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Active, not recruitingNCT03292094PREDICTUpdated Apr 25, 2024

The African-PREDICT Study

An observational study in Cardiovascular Diseases, Hypertension and Health Risk Behaviors, sponsored by North-West University, South Africa. Active, not recruiting at 1 site in South Africa. Open to participants aged 20 Years to 30 Years, including healthy volunteers. Per ClinicalTrials.gov, last updated 2024-04-25.

Primary conditionHypertensionRegistry: Cardiovascular DiseasesReclassifiedWhy we changed it
Registry
Cardiovascular Diseases — the first condition term the registry derived for this study.
ClinicalTrials.gg
Hypertension
Why
  1. The study's listed conditions name Hypertension, a narrower term within Cardiovascular Diseases.
Confidence
High: the new condition is named in the study's own listed conditions. Of 351 hand-checked studies reclassified this way, 68% were exactly right and 84% in the right disease family; the registry's first term was right for 5% (measured 2026-10-21). How we classify →
Wrong?
Tell us the study's main condition →

Sponsored by North-West University, South Africa · Observational

Study type
Observational
Model
Cohort
Time perspective
Prospective
Enrollment
1,202
Ages
20 Years to 30 Years
Sex
All
01

Study summary

The African-PREDICT study aims to (i) generate new knowledge on the early pathophysiology accompanying hypertension development in black South Africans; and (ii) to identify early novel markers or predictors for the development of hypertension and cardiovascular outcome. By employing also in Africa the latest cutting-edge scientific technologies to measure single and multiple biomarkers proven to predict hypertension and cardiovascular outcome (such as multiplex analyses, proteomics and metabolomics), precision medicine may have the potential to lead to novel strategies in preventing and treating hypertension in Africa.

Read the detailed description

Background and Problem Statement: Recent global analyses have indicated that the highest blood pressures worldwide are recorded in black populations. The vulnerable cardiovascular profile of Africans is believed to result from a combination of factors such as rapid urbanisation, abnormal sodium handling, elevated vascular resistance and arterial stiffness. The frequent underdiagnoses and ineffective treatment of hypertension in general but especially in Africans, result in severe complications, such as stroke, heart and kidney disease. Since diagnosis and treatment are generally unsuccessful in black populations - especially in low and middle-income countries - prevention is key to curb the rapidly increasing incidence of death and disability from cardiovascular disease. Cardiovascular risk prediction in black populations worldwide is inadequate since we do not have a clear understanding of the complex mechanisms underlying the development of cardiovascular disease.

Main Aim: In the "African PRospective study on the Early Detection and Identification of Cardiovascular disease and Hypertension" (African-PREDICT) the investigators aim to identify early markers or predictors for the development of cardiovascular disease in black South Africans. Only by understanding the early pathophysiology of disease development, and by identifying markers as potential screening indicators, predictors or targets for intervention, will the investigators be able to implement successful prevention programes in Africans at younger ages. The researchers therefore aim to track and monitor change in young, normotensive black and white individuals (aged 20-30 years) over 10-20 years. To achieve this the investigators will perform detailed cardiovascular and novel biomarker measurements, as well as behavioural and biopsychosocial assessments every 4-5 years in order to identify and understand early changes in cardiovascular function, and specific predictors contributing to the development of hypertension and target organ damage.

Methodology and Measurements: In 2013 recruitment started, screening and assessment of 1200 normotensive and apparently healthy participants (black N=600 and white N=600) with equal sex distribution. A wide range of basic and advanced measurements are taken within a Hypertension Clinic to get a highly detailed profile of the participants at each visit. The following is obtained: (1) relevant questionnaire data including medical history, lifestyle, social status, traditional risk factors (age, gender, smoking, alcohol intake) and validated questionnaires on dietary intake, personality and psychosocial profile; (2) Biological samples for biomarker analyses (serum, plasma, spot urine and 24-hr urine) are taken and preserved for the short and long-term at -80°C. A wide range of traditional and novel biomarkers related to hypertension and cardiovascular disease (including amongst others, lipid profile, glucose, glycated hemoglobin, C-reactive protein, interleukin-6, vitamin D, full blood count, sodium, potassium, creatinine, renin, aldosterone, angiotensin II, markers of oxidative stress and nitric oxide bio-availability, cortisol, sex hormones, insulin, C-peptide, leptin and other adipokines, angiogenic markers, the insulin-like growth factor-axis, soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor, Nt-proBNP, fibulin-1 and novel markers not yet identified) will be assessed. These samples will also be analysed in an attempt to identify bio-signatures in terms of the -omics sciences (genomic, metabolomic and proteomic profiles) as predictors of cardiovascular deterioration; (3) anthropometric measurements, bio-electrical impedance measurement of body fat and lean mass, and 7-day physical activitymonitoring; (4) A range of cardiovascular assessments: 24-hour blood pressure, central arterial pressure, and cardiovascular stress reactivity tests with continuous finger blood pressure; and (5) Assessments of early target organ damage including urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio, carotid intima-media thickness, ECG, echocardiography, pulse wave velocity, and retinal microvascular calibre and dilation during provocation with a light flicker test.

Timetable: The project was approved and is endorsed by the National and Provincial Department of Health, and was approved by the Ethics Committee of the North-West University in 2012 (NWU-00001-12-A1). Screening commenced in November 2012, and research participants started entering the study from 6 February 2013. Baseline data collection was completed in December 2017. Follow-up assessments commenced in February 2018 and will continue until Dec 2022. The Health Research Ethics Committee approved continuation of the study for 2020.

Anticipated Outcomes: This project will increase understanding of the complex mechanisms involved in the aetiology of early cardiovascular changes in relatively young individuals from African and European ancestry, which will (1) improve ability to identify individuals at risk before the development of cardiovascular diseases (CVD), and (2) predict the development of future hypertension and related CVD. Both outcomes will make it possible to develop better individualised and population-based prevention of CVD contributing to better quality of life. These results will not only be applicable to Sub-Saharan Africa but are expected to have a broader impact with regards to white and black populations globally. Results are expected to have significant scientific impact by means of publications in high-impact journals; and also to translate directly into novel preventive healthcare policy and practices - translating into preventive measures regarding the development of CVDs in clinics throughout South Africa.

02

Conditions studied

  • Cardiovascular Diseases
  • Hypertension
  • Health Risk Behaviors
  • Arterial Stiffness
  • Young
  • Renin Hypertension

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Keywords

  • Young
  • Healthy
  • African
  • Longitudinal
  • Hypertension
  • Salt intake
  • Obesity
  • Organ damage
03

In context

Hypertension Reclassified

6,114 studies on the registry are indexed under Hypertension; 912 are open to participants now.

This study's enrollment of 1,202 is above the median of 350 across 1,163 observational studies indexed under Hypertension.

Browse Hypertension studies →

Lead sponsor

North-West University, South Africa is the lead sponsor of 10 studies on the registry; 2 are open to participants now.

Compared within Hypertension, this study's primary condition as ClinicalTrials.gg classifies it; the registry's first condition term is Cardiovascular Diseases. The counts are of registry records indexed under each term, refreshed daily. How we classify →

04

Who can participate

Ages eligible
20 Years to 30 Years
Sexes eligible
All
Accepts healthy volunteers
Yes
Sampling method
Non-probability sample

Study population

Apparently healthy black and white participants between the ages of 20 and 30 years from the Potchefstroom area, North West Province, South Africa.

Go through the criteria one by one — yes, no or not sure — and take the list to your doctor or the study team. Kept in this browser only.

Inclusion criteria

  • Brachial BP \<140 and 90 mmHg
  • uninfected
  • No previous diagnosis or medication for chronic disease
  • Not pregnant or breastfeeding

Exclusion criteria

Exclusion Criteria:

  • Planning to move away from the Potchefstroom area in the next 5 years
  • Currently pregnant or breastfeeding
  • Sick on the day of appointment
  • Lack the ability to read or understand English
  • Diagnosed with , Cancer, Tuberculosis, Diabetes, Hypertension, Liver or Kidney disease, Heart disease
  • Previously had a heart attack or stroke
  • Have suffered a recent trauma or had surgery in the past 3 months
  • Have a phobia for needles
  • Have donated blood in the previous 3 months
  • Taking chronic medication (Anti-inflammatory, for Hypertension of Diabetes, Cortisone, Anti-Retroviral, Thyroid medication, Cholesterol medication)
Terms in these criteria, in plain language(1)

Underlined terms in the criteria open these too. Explained by clinicaltrials.gg, not part of the registry record. The study team decides who can take part.

HIV

The human immunodeficiency virus, which weakens the immune system.

Many studies now accept people whose HIV is controlled on treatment, judged by the viral load and the CD4 count. Check the limits this study sets.

05

Study design

Observational model
Cohort
Time perspective
Prospective
Enrollment
1,202 participants (actual)
Patient registry
No
Biospecimen retention
Samples with dna

Groups and cohorts

  • Black men

    294 young healthy men were included (clinic normotensive, non-HIV)

  • White men

    284 young healthy men were included (clinic normotensive, non-HIV)

  • Black women

    312 young healthy women were included (clinic normotensive, non-HIV)

  • White women

    312 young healthy women were included (clinic normotensive, non-HIV)

06

What researchers measure

Primary outcomes

  1. Incident Hypertension

    Incident hypertension based on 4 repeated clinic blood pressure measurements, i.e. SBP\>=140 mmHg and/or DBP \>=90 mmHg.

    Time frame: 5 years

07

Study locations

1 site
  • Hypertension Research and Training Clinic
    Potchefstroom, North West 2531, South Africa
08

References and documents

Publications

  • Gafane-Matemane LF, Kruger R, Smith W, Mels CMC, Van Rooyen JM, Mokwatsi GG, Uys AS, Brits SJ, Schutte AE. Characterization of the Renin-Angiotensin-Aldosterone System in Young Healthy Black Adults: The African Prospective Study on the Early Detection and Identification of Hypertension and Cardiovascular Disease (African-PREDICT Study). Hypertension. 2021 Aug;78(2):400-410. doi: 10.1161/HYPERTENSIONAHA.120.16879. Epub 2021 Jun 28. PubMed 34176281 ↗
  • Kochli S, Schutte AE, Botha-Le Roux S, Gafane-Matemane LF, Smith W, van Rooyen JM, Mokwatsi GG, Kruger R. Potassium excretion and blood pressure are associated with heart rate variability in healthy black adults: The African-PREDICT study. Nutr Metab Cardiovasc Dis. 2021 Apr 9;31(4):1071-1080. doi: 10.1016/j.numecd.2020.12.021. Epub 2020 Dec 24. Erratum In: Nutr Metab Cardiovasc Dis. 2022 Aug;32(8):2012. doi: 10.1016/j.numecd.2022.05.014. PubMed 33549447 ↗
  • Crouch SH, Botha-Le Roux S, Delles C, Graham LA, Schutte AE. Inflammation and hypertension development: A longitudinal analysis of the African-PREDICT study. Int J Cardiol Hypertens. 2020 Dec;7:100067. doi: 10.1016/j.ijchy.2020.100067. PubMed 33392493 ↗

Study documents

PDFs hosted by the registry, ClinicalTrials.gov.

Individual participant data

Plan to share: No

09

Updates

Tracking since Sep 25, 2026
No changes since tracking began. The registry record was last updated on Apr 25, 2024, before this site started recording changes on Sep 25, 2026. Its history is on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗
10

Registry details

Key details

Study ID
NCT03292094
Lead sponsor
North-West University, South Africa
Collaborators
Medical Research Council, South Africa, National Research Foundation of South Africa, GlaxoSmithKline, Medical Research Council, Pfizer, Boehringer Ingelheim, Novartis, Mediclinic Hospital, Roche Diagnostics GmbH
Responsible party
Alta Schutte (Professor, North-West University, South Africa) — Principal investigator
First posted
Sep 25, 2017
Start date
Feb 4, 2013
Primary completion
Nov 30, 2017
Completion
Dec 3, 2027 (estimated)
Last update
Apr 25, 2024

Study contacts

Alta Schutte, PhD
principal investigator · University of New South Wales
Carina MC Mels, PhD
principal investigator · North-West University

Oversight

Data monitoring committee
No
FDA-regulated drug
No
FDA-regulated device
No
View the source record on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗

Not currently enrolling

This study is active, not recruiting, as verified in Apr 2024. You cannot join it, but the record below documents what was studied.

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