ClinicalTrials.gg
Enrolling by invitationNCT04269447Updated Apr 8, 2026

Prospective Aortic Biobank of POP-STAR

An observational study in Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Without Rupture, Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm, Ruptured and Aortic Aneurysm, sponsored by Karolinska University Hospital. Enrolling by invitation at 2 sites in Sweden. Open to participants aged 50 Years to 80 Years. Per ClinicalTrials.gov, last updated 2026-04-08.

Sponsored by Karolinska University Hospital · Observational

Study type
Observational
Model
Cohort
Time perspective
Prospective
Enrollment
400
Ages
50 Years to 80 Years
Sex
All
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Study summary

The overall objective of the POP-STAR project is individualized surveillance for patients diagnosed with abdominal aortic aneurysms by means of more precise, patient-specific AAA growth prediction.

Read the detailed description

Abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAA, ICD10 I71.4) are asymptomatic dilatations of the infrarenal aorta (≥3cm) with potential to rupture. This multifactorial disease is known to be caused by the progressive degradation of the aortic wall. AAAs have life-threatening consequences in the event of rupture (rAAA): the mortality is 100% if left untreated. The risk of rupture is closely related to the size of the AAA. When a patient is diagnosed with an AAA, life-long surveillance is initiated with regular ultrasound or computed tomography (CT) scans performed at vascular services. Prophylactic surgery is performed when the risk of rupture exceeds the risk of treatment: according to international guidelines, surgical evaluation and repair is indicated at a threshold of 55 mm (50 mm in women) to avoid rupture and subsequent death.

The mortality after planned, elective AAA repair is estimated at 1.5%. By contrast, the mortality after emergency surgery for rAAA reaches 30%. As such, there is much to be gained by early identification of AAAs to enable timely intervention and reduce aneurysm-related morbidity and mortality in the population. The important non-modifiable risk factors for developing the disease include male sex, smoking, high age and family history of AAA. Since 2006, one-time ultrasound screening for AAAs among elderly men has been gradually introduced in Sweden - the programme reached nationwide coverage in 2015. A prevalence of 1.4-2.0% has been recorded in the screened population and an overall reduction of 40% in aneurysm-related death has been demonstrated (annual decline in aneurysm-related mortality of 4%). It is not, however, cost-efficient to screen the female population due to low prevalence and high age at onset of disease.

Previous investigations have indicated that 10-25% of all patients admitted for rupture were already known by the health care system but were subsequently lost to follow-up. Importantly, some large aneurysms never rupture while some small aneurysms (\<55 mm) unpredictably do so - in the randomized controlled trial of UKSAT, an annual rupture risk of 1% was documented for small AAAs.

Despite these shortcomings at a patient-specific level, there is still only one verified measure, the diameter, for evaluating growth, risk of rupture and indication for surgery. Consequently, the current follow-up protocol for AAA patients is generalized and fails to consider factors such as age, female sex, smoking, aneurysm morphology and lung function impairment. The major challenge within the field is risk assessment with high precision in order to provide treatment for the right patient and the right time.

The standard surveillance entails repeated diameter measurements: the larger the aneurysm, the shorter the control intervals. The POP-STAR project explores new methods of AAA surveillance by prospective data collection comprising of patient demographics, radiological properties and follow-up information on patients diagnosed with AAAs. All patients will be subjected to standard care flow - POP-STAR adds patient risk profiling and scheduled imaging follow-up. The goal is to be able to characterize the radiological and biomechanical profiles of AAAs for accurate risk stratification, ultimately aiming at individualized AAA patient care.

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Conditions studied

  • Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Without Rupture
  • Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm, Ruptured
  • Aortic Aneurysm
  • Aneurysm Abdominal
  • Aneurysm

Keywords

  • Growth Prediction
  • Rupture Risk Prediction
  • Imaging
  • Aortic disease
  • Vascular surgery
  • Vascular disease
  • Cardiovascular disease
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In context

Aortic Aneurysm, Abdominal

467 studies on the registry are indexed under Aortic Aneurysm, Abdominal; 99 are open to participants now.

This study's planned enrollment of 400 is above the median of 165 across 217 observational studies indexed under Aortic Aneurysm, Abdominal.

Browse Aortic Aneurysm, Abdominal studies →

Lead sponsor

Karolinska University Hospital is the lead sponsor of 279 studies on the registry; 55 are open to participants now.

Counted across the registry records on this site, refreshed daily.

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Who can participate

Ages eligible
50 Years to 80 Years
Sexes eligible
All
Accepts healthy volunteers
No
Sampling method
Non-probability sample

Study population

All men and women diagnosed with an intact abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) and who fulfill the inclusion diameter criterion and none of the exclusion criteria are verified at the Department of Vascular Surgery, Karolinska University Hospital, Solna, and consecutively invited to participate.

Go through the criteria one by one — yes, no or not sure — and take the list to your doctor or the study team. Kept in this browser only.

Inclusion criteria

  • Abdominal aortic aneurysm 35-49 mm in men
  • Abdominal aortic aneurysm 30-49 mm in women

Exclusion criteria

Exclusion Criteria:

  • Previous aortic or iliac surgery
  • Present comorbidities with less than 2-years
  • Unable or unwilling to give
  • Computed tomography examination with intravenous contrast due to renal insufficiency (defined as creatinine/ level XXX)
Terms in these criteria, in plain language(4)

Underlined terms in the criteria open these too. Explained by clinicaltrials.gg, not part of the registry record. The study team decides who can take part.

Life expectancy

The study doctor’s estimate of how long someone is likely to live. Criteria use it so that people can stay in the study long enough for it to answer its question.

Informed consent

Before you join, the study team explains what taking part involves — its purpose, what happens, the risks and possible benefits — and answers your questions, so you can decide freely. Consent is usually recorded on a form (the informed consent form, ICF) signed by you or, where the law allows, by someone legally authorised to decide for you.

You can keep asking questions during the study, you are told of new information that matters, and you can choose to leave at any time.

Contraindication

A reason a treatment, test or procedure should not be given to a particular person, such as an allergy, another illness or a medicine they take.

GFR and eGFR (kidney filtering)

GFR (glomerular filtration rate) is how much blood the kidneys filter each minute. It is usually estimated from a blood test — eGFR, by formulas such as CKD-EPI or MDRD — and some studies ask for it to be measured directly instead. Usually given in mL/min/1.73 m².

Check the method, the units and the minimum the study states. A value of 90 or above is in the normal-or-high range, but kidney damage can show in other tests too.

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Study design

Observational model
Cohort
Time perspective
Prospective
Enrollment
400 participants (estimated)
Target follow-up
5 Years
Patient registry
Yes

Interventions

  • Diagnostic testStructured imaging follow-up

    Structured imaging follow-up protocol with ultrasound (US) and computed tomography (CT) examinations as compared to current standard surveillance protocol for individualized estimations of AAA growth.

    Also known as: Finite element analysis (FEA)

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What researchers measure

Primary outcomes

  1. Aneurysm expansion rate

    Comparison of correctness of predicted growth (diameter vs ASI)

    Time frame: Primary outcome evaluated at two years of follow-up.

  2. Aneurysm expansion rate

    Assessment if a more correct predicted growth alters surveillance (ASI vs diameter)

    Time frame: Primary outcome second analysis at two years follow-up.

07

Study locations

2 sites
  • Department of Vascular Surgery, Karolinska University Hospital
    Solna, Stockholm County 171 76, Sweden
  • Karolinska University Hospital
    Stockholm, 17176, Sweden
08

References and documents

Publications

  • Chaikof EL, Dalman RL, Eskandari MK, Jackson BM, Lee WA, Mansour MA, Mastracci TM, Mell M, Murad MH, Nguyen LL, Oderich GS, Patel MS, Schermerhorn ML, Starnes BW. The Society for Vascular Surgery practice guidelines on the care of patients with an abdominal aortic aneurysm. J Vasc Surg. 2018 Jan;67(1):2-77.e2. doi: 10.1016/j.jvs.2017.10.044. PubMed 29268916 ↗
  • Wanhainen A, Hultgren R, Linne A, Holst J, Gottsater A, Langenskiold M, Smidfelt K, Bjorck M, Svensjo S; Swedish Aneurysm Screening Study Group (SASS). Outcome of the Swedish Nationwide Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Screening Program. Circulation. 2016 Oct 18;134(16):1141-1148. doi: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.116.022305. Epub 2016 Sep 14. PubMed 27630132 ↗
  • Wanhainen A, Verzini F, Van Herzeele I, Allaire E, Bown M, Cohnert T, Dick F, van Herwaarden J, Karkos C, Koelemay M, Kolbel T, Loftus I, Mani K, Melissano G, Powell J, Szeberin Z, Esvs Guidelines Committee, de Borst GJ, Chakfe N, Debus S, Hinchliffe R, Kakkos S, Koncar I, Kolh P, Lindholt JS, de Vega M, Vermassen F, Document Reviewers, Bjorck M, Cheng S, Dalman R, Davidovic L, Donas K, Earnshaw J, Eckstein HH, Golledge J, Haulon S, Mastracci T, Naylor R, Ricco JB, Verhagen H. Editor's Choice - European Society for Vascular Surgery (ESVS) 2019 Clinical Practice Guidelines on the Management of Abdominal Aorto-iliac Artery Aneurysms. Eur J Vasc Endovasc Surg. 2019 Jan;57(1):8-93. doi: 10.1016/j.ejvs.2018.09.020. Epub 2018 Dec 5. No abstract available. PubMed 30528142 ↗
  • Sweeting MJ, Thompson SG, Brown LC, Powell JT; RESCAN collaborators. Meta-analysis of individual patient data to examine factors affecting growth and rupture of small abdominal aortic aneurysms. Br J Surg. 2012 May;99(5):655-65. doi: 10.1002/bjs.8707. Epub 2012 Mar 5. PubMed 22389113 ↗
  • Polzer S, Gasser TC, Vlachovsky R, Kubicek L, Lambert L, Man V, Novak K, Slazansky M, Bursa J, Staffa R. Biomechanical indices are more sensitive than diameter in predicting rupture of asymptomatic abdominal aortic aneurysms. J Vasc Surg. 2020 Feb;71(2):617-626.e6. doi: 10.1016/j.jvs.2019.03.051. Epub 2019 Jun 5. PubMed 31176634 ↗
  • Polzer S, Gasser TC. Biomechanical rupture risk assessment of abdominal aortic aneurysms based on a novel probabilistic rupture risk index. J R Soc Interface. 2015 Dec 6;12(113):20150852. doi: 10.1098/rsif.2015.0852. PubMed 26631334 ↗
  • Siika A, Lindquist Liljeqvist M, Zommorodi S, Nilsson O, Andersson P, Gasser TC, Roy J, Hultgren R. A large proportion of patients with small ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysms are women and have chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. PLoS One. 2019 May 28;14(5):e0216558. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0216558. eCollection 2019. PubMed 31136570 ↗
  • Zommorodi S, Roy J, Steuer J, Hultgren R. High proportion of known abdominal aortic aneurysm in patients with rupture indicates surveillance deficiency. J Vasc Surg. 2016 Oct;64(4):949-955.e1. doi: 10.1016/j.jvs.2016.04.007. PubMed 27666443 ↗
  • Brown LC, Thompson SG, Greenhalgh RM, Powell JT; UK Small Aneurysm Trial Participants. Fit patients with small abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs) do not benefit from early intervention. J Vasc Surg. 2008 Dec;48(6):1375-81. doi: 10.1016/j.jvs.2008.07.014. PubMed 19118733 ↗
  • Singh K, Bonaa KH, Jacobsen BK, Bjork L, Solberg S. Prevalence of and risk factors for abdominal aortic aneurysms in a population-based study : The Tromso Study. Am J Epidemiol. 2001 Aug 1;154(3):236-44. doi: 10.1093/aje/154.3.236. PubMed 11479188 ↗
  • Scott RA, Bridgewater SG, Ashton HA. Randomized clinical trial of screening for abdominal aortic aneurysm in women. Br J Surg. 2002 Mar;89(3):283-5. doi: 10.1046/j.0007-1323.2001.02014.x. PubMed 11872050 ↗
  • Sakalihasan N, Michel JB, Katsargyris A, Kuivaniemi H, Defraigne JO, Nchimi A, Powell JT, Yoshimura K, Hultgren R. Abdominal aortic aneurysms. Nat Rev Dis Primers. 2018 Oct 18;4(1):34. doi: 10.1038/s41572-018-0030-7. PubMed 30337540 ↗

Individual participant data

Plan to share: No

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Timeline

Tracking since Sep 25, 2026
ElapsedEstimatedEstimated, not yet reachedSimilar studies: half by the dot; the band is the middle halfHalf of similar studies reached it by the dot; the band is the middle half, from a quarter to three quarters

Started Nov 2019 (actual). Primary completion is estimated for Dec 2027, 97 months after the start.

Of 67 non-industry observational studies under Aortic Aneurysm, Abdominal, half reached primary completion within 48 months of starting (the median), counting those still running; a quarter within 22 and three quarters within 83. This study's planned 97 months is above that.

Counting every sponsor, half of 91 studies reached it within 48 months; a quarter within 24 and three quarters within 83.

How these figures are worked out, and which studies are left out of them.

Registered
Dec 5, 2019
First posted
Feb 13, 2020
StartActual
Nov 18, 2019
Primary completionEst.
Dec 2027
CompletionEst.
Dec 2028
Last update
Apr 8, 2026
What these dates mean
Start.
When the first participant enrolled; while estimated, when the study expects to open to recruitment.
Primary completion.
When the last participant was examined or treated to collect data for the study's main question, its primary outcome. A study that stopped early gives the date its data collection stopped.
Completion.
When the last participant's last visit took place, for every outcome, secondary ones and side effects included: the end of the study. Often later than primary completion, sometimes the same day.
Actual and Est.
Actual means the registry says the date has happened. Est. (estimated) is a date the sponsor plans or expects. It can still move, and the sponsor is expected to change it to actual once it has passed.
No changes since tracking began. The registry record was last updated on Apr 8, 2026, before this site started recording changes on Sep 25, 2026. Its history is on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗
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Registry details

Key details

Study ID
NCT04269447
Responsible party
Rebecka Hultgren (Adjunct Professor, Senior Consultant Vascular Surgery, Karolinska University Hospital) — Principal investigator
First posted
Feb 13, 2020
Start date
Nov 18, 2019
Primary completion
Dec 2027 (estimated)
Completion
Dec 2028 (estimated)
Last update
Apr 8, 2026

Oversight

Data monitoring committee
No
FDA-regulated drug
No
FDA-regulated device
No
View the source record on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗

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