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Enrolling by invitationNCT07067723Updated Jul 16, 2025

Epidemiological and Clinical Characteristics of Human Mpox Outbreak in Equateur Province in the Democratic Republic of Congo (Part2)

An observational study in Monkeypox (Mpox), sponsored by Osaka Metropolitan University. Enrolling by invitation at 1 site in Democratic Republic of the Congo. Per ClinicalTrials.gov, last updated 2025-07-16.

Sponsored by Osaka Metropolitan University · Observational

From the registry’s dates

  • Primary completion was expected by Dec 2025, 10 months ago, but the record still lists the study as enrolling by invitation.
Study type
Observational
Model
Cohort
Time perspective
Prospective
Enrollment
122
Sex
All
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Study summary

The goal of this observational study is

  • to better understand the dominant modes of transmission
  • to estimate the extent of transmission among contacts by determining the secondary infection rate for human-to-human transmission at an individual level and identifying factors associated with secondary infections.
  • to determine the proportion of asymptomatic or pauci-symptomatic infections.
  • to characterize the incubation period of mpox and the duration of infectiousness, including reproduction numbers.
  • to assess serological responses following confirmed infection.
Read the detailed description

Mpox is caused by the monkeypox virus (MPXV), a member of the genus Orthopoxvirus (family Poxviridae). This virus is closely related to the variola virus, which causes smallpox. MPXV was first identified in 1958, and the first human case was reported in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) in 1970. It was presumed that the smallpox (vaccinia) vaccine would confer cross-protection against mpox. Following the global eradication of smallpox in 1980, mpox remained largely confined to limited regions in Central Africa-where zoonotic spillover from wild animal reservoirs constituted the primary route of transmission. Equateur Province is among the areas in the DRC with a notably high burden of reported mpox cases.

Over the past five decades, routine smallpox vaccination ceased worldwide, resulting in waning herd immunity against orthopoxviruses. During this period, mpox incidence rose markedly, with an estimated tenfold increase in global cases. Two principal genetic clades of MPXV have been identified: clade I (historically referred to as the Congo Basin clade) and clade II (the West African clade). In 2018, Nigeria experienced a resurgence of mpox, highlighting the virus's potential to emerge in previously controlled areas. Starting in 2022, clade II mpox circulated globally, especially among men who have sex with men (MSM), peaking in mid-2022 before declining to persistently lower levels by early 2023. Although clade II mpox typically exhibits a low case-fatality ratio (\<1%), clade I has historically been associated with more severe disease and higher mortality. In 2023, the number of reported mpox cases continued to climb in the DRC, prompting the World Health Organization (WHO) to declare a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) in August 2024.

Recent surveillance indicates that sub-clade Ia MPXV is spreading in western DRC through multiple transmission modes, including contact with infected wild animals, household exposure, or sexual contact. By contrast, sub-clade Ib mpox in the eastern part of the country appears initially to spread via intimate or sexual contact between adults, followed by household transmission. Numerous environmental and social risk factors-including the consumption of rodent species, deforestation, climate change, civil unrest, population displacement, emerging MPXV variants, and weakened immunity-may be driving mpox incidence. Clade Ia mpox is currently affecting western parts of the DRC, yet the epidemiology remains poorly understood due to the limited number of laboratory-confirmed cases.

This study aims to better understand the dominant modes of transmission of Mpox in Equateur Province in DRC and to estimate the extent of transmission among contacts by determining the secondary infection rate for human-to-human transmission at an indicidual level and identifying factors associated with secondary infections. The findings will advance understanding of mpox transmission dynamics, ultimately informing more effective prevention and control strategies in endemic settings.

02

Conditions studied

  • Monkeypox (Mpox)

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Keywords

  • contact tracing
  • transmission
  • outbreak investigation
03

In context

Mpox, Monkeypox

72 studies on the registry are indexed under Mpox, Monkeypox; 30 are open to participants now.

This study's planned enrollment of 122 is below the median of 224 across 34 observational studies indexed under Mpox, Monkeypox.

Browse Mpox, Monkeypox studies →

Lead sponsor

Osaka Metropolitan University is the lead sponsor of 6 studies on the registry; 5 are open to participants now.

Counted across the registry records on this site, refreshed daily.

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Who can participate

Ages eligible
Child (0–17), Adult (18–64), Older adult (65+)
Sexes eligible
All
Accepts healthy volunteers
No
Sampling method
Probability sample

Study population

This study targets laboratory-confirmed cases of mpox and their contacts, defined based on exposure to the primary case within the household or in external settings (e.g., workplaces, social interactions).

This study targets patients reported as suspected mpox cases (all ages, both sexes) to the Health District Central Office in the selected sites. The study population is designed to minimize selection bias related to health-seeking behavior.

Cases are defined as Individuals who reported to local health agents with symptoms consistent with mpox and subsequently tested positive for mpox through a molecular-based diagnostic test.

Contacts are defined as individuals identified as having close contact with a laboratory-confirmed mpox case. Close contact includes but is not limited to the following type of contact.

Go through the criteria one by one — yes, no or not sure — and take the list to your doctor or the study team. Kept in this browser only.

Inclusion criteria

  • Provision of :

Proxy-assisted informed consent is allowed under safety considerations. Following oral consent, the investigator will document this on the informed consent form as a witness.

Fulfillment of the current mpox clinical case definition in the DRC, which includes:

Presence of a vesicular or pustular eruption with deep-seated, firm pustules.

At least one of the following symptoms:

Fever preceding the eruption. Lymphadenopathy (inguinal, axillary, or cervical). Presence of pustules or crusts on the palms of the hands or soles of the feet.

Laboratory confirmation:

At least one molecular-based mpox diagnostic test confirming the diagnosis.

Exclusion criteria

Exclusion Criteria:

  • Participants will be excluded from the study under the following conditions:

Refusal to participate in the study:

Individuals who decline to provide consent for study participation will be excluded

Terms in these criteria, in plain language(1)

Underlined terms in the criteria open these too. Explained by clinicaltrials.gg, not part of the registry record. The study team decides who can take part.

Informed consent

Before you join, the study team explains what taking part involves — its purpose, what happens, the risks and possible benefits — and answers your questions, so you can decide freely. Consent is usually recorded on a form (the informed consent form, ICF) signed by you or, where the law allows, by someone legally authorised to decide for you.

You can keep asking questions during the study, you are told of new information that matters, and you can choose to leave at any time.

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Study design

Observational model
Cohort
Time perspective
Prospective
Enrollment
122 participants (estimated)
Patient registry
No
Biospecimen retention
Samples with dna
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What researchers measure

Primary outcomes

  1. Transmission chain

    Definition: The sequence and structure of mpox transmission events within households and beyond, including identification of primary and secondary cases. To map transmission dynamics and determine how mpox spreads within close-contact settings. Detailed epidemiological tracing and genetic sequencing to confirm transmission links.

    Time frame: through study completion, average 4 weeks

  2. Incubation Period

    Definition: The time between exposure to the mpox virus and the onset of symptoms. To estimate the range and median incubation period of mpox based on detailed exposure history and symptom onset data. Exposure dates and symptom onset dates from confirmed cases and their contacts.

    Time frame: through study completion, an average 4 weeks

  3. Serial Interval

    Definition: The time between the onset of symptoms in a primary case and the onset of symptoms in a secondary case they infect. To estimate the serial interval of mpox, which is critical for understanding transmission timelines and epidemic control. Symptom onset dates for linked cases within households and other close-contact settings.

    Time frame: through study completion, an average 4 weeks

  4. Secondary Attack Rate (SAR)

    Definition: The proportion of susceptible household contacts who develop mpox after exposure to a confirmed case. To quantify transmission efficiency within households and identify risk factors influencing SAR.

    Time frame: through study completion, an average 4 weeks

  5. Effective Reproduction Number (Re)

    Definition: The average number of secondary cases generated by a single infectious individual in the current population. To estimate Re during the study period, which reflects real-time transmission potential under existing control measures. Based on observed transmission chains and SAR data.

    Time frame: through study completion, an average of 2 years

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Study locations

1 site
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Timeline

Tracking since Sep 25, 2026
ElapsedEstimatedEstimated, not yet reachedSimilar studies: half by the dot; the band is the middle halfHalf of similar studies reached it by the dot; the band is the middle half, from a quarter to three quarters

Started Aug 2024 (actual). Primary completion is estimated for Dec 2025, 16 months after the start.

Of 23 observational studies under Mpox, Monkeypox, half reached primary completion within 18 months of starting (the median), counting those still running; a quarter within 10 and three quarters within 45. This study's planned 16 months is below that.

How these figures are worked out, and which studies are left out of them.

Registered
May 14, 2025
First posted
Jul 16, 2025
StartActual
Aug 1, 2024
Primary completionEst.
Dec 31, 2025
CompletionEst.
Dec 31, 2025
Last update
Jul 16, 2025
What these dates mean
Start.
When the first participant enrolled; while estimated, when the study expects to open to recruitment.
Primary completion.
When the last participant was examined or treated to collect data for the study's main question, its primary outcome. A study that stopped early gives the date its data collection stopped.
Completion.
When the last participant's last visit took place, for every outcome, secondary ones and side effects included: the end of the study. Often later than primary completion, sometimes the same day.
Actual and Est.
Actual means the registry says the date has happened. Est. (estimated) is a date the sponsor plans or expects. It can still move, and the sponsor is expected to change it to actual once it has passed.
No changes since tracking began. The registry record was last updated on Jul 16, 2025, before this site started recording changes on Sep 25, 2026. Its history is on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗
09

Registry details

Key details

Study ID
NCT07067723
Lead sponsor
Osaka Metropolitan University
Responsible party
Yasutoshi KIDO (Professor, Osaka Metropolitan University) — Principal investigator
First posted
Jul 16, 2025
Start date
Aug 1, 2024
Primary completion
Dec 31, 2025 (estimated)
Completion
Dec 31, 2025 (estimated)
Last update
Jul 16, 2025

Study contacts

Yasutoshi Kido, Professor
principal investigator · Osaka Metropolitan University

Oversight

Data monitoring committee
No
FDA-regulated drug
No
FDA-regulated device
No
View the source record on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗

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No contact was published for this record. The registry link below has the sponsor’s details.

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