ClinicalTrials.gg
Not yet recruitingNCT07918755Updated Nov 5, 2026

Development and Validation of a Biopsy Decision Model for Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Based on Serological Markers and Endoscopic Features

An observational study in Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma (NPC), sponsored by Zhongshan People's Hospital, Guangdong, China. Not yet recruiting at 2 sites in China. Open to participants aged 18 Years and older. Per ClinicalTrials.gov, last updated 2026-11-05.

Sponsored by Zhongshan People's Hospital, Guangdong, China · Observational

Updated Nov 5, 2026Newly registeredGo to Updates ↓
Study type
Observational
Model
Cohort
Time perspective
Other
Enrollment
1,500
Ages
18 Years and older
Sex
All
01

Study summary

An observational study combines retrospective and prospective cohorts to develop, validate, and compare models based on Epstein-Barr virus (EBV)-related blood biomarkers alone, nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores alone, and their combination to support biopsy decisions for nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). Existing clinical data will be analyzed retrospectively for model development and internal validation. Data from participants undergoing nasopharyngeal endoscopy and clinically indicated nasopharyngeal biopsy at participating centers will be collected prospectively for external validation. The study will assess the models' diagnostic performance and potential value in identifying individuals who may benefit from biopsy and reducing unnecessary biopsies. Clinical decisions will follow routine practice.

Read the detailed description

The study includes a retrospective cohort for model development and internal validation and a prospective cohort for external validation at participating centers. Models based on EBV-related blood biomarkers alone, nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores alone, and their combination will be developed, validated, and compared.

02

Conditions studied

  • Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma (NPC)

Keywords

  • Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma (NPC)
  • biomarkers
  • Endoscope
  • biopsy
03

In context

Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma

683 studies on the registry are indexed under Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma; 270 are open to participants now.

This study's planned enrollment of 1,500 is above the median of 300 across 118 observational studies indexed under Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma.

Browse Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma studies →

Lead sponsor

Zhongshan People's Hospital, Guangdong, China is the lead sponsor of 11 studies on the registry; 8 are open to participants now.

Counted across the registry records on this site, refreshed daily.

04

Who can participate

Ages eligible
18 Years and older
Sexes eligible
All
Accepts healthy volunteers
No
Sampling method
Non-probability sample

Study population

The study population comprises individuals undergoing nasopharyngeal endoscopy and clinically indicated nasopharyngeal biopsy for NPC risk assessment or suspected NPC at participating hospitals. The retrospective cohort will use existing clinical records, while the prospective cohort will enroll eligible individuals consecutively.

Go through the criteria one by one — yes, no or not sure — and take the list to your doctor or the study team. Kept in this browser only.

Inclusion criteria

  1. Voluntarily agree to participate in the study and provide written ;
  2. Be aged ≥18 years;
  3. Have available EBV-related serological test results or be able to provide blood samples for the relevant testing;
  4. Undergo nasopharyngeal endoscopy for nasopharyngeal carcinoma risk assessment or suspected nasopharyngeal carcinoma;
  5. Undergo nasopharyngeal as part of routine clinical care.

Exclusion criteria

Exclusion Criteria:

  1. Previous confirmed diagnosis of nasopharyngeal carcinoma or prior treatment for nasopharyngeal carcinoma;
  2. Receipt of therapy or other treatments that may affect serum antibody levels within the past 6 months;
  3. Severe organ dysfunction, including decompensated heart failure, respiratory failure, decompensated liver cirrhosis, or renal failure.
Terms in these criteria, in plain language(3)

Underlined terms in the criteria open these too. Explained by clinicaltrials.gg, not part of the registry record. The study team decides who can take part.

Informed consent

Before you join, the study team explains what taking part involves — its purpose, what happens, the risks and possible benefits — and answers your questions, so you can decide freely. Consent is usually recorded on a form (the informed consent form, ICF) signed by you or, where the law allows, by someone legally authorised to decide for you.

You can keep asking questions during the study, you are told of new information that matters, and you can choose to leave at any time.

Biopsy and archival tissue

A biopsy takes a small piece of tissue to examine. “Archival tissue” is a sample already taken, for example at diagnosis, and kept by the hospital.

Whether a stored sample will do depends on when it was taken, how much there is and what the study needs. Ask whether the study accepts your stored sample or needs a new biopsy.

Immunosuppression

A weakened immune system. It can come from an illness, such as HIV or some blood cancers, or from medicines that turn the immune system down, for example after an organ transplant or for an autoimmune disease; steroids at higher doses count.

Read whether the line is about a condition or about medicines, and which medicines and doses it means.

05

Study design

Observational model
Cohort
Time perspective
Other
Enrollment
1,500 participants (estimated)
Patient registry
No
Biospecimen retention
Samples with dna

Groups and cohorts

  • Training Cohort

    Participants selected from existing clinical records who underwent nasopharyngeal endoscopy and clinically indicated nasopharyngeal biopsy for NPC risk assessment or suspected NPC. EBV-related blood biomarker results, nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores, and pathological diagnoses will be analyzed for model development.

    Diagnostic Test: Assessment of EBV-related blood biomarkers and nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores

  • Internal Validation Cohort

    Participants from the retrospective study population who are not included in the training cohort. Their EBV-related blood biomarker results, nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores, and pathological diagnoses will be used for internal validation of the developed models.

    Diagnostic Test: Assessment of EBV-related blood biomarkers and nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores

  • External Validation Cohort

    Participants undergoing nasopharyngeal endoscopy and clinically indicated nasopharyngeal biopsy at participating centers will be enrolled prospectively. EBV-related blood biomarker results, nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores, and pathological diagnoses from clinically indicated biopsies will be collected for external validation of the developed models. Clinical decisions will follow routine practice.

    Diagnostic Test: Assessment of EBV-related blood biomarkers and nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores

Interventions

  • Diagnostic testAssessment of EBV-related blood biomarkers and nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores

    EBV-related blood biomarkers, including P85-Ab, EBNA1-IgA, and VCA-IgA, among others, will be evaluated together with nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores to support biopsy decisions for nasopharyngeal carcinoma. Biopsy and treatment decisions will follow routine clinical practice.

06

What researchers measure

Primary outcomes

  1. Sensitivity of serological, endoscopic, and combined models at prespecified risk thresholds

    Sensitivity and corresponding 95% confidence intervals will be assessed and compared across models based on EBV-related blood biomarkers alone, nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores alone, and their combination at prespecified risk thresholds, separately in the internal validation cohort and the prospective external validation cohort, using nasopharyngeal biopsy histopathology as the reference standard.

    Time frame: Baseline

  2. Specificity of serological, endoscopic, and combined models at prespecified risk thresholds

    Specificity and corresponding 95% confidence intervals will be assessed and compared across models based on EBV-related blood biomarkers alone, nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores alone, and their combination at prespecified risk thresholds, separately in the internal validation cohort and the prospective external validation cohort, using nasopharyngeal biopsy histopathology as the reference standard.

    Time frame: Baseline

Secondary outcomes

  1. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of serological, endoscopic, and combined models

    AUCs and corresponding 95% confidence intervals will be assessed and compared across models based on EBV-related blood biomarkers alone, nasopharyngeal endoscopic scores alone, and their combination, separately in the internal validation cohort and the prospective external validation cohort, using nasopharyngeal biopsy histopathology as the reference standard.

    Time frame: Baseline

  2. Calibration intercept of serological, endoscopic, and combined models

    The calibration intercept will be calculated for each model using predicted probabilities and histopathological diagnoses, separately in the internal validation cohort and the prospective external validation cohort. An intercept of 0 indicates ideal calibration in this respect.

    Time frame: Baseline

  3. Calibration slope of serological, endoscopic, and combined models

    The calibration slope will be calculated for each model using predicted probabilities and histopathological diagnoses, separately in the internal validation cohort and the prospective external validation cohort. A slope of 1 indicates ideal calibration in this respect.

    Time frame: Baseline

  4. Brier score of serological, endoscopic, and combined models

    The Brier score will be calculated for each model as the mean squared difference between predicted probabilities and histopathological outcomes, coded as 1 for nasopharyngeal carcinoma and 0 otherwise, separately in the internal validation cohort and the prospective external validation cohort. Scores range from 0 to 1, with lower scores indicating better overall predictive accuracy.

    Time frame: Baseline

  5. Positive predictive value of serological, endoscopic, and combined models at prespecified risk thresholds

    Positive predictive values and corresponding 95% confidence intervals will be calculated for each model at prespecified risk thresholds, separately in the internal validation cohort and the prospective external validation cohort, using nasopharyngeal biopsy histopathology as the reference standard.

    Time frame: Baseline

  6. Negative predictive value of serological, endoscopic, and combined models at prespecified risk thresholds

    Negative predictive values and corresponding 95% confidence intervals will be calculated for each model at prespecified risk thresholds, separately in the internal validation cohort and the prospective external validation cohort, using nasopharyngeal biopsy histopathology as the reference standard.

    Time frame: Baseline

  7. Net benefit of model-based biopsy strategies

    Decision curve analysis will be used to assess and compare the net benefit of biopsy strategies based on serological, endoscopic, and combined models with biopsy-all and biopsy-none strategies across risk thresholds, separately in the internal validation cohort and the prospective external validation cohort, using nasopharyngeal biopsy histopathology as the reference standard.

    Time frame: Baseline

  8. Potential percentage of biopsies avoided using model-based strategies at prespecified risk thresholds

    For each serological, endoscopic, and combined model, the potential percentage of biopsies avoided will be calculated as the percentage of all evaluated participants undergoing biopsy whose predicted risk is below the prespecified threshold. This represents the potential reduction in biopsies relative to a biopsy-all strategy and will be assessed separately in the internal validation cohort and the prospective external validation cohort.

    Time frame: Baseline

07

Study locations

2 sites
08

References and documents

Individual participant data

Plan to share: Undecided

No publications or documents are linked to this record.

09

Timeline

1 registry update since Sep 25, 2026
ElapsedEstimatedEstimated, not yet reachedSimilar studies: half by the dot; the band is the middle halfHalf of similar studies reached it by the dot; the band is the middle half, from a quarter to three quarters

Start is estimated for Nov 2026; primary completion for Jun 2028, 19 months later.

Of 52 observational studies under Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma, half reached primary completion within 55 months of starting (the median), counting those still running; a quarter within 36 and three quarters within 155. This study's planned 19 months is below that.

How these figures are worked out, and which studies are left out of them.

Registered
Sep 17, 2026
First posted
Nov 5, 2026
StartEst.
Nov 1, 2026
Primary completionEst.
Jun 30, 2028
CompletionEst.
Jun 30, 2028
Last update
Nov 5, 2026
What these dates mean
Start.
When the first participant enrolled; while estimated, when the study expects to open to recruitment.
Primary completion.
When the last participant was examined or treated to collect data for the study's main question, its primary outcome. A study that stopped early gives the date its data collection stopped.
Completion.
When the last participant's last visit took place, for every outcome, secondary ones and side effects included: the end of the study. Often later than primary completion, sometimes the same day.
Actual and Est.
Actual means the registry says the date has happened. Est. (estimated) is a date the sponsor plans or expects. It can still move, and the sponsor is expected to change it to actual once it has passed.
Registered
First appeared on the registry. No changes since
Nov 5, 2026
Show all 1 update
  1. Nov 5, 2026
    First appeared on the registry

From the registry record's own update history. This site started tracking changes on Sep 25, 2026; for anything earlier, see the record history on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗

10

Registry details

Key details

Study ID
NCT07918755
Lead sponsor
Zhongshan People's Hospital, Guangdong, China
Collaborators
People's Hospital of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region
Responsible party
Mingfang Ji (Clinical Professor, Zhongshan People's Hospital, Guangdong, China) — Principal investigator
First posted
Nov 5, 2026
Start date
Nov 1, 2026 (estimated)
Primary completion
Jun 30, 2028 (estimated)
Completion
Jun 30, 2028 (estimated)
Last update
Nov 5, 2026

Study contacts

Mingfang Ji
Contact
jmftbh@sina.com
86-0760-89880417

Oversight

Data monitoring committee
No
FDA-regulated drug
No
FDA-regulated device
No
View the source record on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗

Not currently enrolling

This study is not yet recruiting, as verified in Sep 2026. You cannot join it, but the record below documents what was studied.

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