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CompletedNCT07132996SCOPEUpdated Aug 20, 2025

Spleen Volume Change Predicts 45-Day Mortality in Neurocritical Care: A Prospective Cohort Study

An observational study in Intracerebral Hemorrhage (ICH), Hemorrhagic Stroke, Intracerebral and Neurocritical Care, sponsored by Ankara City Hospital Bilkent. Completed at 1 site in Turkey (Türkiye). Open to participants aged 18 Years and older. Per ClinicalTrials.gov, last updated 2025-08-20.

Sponsored by Ankara City Hospital Bilkent · Observational

Study type
Observational
Model
Cohort
Time perspective
Prospective
Enrollment
42
Ages
18 Years and older
Sex
All
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Study summary

This study investigates whether changes in spleen size over 72 hours can help predict the risk of death within 45 days in patients who were admitted to the emergency department with a type of bleeding in the brain called intracerebral hemorrhage. The spleen is a key immune organ that may shrink or enlarge in response to injury. A total of 42 adult patients with confirmed intracerebral hemorrhage were enrolled between March and September 2024 at Ankara Bilkent City Hospital in Turkey. Spleen size and brain bleeding volume were measured by imaging tests at the time of admission and repeated 72 hours later. Patients were followed for 45 days to determine survival status. The main goal of the study was to see if spleen size change (ΔSpleen) is a better predictor of death than brain bleeding volume change (ΔHematoma).

Read the detailed description

This is a prospective observational cohort study designed to evaluate the prognostic value of spleen volume changes in patients with non-traumatic intraparenchymal hemorrhage (ICH). The study was conducted at Ankara Bilkent City Hospital Emergency Department, a tertiary care center with neurocritical care expertise, between March 15, 2024, and September 15, 2024.

A total of 42 consecutive adult patients with neuroimaging-confirmed ICH were enrolled upon admission to the emergency department. All participants underwent baseline brain computed tomography (CT) and abdominal ultrasound within the first hours of presentation. Repeat imaging studies, including brain CT and abdominal ultrasound, were performed at 72 hours after enrollment.

Spleen volume (mL) and hematoma volume (mL) were measured using standardized volumetric methods. The change in each parameter (ΔSpleen and ΔHematoma) was calculated by subtracting the baseline measurement from the 72-hour measurement. Clinical and demographic characteristics, comorbidities, and imaging findings were prospectively collected for each participant.

The primary study objective is to determine whether changes in spleen volume (ΔSpleen) are independently associated with 45-day all-cause mortality in patients with ICH. A secondary objective is to compare the prognostic performance of ΔSpleen with changes in hematoma volume (ΔHematoma).

All patients were followed for 45 days from admission. Mortality status was determined through hospital medical records and verified by the national electronic health information system. Multivariable statistical modeling will be applied to adjust for baseline clinical and radiological variables.

This study aims to provide new insights into the potential role of spleen dynamics as a prognostic biomarker in acute ICH, supporting early risk stratification strategies in the neurocritical care setting.

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Conditions studied

  • Intracerebral Hemorrhage (ICH)
  • Hemorrhagic Stroke, Intracerebral
  • Neurocritical Care
  • Acute Brain Injury
  • Ultrasound

Keywords

  • spleen volume change
  • ΔSpleen
  • ΔHematoma
  • 45-day mortality risk
  • neurocritical care
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In context

Cerebral Hemorrhage

476 studies on the registry are indexed under Cerebral Hemorrhage; 181 are open to participants now.

This study's enrollment of 42 is below the median of 275 across 180 observational studies indexed under Cerebral Hemorrhage.

Browse Cerebral Hemorrhage studies →

Lead sponsor

Ankara City Hospital Bilkent is the lead sponsor of 424 studies on the registry; 105 are open to participants now.

Counted across the registry records on this site, refreshed daily.

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Who can participate

Ages eligible
18 Years and older
Sexes eligible
All
Accepts healthy volunteers
No
Sampling method
Non-probability sample

Study population

This study included 42 adult patients (≥18 years) diagnosed with intraparenchymal intracerebral hemorrhage confirmed by radiological imaging. Eligible patients underwent both baseline and 72-hour follow-up brain CT scans and abdominal ultrasound. Participants were consecutively enrolled from those presenting to the Emergency Department. Patients with incomplete imaging data, loss to follow-up before 45 days post-discharge, or conditions causing splenomegaly were excluded. Informed consent was obtained from all participants.

Inclusion criteria

  • Adults aged 18 years and older
  • Radiologically confirmed diagnosis of intraparenchymal intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH)
  • Underwent baseline and 72-hour follow-up brain CT scans
  • Underwent abdominal ultrasound at baseline
  • Provided written informed consent prior to participation

Exclusion criteria

Exclusion Criteria:

  • Incomplete or missing imaging data (brain CT or abdominal ultrasound)
  • Loss to follow-up or withdrawal of consent before 45 days post-discharge
  • Presence of conditions known to cause splenomegaly (e.g., hematological malignancies, liver cirrhosis, infectious diseases)
  • Age under 18 years
  • Pregnant or breastfeeding women
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Study design

Observational model
Cohort
Time perspective
Prospective
Enrollment
42 participants (actual)
Patient registry
No

Groups and cohorts

  • Decreased Spleen Volume Group (ΔSpleen < 0 mL)

    Patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage who demonstrated a reduction in splenic volume from baseline to 72 hours after admission (negative ΔSpleen). Outcomes include 45-day all-cause mortality, changes in Glasgow Coma Scale, and inflammatory biomarker levels.

    Diagnostic Test: POCUS-based Splenic Volume Measurement

  • Stable/ Increased Spleen Volume Group (ΔSpleen ≥ 0 mL)

    Patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage who showed no change or an increase in splenic volume from baseline to 72 hours after admission (ΔSpleen ≥ 0 mL). Outcomes include 45-day all-cause mortality, changes in Glasgow Coma Scale, and inflammatory biomarker levels.

    Diagnostic Test: POCUS-based Splenic Volume Measurement

Interventions

  • Diagnostic testPOCUS-based Splenic Volume Measurement

    Splenic volume was measured at baseline and at 72 hours using the Butterfly iQ+ handheld ultrasound (Butterfly Network, Inc.) in abdominal preset mode. Certified POCUS operators obtained spleen length, width, and depth in standard orthogonal planes. Volumes were calculated using the prolate ellipsoid formula (length × width × depth × 0.523), a validated method in ultrasound volumetric studies. ΔSpleen was defined as the 72-hour value minus the baseline value.

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What researchers measure

Primary outcomes

  1. Change in spleen volume (ΔSpleen) from baseline to 72 hours

    Spleen volume will be measured using abdominal ultrasound volumetry at baseline and at 72 hours. Change (ΔSpleen) will be calculated as the difference between baseline and 72-hour measurement. Unit of Measure: milliliters (mL)

    Time frame: Baseline (within 24 hours of admission) and 72 hours

Secondary outcomes

  1. 45-day all-cause mortality

    Mortality status will be assessed through hospital records and the national electronic health system. Unit of Measure: percentage of patients (%)

    Time frame: 45 days

  2. Change in hematoma volume (ΔHematoma) from baseline to 72 hours

    Hematoma volume will be measured using brain CT volumetry at baseline and at 72 hours. Change (ΔHematoma) will be calculated as the difference between baseline and 72-hour measurement. Unit of Measure: milliliters (mL)

    Time frame: Hematoma volume change calculated as 72-hour minus baseline measurements

  3. Baseline Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) scores

    The Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) is a standardized neurological scale used to assess the level of consciousness in patients with acute brain injury. It ranges from 3 (deep coma or death) to 15 (fully awake and oriented). In this study, baseline GCS scores are recorded upon patient admission, within 24 hours of spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage diagnosis. The score is derived from three components: eye opening, verbal response, and motor response, each rated on a numerical scale and summed to provide the total GCS score. This measure serves as an objective indicator of initial neurological status.

    Time frame: Baseline Glasgow Coma Scale measured within 24 hours of admission

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Study locations

1 site
  • Ankara Bilkent City Hospital Emergency Medicine Department
    Ankara, Turkey (Türkiye)
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References and documents

Individual participant data

Plan to share: Yes — The individual participant data (IPD) to be shared include anonymized demographic information (age, sex), clinical characteristics (baseline and 72-hour brain CT findings, abdominal ultrasound results), treatment details, and 45-day follow-up outcomes (survival status). All shared data will be fully de-identified to protect patient privacy. The dataset will exclude any direct identifiers such as names, addresses, or personal identification numbers. Data sharing will support secondary analyses and meta-analyses related to intracerebral hemorrhage and spleen volume without compromising confidentiality. Access will be granted upon reasonable request and after approval by the study's data sharing committee.

Supporting information: Study protocol, Sap

No publications or documents are linked to this record.

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Updates

Tracking since Sep 25, 2026
No changes since tracking began. The registry record was last updated on Aug 20, 2025, before this site started recording changes on Sep 25, 2026. Its history is on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗
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Registry details

Key details

Study ID
NCT07132996
Lead sponsor
Ankara City Hospital Bilkent
Responsible party
Cagdas Yildirim, MD (Assistant Professor, Ankara City Hospital Bilkent) — Principal investigator
First posted
Aug 20, 2025
Start date
Mar 15, 2024
Primary completion
Sep 15, 2024
Completion
Oct 30, 2024
Last update
Aug 20, 2025

Study contacts

Cagdas Yildirim, Assistant Professor
principal investigator · Ankara City Hospital Bilkent
Kadir Yenal, Attending Physician
study chair · Ankara City Hospital Bilkent

Oversight

Data monitoring committee
No
FDA-regulated drug
No
FDA-regulated device
No
View the source record on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗

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