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CompletedNCT03712865PROPhecyUpdated May 18, 2022

Thirty Day Heart Monitoring for Detection of Atrial Fibrillation Among Cryptogenic Stroke Patients

An observational study in Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source, sponsored by University of British Columbia. Completed at 1 site in Canada. Open to participants aged 55 Years and older. Per ClinicalTrials.gov, last updated 2022-05-18.

Sponsored by University of British Columbia · Observational

Study type
Observational
Model
Cohort
Time perspective
Prospective
Enrollment
232
Ages
55 Years and older
Sex
All
01

Study summary

The PROPhecy study aims to detect the presence of atrial fibrillation/flutter in patients who have suffered an embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS) using 30 day cardiac monitoring.

We hypothesize that the presence of any of the following features on long-term heart rhythm monitoring (holter monitoring) or heart ultrasound (transthoracic echocardiogram), either individually or in combination, will have additional predictive value for the detection of atrial fibrillation lasting 30 seconds or longer on 30 day holter monitoring:

  • greater than 100 premature atrial beats in 24 hours
  • greater than 2 runs of atrial tachycardia (4 or more non-sinus beats) in 24 hours
  • Left atrial enlargement on transthoracic echocardiogram
Read the detailed description

The PROPhecy study uses prolonged cardiac rhythm monitoring to detect atrial fibrillation/flutter in patients who have had an embolic stroke within six months, where no cause of stroke was found. Following informed consent, an external cardiac rhythm monitor will be attached to each participant. Participants will be instructed to wear the device as much as possible over the 30 day study period. If atrial fibrillation/flutter is detected before 30 days, participants may stop wearing the monitor and will be contacted to discuss changing their antithrombotic strategy for stroke secondary prevention as per standard of care. Recorded cardiac rhythm data will be transmitted for central interpretation and results will be sent to the PI, with copies provided for the patient's stroke neurologist and primary care practitioner for clinical continuity of care.

Participants will be contacted by telephone once per week for the duration of the 30 day study period. Following device return patients will be followed for two years and will receive telephone follow-ups at 90 days, 1 year, and 2 years.

The aim of the PROPhecy study is to prospectively validate those features on holter monitor and echocardiography identified as predictive of paroxysmal atrial fibrillation in patients with embolic strokes of undetermined source (ESUS). Our overall goal is to determine whether all patients with ESUS should be referred for extended rhythm monitoring, or whether these criteria can be used to refer patients more selectively for this more resource-intensive diagnostic procedure.

02

Conditions studied

  • Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source

Keywords

  • embolic stroke
  • cryptogenic
  • atrial fibrillation
  • long term cardiac rhythm monitoring
03

In context

Embolic Stroke

40 studies on the registry are indexed under Embolic Stroke; 11 are open to participants now.

This study's enrollment of 232 is below the median of 364 across 27 observational studies indexed under Embolic Stroke.

Browse Embolic Stroke studies →

Lead sponsor

University of British Columbia is the lead sponsor of 1,339 studies on the registry; 259 are open to participants now.

Of its 6 completed or terminated interventional studies of FDA-regulated products, 1 (17%) have results posted.

Counted across the registry records on this site, refreshed daily.

04

Who can participate

Ages eligible
55 Years and older
Sexes eligible
All
Sampling method
Non-probability sample

Study population

The study population will include patients age 55 years and older who have had an embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS). Participants will be recruited from the stroke ward at Vancouver General Hospital (VGH) and the Stroke Prevention Clinic at VGH.

Go through the criteria one by one — yes, no or not sure — and take the list to your doctor or the study team. Kept in this browser only.

Inclusion criteria

  • Age 55 or over
  • Diagnosis of the index event made by a stroke specialist of an acute ischemic stroke or (WHO definition) of undetermined etiology occurring within the previous 6 months (180 days). The event must be either:

    1. An embolic arterial ischemic stroke confirmed by neuroimaging; or,
    2. A clinical transient ischemic attack, defined as involving a focal unilateral motor deficit, speech/language deficit, or hemianopia, with symptom duration \<24 hours (NOTE: amaurosis fugax/transient monocular blindness, pure sensory spells, isolated vertigo spells, etc. do not qualify for enrolment given the potential for misdiagnosis of such events).
  • No previous or Holter monitor showing atrial fibrillation (AF) or atrial flutter
  • from patient or legally authorized representative if patient is not competent due to stroke-related cognitive impairment, aphasia or anosognosia
  • Patient has undergone, as per standard of care, routine CT head, vascular imaging (CT angiogram or, if \<30 mL/min, carotid dopplers) and echocardiography is planned within 60 days of the index event. (NOTE: if echocardiogram has already been performed within one year prior to study enrolment, it may serve as the baseline echocardiogram for study purposes).
  • Patient is expected to survive at least 6 months

Exclusion criteria

Exclusion Criteria:

  • Unable to participate in follow up in Vancouver
  • Atrial fibrillation/flutter by history or on holter, or telemetry
  • Retinal stroke/
  • Most responsible etiological diagnosis for the qualifying stroke/TIA event already determined, i.e. probable small-vessel (lacunar) disease, probable large-vessel disease, cervicocephalic artery dissection, venous sinus thrombosis, hypercoagulable states, or other known cause
  • Major-risk cardioembolic source on echocardiography (intracardiac thrombus, endocarditis, mechanical heart valve, rheumatic mitral valve disease OR Positive blood cultures at the time of the index event (i.e. more than 2 bottles at two sites or collected at different times positive for pathogen)
  • Planned carotid endarterectomy within the next 90 days
  • Concurrent indication for cardiac monitoring, pacemaker or implanted cardiac defibrillator
  • Known skin reactions to synthetic polymers, hydrogel or skin breakdown at the site for extended monitor application
Terms in these criteria, in plain language(4)

Underlined terms in the criteria open these too. Explained by clinicaltrials.gg, not part of the registry record. The study team decides who can take part.

TIA (transient ischaemic attack)

A “mini-stroke”: temporary stroke-like symptoms caused by reduced blood flow to part of the brain, spinal cord or eye, without signs of a new stroke on a scan.

Stroke symptoms need emergency care at once, even if they go away.

ECG (electrocardiogram)

A recording of the heart’s electrical activity, taken with stickers on the chest, arms and legs. It takes a few minutes and does not hurt.

Informed consent

Before you join, the study team explains what taking part involves — its purpose, what happens, the risks and possible benefits — and answers your questions, so you can decide freely. Consent is usually recorded on a form (the informed consent form, ICF) signed by you or, where the law allows, by someone legally authorised to decide for you.

You can keep asking questions during the study, you are told of new information that matters, and you can choose to leave at any time.

GFR and eGFR (kidney filtering)

GFR (glomerular filtration rate) is how much blood the kidneys filter each minute. It is usually estimated from a blood test — eGFR, by formulas such as CKD-EPI or MDRD — and some studies ask for it to be measured directly instead. Usually given in mL/min/1.73 m².

Check the method, the units and the minimum the study states. A value of 90 or above is in the normal-or-high range, but kidney damage can show in other tests too.

05

Study design

Observational model
Cohort
Time perspective
Prospective
Enrollment
232 participants (actual)
Patient registry
No
06

What researchers measure

Primary outcomes

  1. Detection of Atrial Fibrillation/Atrial Flutter

    Our primary outcome is new detection of atrial fibrillation/atrial flutter lasting 30 seconds or longer after 30 days of cardiac monitoring. Holter and echocardiography reports will be examined for features identified as being significantly associated with a new diagnosis of atrial fibrillation/flutter on univariate analysis in the EMBRACE trial: ((1) \>100 premature atrial beats in 24 hours, (2) two or more runs of 4 atrial beats or more in 24 hours, or (3) left atrial volume index \>26 mL/m2 on transthoracic echocardiography) will be compared against controls with "benign" holters and echocardiograms (ie. Those with \<100 premature atrial beats in 24h, 1 or fewer runs of atrial tachycardia, and lacking left atrial enlargement).

    Time frame: 30 days

Secondary outcomes

  1. Predictive value of "high-risk" holter and echocardiogram features and presence of atrial fibrillation/atrial flutter

    Clinical, holter and echocardiography correlates will be compared for those with and without atrial fibrillation/flutter on extended cardiac monitoring. Correlation between the "high-risk" features on holter monitoring and echocardiography identified in the EMBRACE trials (see Primary Outcome Measure description) and our prospective 30-day cardiac monitoring will be completed to assess predictive value of these features detected on cardiac diagnostic testing.

    Time frame: 30 days

07

Study locations

1 site
  • Vancouver Stroke Program
    Vancouver, British Columbia V5Z 1M9, Canada
08

References and documents

Individual participant data

Plan to share: No

No publications or documents are linked to this record.

09

Timeline

Tracking since Sep 25, 2026
ElapsedEstimatedEstimated, not yet reached

Ran from Nov 2015 to primary completion in Mar 2022, 75 months.

How these figures are worked out, and which studies are left out of them.

Registered
Oct 17, 2018
First posted
Oct 19, 2018
StartActual
Nov 19, 2015
Primary completionActual
Mar 3, 2022
CompletionActual
Mar 3, 2022
Last update
May 18, 2022
What these dates mean
Start.
When the first participant enrolled; while estimated, when the study expects to open to recruitment.
Primary completion.
When the last participant was examined or treated to collect data for the study's main question, its primary outcome. A study that stopped early gives the date its data collection stopped.
Completion.
When the last participant's last visit took place, for every outcome, secondary ones and side effects included: the end of the study. Often later than primary completion, sometimes the same day.
Actual and Est.
Actual means the registry says the date has happened. Est. (estimated) is a date the sponsor plans or expects. It can still move, and the sponsor is expected to change it to actual once it has passed.
No changes since tracking began. The registry record was last updated on May 18, 2022, before this site started recording changes on Sep 25, 2026. Its history is on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗
10

Registry details

Key details

Study ID
NCT03712865
Responsible party
Thalia Field (Assistant Professor, University of British Columbia) — Principal investigator
First posted
Oct 19, 2018
Start date
Nov 19, 2015
Primary completion
Mar 3, 2022
Completion
Mar 3, 2022
Last update
May 18, 2022

Study contacts

Thalia S Field, MD FRCPC
principal investigator · University of British Columbia

Oversight

Data monitoring committee
No
FDA-regulated drug
No
FDA-regulated device
No
View the source record on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗

Not currently enrolling

This study is completed, as verified in May 2022. You cannot join it, but the record below documents what was studied.

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