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CompletedNCT07466524Updated Mar 20, 2026

suPAR Michigan M2C2 Heterogeneity Validation Cohort Study

An observational study in COVID-19, Severe Respiratory Distress Syndrome and Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome, sponsored by ViroGates A/S. Completed at 1 site in United States. Open to participants aged 18 Years and older. Per ClinicalTrials.gov, last updated 2026-03-20.

Sponsored by ViroGates A/S · Observational

Study type
Observational
Model
Cohort
Time perspective
Retrospective
Enrollment
367
Ages
18 Years and older
Sex
All
01

Study summary

This is a retrospective, non interventional cohort study using stored plasma samples from appoximately 300 adults hospitalized with confirmed COVID 19. Baseline suPAR measured using the suPARnostic TurbiLatex assay on the Roche cobas c501.

Read the detailed description

The Michigan Medicine COVID-19 Cohort (M2C2) is the largest sub-cohort of the International Study on Inflammation in COVID-19 (ISIC). The M2C2 comprises consecutive, systematically enrolled adults (≥18 years) with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection hospitalized specifically for COVID-19 at the University of Michigan from 1 February 2020 to 1 June 2021. Adult patients hospitalized in participating U.S. hospitals with confirmed COVID 19 infection during the study period, who had baseline suPAR measured using the suPARnostic TurbiLatex assay on Roche cobas c501 on plasma samples obtained within 48 hours of admission. The cohort reflects real world U.S. data and includes racially and ethnically diverse populations with typical U.S. burdens of obesity, diabetes, and chronic kidney disease.

SAMPLE SIZE JUSTIFICATION - Since we have a fixed 6 ng/mL threshold and are only validating (not discovering), the analysis is just a 2×2 table.

True sensitivity 94% (matching SPARCOL): N=136 is enough True sensitivity 90% (conservative): N=237 is enough True sensitivity 88% (worst case): N=440 needed SPARCOL showed 93.9%, so N=300 covers you even if U.S. sensitivity drops to \~88% - a generous safety margin.

STATED LIMITATIONS

  • N=300 does not support fully adjusted multivariable logistic regression
  • Hispanic and Asian subgroups are too small for standalone powered analyses. These subgroups are reported descriptively.
  • Formal non-inferiority testing of sensitivity (U.S. vs. SPARCOL) would require a larger sample. The comparison is performed descriptively, with the acceptance criterion applied to the U.S. data independently (lower 95% CI > 80%).

CONCLUSION We have previously considered measuring 1200 samples, but a balance between statistical rigor and practical feasibility (assay cost, data extraction effort) we recalculated number needed to N=300 which according to the power calculation is an appropriate sample size for this validation study.

REFERENCES

  1. Hayek SS, Vasb inder A, Engoren M, et al. J Med Virol. 2024; 96(1):e29389. PMID: 38235904.
  2. Chalkias A, Skoulakis A, Papagiannakis N, et al. Eur J Clin Invest. 022;52(7):e13794. PMID: 35435245.
  3. Altintas I, Eugen-Olsen J, Seppala S, et al. Biomark Insights. 2021;16. PMID: 34421295.
  4. Peduzzi P, Concato J, Kemper E, et al. J Clin Epidemiol. 1996; 49(12):1373-1379.
  5. FDA Q-Sub Q240207/A001 Meeting Minutes, April 15, 2024.
  6. Hanley JA, McNeil BJ. Radiology. 1982;143(1):29-36.
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Conditions studied

  • COVID-19
  • Severe Respiratory Distress Syndrome
  • Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome

Keywords

  • Soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor
  • suPAR
  • Respiratory failure
  • Mechanical ventilation
  • Biomarker
  • Real world data
  • Observational Cohort study
03

In context

COVID-19

7,640 studies on the registry are indexed under COVID-19; 488 are open to participants now.

This study's enrollment of 367 is above the median of 260 across 3,135 observational studies indexed under COVID-19.

Browse COVID-19 studies →

Lead sponsor

This is the only study on the registry with ViroGates A/S as lead sponsor.

Counted across the registry records on this site, refreshed daily.

04

Who can participate

Ages eligible
18 Years and older
Sexes eligible
All
Accepts healthy volunteers
No
Sampling method
Non-probability sample

Study population

The Michigan Medicine COVID-19 Cohort (M2C2) is the largest sub-cohort of the International Study on Inflammation in COVID-19 (ISIC). The M2C2 comprises consecutive, systematically enrolled adults (≥18 years) with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection hospitalized specifically for COVID-19 at the University of Michigan from 1 February 2020 to 1 June 2021. Adult patients hospitalized in participating U.S. hospitals with confirmed COVID 19 infection during the study period, who had baseline suPAR measured using the suPARnostic TurbiLatex assay on Roche cobas c501 on plasma samples obtained within 48 hours of admission. The cohort reflects real world clinical practice and includes racially and ethnically diverse populations with typical U.S. burdens of obesity, diabetes, and chronic kidney disease.

Inclusion criteria

  1. Age ≥18 years at hospital admission.

    1. Confirmed SARS CoV 2 infection documented in the EHR (positive RT PCR or antigen test from a respiratory specimen).
    2. suPAR level measured from EDTA plasma using the suPARnostic TurbiLatex assay on a Roche cobas c501 analyzer on samples taken within 24 hours of Emergency Department presentation or hospital admission.
    3. Available 30 day follow up data from the date of admission (30 day vital status and SRF status ascertainable).

Exclusion criteria

  1. Already intubated and/or receiving invasive mechanical ventilation at the time of suPAR sample collection.

    1. Documented "Do Not Intubate" order or determination that the patient was not a candidate for mechanical ventilation at admission.
    2. suPAR measured by a method other than the suPARnostic TurbiLatex assay on Roche cobas c501 (e.g., ELISA, other platforms).
    3. Incomplete primary endpoint data (SRF status cannot be determined within 30 days).
    4. Patients with confirmed SARS CoV 2 infection who were not primarily admitted for COVID 19 (incidental positive test in a non COVID admission).
05

Study design

Observational model
Cohort
Time perspective
Retrospective
Enrollment
367 participants (actual)
Patient registry
No
Biospecimen retention
Samples without dna

Groups and cohorts

  • Michigan Medicine Cohort Study

    The Michigan Medicine Cohort (M2C2) is part of the International Study of Inflammation in COVID-19 (ISIC), ClinicalTrials.gov ID NCT04818866

    Diagnostic Test: suPARnostic® TurbiLatex Assay on Roche cobas c501

Interventions

  • Diagnostic testsuPARnostic® TurbiLatex Assay on Roche cobas c501

    Quantitative measurement of soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR) in human EDTA plasma using the suPARnostic TurbiLatex particle enhanced turbidimetric immunoassay performed on the Roche Diagnostics cobas c501 analyzer. Results are reported in ng/mL and interpreted using a pre specified clinical threshold of 6 ng/mL to identify patients at increased risk for progression to severe respiratory failure.

06

What researchers measure

Primary outcomes

  1. Severe respiratory failure (SRF) within 30 days

    Development of severe respiratory failure requiring endotracheal intubation and initiation of invasive mechanical ventilation within 30 days of hospital admission. SRF is ascertained from EHR procedure codes and clinical documentation. Performance metrics (sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV, AUC) at the suPAR ≥6 ng/mL threshold will be calculated.

    Time frame: Statistical analysis will be carried out in March 2026

Secondary outcomes

  1. Secondary outcomes (optional)

    Compare performance to European SPARCOL cohort

    Time frame: March 2026

  2. Subgroup analysis

    Evaluate performance across subgroups (sex, age, race/ethnicity, BMI, diabetes, CKD, SARS-CoV-2 variant era).

    Time frame: March 2026

  3. Composite endpoint

    Evaluate suPAR ≥6 ng/mL for ICU admission, 30-day mortality, and composite (SRF or death).

    Time frame: March 2026

07

Study locations

1 site
  • Michigan state university, Department of Biostatistics
    Ann Arbor, Michigan 48109, United States
08

References and documents

Publications

  • Vasbinder A, Anderson E, Shadid H, Berlin H, Pan M, Azam TU, Khaleel I, Padalia K, Meloche C, O'Hayer P, Michaud E, Catalan T, Feroze R, Blakely P, Launius C, Huang Y, Zhao L, Ang L, Mikhael M, Mizokami-Stout K, Pennathur S, Kretzler M, Loosen SH, Chalkias A, Tacke F, Giamarellos-Bourboulis EJ, Reiser J, Eugen-Olsen J, Feldman EL, Pop-Busui R, Hayek SS; ISIC Study Group. Inflammation, Hyperglycemia, and Adverse Outcomes in Individuals With Diabetes Mellitus Hospitalized for COVID-19. Diabetes Care. 2022 Mar 1;45(3):692-700. doi: 10.2337/dc21-2102. PubMed 35045184 ↗
  • Ismail A, Shadid HR, Huang Y, Hutten CG, Vasbinder A, Pizzo I, Catalan TC, Diaz KM, Kunkle P, Banerjee M, Rubenfire M, Brandt EJ, Williams G, Pop-Busui R, Hayek SS. Statin Therapy, Inflammation, and Outcomes in Patients Hospitalized for COVID-19: A Prospective Multicenter Cohort Study. Am J Med. 2024 Dec;137(12):1264-1271.e1. doi: 10.1016/j.amjmed.2024.08.011. Epub 2024 Aug 22. PubMed 39179167 ↗
  • Hutten CG, Padalia K, Vasbinder A, Huang Y, Ismail A, Pizzo I, Machado Diaz K, Catalan T, Presswalla F, Anderson E, Erne G, Bitterman B, Blakely P, Giamarellos-Bourboulis EJ, Loosen SH, Tacke F, Chalkias A, Reiser J, Eugen-Olsen J, Banerjee M, Pop-Busui R, Hayek SS. Obesity, Inflammation, and Clinical Outcomes in COVID-19: A Multicenter Prospective Cohort Study. J Clin Endocrinol Metab. 2024 Oct 15;109(11):2745-2753. doi: 10.1210/clinem/dgae273. PubMed 38635301 ↗
  • Vasbinder A, Padalia K, Pizzo I, Machado K, Catalan T, Presswalla F, Anderson E, Ismail A, Hutten C, Huang Y, Blakely P, Azam TU, Berlin H, Feroze R, Launius C, Meloche C, Michaud E, O'Hayer P, Pan M, Shadid HR, Rasmussen LJH, Roberts DA, Zhao L, Banerjee M, Murthy V, Loosen SH, Chalkias A, Tacke F, Reiser J, Giamarellos-Bourboulis EJ, Eugen-Olsen J, Pop-Busui R, Hayek SS; ISIC investigators. SuPAR, biomarkers of inflammation, and severe outcomes in patients hospitalized for COVID-19: The International Study of Inflammation in COVID-19. J Med Virol. 2024 Jan;96(1):e29389. doi: 10.1002/jmv.29389. PubMed 38235904 ↗

Individual participant data

Plan to share: Undecided

09

Updates

Tracking since Sep 25, 2026
No changes since tracking began. The registry record was last updated on Mar 20, 2026, before this site started recording changes on Sep 25, 2026. Its history is on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗
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Registry details

Key details

Study ID
NCT07466524
Lead sponsor
ViroGates A/S
Collaborators
University of Michigan, The University of Texas Medical Branch, Galveston
Responsible party
Sponsor
First posted
Mar 12, 2026
Start date
Feb 1, 2020
Primary completion
Oct 19, 2022
Completion
Oct 19, 2022
Last update
Mar 20, 2026

Oversight

Data monitoring committee
No
FDA-regulated drug
No
FDA-regulated device
Yes
View the source record on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗

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This study is completed, as verified in Mar 2026. You cannot join it, but the record below documents what was studied.

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