ClinicalTrials.gg
RecruitingNCT05169333ORFANUpdated Jul 31, 2026

The Oxford Risk Factors And Non-Invasive Imaging Study

An observational study in Cardiovascular Diseases and Cardiovascular Risk Factors, sponsored by University of Oxford. Recruiting at 45 sites in 14 countries. Open to participants aged 18 Years to 99 Years. Per ClinicalTrials.gov, last updated 2026-07-31.

Sponsored by University of Oxford · Observational

From the registry’s dates

  • Started Feb 2016; still recruiting 10 years 8 months later.
Study type
Observational
Model
Cohort
Time perspective
Other
Enrollment
250,000
Ages
18 Years to 99 Years
Sex
All
01

Study summary

ORFAN is a prospective, multi-centre, multi-ethnic cohort observational study collecting CT scans, biological material and outcomes data, to develop and validate novel biomarkers of cardiometabolic and other disease risk.

Read the detailed description

The ORFAN registry will include unselected, consecutive patients undergoing CT scans (coronary CT angiograms (CCTA), CT chest, abdomen and pelvis scans) collected at the participating centres. The study will combine imaging data with patient demographics and clinical information (including prospective outcomes) to aid the development and/or validation of new or existing image analysis algorithms and software tools to improve diagnosis, clinical risk discrimination and prediction. Specifically, ORFAN will evaluate the specificity, utility and predictive value of newly developed image analysis methods. ORFAN will recruit and follow-up patients prospectively, linking the index CT scan with blood biomarkers, genetic information as well as information on disease progression (recorded through follow-up CT scans) and clinical outcomes data.

The study will also collect CT scans performed in the past and link them with clinical factors and prospective outcomes data collected after the index scan was performed.

02

Conditions studied

  • Cardiovascular Diseases
  • Cardiovascular Risk Factors
03

In context

Cardiovascular Diseases

5,368 studies on the registry are indexed under Cardiovascular Diseases; 939 are open to participants now.

This study's planned enrollment of 250,000 is above the median of 506 across 1,572 observational studies indexed under Cardiovascular Diseases.

Browse Cardiovascular Diseases studies →

Lead sponsor

University of Oxford is the lead sponsor of 812 studies on the registry; 119 are open to participants now.

Counted across the registry records on this site, refreshed daily.

04

Who can participate

Ages eligible
18 Years to 99 Years
Sexes eligible
All
Accepts healthy volunteers
No
Sampling method
Non-probability sample

Study population

Patients will be recruited from secondary and tertiary NHS care providers in the UK and from international sites.

Eligibility criteria

Inclusion Criteria:

Inclusion Criteria for study Arms 1, 2 and 3:

  • Participant is willing and able to give for participation in the study.
  • Male or Female, aged 18 -99 years.

Inclusion Criteria for study Arm 4:

  • Male or Female, aged 18 -99 years.

Exclusion Criteria:

Exclusion Criteria for Study Arms 1, 2 and 3:

  • Unable or unwilling to consent
  • Active cancer

Exclusion Criteria for Study Arm 4:

  • Participation in Study Arms 1, 2 or 3
  • Existing opt-out from use of data for research purposes
Terms in these criteria, in plain language(1)

Underlined terms in the criteria open these too. Explained by clinicaltrials.gg, not part of the registry record. The study team decides who can take part.

Informed consent

Before you join, the study team explains what taking part involves — its purpose, what happens, the risks and possible benefits — and answers your questions, so you can decide freely. Consent is usually recorded on a form (the informed consent form, ICF) signed by you or, where the law allows, by someone legally authorised to decide for you.

You can keep asking questions during the study, you are told of new information that matters, and you can choose to leave at any time.

05

Study design

Observational model
Cohort
Time perspective
Other
Enrollment
250,000 participants (estimated)
Target follow-up
15 Years
Patient registry
Yes

Groups and cohorts

  • Group 1

    Participants attending cardiology department, hypertension or outpatient clinics.

  • Group 2

    Participants who are recruited prospectively, during their clinically indicated CT scan, and they are followed-up prospectively for clinical endpoints; A follow-up CCTA at least 6 months later will be offered to a subgroup of these patients, to assess disease progression.

  • Group 3

    Individuals where at least 6 months have elapsed from previous CCTA will undergo repeat CCTA scan and enter prospective follow up for clinical endpoints.

  • Group 4

    Cohort of consecutive patients who have undergone clinical CTAs or unenhanced CT chest, abdomen and pelvis in the past, linking the index CT scan with prospective outcomes collection already accumulated.

06

What researchers measure

Primary outcomes

  1. Cardiac and all cause mortality

    Using novel image analysis methods, clinical risk factors, and blood biomarkers to predict future cardiac and all-cause mortality over a period of 15 years post CT scan.

    Time frame: 15 years

  2. Non-fatal vascular events

    Using novel image analysis methods, clinical risk factors, and blood biomarkers to predict future non-fatal vascular events over a period of 15 years post CT scan.

    Time frame: 15 years

  3. Cardiac and non-cardiac findings by Computed Tomography

    Using novel image analysis methods, clinical risk factors, and blood biomarkers to detect pathology from Computed Tomography images.

    Time frame: 15 years

  4. Progression of disease

    Using novel image analysis methods, clinical risk factors, and blood biomarkers to predict progression of cardiometabolic diseases over a period of 15 years post index CT scan.

    Time frame: 15 years

Secondary outcomes

  1. Cardiovascular risk factors

    Using novel image analysis methods and blood biomarkers, to detect and monitor cardiovascular risk factors and responsiveness to routine clinical care

    Time frame: 15 years

  2. Hospital admissions for any reason classified using ICD10

    Using novel image analysis methods, to predict hospital admissions over a period of 15 years post CT scan

    Time frame: 15 years

  3. Genotyping

    Using genotyping to predict clinical phenotypes

    Time frame: 15 years

  4. Progression of cardiovascular disease

    Using novel image analysis methods, clinical risk factors, and blood biomarkers to predict disease progression measured by CT scans

    Time frame: 15 years

  5. Validation and refinement of the CaRi Image analysis platform

    Validate the prognostic and diagnostic performance of CaRi Image analysis platform against the other study outcomes

    Time frame: 15 years

07

Study locations

36 of 45 sites recruiting
08

References and documents

Publications

  • Westwood M, Armstrong N, Krijkamp E, Perry M, Noake C, Tsiachristas A, Corro-Ramos I. A cloud-based medical device for predicting cardiac risk in suspected coronary artery disease: a rapid review and conceptual economic model. Health Technol Assess. 2024 Jul;28(31):1-105. doi: 10.3310/WYGC4096. PubMed 39023142 ↗
09

Timeline

Tracking since Sep 25, 2026
ElapsedEstimatedEstimated, not yet reachedSimilar studies: half by the dot; the band is the middle halfHalf of similar studies reached it by the dot; the band is the middle half, from a quarter to three quarters

Started Feb 2016 (actual). Primary completion is estimated for Feb 2030, 168 months after the start.

Of 580 non-industry observational studies under Cardiovascular Diseases, half reached primary completion within 70 months of starting (the median), counting those still running; a quarter within 28 and three quarters within 196. This study's planned 168 months is above that.

Counting every sponsor, half of 664 studies reached it within 61 months; a quarter within 24 and three quarters within 192.

Cardiovascular Diseases covers many different conditions, not one, so the studies compared here vary widely. Read these figures as a rough guide.

How these figures are worked out, and which studies are left out of them.

Registered
Oct 12, 2021
First posted
Dec 23, 2021
StartActual
Feb 23, 2016
Primary completionEst.
Feb 2030
CompletionEst.
Feb 2030
Last update
Jul 31, 2026
What these dates mean
Start.
When the first participant enrolled; while estimated, when the study expects to open to recruitment.
Primary completion.
When the last participant was examined or treated to collect data for the study's main question, its primary outcome. A study that stopped early gives the date its data collection stopped.
Completion.
When the last participant's last visit took place, for every outcome, secondary ones and side effects included: the end of the study. Often later than primary completion, sometimes the same day.
Actual and Est.
Actual means the registry says the date has happened. Est. (estimated) is a date the sponsor plans or expects. It can still move, and the sponsor is expected to change it to actual once it has passed.
No changes since tracking began. The registry record was last updated on Jul 31, 2026, before this site started recording changes on Sep 25, 2026. Its history is on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗
10

Registry details

Key details

Study ID
NCT05169333
Collaborators
Caristo Diagnostics Limited, Oxford University Hospitals NHS Trust, British Heart Foundation, Innovate UK, European Commission
Responsible party
Sponsor
First posted
Dec 23, 2021
Start date
Feb 23, 2016
Primary completion
Feb 2030 (estimated)
Completion
Feb 2030 (estimated)
Last update
Jul 31, 2026

Study contacts

Kenneth Chan, Dr
Contact
kenneth.chan@cardiov.ox.ac.uk
Ahmad Abdullrahman, Dr
Contact
orfan@cardiov.ox.ac.uk
Charalambos Antoniades, Prof
principal investigator · University of Oxford

Oversight

Data monitoring committee
No
FDA-regulated drug
No
FDA-regulated device
No
View the source record on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗

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