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Not yet recruitingNCT07872878BAROMETREUpdated Oct 14, 2026

BAROMETRE : Study on the Prognosis and Course of Individuals With Bipolar Spectrum Disorder

An observational study in Bipolar Disorder (BD), sponsored by University Hospital, Angers. Not yet recruiting at 3 sites in France. Open to participants aged 18 Years to 65 Years. Per ClinicalTrials.gov, last updated 2026-10-14.

Sponsored by University Hospital, Angers · Observational

Updated Oct 14, 2026Newly registeredGo to Updates ↓
Study type
Observational
Model
Cohort
Time perspective
Prospective
Enrollment
60
Ages
18 Years to 65 Years
Sex
All
01

Study summary

Bipolar disorder (BD) is often diagnosed 5 to 10 years after first symptoms, worsening prognosis. "Bipolar At-Risk" (BAR) criteria have been developed to identify people who may be in an early, prodromal stage of BD, but their long-term clinical course is not well characterized. BAROMETRE is a prospective, multicenter, naturalistic study following two groups of hospitalized psychiatric patients aged 18-65 for 36 months: patients meeting BAR criteria (without prior manic/hypomanic episode) and patients with an already diagnosed bipolar disorder (type 1 or 2), used as a clinical reference group. No experimental treatment is imposed; patients receive usual care. At inclusion, 1, 12, 24 and 36 months, participants undergo structured psychiatric interviews and clinician-rated scales (YMRS, MADRS, CGI, C-SSRS, Sachs Bipolarity Index); at 6, 18 and 30 months they complete self-report questionnaires by phone or online (BDI, HCL-32, PSQI, WHOQOL). The main hypothesis is that a clinically significant proportion (around 20%) of BAR patients will convert to a full bipolar disorder (first DSM-5 manic/hypomanic episode) within 36 months. Secondary aims are to describe and compare mood, functioning, quality of life, suicidality, sleep, substance use, trauma/PTSD symptoms, and care pathways (hospitalizations, treatment changes) between the two groups, and, exploratorily, between BAR patients who convert and those who do not. This pilot study aims to better characterize the evolution of at-risk states and generate hypotheses for larger confirmatory studies.

02

Conditions studied

  • Bipolar Disorder (BD)

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Keywords

  • Bipolar At-Risk State (Prodromal)
03

In context

Bipolar Disorder

1,637 studies on the registry are indexed under Bipolar Disorder; 258 are open to participants now.

This study's planned enrollment of 60 is below the median of 158 across 339 observational studies indexed under Bipolar Disorder.

Browse Bipolar Disorder studies →

Lead sponsor

University Hospital, Angers is the lead sponsor of 477 studies on the registry; 119 are open to participants now.

Counted across the registry records on this site, refreshed daily.

04

Who can participate

Ages eligible
18 Years to 65 Years
Sexes eligible
All
Accepts healthy volunteers
No
Sampling method
Non-probability sample

Study population

Adult patients hospitalized in general psychiatry wards at the CHU d'Angers and partner participating centers, presenting either with Bipolar At-Risk criteria or a diagnosed bipolar disorder, identified through routine clinical care.

Go through the criteria one by one — yes, no or not sure — and take the list to your doctor or the study team. Kept in this browser only.

Inclusion criteria

  • Aged 18 to 65 years
  • Hospitalized in a psychiatric ward in one of the participating centers
  • French-speaking
  • Able to understand the study objectives and to give free, informed, signed consent
  • Affiliated to a social security scheme

Inclusion Criteria specific Group 1 (Bipolar At-Risk, without prior manic/hypomanic episode) - defined by one of the following:

  1. Subsyndromal hypomania: abnormally and persistently elevated, expansive or irritable mood for at least 2 but fewer than 4 consecutive days, plus at least 2 of: increased self-esteem/grandiosity, decreased need for sleep, increased talkativeness, flight of ideas, distractibility, increased goal-directed activity or psychomotor agitation
  2. Depression with cyclothymic features: major depressive episode (DSM-5) plus a history of numerous subsyndromal hypomanic episodes (not meeting criteria of group a) and numerous depressive episodes
  3. Depression with genetic risk: major depressive episode (DSM-5) plus a first-degree relative with bipolar disorder

Inclusion Criteria specific Group 2 (Diagnosed Bipolar Disorder): bipolar disorder type 1 or 2 diagnosed according to DSM-5, with a history of at least one manic and/or hypomanic episode

Exclusion criteria

Exclusion Criteria:

  • Diagnosis of psychotic disorder (schizophrenia, delusional disorder)
  • Known intellectual disability or severe autism spectrum disorder (except ADHD)
  • Confirmed neurodegenerative disorder
  • Psychiatric syndrome of other organic origin (e.g., head trauma, neurological or endocrine disorder)
  • Person receiving involuntary psychiatric care
  • Under guardianship or curatorship
  • Pregnant, breastfeeding or parturient woman
  • Person deprived of liberty by judicial or administrative decision0
05

Study design

Observational model
Cohort
Time perspective
Prospective
Enrollment
60 participants (estimated)
Patient registry
No

Groups and cohorts

  • Bipolar At-Risk (BAR)

    Diagnostic Test: Structured clinical follow-up and psychometric assessment

  • Diagnosed Bipolar Disorder (BD)

    Diagnostic Test: Structured clinical follow-up and psychometric assessment

Interventions

  • Diagnostic testStructured clinical follow-up and psychometric assessment

    Structured psychiatric interviews (DSM-5 criteria) and clinician-rated/self-report scales (YMRS, MADRS, CGI, C-SSRS, Sachs Bipolarity Index, BDI, HCL-32, WHOQOL, PSQI, TEC, PCL-5) administered at T0, M1, M6, M12, M18, M24, M30, M36, in-person or by phone, as part of routine naturalistic follow-up (no experimental treatment).

  • Diagnostic testStructured clinical follow-up and psychometric assessment

    Structured psychiatric interviews (DSM-5 criteria) and clinician-rated/self-report scales (YMRS, MADRS, CGI, C-SSRS, Sachs Bipolarity Index, BDI, HCL-32, WHOQOL, PSQI, TEC, PCL-5) administered at T0, M1, M6, M12, M18, M24, M30, M36, in-person or by phone, as part of routine naturalistic follow-up (no experimental treatment).

06

What researchers measure

Primary outcomes

  1. Cumulative incidence of conversion to a characterized bipolar disorder (primary outcome)

    Proportion of BAR-group participants presenting a first manic or hypomanic episode meeting DSM-5 criteria, identified during a structured psychiatric interview. Non-converted status at M36 is considered as no conversion.

    Time frame: Month 36

Secondary outcomes

  1. Change in the Young Mania Rating Scale (YMRS) Total Score From Baseline to Final Assessment

    Manic symptoms (Young Mania Rating Scale, YMRS) compared between the BAR and diagnosed bipolar disorder groups. The YMRS total score ranges from 0 to 60 where higher scores indicate more severe mania, thus, a negative change (or decrease) from baseline indicates a reduction (or improvement) in manic symptoms. Total score ≤12 indicates remission (13-19=minimal symptoms; 20-25=mild mania, 26-37=moderate mania, 38-60=severe mania).

    Time frame: Month 36

  2. Change in depressive symptom trajectories in the Montgomery-Åsberg Depression Rating Scale (MADRS) Total Score from Baseline to Final Assessment

    Depressive symptoms (Montgomery-Åsberg Depression Rating Scale, MADRS, 0-60) compared between the BAR and diagnosed bipolar disorder groups. The MADRS is a 10-item scale that evaluates depressive symptoms. Each MADRS item is rated on a 0 to 6 scale. Higher MADRS scores indicate higher levels of depressive symptoms. The MADRS total score is the sum of all 10 individual-item scores and ranges from 0 to 60.

    Time frame: Month 36

  3. Change in depressive symptom trajectories in the occurrence of mood episodes

    Occurrence of mood episodes, on DSM-V as determined by the investigator, compared between the BAR and diagnosed bipolar disorder groups.

    Time frame: Month 36

  4. Change in global functioning with the Clinical Global Impressions scale from Baseline to Final Assessment

    Global functioning assessed with Clinical Global Impression (CGI) compared between the BAR and diagnosed bipolar disorder groups. The CGI scale rates the severity of the patient's illness at the time of assessment and is scored from 1 to 7 (1=normal, not ill to 7=very severely ill).

    Time frame: Month 36

  5. Change in quality of life

    Quality of life assessed with WHOQOL-BREF (4 domains), compared between the BAR and diagnosed bipolar disorder groups. Domain Score on World Health Organization Quality of Life - Brief (WHOQOL-BREF) survey. The survey consists of 26 questions and evaluates four domains of quality of life including physical health (domain 1), psychological (domain 2), social relationships (domain 3), and environment (domain 4). Domain scores are scaled in a positive direction (i.e. higher scores denote higher quality of life) and range between 4-20, comparable with the WHOQOL-100.

    Time frame: Month 36

  6. Change in suicidal risk severity

    Suicidal ideation and behavior assessed with the Columbia-Suicide Severity Rating Scale (C-SSRS), compared between the BAR group and the diagnosed bipolar disorder group. Columbia Suicide Severity Rating Scale (C-SSRS) is a tool for evaluating the risk of individual suicide. It includes a series of questions to evaluate the frequency, intensity, persistence and concreteness of individual suicide behavior in the past period of time. The purpose of C-SSRS scale is to distinguish between suicidal ideation and suicidal attempt and higher scores mean a worse outcome. Developed by researchers from Columbia University, the scale is widely used in clinical and research fields to help identify and manage suicide risks.

    Time frame: Month 36

  7. Change in sleep quality

    Sleep quality assessed with the Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index (PSQI, 0-21), compared between the BAR and diagnosed bipolar disorder groups, and explored by conversion status within the BAR group. The total items of Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index inventory are 7. The score of each item is from 0-3. The score\>5 points means the sleep quality is good. Meanwhile the score ≦5 points is poor sleep quality.

    Time frame: Month 36

  8. Trauma exposure

    Traumatic exposure assessed with the Traumatic Experiences Checklist (TEC), compared between groups and explored in relation to diagnostic conversion within the BAR group. The TEC is a self-report measure addressing 29 types of potentially traumatic events. It is a 29-item retrospective self-report scale. It is a reliable and valid self-report instrument that can be used in clinical practice and research. Different scores can be calculated, including a cumulative score, and scores for emotional neglect, emotional abuse, physical abuse, sexual harassment, sexual abuse, and bodily threat from a person.

    Time frame: Month 36

  9. PTSD symptoms exposure

    Post-traumatic stress symptoms assessed with the PTSD Checklist for DSM-5 (PCL-5, 0-80), compared between groups and explored in relation to diagnostic conversion within the BAR group. The post traumatic stress disorder checklist scale (PLC-5) is 20-item scale to assess post-traumatic stress symptoms. Participants respond to each item using a 5-point Likert scale. The score ranges between 0 and 80, with 0 reflecting no post traumatic stress disorder.

    Time frame: Month 36

  10. Psychiatric hospitalizations

    Systematic collection of psychiatric hospitalizations

    Time frame: Month 36

  11. Psychotropic treatment changes

    Systematic collection of major psychotropic treatment changes

    Time frame: Month 36

07

Study locations

3 sites
  • University Hospital of Angers
    Angers, France
  • Hospital of Laval
    Laval, France
  • Centre de Santé Mentale Angevin
    Sainte-Gemmes-sur-Loire, France
08

References and documents

Individual participant data

Plan to share: Undecided

No publications or documents are linked to this record.

09

Updates

1 registry update since Sep 25, 2026
Registered
First appeared on the registry. No changes since
Oct 14, 2026
Show all 1 update
  1. Oct 14, 2026
    First appeared on the registry

From the registry record's own update history. This site started tracking changes on Sep 25, 2026; for anything earlier, see the record history on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗

10

Registry details

Key details

Study ID
NCT07872878
Responsible party
Sponsor
First posted
Oct 14, 2026
Start date
Nov 2026 (estimated)
Primary completion
Dec 2030 (estimated)
Completion
Dec 2030 (estimated)
Last update
Oct 14, 2026

Study contacts

Julie GARRIVET, Doctor of Medecine
Contact
julie.garrivet@chu-angers.fr
+ 33 (0)2 41 35 32 44
Matthieu LE LAY
Contact
DRCI-Promotion-Interne@chu-angers.fr
+33 (0)2 41 35 58 91
Julie GARRIVET, Doctor of Medecine
principal investigator · University Hospital, Angers

Oversight

Data monitoring committee
No
FDA-regulated drug
No
FDA-regulated device
No
View the source record on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗

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