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RecruitingNCT02808260Updated Jul 13, 2026

Predicting Development of SCAF in Device Patients

An observational study in Atrial Fibrillation, sponsored by Ottawa Heart Institute Research Corporation. Recruiting at 1 site in Canada. Open to participants aged 18 Years and older. Per ClinicalTrials.gov, last updated 2026-07-13.

Sponsored by Ottawa Heart Institute Research Corporation · Observational

From the registry’s dates

  • Started Sep 2022; still recruiting 4 years 1 month later.
Study type
Observational
Model
Cohort
Time perspective
Prospective
Enrollment
500
Ages
18 Years and older
Sex
All
01

Study summary

Atrial fibrillation (AF) often starts with short episodes of rapid irregular heartbeats that are only detected by implanted pacemakers or defibrillators. Usually people don't know that they have these episodes. Over time, these episodes can happen more often and last for longer periods. In some people, the heart eventually remains permanently in a fast irregular rhythm, known as atrial fibrillation. This condition can lead to strokes and blood clots. If physicians could detect atrial fibrillation at a very early stage they could treat people early and possibly prevent the condition from becoming permanent. People with implanted devices allow a unique opportunity to constantly monitor the heart rhythm so investigators can detect any irregularities immediately.

Investigators don't know which people are at risk of developing short episodes of fast irregular heartbeats that can lead to atrial fibrillation. The purpose of this study is to find out if there are proteins or chemical changes in the blood that can predict the risk of developing atrial fibrillation. These chemical changes, also known as biomarkers, may also be able to give investigators other clues about atrial fibrillation.

Read the detailed description

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is considered to be a progressive condition that starts with episodes of paroxysmal AF (short runs of AF), progresses to persistent AF (can be reverted to normal rhythm) and eventually to permanent AF. More than 25% of people with paroxysmal AF will go on to develop persistent or chronic atrial fibrillation. The progression rate is around 5% per annum. AF can result in devastating outcomes such as stroke/TIA and systemic embolic events. In people with implanted devices such as ICDs, investigators can detect non-symptomatic rapid atrial arrhythmia, known as subclinical atrial fibrillation (SCAF), before it becomes symptomatic. In the ASSERT trial, SCAF was detected in 10% of patients with newly implanted devices within the first 3 months. Of these, nearly 16% developed clinical atrial fibrillation within 2.5 years vs 3% in those who did not exhibit SCAF within the first 3 months. During the follow up period, a further 24.5% of patients developed SCAF. People with SCAF also had a higher risk of stroke and systemic embolism.

Earlier diagnosis and treatment of AF may lead to better prevention and outcomes. The availability of serum based biomarkers that can predict the early onset of atrial fibrillation, may help in the identification of patients at risk for developing AF early. This would also allow the identification of the patient population most suitable for the evaluation of possible future intervention strategies to prevent the onset of atrial fibrillation, and alter its natural history and complications.

In this study investigators will study patients that have a permanent pacemaker or defibrillator implanted. These devices continuously monitor the patient's heart rhythm, detecting any irregularities. Patients with these devices are followed up in outpatient clinics on a regular basis. The information from the devices is downloaded at each follow up visit and analyzed by staff in the clinic.

Investigators will recruit patients for this study after the device was implanted. After obtaining consent, investigators will collect a blood sample for measuring biomarkers. They will interview the participant in regards to previous health history, smoking, alcohol consumption, family history and current medications. Participants' medical records will be reviewed annually for the next 10 years, to monitor for any irregular heart rhythms, hospitalizations and death.

02

Conditions studied

  • Atrial Fibrillation

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Keywords

  • sub-clinical atrial fibrillation
  • biomarkers
  • implanted pacemaker or defibrillator
03

In context

Atrial Fibrillation

3,870 studies on the registry are indexed under Atrial Fibrillation; 924 are open to participants now.

This study's planned enrollment of 500 is above the median of 300 across 1,363 observational studies indexed under Atrial Fibrillation.

Browse Atrial Fibrillation studies →

Lead sponsor

Ottawa Heart Institute Research Corporation is the lead sponsor of 179 studies on the registry; 41 are open to participants now.

Counted across the registry records on this site, refreshed daily.

04

Who can participate

Ages eligible
18 Years and older
Sexes eligible
All
Accepts healthy volunteers
No
Sampling method
Probability sample

Study population

Investigators will recruit patients with a permanent defibrillator or pacemaker who have an upcoming appointment at the Device Clinic.

Inclusion criteria

  • Dual chamber permanent pacemaker or defibrillator implanted within previous 10 years

Exclusion criteria

Exclusion Criteria:

  • Clinical atrial fibrillation documented by surface ECG (12 lead ECG, Telemetry, Holter)
  • Participants considered by the investigator to be unsuitable for the study for the following reason: life expectancy less than 2 years due to concomitant disease
  • Participants who are pregnant or breast-feeding
  • Congenital heart disease
  • Inherited arrhythmia syndrome, i.e. Brugada, long QT interval
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Study design

Observational model
Cohort
Time perspective
Prospective
Enrollment
500 participants (estimated)
Patient registry
No
Biospecimen retention
Samples without dna
06

What researchers measure

Primary outcomes

  1. The development of new Sub-Clinical Atrial Fibrillation as recorded on implanted devices

    Participants will be monitored by clinical follow up for a year and then medical record reviews for an additional 10 years

    Time frame: 11 years

  2. Sub-clinical Atrial Fibrillation as predicted by biomarkers

    Biomarkers will be measured at baseline and after 1 year to see if biomarkers can predict which people will develop sub-clinical atrial fibrillation during the 11 year follow up period

    Time frame: 11 years

Secondary outcomes

  1. The development of clinical atrial fibrillation, including persistent atrial fibrillation.

    The investigators will monitor participants to see how many develop persistent atrial fibrillation within 11 years of device implant

    Time frame: 11 years

07

Study locations

1 of 1 sites recruiting
  • University of Ottawa Heart Institute
    Ottawa, Ontario K1Y 4W7, Canada
    Recruiting
08

References and documents

Individual participant data

Plan to share: No

No publications or documents are linked to this record.

09

Updates

Tracking since Sep 25, 2026
No changes since tracking began. The registry record was last updated on Jul 13, 2026, before this site started recording changes on Sep 25, 2026. Its history is on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗
10

Registry details

Key details

Study ID
NCT02808260
Lead sponsor
Ottawa Heart Institute Research Corporation
Collaborators
Genome Canada
Responsible party
Sponsor
First posted
Jun 21, 2016
Start date
Sep 1, 2022
Primary completion
Sep 2034 (estimated)
Completion
Sep 2034 (estimated)
Last update
Jul 13, 2026

Study contacts

Tammy Knight
Contact
tknight@ottawaheart.ca
613-696-7000 ext. 19080
Pablo Nery, MD
principal investigator · Ottawa Heart Institute Research Corporation

Oversight

Data monitoring committee
No
View the source record on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗

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