CClinicalTrials.gg
CompletedNCT02790476Updated Apr 29, 2024Results posted

Behavioral Insights to Encourage Judicious Prescribing of Opioids

An interventional study of Letters in Substance-Related Disorders, sponsored by University of Southern California. Completed at 1 site in United States. Per ClinicalTrials.gov, last updated 2024-04-29.

Sponsored by University of Southern California · Not applicable, Interventional, and Other

Phase
Not applicable
Study type
Interventional
Enrollment
851
Allocation
Randomized
Sex
All
01

Study summary

In collaboration with the San Diego Medical Examiner's Office and the State of California's controlled Substance Utilization Review and Evaluation System (CURES), the investigators propose to review opioid poisonings over the past 12 months and will send letters to prescribers in California when at least one of the provider's prescription(s) was filled by a patient who died of an opioid poisoning in San Diego County. The letters will be non-judgmental and factual, explaining that a patient of the provider who was being treated with prescription narcotics died of an opioid poisoning. The letter will also encourage judicious prescribing including use of the CURES system before prescribing. The investigators will evaluate physician prescribing practices over 24 months 12 months pre- and 12 months post-letter using data from the CURES database. The investigators' hypothesis is that letters will make the risk of opioids more cognitively available and that physicians will respond by prescribing opioids more carefully. This will result in fewer deaths due to misuse and more frequent use of the CURES system.

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Conditions studied

  • Substance-Related Disorders

Keywords

  • Safe
  • Prescribing
  • Opioids
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In context

Substance-Related Disorders

2,124 studies on the registry are indexed under Substance-Related Disorders; 393 are open to participants now.

This study's enrollment of 851 is above the median of 108 across 1,727 interventional studies indexed under Substance-Related Disorders.

Browse Substance-Related Disorders studies →

Lead sponsor

University of Southern California is the lead sponsor of 773 studies on the registry; 135 are open to participants now.

Of its 68 completed or terminated interventional studies of FDA-regulated products, 32 (47%) have results posted.

Counted across the registry records on this site, refreshed daily.

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Who can participate

Ages eligible
Child (0–17), Adult (18–64), Older adult (65+)
Sexes eligible
All
Accepts healthy volunteers
No

The investigators will not be enrolling subjects. This is an evaluation of a public health intervention involving sending prescriber's factual and nonjudgmental letters, signed by the County Medical Examiner, that would state that a patient the provider had treated with controlled substances died of an opioid poisoning.

Inclusion criteria

Inclusion Criteria:

  • Prescribers in California for whom at least one of their prescription(s) was filled by a patient who died of an opioid poisoning in San Diego County

Exclusion criteria

Exclusion Criteria:

  • Prescriber is licensed outside the State of California and does not hold a California license, but the prescription was filled in California
  • The prescriber does not have a CURES report on record
  • The prescriber has issued only one opioid prescription in the last 12 months since the time of the deceased death (and the prescription was to the deceased)
  • Prescribers with unknown Drug Enforcement Agency number
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Study design

Phase
Not applicable
Primary purpose
Other
Allocation
Randomized
Intervention model
Parallel assignment
Masking
None (open label)
Enrollment
851 participants (actual)

Study arms

  • Experimental
    Letter intervention

    The intervention arm will involve letters sent to prescribers in San Diego County.

    Other: Letters

  • No intervention
    Control

    The control group will involve prescribers not receiving letters

Interventions

  • OtherLetters

    The letters will be factual and nonjudgmental, signed by the County Medical Examiner, and would state that a patient they had treated with controlled substances died of an opioid poisoning. The letter will encourage judicious prescribing, and will provide information developed by an advisory group: how to identify and taper unsafe regimens (high dose, polypharmacy, or use of multiple prescribers); how to identify addiction and compassionately refer patients for medication-assisted treatment; and recommendations to avoid bad outcomes (e.g. "do not fire your patient for signs of addiction.") The letter would also encourage use of the CURES system before prescribing, as well as co-prescribing of naloxone.

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What researchers measure

Primary outcomes

  1. Average Change Over Time in Dispensed Narcotics

    The hypothesis is that the average change over time in dispensed narcotic represented as monthly morphine milligram equivalent (MME) dose will be larger for prescribers receiving the letter intervention, compared to the average change over time for the control prescribers not receiving the letter intervention.

    Time frame: 12 months

  2. Number of Opioid Prescriptions for > 90 Morphine Milligram Equivalent (MME) and ≥ 50 MME

    The hypothesis is that there will be fewer opioid prescriptions both at a dose \> 90 morphine milligram equivalent (MME) and at a dose ≥ 50 MME among prescribers receiving the letter intervention, compared to control prescribers not receiving the letter intervention.

    Time frame: 12 months

  3. Number of Opioid and Benzodiazepine Co-prescriptions

    The hypothesis is that there will be fewer opioid and benzodiazepine co-prescriptions for prescribers receiving the letter intervention, compared to control prescribers not receiving the letter intervention.

    Time frame: 12 months

Secondary outcomes

  1. Frequency of CURES Use

    The hypothesis is that there will be more frequent use of CURES among prescribers receiving the letter intervention, compared to control prescribers not receiving the letter intervention.

    Time frame: 12 months

  2. Number of "New Start" Prescriptions

    The hypothesis is that there will be fewer prescriptions for opioid naïve patients by prescribers receiving the letter intervention, compared to control prescribers not receiving the letter intervention.

    Time frame: 12 months

07

Results

Posted Apr 29, 2024

Participant flow

Participant flow — Overall Study
MilestoneLetter InterventionControl
Started404447
Completed386425
Not completed1822

Outcome measures

PrimaryAverage Change Over Time in Dispensed Narcotics

The hypothesis is that the average change over time in dispensed narcotic represented as monthly morphine milligram equivalent (MME) dose will be larger for prescribers receiving the letter intervention, compared to the average change over time for the control prescribers not receiving the letter intervention.

Time frame:
12 months
Reported as:
Mean · Morphine milligram equivalents
Average Change Over Time in Dispensed Narcotics
Morphine milligram equivalentsLetter InterventionControl
Adjusted per-prescriber mean weekly morphine milligram equivalents (MMEs); Pre intervention347.65 (339.27 to 356.03)350.09 (341.77 to 358.40)
Adjusted per-prescriber mean weekly MMEs; 1-3 months Post intervention288.36 (281.61 to 295.11)318.60 (311.03 to 326.17)
Adjusted per-prescriber mean weekly MMEs; 4-12 months Post intervention167.83 (163.91 to 171.74)182.67 (178.46 to 186.88)
Statistical analysis
  • Letter Intervention · Mixed Models Analysis · p = <0.05 (The threshold for statistical significance was p=0.05.) · Mean difference (final values): -27.80 · 95% CI -38.20 to -17.63This measure is a difference-in-difference, calculated by subtracting the pre- and post-intervention difference in mean MME in the letter (288.36-347.65 = -59.29) and control (318.60-350.09 = -31.49) arms, resulting in a difference of -27.80.
  • Letter Intervention · Mixed Models Analysis · p = <0.01 (The threshold for statistical significance was p=0.05.) · Mean difference (final values): -12.42 · 95% CI -18.40 to -6.55This measure is a difference-in-difference, calculated by subtracting the pre- and post-intervention difference in mean MME in the letter (167.83-347.65 = -179.83) and control (182.67-350.09 = -167.41) arms, resulting in a difference of -12.42.
PrimaryNumber of Opioid Prescriptions for > 90 Morphine Milligram Equivalent (MME) and ≥ 50 MME

The hypothesis is that there will be fewer opioid prescriptions both at a dose \> 90 morphine milligram equivalent (MME) and at a dose ≥ 50 MME among prescribers receiving the letter intervention, compared to control prescribers not receiving the letter intervention.

Time frame:
12 months
Reported as:
Mean · Number of prescriptions
Number of Opioid Prescriptions for > 90 Morphine Milligram Equivalent (MME) and ≥ 50 MME
Number of prescriptionsLetter InterventionControl
Number of => 50 MME Prescriptions Pre intervention3.74 (3.57 to 3.91)4.59 (4.41 to 4.76)
Number of => 50 MME Prescriptions 1-3 months Post intervention3.45 (3.08 to 3.82)3.95 (3.59 to 4.30)
Number of => 50 MME Prescriptions 4-12 months Post-intervention3.00 (2.79 to 3.21)3.15 (2.95 to 3.35)
Number of > 90 MME Prescriptions Pre intervention2.14 (2.02 to 2.27)2.55 (2.44 to 2.67)
Number of > 90 MME Prescriptions 1-3 Post intervention2.00 (1.76 to 2.25)2.20 (1.96 to 2.44)
Number of > 90 MME Prescriptions 4-12 months Post intervention1.71 (1.57 to 1.85)1.74 (1.61 to 1.87)
Statistical analysis
  • Letter Intervention · Mixed Models Analysis · p = 0.224 (The threshold for statistical significance was p=0.05.) · Mean difference (final values): -0.35 · 95% CI -0.92 to 0.22This measure is a difference-in-difference, calculated by subtracting the pre- and post-intervention difference in mean MME in the letter (3.45-3.74 = -0.29) and control (3.45-4.59= -0.64) arms, resulting in a difference of -0.35.
  • Letter Intervention · Mixed Models Analysis · p = <0.001 (The threshold for statistical significance was p=0.05.) · Mean difference (final values): -0.70 · 95% CI -1.08 to -0.33This measure is a difference-in-difference, calculated by subtracting the pre- and post-intervention difference in mean MME in the letter (3.00-3.74 = -0.74) and control (3.15-4.59= -1.44) arms, resulting in a difference of -0.70.
  • Letter Intervention · Mixed Models Analysis · p = 0.279 (The threshold for statistical significance was p=0.05.) · Mean difference (final values): -0.21 · 95% CI -0.59 to 0.17This measure is a difference-in-difference, calculated by subtracting the pre- and post-intervention difference in mean MME in the letter (2.00-2.14 = -0.14) and control (2.20-2.55= -0.35) arms, resulting in a difference of -0.21.
  • Letter Intervention · Mixed Models Analysis · p = <0.01 (The threshold for statistical significance was p=0.05.) · Mean difference (final values): -0.38 · 95% CI -0.63 to -0.12This measure is a difference-in-difference, calculated by subtracting the pre- and post-intervention difference in mean MME in the letter (1.71-2.14 = -0.43) and control (1.74-2.55= -0.81) arms, resulting in a difference of -0.38.
PrimaryNumber of Opioid and Benzodiazepine Co-prescriptions

The hypothesis is that there will be fewer opioid and benzodiazepine co-prescriptions for prescribers receiving the letter intervention, compared to control prescribers not receiving the letter intervention.

Time frame:
12 months
Reported as:
Mean · Adjusted mean number of co-prescriptions
Number of Opioid and Benzodiazepine Co-prescriptions
Adjusted mean number of co-prescriptionsLetter InterventionControl
Pre intervention12.2 (9.8 to 14.6)13.6 (11.0 to 16.1)
Post intervention13.4 (12.3 to 14.4)16.7 (15.5 to 17.9)
Statistical analysis
  • Letter Intervention · Mixed Models Analysis · p = <0.05 (The threshold for statistical significance was p=0.05.) · Mean difference (final values): -1.6 · 95% CI -3.2 to -0.1This measure is a difference-in-difference, calculated by subtracting the pre- and post-intervention difference in mean DME in the letter (72.3-76 = -3.7) and control (82-82.9 = -0.9) arms, resulting in a difference of -1.6.
SecondaryFrequency of CURES Use

The hypothesis is that there will be more frequent use of CURES among prescribers receiving the letter intervention, compared to control prescribers not receiving the letter intervention.

Time frame:
12 months

No measurements were reported for this outcome.

SecondaryNumber of "New Start" Prescriptions

The hypothesis is that there will be fewer prescriptions for opioid naïve patients by prescribers receiving the letter intervention, compared to control prescribers not receiving the letter intervention.

Time frame:
12 months
Reported as:
Mean · patients with new opioid prescriptions
Number of "New Start" Prescriptions
patients with new opioid prescriptionsLetter InterventionControl
Pre intervention3.72 (3.64 to 3.80)3.51 (3.44 to 3.59)
1-3 months post intervention2.44 (2.27 to 2.61)2.26 (2.10 to 2.43)
4-12 months post intervention2.08 (1.99 to 2.18)1.84 (1.76 to 1.93)
Statistical analysis
  • Letter Intervention · Mixed Models Analysis · p = 0.823 (The threshold for statistical significance was p=0.05.) · Mean difference (final values): 0.03 · 95% CI -0.23 to 0.29This measure is a difference-in-difference, calculated by subtracting the pre- and post-intervention difference in mean MME in the letter (2.44-3.72 = -1.28) and control (2.26-3.51= -1.25) arms, resulting in a difference of 0.03.
  • Letter Intervention · Mixed Models Analysis · p = 0.692 (The threshold for statistical significance is p=0.05.) · Mean difference (final values): -0.03 · 95% CI -0.20 to 0.14This measure is a difference-in-difference, calculated by subtracting the pre- and post-intervention difference in mean MME in the letter (2.08-3.72 = -1.64) and control (1.84-3.51= -1.67) arms, resulting in a difference of -0.03.

Adverse events

Collected over 12 months following letter notification (January 28, 2017-January 27, 2018). Non-serious events are listed at a 0% frequency threshold.

Adverse event summary by group
GroupDeathsSeriousOther
Letter Intervention0/386 (0%)0/386 (0%)0/386 (0%)
Control0/425 (0%)0/425 (0%)0/425 (0%)

Baseline characteristics

We removed prescribers with missing data or lack of prescriptions during the study period, resulting in an analysis population of 811 prescribers.

Age, Categorical
Age, Categorical(Participants)Letter InterventionControlTotal
<=18 years——0
Between 18 and 65 years——0
>=65 years——0
Sex: Female, Male
Sex: Female, Male(Participants)Letter InterventionControlTotal
Female——0
Male——0
Race and Ethnicity Not Collected
Race and Ethnicity Not Collected(Participants)Letter InterventionControlTotal
Count of participants——0
Region of Enrollment
Region of Enrollment(Participants)Letter InterventionControlTotal
United States386425811
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Study locations

1 site
  • San Diego County Medical Examiner's Office
    San Diego, California 92123, United States
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References and documents

Study documents

  • Protocol and statistical analysis plan · Feb 23, 2016

Documents are hosted by the registry — open the source record to download them.

Individual participant data

Plan to share: No

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Updates

Tracking since Sep 25, 2026
No changes since tracking began. The registry record was last updated on Apr 29, 2024, before this site started recording changes on Sep 25, 2026. Its history is on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗
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Registry details

Key details

Study ID
NCT02790476
Lead sponsor
University of Southern California
Responsible party
Jason Doctor (Associate Professor, University of Southern California) — Principal investigator
First posted
Jun 6, 2016
Start date
Jan 27, 2017
Primary completion
May 27, 2017
Completion
Feb 27, 2018
Results posted
Apr 29, 2024
Last update
Apr 29, 2024

Study contacts

Jason Doctor, PhD
principal investigator · University of Southern California

Oversight

Data monitoring committee
No
FDA-regulated drug
No
FDA-regulated device
No
View the source record on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗

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This study is completed, as verified in Nov 2023. You cannot join it, but the record below documents what was studied.

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