on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗
10

Registry details

Key details

Study ID
NCT07059507
Lead sponsor
Minia University
Responsible party
Saleh Khairy Saleh MD (Lecturer, Minia University) — Principal investigator
First posted
Jul 10, 2025
Start date
Jul 15, 2025
Primary completion
Dec 15, 2026 (estimated)
Completion
Jan 15, 2027 (estimated)
Last update
Aug 11, 2026

Study contacts

Saleh K Saleh, MD
Contact
salehkhairy@mu.edu.eg
01201765401 ext. +2
Rabeh K Saleh, MD
Contact
Rabeh.Saleh@mu.edu.eg
01220065443 ext. +2
Saleh K Saleh, MD
principal investigator · Minia University

Oversight

Data monitoring committee
Yes
FDA-regulated drug
No
FDA-regulated device
No
View the source record on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗

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