ClinicalTrials.gg
Not yet recruitingNCT07404423OPEN-IPFUpdated Feb 11, 2026

OPEN-IPF: Observational Prediction modEl for cliNical Outcomes in Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis

An observational study in Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis, sponsored by University of Modena and Reggio Emilia. Not yet recruiting. Open to participants aged 18 Years to 90 Years. Per ClinicalTrials.gov, last updated 2026-02-11.

Sponsored by University of Modena and Reggio Emilia · Observational

Study type
Observational
Model
Cohort
Time perspective
Retrospective
Enrollment
1,000
Ages
18 Years to 90 Years
Sex
All
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Study summary

Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is a progressive fibrotic lung disease with marked inter-individual heterogeneity in trajectories and outcomes. Despite antifibrotic therapies, reliable risk stratification in routine practice remains suboptimal. OPEN-IPF is a multicentre retrospective observational cohort study designed to build a harmonised real-world dataset across Italian IPF referral centres to enable the development and external validation of machine-learning (ML) models predicting clinically relevant outcomes.

Read the detailed description

OPEN-IPF addresses the current limitation of AI/ML research in IPF-namely, the lack of large multicentre real-world datasets with harmonised variables and robust external validation. The study will retrospectively include adult patients with IPF followed in routine practice in participating Italian referral centres from 1 January 2015 to 31 December 2025 (data lock). No study-specific procedures will be performed. De-identified/pseudonymised data will be collected using a common data model, including demographics, smoking history, comorbidities, pulmonary function (FVC, DLCO), oxygen requirement, 6-minute walk test (where available), antifibrotic treatment exposure, HRCT features routinely reported, basic laboratory parameters, and clinical outcomes. The primary modelling targets are disease progression, acute exacerbations of IPF (AE-IPF), and real-world response to antifibrotic treatment. Model development will be performed using multicentre data with explicit external validation across centres

02

Conditions studied

  • Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis

Keywords

  • Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis
  • IPF
  • Disease progression
  • Acute exacerbation
  • Antifibrotic therapy
  • Nintedanib
  • Pirfenidone
  • Real-world data
  • Machine learning
  • Prognostic model
  • External validation
  • Multicentre cohort
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In context

Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis

576 studies on the registry are indexed under Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis; 123 are open to participants now.

This study's planned enrollment of 1,000 is above the median of 152 across 165 observational studies indexed under Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis.

Browse Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis studies →

Lead sponsor

University of Modena and Reggio Emilia is the lead sponsor of 65 studies on the registry; 17 are open to participants now.

Counted across the registry records on this site, refreshed daily.

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Who can participate

Ages eligible
18 Years to 90 Years
Sexes eligible
All
Accepts healthy volunteers
No
Sampling method
Non-probability sample

Study population

Adults with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis diagnosed according to international guidelines and local multidisciplinary team assessment, followed in routine care at participating Italian referral centres.

Go through the criteria one by one — yes, no or not sure — and take the list to your doctor or the study team. Kept in this browser only.

Inclusion criteria

  • Age ≥18 years
  • Diagnosis of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis established according to international guidelines and local multidisciplinary team (MDT) assessment
  • Availability of baseline clinical and functional data
  • Availability of follow-up data for at least 12 months, or until a event (e.g., death, lung transplantation)

Exclusion criteria

Exclusion Criteria:

  • Interstitial lung disease other than IPF
  • Lung transplantation performed before the baseline (index) date
  • Absence of any follow-up information after baseline
Terms in these criteria, in plain language(1)

Underlined terms in the criteria open these too. Explained by clinicaltrials.gg, not part of the registry record. The study team decides who can take part.

Clinically significant

Judged by the study doctor to matter for your health or for the study. It is a doctor’s decision, so ask the study team if you are unsure whether something counts.

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Study design

Observational model
Cohort
Time perspective
Retrospective
Enrollment
1,000 participants (estimated)
Patient registry
No
06

What researchers measure

Primary outcomes

  1. Disease progression (guideline-based functional/composite criteria)

    Disease progression defined using guideline-based criteria derived from routinely collected clinical data (e.g., decline in lung function and/or composite progression definitions as per the shared operational document).

    Time frame: From baseline (index date) up to 12 months and up to end of available follow-up (maximum: 31 December 2025)

Secondary outcomes

  1. Acute exacerbation of IPF (AE-IPF)

    Occurrence of AE-IPF during follow-up, adjudicated from routine clinical documentation using standardised operational definitions shared across centres.

    Time frame: From baseline to end of follow-up (maximum: 31 December 2025)

  2. Real-world response to antifibrotic therapy

    Treatment response assessed in routine clinical practice using longitudinal clinical/functional data and treatment exposure information (type, start, discontinuation)

    Time frame: From treatment initiation (or baseline if already treated) up to 12 months and end of follow-up (maximum: 31 December 2025)

  3. Overall survival

    Time from baseline to death from any cause.

    Time frame: From baseline to end of follow-up (maximum: 31 December 2025)

  4. Transplant-free survival

    Time from baseline to lung transplantation or death.

    Time frame: From baseline to end of follow-up (maximum: 31 December 2025)

  5. Time to first progression or AE-IPF event

    Time from baseline to first occurrence of disease progression or AE-IPF.

    Time frame: From baseline to end of follow-up (maximum: 31 December 2025)

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Study locations

No study locations are listed for this record.

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References and documents

Individual participant data

Plan to share: Undecided

No publications or documents are linked to this record.

09

Timeline

Tracking since Sep 25, 2026
ElapsedEstimatedEstimated, not yet reached

Start is estimated for Jun 2026; primary completion for Jan 2027, 7 months later.

How these figures are worked out, and which studies are left out of them.

Registered
Feb 4, 2026
First posted
Feb 11, 2026
StartEst.
Jun 1, 2026
Primary completionEst.
Jan 1, 2027
CompletionEst.
Jun 1, 2027
Last update
Feb 11, 2026
What these dates mean
Start.
When the first participant enrolled; while estimated, when the study expects to open to recruitment.
Primary completion.
When the last participant was examined or treated to collect data for the study's main question, its primary outcome. A study that stopped early gives the date its data collection stopped.
Completion.
When the last participant's last visit took place, for every outcome, secondary ones and side effects included: the end of the study. Often later than primary completion, sometimes the same day.
Actual and Est.
Actual means the registry says the date has happened. Est. (estimated) is a date the sponsor plans or expects. It can still move, and the sponsor is expected to change it to actual once it has passed.
No changes since tracking began. The registry record was last updated on Feb 11, 2026, before this site started recording changes on Sep 25, 2026. Its history is on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗
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Registry details

Key details

Study ID
NCT07404423
Lead sponsor
University of Modena and Reggio Emilia
Responsible party
Roberto Tonelli (MD, PhD, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia) — Principal investigator
First posted
Feb 11, 2026
Start date
Jun 1, 2026 (estimated)
Primary completion
Jan 1, 2027 (estimated)
Completion
Jun 1, 2027 (estimated)
Last update
Feb 11, 2026

Study contacts

Roberto Tonelli, MD, PhD
Contact
rtonelli@unimore.it
0039059425934
Stefania Cerri, MD, PhD
Contact
stefania.cerri@unimore.it
00390594225335

Oversight

FDA-regulated drug
No
FDA-regulated device
No
View the source record on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗

Not currently enrolling

This study is not yet recruiting, as verified in Feb 2026. You cannot join it, but the record below documents what was studied.

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