ClinicalTrials.gg
RecruitingNCT07055542CARISTAUpdated May 6, 2026

Creating A Risk Assessment Tool for Thunderstorm Asthma: the CARISTA Study

An interventional study of Observational in Allergic Asthma, Thunderstorm Asthma and Seasonal Allergic Rhinitis, sponsored by University of Melbourne. Recruiting at 6 sites in Australia. Open to participants aged 18 Years to 70 Years, including healthy volunteers. Per ClinicalTrials.gov, last updated 2026-05-06.

Sponsored by University of Melbourne · Not applicable, Interventional, and Diagnostic

From the registry’s dates

  • Started Aug 2025; still recruiting 1 year 2 months later.
Phase
Not applicable
Study type
Interventional
Enrollment
530
Allocation
Not applicable
Ages
18 Years to 70 Years
Sex
All
01

Study summary

Thunderstorm asthma is a recurring public health emergency in South-Eastern Australia which occurs in springtime. The major identified risk factors for thunderstorm asthma is hay fever and allergy to ryegrass pollen. The goal of the CARISTA study is to identify the risk of springtime allergic and thunderstorm asthma in allergic adults living in South-Eastern Australia. To do this the investigators will recruit 530 people who have hay fever and test them for allergy to ryegrass pollen and undertake simple lung function testing. The investigators will ask study participants to complete a customised symptom tracker over the springtime pollen season for 2 consecutive years. The outcome the investigators are looking for is an asthma exacerbation or worsening asthma symptoms. This study will enable the investigators to identify indicators (biomarkers) of severe and moderate asthma exacerbations in order to identify those at risk of thunderstorm and seasonal asthma so protective treatments and strategies can be advised.

Read the detailed description

Thunderstorm asthma is a recurring public health emergency in South-Eastern Australia with increasing risks due to climate change. Yet thunderstorm asthma is only the "tip of the iceberg" of documented seasonal surges in emergency asthma presentations due to ryegrass pollen allergy - an escalating challenge to healthcare provision in South-Eastern Australia. The CARISTA (Creating A Risk assessment biomarker tool to prevent Seasonal allergic and Thunderstorm Asthma) study aims to address these profound health impacts.

The CARISTA study will recruit adults at high risk of seasonal allergic asthma and thunderstorm asthma who will be monitored using a customised secure data platform for asthma and allergic rhinitis symptoms over two consecutive spring seasons (2025/2026/2027). Participants with self-reported or diagnosed seasonal allergic rhinitis and/or seasonal allergic asthma will be recruited before springtime and their baseline allergic rhinitis and/or asthma symptoms, respiratory function and blood biomarkers (allergy or sensitisation to ryegrass pollen, levels of inflammatory cells [eosinophils]) will be measured.

The key symptoms of interest are moderate or severe asthma exacerbations which are defined as an increase in asthma symptoms requiring intervention with an emergency medical visit, use of oral corticosteroid therapy or of regular preventive asthma therapy. These asthma exacerbations will be used to establish a biomarker-based estimate of risk for seasonal allergic asthma exacerbations to inform preventive clinical practice. The key biomarker will be the threshold of serum specific IgE (sp-IgE) to ryegrass pollen and its allergen sub-components, but other biomarkers such as lung function, eosinophil levels, and allergen component sensitisation will be simultaneously assessed.

This study brings together a team of world-leading multidisciplinary and cross-sectoral clinicians and researchers in Respiratory Medicine, Allergy, Primary Health Care, Epidemiology, Public Health, Statistical modelling and Botany from multiple health and academic institutions.

Overall, CARISTA will test a new approach to predict risk for seasonal allergic asthma to identify treatable traits for preventing seasonal allergic asthma exacerbations to reduce the recurrent annual health threat of seasonal and thunderstorm asthma, address community and health care provider concerns and uncertainty regarding preventive treatment and management.

02

Conditions studied

  • Allergic Asthma
  • Thunderstorm Asthma
  • Seasonal Allergic Rhinitis
  • Grass Pollen Allergy
  • Asthma Exacerbation Due to Thunderstorm
  • Asthma Acute

Keywords

  • asthma
  • allergy
  • grass pollen allergy
  • ryegrass pollen
  • prospective symptom monitoring
  • seasonal allergic rhinitis
  • hay fever
  • seasonal allergic rhinoconjunctivitis
  • serum specific IgE
  • spirometry
03

In context

Rhinitis, Allergic, Seasonal

404 studies on the registry are indexed under Rhinitis, Allergic, Seasonal; 24 are open to participants now.

This study's planned enrollment of 530 is above the median of 131 across 366 interventional studies indexed under Rhinitis, Allergic, Seasonal.

Browse Rhinitis, Allergic, Seasonal studies →

Lead sponsor

University of Melbourne is the lead sponsor of 86 studies on the registry; 22 are open to participants now.

Counted across the registry records on this site, refreshed daily.

04

Who can participate

Ages eligible
18 Years to 70 Years
Sexes eligible
All
Accepts healthy volunteers
Yes

Go through the criteria one by one — yes, no or not sure — and take the list to your doctor or the study team. Kept in this browser only.

Inclusion criteria

Consenting adults aged 18 to 70 years with seasonal allergic rhinitis

willing to undertake:

  • Lung function testing
  • Blood sample collection for risk factor identification, -Prospectively logging their symptoms and medications through the springtime season using the CARISTA symptom monitoring platform . -

Exclusion criteria

Exclusion Criteria:

  • Individuals unable to provide
  • Individuals who do not suffer from symptoms of seasonal allergic rhinitis
  • Individuals who do not consent to lung function testing and blood sample collection - Individuals with unstable asthma ( by spirometry less than 70% predicted), a recent exacerbation or change of asthma preventive medication use (within one month) would be excluded, although re-screening would be permitted after one month, time permitting.
  • Individuals with severe asthma requiring the use of continuous oral or biological medication for severe asthma.
  • The presence of any medical illness, such as cardiac disease, pre-existing illness or immunomodulatory therapy that, in the opinion of the Investigators, would compromise participant safety or the derivation of biomarkers during the study.
Terms in these criteria, in plain language(3)

Underlined terms in the criteria open these too. Explained by clinicaltrials.gg, not part of the registry record. The study team decides who can take part.

Informed consent

Before you join, the study team explains what taking part involves — its purpose, what happens, the risks and possible benefits — and answers your questions, so you can decide freely. Consent is usually recorded on a form (the informed consent form, ICF) signed by you or, where the law allows, by someone legally authorised to decide for you.

You can keep asking questions during the study, you are told of new information that matters, and you can choose to leave at any time.

FEV1

From a breathing test (spirometry): how much air you can blow out in the first second. Often given as a percentage of what is expected for your age, height and sex.

Corticosteroids (steroids)

Anti-inflammatory medicines such as prednisone, prednisolone and dexamethasone — not the anabolic steroids used for muscle.

Studies differ in what they allow: check which steroid medicines, routes (tablets, injections, creams, inhalers, eye drops) and doses this study accepts.

05

Study design

Phase
Not applicable
Primary purpose
Diagnostic
Allocation
Not applicable
Intervention model
Single group
Masking
None (open label)
Enrollment
530 participants (estimated)

Study arms

  • Other
    Observational

    prospective observational cohort

    Diagnostic Test: Observational

Interventions

  • Diagnostic testObservational

    Prospective observational study

06

What researchers measure

Primary outcomes

  1. Number of Participants with Moderate or Severe Asthma Exacerbations

    Moderate and/or severe asthma exacerbations determined by * increased rescue bronchodilator medication use to a minimum of 4 puffs/day and doubling of baseline use, for 2 consecutive days * an increase in asthma symptoms requiring institution of, or doubling the regular dose of preventer asthma therapy * asthma symptoms requiring oral corticosteroid therapy * institution of emergency asthma treatment or medical attendance for emergency asthma treatment indicative of uncontrolled asthma.

    Time frame: Over 13 weeks from 1 October - 31 December

Secondary outcomes

  1. Number of Participants with Severe asthma exacerbations

    Institution of emergency asthma treatment or medical attendance for emergency asthma treatment indicative of uncontrolled asthma or institution of oral corticosteroid therapy for asthma by a medical practitioner.

    Time frame: Over 13 weeks from 1 October - 31 December

  2. Number of Participants with Onset of uncontrolled asthma

    Onset of uncontrolled asthma determined by a worsening of asthma symptoms measured by the Asthma Control Questionnaire (ACQ-5:) increasing by 0.5 from baseline and being greater than 1.5. The minimum value = 0 and maximum value = 30. Higher scores indicate worse asthma symptoms.

    Time frame: Over 13 weeks from 1 October - 31 December

Other outcomes

  1. Number of Participants with Rhinitis symptoms

    Recorded on Total Nasal Symptom Score (TNSS). The minimum value = 0 and maximum value = 9. Higher scores indicate more and worse rhinitis symptoms.

    Time frame: Over 13 weeks from 1 October - 31 December

  2. Number of Participants with Hospital presentations for asthma

    Hospital emergency attendance for worsening of acute asthma

    Time frame: Over 13 weeks from 1 October - 31 December

  3. Number of Participants with Emergency attendance for asthma care

    Emergency attendance to a clinical facility for acute asthma care

    Time frame: Over 13 weeks from 1 October - 31 December

07

Study locations

6 of 6 sites recruiting
08

References and documents

Study documents

PDFs hosted by the registry, ClinicalTrials.gov.

Individual participant data

Plan to share: No

09

Timeline

Tracking since Sep 25, 2026
ElapsedEstimatedEstimated, not yet reachedSimilar studies: half by the dot; the band is the middle halfHalf of similar studies reached it by the dot; the band is the middle half, from a quarter to three quarters

Started Aug 2025 (actual). Primary completion is estimated for Dec 2029, 52 months after the start.

Of 22 interventional studies with no phase under Rhinitis, Allergic, Seasonal, half reached primary completion within 7 months of starting (the median), counting those still running; a quarter within 2 and three quarters within 22. This study's planned 52 months is above that.

How these figures are worked out, and which studies are left out of them.

Registered
Jun 10, 2025
First posted
Jul 9, 2025
StartActual
Aug 27, 2025
Primary completionEst.
Dec 31, 2029
CompletionEst.
Dec 31, 2030
Last update
May 6, 2026
What these dates mean
Start.
When the first participant enrolled; while estimated, when the study expects to open to recruitment.
Primary completion.
When the last participant was examined or treated to collect data for the study's main question, its primary outcome. A study that stopped early gives the date its data collection stopped.
Completion.
When the last participant's last visit took place, for every outcome, secondary ones and side effects included: the end of the study. Often later than primary completion, sometimes the same day.
Actual and Est.
Actual means the registry says the date has happened. Est. (estimated) is a date the sponsor plans or expects. It can still move, and the sponsor is expected to change it to actual once it has passed.
No changes since tracking began. The registry record was last updated on May 6, 2026, before this site started recording changes on Sep 25, 2026. Its history is on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗
10

Registry details

Key details

Study ID
NCT07055542
Lead sponsor
University of Melbourne
Collaborators
The Alfred, Eastern Health, Austin Hospital, Melbourne Australia, Monash Medical Centre, Queensland University of Technology, Northern Hospital, Australia, Western Hospital, Australia, Melbourne Health
Responsible party
Sponsor
First posted
Jul 9, 2025
Start date
Aug 27, 2025
Primary completion
Dec 31, 2029 (estimated)
Completion
Dec 31, 2030 (estimated)
Last update
May 6, 2026

Study contacts

Jo A Douglass, MD
Contact
jdouglass@unimelb.edu.au
+6183444578
Rachel Tham, PhD
Contact
CARISTA-Study@unimelb.edu.au
+61390356053
Jo A Douglass, MD
study chair · University of Melbourne & Royal Melbourne Hospital
Phillip Bardin, MD
principal investigator · Hudson Institute of Medical Research
Frank Thien, MD PhD
principal investigator · Eastern Health
Mark Hew, MD PhD
principal investigator · The Alfred
Janet Davies, PhD
principal investigator · Queensland University of Technology
Fay Johnston, PhD
principal investigator · University of Tasmania and AIRHealth PtyLtd
Edwin Lampugnani, PhD
principal investigator · AirHealth Pty Ltd

Oversight

Data monitoring committee
Yes
FDA-regulated drug
No
FDA-regulated device
No
View the source record on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗

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