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Status unknownNCT04367207Updated Sep 10, 2020

African Covid-19 Critical Care Outcomes Study

An observational study in Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2, sponsored by University of Cape Town. Status unknown at 1 site in South Africa. Open to participants aged 18 Years and older. Per ClinicalTrials.gov, last updated 2020-09-10.

Sponsored by University of Cape Town · Observational

The sponsor has not verified this record recently (last verified Sep 2020), so the status shown — last known as Recruiting — may be out of date.
Study type
Observational
Model
Cohort
Time perspective
Prospective
Enrollment
2,000
Ages
18 Years and older
Sex
All
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Study summary

The infectious disease COVID-19, caused by coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 (severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2), has been declared a pandemic and an international healthcare emergency by the World Health Organization (WHO). It has spread across the globe, overwhelming healthcare systems by causing high rates of critical illness. Mortality from COVID-19 exceeds 4%, with older people with comorbidities being extremely vulnerable. It is expected that between 50-80% of the world's population may contract SARS-CoV-2 over the next two years. It is expected that the outcomes will be potentially worse in Africa, because firstly, there is a limited workforce, and secondly there are limited intensive care facilities and critical care resources across Africa to provide sufficient care. It is important therefore to establish what resources, comorbidities and interventions are potentially associated with either mortality or survival in patients with COVID-19 who are referred for critical care in Africa. Rapid dissemination of these findings may help mitigate mortality from COVID-19 in critical care patients in Africa. These points provide the rationale for the African COVID-19 Critical Care Outcomes Study (ACCCOS).

Read the detailed description

The infectious disease COVID-19, caused by coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 (severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2), has been declared a pandemic and an international healthcare emergency by the World Health Organization (WHO). It has spread across the globe, overwhelming healthcare systems by causing high rates of critical illness. Mortality from COVID-19 exceeds 4%, with older people with comorbidities being extremely vulnerable.It is expected that between 50-80% of the world's population may contract SARS-CoV-2 over the next two years.

It is expected the outcomes to be potentially worse in Africa, because firstly, there is a limited workforce, and secondly there are limited intensive care facilities and critical care resources across Africa to provide sufficient care. It is estimated that there are 0.8 (95% confidence interval 0.3 to 1.45) critical care beds per 100,000 population in Africa. It is likely that the volume of unplanned admissions associated with COVID-19 will further adversely affect critical care outcomes in Africa,especially as the ability of healthcare systems in Africa to adapt and expand during the pandemic to meet the clinical workload is unknown. Furthermore, the patient outcomes in critical care is poorly documented in this under-resourced environment.

Most countries in Africa are still in the early phase of the epidemic which provides the opportunity to study the utilization of critical care resources and their impact on patient outcomes. It is important therefore to establish what resources, comorbidities and interventions are potentially associated with either mortality or survival in Africa. Rapid dissemination of these findings may help inform appropriate resource prioritisation and utilisation during the COVID-19 pandemic in Africa. These points provide the rationale for the African Covid-19 Critical Care Outcomes Study (ACCCOS).

Research questions

Primary outcome The primary outcome is in-hospital mortality in adult patients referred to intensive care or high-care units following suspected or known COVID-19 infection in Africa.

Secondary outcomes To determine the risk factors (resources, comorbidities and interventions) associated with mortality in adult patients with suspected or known COVID-19 infection in Africa.

The study is an African national multi-centre prospective observational cohort study of adult (≥18 years) patients referred to intensive care or high-care units in Africa with suspected or known COVID-19 infection in Africa. Patient follow up will be for a maximum of 30 days in-hospital.

This study will run between May to December 2020, with an interim analysis after 250 to 300 deaths registered in the study, or in June or July 2020 if this number of deaths has not been reported in the study. The reason for the interim analysis, is to potentially provide data which may be associated with improved outcomes in Africa, in timeous manner for possible implementation during this COVID-19 pandemic.

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Conditions studied

  • Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2

Keywords

  • Critical Care, Public Health
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In context

Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome

382 studies on the registry are indexed under Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome; 14 are open to participants now.

This study's planned enrollment of 2,000 is above the median of 300 across 140 observational studies indexed under Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome.

Browse Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome studies →

Lead sponsor

University of Cape Town is the lead sponsor of 109 studies on the registry; 13 are open to participants now.

Counted across the registry records on this site, refreshed daily.

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Who can participate

Ages eligible
18 Years and older
Sexes eligible
All
Accepts healthy volunteers
No
Sampling method
Non-probability sample

Study population

Adult (≥18 years) patients referred to intensive care or high-care units in Africa with suspected or known COVID-19 infection in Africa.

Inclusion criteria

  • All consecutive patients at participating centres referred for high-care unit or intensive care unit admission who have suspected or known COVID-19

Exclusion criteria

Exclusion Criteria:

  • None
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Study design

Observational model
Cohort
Time perspective
Prospective
Enrollment
2,000 participants (estimated)
Target follow-up
30 Days
Patient registry
Yes

Groups and cohorts

  • Adult patients with COVID-19 referred to intensive care

    Prospective observational cohort study of adult (≥18 years) patients referred to intensive care or high-care units in Africa with suspected or known COVID-19 infection in Africa

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What researchers measure

Primary outcomes

  1. In-hospital mortality

    The primary outcome is in-hospital mortality in adult patients referred to intensive care or high-care units following suspected or known COVID-19 infection in Africa.

    Time frame: 8-12 months

Secondary outcomes

  1. Risk factors (resources, comorbidities and interventions) associated with mortality

    To determine the risk factors (resources, comorbidities and interventions) associated with mortality in adult patients with suspected or known COVID-19 infection in Africa.

    Time frame: 8-12 months

07

Study locations

1 of 1 sites recruiting
  • Groote Schuur Hospital
    Cape Town, Western Cape 7599, South Africa
    Recruiting
08

References and documents

Publications

  • Zhou F, Yu T, Du R, Fan G, Liu Y, Liu Z, Xiang J, Wang Y, Song B, Gu X, Guan L, Wei Y, Li H, Wu X, Xu J, Tu S, Zhang Y, Chen H, Cao B. Clinical course and risk factors for mortality of adult inpatients with COVID-19 in Wuhan, China: a retrospective cohort study. Lancet. 2020 Mar 28;395(10229):1054-1062. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30566-3. Epub 2020 Mar 11. Erratum In: Lancet. 2020 Mar 28;395(10229):1038. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30606-1. Lancet. 2020 Mar 28;395(10229):1038. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30638-3. PubMed 32171076 ↗
  • Biccard BM, Madiba TE, Kluyts HL, Munlemvo DM, Madzimbamuto FD, Basenero A, Gordon CS, Youssouf C, Rakotoarison SR, Gobin V, Samateh AL, Sani CM, Omigbodun AO, Amanor-Boadu SD, Tumukunde JT, Esterhuizen TM, Manach YL, Forget P, Elkhogia AM, Mehyaoui RM, Zoumeno E, Ndayisaba G, Ndasi H, Ndonga AKN, Ngumi ZWW, Patel UP, Ashebir DZ, Antwi-Kusi AAK, Mbwele B, Sama HD, Elfiky M, Fawzy MA, Pearse RM; African Surgical Outcomes Study (ASOS) investigators. Perioperative patient outcomes in the African Surgical Outcomes Study: a 7-day prospective observational cohort study. Lancet. 2018 Apr 21;391(10130):1589-1598. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(18)30001-1. Epub 2018 Jan 3. PubMed 29306587 ↗
  • Skinner DL, De Vasconcellos K, Wise R, Esterhuizen TM, Fourie C, Goolam Mahomed A, Gopalan PD, Joubert I, Kluyts HL, Mathivha LR, Mrara B, Pretorius JP, Richards G, Smith O, Spruyt MGL, Pearse RM, Madiba TE, Biccard BM, The South African Surgical Outcomes Study Sasos Investigators OBO. Critical care admission of South African (SA) surgical patients: Results of the SA Surgical Outcomes Study. S Afr Med J. 2017 Apr 25;107(5):411-419. doi: 10.7196/SAMJ.2017.v107i5.11455. PubMed 28492122 ↗
  • Pearse RM, Moreno RP, Bauer P, Pelosi P, Metnitz P, Spies C, Vallet B, Vincent JL, Hoeft A, Rhodes A; European Surgical Outcomes Study (EuSOS) group for the Trials groups of the European Society of Intensive Care Medicine and the European Society of Anaesthesiology. Mortality after surgery in Europe: a 7 day cohort study. Lancet. 2012 Sep 22;380(9847):1059-65. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(12)61148-9. PubMed 22998715 ↗
  • Biccard BM, Madiba TE; South African Surgical Outcomes Study Investigators. The South African Surgical Outcomes Study: A 7-day prospective observational cohort study. S Afr Med J. 2015 Jun;105(6):465-75. doi: 10.7196/samj.9435. Erratum In: S Afr Med J. 2015 Sep;105(9):703. PubMed 26716164 ↗
  • Harris PA, Taylor R, Thielke R, Payne J, Gonzalez N, Conde JG. Research electronic data capture (REDCap)--a metadata-driven methodology and workflow process for providing translational research informatics support. J Biomed Inform. 2009 Apr;42(2):377-81. doi: 10.1016/j.jbi.2008.08.010. Epub 2008 Sep 30. PubMed 18929686 ↗
  • Peduzzi P, Concato J, Kemper E, Holford TR, Feinstein AR. A simulation study of the number of events per variable in logistic regression analysis. J Clin Epidemiol. 1996 Dec;49(12):1373-9. doi: 10.1016/s0895-4356(96)00236-3. PubMed 8970487 ↗
  • African COVID-19 Critical Care Outcomes Study (ACCCOS) Investigators. Patient care and clinical outcomes for patients with COVID-19 infection admitted to African high-care or intensive care units (ACCCOS): a multicentre, prospective, observational cohort study. Lancet. 2021 May 22;397(10288):1885-1894. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(21)00441-4. Erratum In: Lancet. 2021 Jun 26;397(10293):2466. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(21)01292-7. PubMed 34022988 ↗

Study documents

  • Protocol and statistical analysis plan · Sep 8, 2020

Documents are hosted by the registry — open the source record to download them.

Individual participant data

Plan to share: Undecided

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Updates

Tracking since Sep 25, 2026
No changes since tracking began. The registry record was last updated on Sep 10, 2020, before this site started recording changes on Sep 25, 2026. Its history is on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗
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Registry details

Key details

Study ID
NCT04367207
Lead sponsor
University of Cape Town
Collaborators
University of KwaZulu
Responsible party
Bruce Biccard (Professor, University of Cape Town) — Principal investigator
First posted
Apr 29, 2020
Start date
May 1, 2020
Primary completion
Dec 1, 2020 (estimated)
Completion
Dec 31, 2020 (estimated)
Last update
Sep 10, 2020

Study contacts

Bruce M Biccard
Contact
bruce.biccard@uct.ac.za
+27214045015
Bruce Biccard
principal investigator · University of Cape Town

Oversight

Data monitoring committee
No
FDA-regulated drug
No
FDA-regulated device
No
View the source record on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗

Not currently enrolling

This study is status unknown, as verified in Sep 2020. You cannot join it, but the record below documents what was studied.

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