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RecruitingNCT07690813Updated Sep 21, 2026

ML Models Predicting Cycloplegic Refractive Error Based on Non-Cycloplegic Parameters in Myopic Adults

An observational study in Refractive Errors, Cycloplegic Refraction and Accommodation, sponsored by Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University. Recruiting at 1 site in China. Open to participants aged 18 Years to 47 Years. Per ClinicalTrials.gov, last updated 2026-09-21.

Sponsored by Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University · Observational

From the registry’s dates

  • Started Oct 2023; still recruiting 3 years 1 month later.
Study type
Observational
Model
Other
Time perspective
Cross-sectional
Enrollment
2,500
Ages
18 Years to 47 Years
Sex
All
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Study summary

This study presents a machine learning model that predicts cycloplegic refraction in adults with myopia using standard non-cycloplegic eye measurements, aiming to reduce the need for cycloplegic drops while still identifying patients who require them.

Read the detailed description

Myopia is a highly prevalent, irreversible refractive disorder with substantial impact on quality of life. Cycloplegic refraction is the gold standard for assessing refractive error in adults considering optical or surgical correction, but it is time-consuming, slow to recover from, and frequently associated with ocular discomfort. Non-cycloplegic refraction is therefore used routinely in clinical practice, despite known differences from cycloplegic values in a subset of adult myopes.

Critically, this discrepancy varies substantially between individuals and cannot be anticipated from non-cycloplegic measurements alone. Clinicians have no reliable way to identify, prior to dilation, which patients are likely to be overcorrected if cycloplegia is omitted, potentially leading to overcorrected prescriptions, asthenopia, and myopic progression.

Machine learning approaches that capture non-linear relationships between clinical predictors and refractive outcomes have shown promise in children, but comparable models for adults remain largely unexplored, and most rely on axial length, which is unavailable in routine optometric settings. Refractive surgery centers offer a uniquely suitable data source, as every candidate undergoes standardized paired non-cycloplegic and cycloplegic refraction with detailed anterior segment biometry during routine preoperative evaluation. This study leverages such data to develop and validate models estimating cycloplegic refractive error from non-cycloplegic parameters, providing a decision-support tool that reduces unnecessary cycloplegia while flagging patients for whom dilated refraction remains indicated.

02

Conditions studied

  • Refractive Errors
  • Cycloplegic Refraction
  • Accommodation

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Keywords

  • Accommodation
  • Cycloplegic refraction
  • Refractive errors
03

In context

Refractive Errors

420 studies on the registry are indexed under Refractive Errors; 59 are open to participants now.

This study's planned enrollment of 2,500 is above the median of 150 across 108 observational studies indexed under Refractive Errors.

Browse Refractive Errors studies →

Lead sponsor

Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University is the lead sponsor of 85 studies on the registry; 52 are open to participants now.

Counted across the registry records on this site, refreshed daily.

04

Who can participate

Ages eligible
18 Years to 47 Years
Sexes eligible
All
Accepts healthy volunteers
No
Sampling method
Non-probability sample

Study population

Each subject underwent a comprehensive preoperative examination, including cycloplegic and non-cycloplegic refractions, Pentacam, etc.

Go through the criteria one by one — yes, no or not sure — and take the list to your doctor or the study team. Kept in this browser only.

Inclusion criteria

  1. Age 18 to 60 years, of either sex;
  2. Spherical equivalent between -0.50 diopters and -10.00 diopters, with myopia in one or both eyes, and with cylinder of 4.00 diopters or less;
  3. Best-corrected visual acuity of 20/25 or better in each eye;
  4. Clear cornea, no keratoconus, corneal scarring, or other pathologies; clear lens;
  5. Intraocular pressure of 21 mmHg or less, with no history of glaucoma;
  6. No history of ocular surgery, especially corneal refractive surgery or cataract surgery;
  7. Time interval between non-cycloplegic refraction and cycloplegic refraction of 7 days or less, with complete data.

Exclusion criteria

Exclusion Criteria:

  1. Incomplete clinical data to support the diagnosis;
  2. Ocular conditions such as subclinical keratoconus, keratoconus, or moderate-to-severe corneal haze or leukoma;
  3. Allergy or to cycloplegic agents;
  4. Refusal to participate in the study.
Terms in these criteria, in plain language(1)

Underlined terms in the criteria open these too. Explained by clinicaltrials.gg, not part of the registry record. The study team decides who can take part.

Contraindication

A reason a treatment, test or procedure should not be given to a particular person, such as an allergy, another illness or a medicine they take.

05

Study design

Observational model
Other
Time perspective
Cross-sectional
Enrollment
2,500 participants (estimated)
Patient registry
No

Groups and cohorts

  • Group with spherical equivalent change ≥0.50 diopters after cycloplegic refraction

    Adult myopes with a non-cycloplegic versus cycloplegic spherical equivalent difference of ≥0.50 diopters, for whom cycloplegic refraction is clinically warranted, received routine cycloplegic refraction with tropicamide; no other intervention was given.

    Diagnostic Test: Machine learning model for predicting cycloplegic refraction

  • Group with spherical equivalent change <0.50 diopters after cycloplegic refraction

    Adult myopes with an absolute difference of less than 0.50 diopters between non-cycloplegic and cycloplegic spherical equivalent, for whom non-cycloplegic refraction is considered sufficient, received routine cycloplegic refraction with tropicamide; no additional intervention was applied.

    Diagnostic Test: Machine learning model for predicting cycloplegic refraction

Interventions

  • Diagnostic testMachine learning model for predicting cycloplegic refraction

    The machine learning model was applied to each participant's non-cycloplegic parameters to predict cycloplegic spherical equivalent.

06

What researchers measure

Primary outcomes

  1. Accuracy of predicted cycloplegic spherical equivalent

    Accuracy of the machine learning model in predicting cycloplegic spherical equivalent in the validation dataset, evaluated by mean absolute error, root mean square error, and coefficient of determination, expressed for spherical equivalent in diopters.

    Time frame: Day 0

Secondary outcomes

  1. Diagnostic performance for identifying patients requiring cycloplegic refraction

    Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, sensitivity, and specificity of the model for classifying patients with an absolute difference of 0.50 diopters or more between non-cycloplegic and cycloplegic spherical equivalent in the validation dataset.

    Time frame: Day 0

  2. Agreement between predicted and measured cycloplegic refraction

    Agreement between predicted and measured cycloplegic spherical equivalent assessed by Bland-Altman analysis with mean bias and 95% limits of agreement, and by the intraclass correlation coefficient in the validation dataset.

    Time frame: Day 0

07

Study locations

1 of 1 sites recruiting
  • The Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, Nanchang, JiangXi 330000
    Jiangxi, China
    Recruiting
08

References and documents

Individual participant data

Plan to share: No

No publications or documents are linked to this record.

09

Timeline

Tracking since Sep 25, 2026
ElapsedEstimatedEstimated, not yet reached

Started Oct 2023 (actual). Primary completion is estimated for Nov 2026, 37 months after the start.

How these figures are worked out, and which studies are left out of them.

Registered
Jun 21, 2026
First posted
Jul 8, 2026
StartActual
Oct 3, 2023
Primary completionEst.
Nov 25, 2026
CompletionEst.
Nov 25, 2026
Last update
Sep 21, 2026
What these dates mean
Start.
When the first participant enrolled; while estimated, when the study expects to open to recruitment.
Primary completion.
When the last participant was examined or treated to collect data for the study's main question, its primary outcome. A study that stopped early gives the date its data collection stopped.
Completion.
When the last participant's last visit took place, for every outcome, secondary ones and side effects included: the end of the study. Often later than primary completion, sometimes the same day.
Actual and Est.
Actual means the registry says the date has happened. Est. (estimated) is a date the sponsor plans or expects. It can still move, and the sponsor is expected to change it to actual once it has passed.
No changes since tracking began. The registry record was last updated on Sep 21, 2026, before this site started recording changes on Sep 25, 2026. Its history is on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗
10

Registry details

Key details

Study ID
NCT07690813
Lead sponsor
Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University
Responsible party
Jian Xiong (Associate research fellow; Attending physician, Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University) — Principal investigator
First posted
Jul 8, 2026
Start date
Oct 3, 2023
Primary completion
Nov 25, 2026 (estimated)
Completion
Nov 25, 2026 (estimated)
Last update
Sep 21, 2026

Study contacts

jian xiong
Contact
894040417@qq.com
18170906556
Fu Gui
Contact
564436578@qq.com
1387910191

Oversight

Data monitoring committee
No
FDA-regulated drug
No
FDA-regulated device
No
View the source record on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗

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