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Not yet recruitingNCT07933276PlastNetUpdated Nov 12, 2026

Predicting Transitions From Depression to Wellbeing Through a Network-based Operationalization of Plasticity

An observational study in Major Depressive Disorder (MDD), sponsored by IRCCS San Raffaele. Not yet recruiting. Open to participants aged 18 Years to 70 Years. Per ClinicalTrials.gov, last updated 2026-11-12.

Sponsored by IRCCS San Raffaele · Observational

Updated Nov 12, 2026Newly registeredGo to Updates ↓
Study type
Observational
Model
Other
Time perspective
Prospective
Enrollment
200
Ages
18 Years to 70 Years
Sex
All
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Study summary

Major depressive disorder (MDD) is one of the leading causes of disability worldwide, and many patients do not respond adequately to available treatments. Plasticity, the ability of the brain and mind to change, is thought to be a crucial process in the transition from depression to wellbeing, but methods to measure it are limited. The Network Theory of Plasticity proposes that the weaker the connections among the elements of a system (for example, the symptoms of a patient or the regions of the brain), the higher its plasticity. Earlier analyses of large clinical datasets (STAR*D and CO-MED) supported this idea at the population level.

PlastNet is an observational study that aims to validate this approach at the individual level. Two hundred adults (18-70 years) with nonpsychotic MDD recruited at IRCCS Ospedale San Raffaele will undergo resting-state brain MRI, blood sampling and clinical assessments at baseline, and clinical assessments again after four weeks. No treatment is assigned by the study.

The investigators hypothesize that lower baseline functional connectivity in the brain is associated with a greater reduction in depressive symptoms over four weeks. The study will also investigate whether blood-based multi-omic profiles (genomic, transcriptomic and metabolomic) can identify biological signatures of plasticity. The results could help clinicians tailor treatments to each patient's level of plasticity.

Read the detailed description

Major depressive disorder (MDD) is one of the leading causes of disability worldwide. Despite available treatments, a substantial proportion of patients do not respond adequately, which highlights the need for approaches that personalize therapeutic strategies.

Plasticity is defined as the ability to modify brain functioning, behaviors and mental states, and is increasingly recognized as a crucial process underlying the transition from psychopathology to wellbeing. Plasticity is neither inherently beneficial nor detrimental: enhanced plasticity increases the likelihood of a mental state transition without determining the direction of the transition, which is modulated by contextual factors such as quality of life. Treatments that enhance plasticity may therefore produce highly context-dependent effects. Lifestyle, environmental and psychotherapeutic interventions are also essential for promoting mental health, but not all individuals benefit equally, partly because of differences in individual plasticity levels. While psychometric tools to evaluate contextual factors have long been available, methods to operationalize and assess plasticity remain limited.

The Network Theory of Plasticity operationalizes plasticity as the inverse of connectivity strength among a system's elements: the weaker the connectivity, the higher the plasticity. Analyses of the Sequenced Treatment Alternatives to Relieve Depression (STAR*D) and Combining Medications to Enhance Depression Outcomes (CO-MED) datasets provided preliminary evidence supporting this operationalization at the population level and showed its high sensitivity. PlastNet aims to validate this approach at the individual level and to use it to develop personalized therapeutic strategies.

Study design: PlastNet is an observational study. No medicinal product or medical device is under investigation, and no intervention is assigned. The procedures (blood sampling, resting-state functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI), and clinical and neuropsychological assessments) are standard clinical and research tools, and no additional risk beyond routine clinical practice is anticipated. Two hundred adults with nonpsychotic MDD will be recruited at IRCCS Ospedale San Raffaele over 24 months and followed for 4 weeks each. At baseline, participants undergo resting-state fMRI, blood sampling and clinical assessments; clinical assessments are repeated at the four-week follow-up. Contextual factors are assessed with the World Health Organization Quality of Life-BREF (WHOQOL-BREF) questionnaire (quality of life), the Schedule of Recent Experiences (SRE) and the Perceived Stress Scale (PSS) (psychosocial stress), and socioeconomic status.

Primary objective and analysis: to generalize the operationalization of plasticity to the level of the central nervous system. The investigators hypothesize that lower baseline brain functional connectivity strength, derived from resting-state fMRI, is associated with a greater reduction in depressive symptom severity, measured as change in the total score of the 17-item Hamilton Depression Rating Scale (HDRS-17) from baseline to four-week follow-up. Whole-brain connectivity strength is the primary predictor; connectivity within the default mode network and the salience network is a secondary predictor. Change in the total score of the 13-item Beck Depression Inventory (BDI-13) is analyzed as a supportive endpoint. Because there is no co-primary endpoint, no multiplicity adjustment is required.

Secondary objective: to identify biological signatures of plasticity through integrated multi-omics analyses of peripheral blood collected at baseline. The investigators hypothesize that baseline multi-omics profiles predict individual plasticity and change in the HDRS-17 and BDI-13 total scores. Analyses include transcriptomic profiling of peripheral blood mononuclear cells by RNA sequencing (Illumina NovaSeq 6000), genomic analysis with the Illumina Infinium Global Screening Array-24 (>680,000 markers) and untargeted metabolomics by ultra-performance liquid chromatography coupled with tandem mass spectrometry (UPLC-MS/MS). Data will be integrated using elastic net, random forests and Data Integration Analysis for Biomarker discovery using Latent cOmponents (DIABLO) to generate individualized plasticity scores. Predictive accuracy will be assessed by cross-validation (alpha = 0.05), with Benjamini-Hochberg false discovery rate (FDR) correction (FDR \< 0.05).

Exploratory objective: to integrate symptom-based, neuroimaging-based and multi-omics-based plasticity measures into a unified individualized plasticity score and to investigate its interplay with contextual factors in determining treatment outcomes. No formal hypothesis is pre-specified; analyses are hypothesis-generating, and results will be considered preliminary pending replication.

Clinical significance: if validated, this approach could allow clinicians to tailor interventions to individual plasticity profiles, improving the precision and outcomes of psychiatric care.

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Conditions studied

  • Major Depressive Disorder (MDD)

Keywords

  • Major Depressive Disorder (MDD)
  • Plasticity
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In context

Depressive Disorder, Major

3,041 studies on the registry are indexed under Depressive Disorder, Major; 588 are open to participants now.

This study's planned enrollment of 200 is above the median of 131 across 400 observational studies indexed under Depressive Disorder, Major.

Browse Depressive Disorder, Major studies →

Lead sponsor

IRCCS San Raffaele is the lead sponsor of 454 studies on the registry; 235 are open to participants now.

Counted across the registry records on this site, refreshed daily.

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Who can participate

Ages eligible
18 Years to 70 Years
Sexes eligible
All
Accepts healthy volunteers
No
Sampling method
Non-probability sample

Study population

The enrolled population will consist of 200 adult patients, aged 18-70 years, diagnosed with nonpsychotic MDD according to DSM-5 criteria, and scoring 14 or higher on the HDRS.

Go through the criteria one by one — yes, no or not sure — and take the list to your doctor or the study team. Kept in this browser only.

Inclusion criteria

OSR will recruit 200 people who meet all these inclusion criteria:

  1. Is willing and able to give for participation in the study.
  2. Aged 18-70.
  3. Diagnosed with nonpsychotic Major Depressive Disorder according to criteria.
  4. 14 or higher on the 17-Hamilton Depression Rating Scale (HDRS).

Exclusion criteria

Exclusion Criteria

Considering the 200 MDD patients' sample OSR will recruit, an individual who meets any of the following criteria will be excluded from participation in this study:

  1. Diagnosed with bipolar disorder, schizophrenia, psychosis NOS; anorexia or bulimia nervosa; OCD;
  2. Presents a medical condition not compatible with the protocol;
  3. Is pregnant or breast feeding.
Terms in these criteria, in plain language(2)

Underlined terms in the criteria open these too. Explained by clinicaltrials.gg, not part of the registry record. The study team decides who can take part.

Informed consent

Before you join, the study team explains what taking part involves — its purpose, what happens, the risks and possible benefits — and answers your questions, so you can decide freely. Consent is usually recorded on a form (the informed consent form, ICF) signed by you or, where the law allows, by someone legally authorised to decide for you.

You can keep asking questions during the study, you are told of new information that matters, and you can choose to leave at any time.

DSM diagnostic criteria

The American Psychiatric Association’s manual of mental health diagnoses. DSM-5 (2013, revised as DSM-5-TR in 2022) replaced DSM-IV, and some studies still name the older edition. “Meets DSM criteria for …” means diagnosed by that edition’s diagnostic criteria, usually by a clinician in an interview.

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Study design

Observational model
Other
Time perspective
Prospective
Enrollment
200 participants (estimated)
Patient registry
No

Groups and cohorts

  • MDD cohort

    200 adult outpatients and inpatients (aged 18-70 years) recruited at IRCCS Ospedale San Raffaele, Milan, with a DSM-5 diagnosis of nonpsychotic major depressive disorder (MDD) and a score of 14 or higher on the 17-item Hamilton Depression Rating Scale (HDRS). Exclusion criteria are bipolar disorder, schizophrenia, psychosis NOS, anorexia or bulimia nervosa, OBCD, medical conditions incompatible with the protocol, and pregnancy or breastfeeding. At baseline, participants undergo structural and resting-state functional MRI, clinical and cognitive assessments, and blood sampling for multi-omic analyses. Clinical and cognitive assessments are repeated at 4 weeks. No intervention is assigned by the study; participants continue their usual care.

    Other: Clinical and cognitive assessments · Other: Multimodal MRI · Other: Blood sampling for multi-omic analyses

Interventions

  • OtherClinical and cognitive assessments

    Standardized assessment of depressive symptom severity (17-item HDRS) and cognitive performance, together with the Quality of Life Questionnaire, the Schedule of Recent Experiences and the Perceived Stress Scale. Assessments are performed at baseline and repeated at the 4-week follow-up. Participants continue their usual care, and no treatment is assigned or modified by the study.

  • OtherMultimodal MRI

    Structural and resting-state functional MRI (3T) performed at baseline to derive whole-brain and network-level functional connectivity (including the default mode and salience networks). Connectivity strength is used as an inverse measure of plasticity. This is an observational measurement only and is not used to assign or modify treatment.

  • OtherBlood sampling for multi-omic analyses

    Blood collection at enrollment for genomic, transcriptomic and metabolomic analyses, including inflammation-related pathways. Molecular data are integrated with neuroimaging and clinical data to identify biological signatures of plasticity. Sampling is performed for research purposes only and does not influence clinical management.

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What researchers measure

Primary outcomes

  1. Change in Hamilton Depression Rating Scale (HDRS-17) total score from baseline to week 4

    Depressive symptom severity is measured with the 17-item Hamilton Depression Rating Scale (HDRS-17), total score range 0 to 52, where higher scores indicate more severe depression (worse outcome). The outcome is the change in total score from baseline to week 4. Baseline whole-brain functional connectivity strength, derived from resting-state fMRI, is the predictor.

    Time frame: Baseline to four-week follow-up

Secondary outcomes

  1. Change in Hamilton Depression Rating Scale (HDRS-17) total score from baseline to week 4, in relation to multi-omics-derived plasticity profiles

    Depressive symptom severity is measured with the 17-item Hamilton Depression Rating Scale (HDRS-17), with a total score range of 0 to 52, where higher scores indicate more severe depression (worse outcome). The outcome is the change in total score from baseline to week 4. Multi-omics-derived plasticity profiles (genomic, transcriptomic and metabolomic data from peripheral blood collected at baseline) are the predictors.

    Time frame: Baseline to four-week follow-up

  2. Change in Beck Depression Inventory-13 (BDI-13) total score from baseline to week 4, in relation to multi-omics-derived plasticity profiles

    Depressive symptoms are measured with the Beck Depression Inventory-13 (BDI-13), a 13-item self-report questionnaire with a total score range of 0 to 39, where higher scores indicate more severe depression (worse outcome). The outcome is the change in total score from baseline to week 4. Multi-omics-derived plasticity profiles (genomic, transcriptomic and metabolomic data from peripheral blood collected at baseline) are the predictors.

    Time frame: Baseline to four-week follow-up

Other outcomes

  1. Integrated individualized plasticity score

    Individualized plasticity score integrating symptom-based, neuroimaging-based and multi-omics-based measures, and its association with change in the total scores of the 17-item Hamilton Depression Rating Scale (HDRS-17) and the 13-item Beck Depression Inventory (BDI-13), and with contextual factors at baseline: quality of life (World Health Organization Quality of Life-BREF, WHOQOL-BREF), psychosocial stress (Schedule of Recent Experiences, SRE, and Perceived Stress Scale, PSS) and socioeconomic status.

    Time frame: Baseline to four-week follow-up

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Study locations

No study locations are listed for this record.

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References and documents

Individual participant data

Plan to share: Yes

No publications or documents are linked to this record.

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Timeline

1 registry update since Sep 25, 2026
ElapsedEstimatedEstimated, not yet reachedSimilar studies: half by the dot; the band is the middle halfHalf of similar studies reached it by the dot; the band is the middle half, from a quarter to three quarters

Start is estimated for Nov 2026; primary completion for Dec 2028, 25 months later.

Of 121 non-industry observational studies under Depressive Disorder, Major, half reached primary completion within 46 months of starting (the median), counting those still running; a quarter within 29 and three quarters within 73. This study's planned 25 months is below that.

Counting every sponsor, half of 150 studies reached it within 38 months; a quarter within 21 and three quarters within 67.

How these figures are worked out, and which studies are left out of them.

Registered
Nov 2, 2026
First posted
Nov 12, 2026
StartEst.
Nov 2026
Primary completionEst.
Dec 2028
CompletionEst.
Nov 2029
Last update
Nov 12, 2026
What these dates mean
Start.
When the first participant enrolled; while estimated, when the study expects to open to recruitment.
Primary completion.
When the last participant was examined or treated to collect data for the study's main question, its primary outcome. A study that stopped early gives the date its data collection stopped.
Completion.
When the last participant's last visit took place, for every outcome, secondary ones and side effects included: the end of the study. Often later than primary completion, sometimes the same day.
Actual and Est.
Actual means the registry says the date has happened. Est. (estimated) is a date the sponsor plans or expects. It can still move, and the sponsor is expected to change it to actual once it has passed.
Registered
First appeared on the registry. No changes since
Nov 12, 2026
Show all 1 update
  1. Nov 12, 2026
    First appeared on the registry

From the registry record's own update history. This site started tracking changes on Sep 25, 2026; for anything earlier, see the record history on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗

10

Registry details

Key details

Study ID
NCT07933276
Lead sponsor
IRCCS San Raffaele
Responsible party
Sara Poletti (Project Leader, IRCCS San Raffaele) — Principal investigator
First posted
Nov 12, 2026
Start date
Nov 2026 (estimated)
Primary completion
Dec 2028 (estimated)
Completion
Nov 2029 (estimated)
Last update
Nov 12, 2026

Study contacts

Sara Poletti, PhD
Contact
poletti.sara@hsr.it
02 2643 3156
Igor Branchi, PhD
principal investigator · Istituto Superiore di Sanità

Oversight

FDA-regulated drug
No
FDA-regulated device
No
View the source record on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗

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