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Enrolling by invitationNCT06984705Updated May 29, 2025

Epidemiological and Clinical Characteristics of Human Mpox Outbreak in Equateur Province in the Democratic Republic of Congo (Part3)

An observational study in Mpox (Monkeypox), sponsored by Osaka Metropolitan University. Enrolling by invitation at 1 site in Congo, The Democratic Republic of the. Per ClinicalTrials.gov, last updated 2025-05-29.

Sponsored by Osaka Metropolitan University · Observational

From the registry’s dates

  • Primary completion was expected by Jul 2025, 1 year 2 months ago, but the record still lists the study as enrolling by invitation.
Study type
Observational
Model
Case-control
Time perspective
Prospective
Enrollment
144
Sex
All
01

Study summary

The goal of this study is to evaluate the effectiveness of smallpox vaccination administered before the global eradication of smallpox against currently circulating mpox in the Democratic Republic of the Congo.

The main question it aims to answer is:

Is the smallpox vaccine experience protective against mpox infection ?

Researchers will compare mpox test positive group and negative group to see if the smallpox vaccine can protect against mpox infection.

Participants will

  • be included after informed consent,
  • respond the survey with structured questionnaire
  • and accept skin lesion and blood sampling.
Read the detailed description

Mpox is caused by the monkeypox virus (MPXV), a member of the genus Orthopoxvirus (family Poxviridae). This virus is closely related to the variola virus, which causes smallpox. MPXV was first identified in 1958, and the first human case was reported in Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) in 1970. It was presumed that the smallpox vaccine would confer cross-protection against mpox. Following the global eradication of smallpox in 1980, mpox remained largely confined to limited regions in Central Africa-where zoonotic spillover from wild animal reservoirs constituted the primary route of transmission. Equateur Province is among the areas in the DRC with a notably high burden of reported mpox cases.

Over the past five decades, routine smallpox vaccination ceased worldwide, resulting in waning herd immunity against orthopoxviruses. During this period, mpox incidence rose markedly, with an estimated tenfold increase in global cases. Two principal genetic clades of MPXV have been identified: clade I (historically referred to as the Congo Basin clade) and clade II (the West African clade). In 2018, Nigeria experienced a resurgence of mpox, highlighting the virus's potential to emerge in previously controlled areas. Starting in 2022, clade II mpox circulated globally, especially among men who have sex with men (MSM), peaking in mid-2022 before declining to persistently lower levels by early 2023. Although clade II mpox typically exhibits a low case-fatality ratio (\<1%), clade I has historically been associated with more severe disease and higher mortality. In 2023, the number of reported mpox cases continued to climb in the DRC, prompting the World Health Organization (WHO) to declare a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) in August 2024.

Recent surveillance indicates that sub-clade Ia MPXV is spreading in western DRC through multiple transmission modes, including contact with infected wild animals, household exposure, or sexual contact. By contrast, sub-clade Ib mpox in the eastern part of the country appears initially to spread via intimate or sexual contact between adults, followed by household transmission. Numerous environmental and social risk factors-including the consumption of rodent species, deforestation, climate change, civil unrest, population displacement, emerging MPXV variants, and weakened immunity-may be driving mpox incidence. Clade Ia mpox is currently affecting western parts of the DRC, yet the epidemiology remains poorly understood due to the limited number of laboratory-confirmed cases.

This study aims to characterize the clinical features of the 2024 mpox outbreak in Equateur Province of DRC and to identify associated risk factors. The findings will advance understanding of mpox transmission dynamics and disease severity, ultimately informing more effective prevention and control strategies in endemic settings.

The overall aim of this study is to describe the clinical characteristics of the 2024 mpox outbreak in the DRC and to identify associated risk factors. This research comprises three components: 1) a case-control study, 2) a transmission study, and 3) a vaccine effectiveness study.

And this protocol is for 3) a vaccine effectiveness study aim to evaluate the effectiveness of smallpox vaccination administered before the global eradication of smallpox against currently circulating mpox.

02

Conditions studied

  • Mpox (Monkeypox)

Keywords

  • vaccine efficacy
  • test negative control
03

In context

Lead sponsor

Osaka Metropolitan University is the lead sponsor of 6 studies on the registry; 5 are open to participants now.

Counted across the registry records on this site, refreshed daily.

04

Who can participate

Ages eligible
Child (0–17), Adult (18–64), Older adult (65+)
Sexes eligible
All
Accepts healthy volunteers
No
Sampling method
Probability sample

Study population

This study targets patients born before 1984 with mpox-like skin lesions (both sexes) in the selected sites. All patients suspected of having mpox-like lesions and who provide proxy-assisted written informed consent to participate in the study are eligible for inclusion due to reduction of the risk of contact transmission with verbal agreement documented and confirmed by a witness. This approach prioritizes participant and staff safety while adhering to ethical standards.

Inclusion criteria

  • Individuals born before 1984: Although it is officially stated that smallpox vaccination was administered in the DRC until 1982, individuals born up to 1984 were included to account for potential discrepancies of several years in remote areas.
  • Presence of skin lesions suspected to be mpox.
  • Provision of informed consent:

Proxy-assisted informed consent is allowed under safety considerations. Following oral consent, the investigator will document this on the informed consent form as a witness.

Exclusion criteria

Exclusion Criteria:

Participants will be excluded from the study under the following conditions:

  • Refusal to participate in the study: Individuals who decline to provide consent for study participation will be excluded.
05

Study design

Observational model
Case-control
Time perspective
Prospective
Enrollment
144 participants (estimated)
Patient registry
No
Biospecimen retention
Samples with dna

Groups and cohorts

  • cases

    • Cases are defined as Individuals who reported to local health agents with symptoms consistent with mpox and subsequently tested positive for mpox through a molecular-based diagnostic test.

  • controls

    Controls are defined as Individuals who reported to local health agents with symptoms consistent with mpox but subsequently tested negative for mpox through a molecular-based diagnostic test.

06

What researchers measure

Primary outcomes

  1. Confirmed mpox

    Definition: the positivity of mpox is determined based on the gene amplification testing for mpox genes. The subjects sampled as suspected mpox patients will be classified based on pathogen diagnostic results: those testing positive will be defined as cases, and those testing negative will be defined as controls.

    Time frame: Day 1

Secondary outcomes

  1. Severity

    Mpox severity will be evaluated based on skin lesion burden, clinical complications, organ dysfunction, and mortality outcomes. Scoring Criteria: Mild: Fewer than 25 lesions. Moderate: 26-99 lesions. Severe: 100 or more lesions or the presence of organ dysfunction, regardless of lesion count. Fatal Outcome: If a patient dies from mpox or its complications during the study, the case will be classified as "fatal outcome." Assessment: The severity score will integrate the number of skin lesions across various anatomical sites and documented signs of complications (e.g., respiratory distress, neurological symptoms, renal impairment).

    Time frame: Day 1

07

Study locations

1 site
  • Equateur Provincial Public Health Laboratory
    Mbandaka, Equateur, Congo, The Democratic Republic of the
08

References and documents

Individual participant data

Plan to share: Undecided

No publications or documents are linked to this record.

09

Updates

Tracking since Sep 25, 2026
No changes since tracking began. The registry record was last updated on May 29, 2025, before this site started recording changes on Sep 25, 2026. Its history is on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗
10

Registry details

Key details

Study ID
NCT06984705
Lead sponsor
Osaka Metropolitan University
Collaborators
Institut National de Recherche Biomédicale. Kinshasa, République Démocratique du Congo
Responsible party
Natsuko Kaku (Lecturer, Osaka Metropolitan University) — Principal investigator
First posted
May 22, 2025
Start date
Jul 31, 2025 (estimated)
Primary completion
Jul 31, 2025 (estimated)
Completion
Jul 31, 2025 (estimated)
Last update
May 29, 2025

Study contacts

Natsuko Kaku, PhD
principal investigator · Osaka Metropolitan University

Oversight

Data monitoring committee
No
FDA-regulated drug
No
FDA-regulated device
No
View the source record on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗

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