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CompletedNCT07892092ARMOLIPID-DTUpdated Oct 23, 2026

Long-Term Cardiovascular Impact of ArmoLIPID Cholesterol Plus: An In Silico Study Using Digital Twins

An observational study in Hypercholesterolemia and Cardiovascular Risk, sponsored by Aeterna Medical Solutions SL. Completed at 1 site in Spain. Open to participants aged 30 Years to 65 Years. Per ClinicalTrials.gov, last updated 2026-10-23.

Sponsored by Aeterna Medical Solutions SL · Observational

Updated Oct 23, 2026Newly registeredGo to Updates ↓
Study type
Observational
Model
Other
Time perspective
Prospective
Enrollment
100,000
Ages
30 Years to 65 Years
Sex
All
01

Study summary

The goal of this study, conducted entirely using computer simulations, is to evaluate the projected long-term cardiovascular impact of the new ArmoLIPID Cholesterol Plus formulation in adults with mild-to-moderate hypercholesterolemia and low-to-moderate cardiovascular risk.

The main questions this study aims to answer are:

  • Does the addition of ArmoLIPID Cholesterol Plus to lifestyle management reduce the projected incidence of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), including cardiovascular death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, and non-fatal stroke?
  • How does sustained LDL cholesterol reduction influence cumulative cardiovascular risk over 5, 10, 15, and 20 years?
  • Could the use of ArmoLIPID Cholesterol Plus delay the projected need for statin therapy?

Researchers will compare two simulated strategies: lifestyle management alone versus lifestyle management combined with one daily tablet of the new ArmoLIPID Cholesterol Plus formulation.

No human participants will be recruited, treated, or followed in this study. Using the Aeterna Deep computational platform, researchers will generate a synthetic population of 100,000 digital twins whose characteristics reflect those of adults with mild-to-moderate hypercholesterolemia. The simulations will incorporate clinical evidence from previous studies and model individual cardiovascular trajectories over a 20-year period.

All cardiovascular outcomes will be computational projections rather than events observed in human participants.

02

Conditions studied

  • Hypercholesterolemia
  • Cardiovascular Risk

Keywords

  • Hypercholesterolemia
  • LDL Cholesterol
  • Cardiovascular Prevention
  • ArmoLIPID Cholesterol Plus
  • Nutraceuticals
  • Digital Twins
  • In Silico Clinical Trial
  • Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events (MACE)
03

In context

Hypercholesterolemia

1,267 studies on the registry are indexed under Hypercholesterolemia; 105 are open to participants now.

This study's enrollment of 100,000 is above the median of 805 across 188 observational studies indexed under Hypercholesterolemia.

Browse Hypercholesterolemia studies →

Lead sponsor

Aeterna Medical Solutions SL is the lead sponsor of 2 studies on the registry; none are open to participants now.

Counted across the registry records on this site, refreshed daily.

04

Who can participate

Ages eligible
30 Years to 65 Years
Sexes eligible
All
Sampling method
Non-probability sample

Study population

The study population consists of 100,000 synthetic digital twins representing adults aged 30 to 65 years with mild-to-moderate hypercholesterolemia, baseline low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) levels between 115 and 189 mg/dL, and low-to-moderate estimated cardiovascular risk according to SCORE2.

The synthetic population excludes individuals with established atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, diabetes mellitus, or high-to-very-high cardiovascular risk at baseline.

Digital twins are generated and analyzed using the Aeterna Deep computational platform to simulate individual cardiovascular trajectories over a 20-year period. Three virtual management strategies are evaluated: lifestyle management alone, lifestyle management combined with one daily tablet of the new ArmoLIPID Cholesterol Plus formulation, and an exploratory two-tablet daily scenario assuming a hypothetical sustained 32% reduction in LDL-C.

The study is conducted entirely in silico. No human participants are

Go through the criteria one by one — yes, no or not sure — and take the list to your doctor or the study team. Kept in this browser only.

Inclusion criteria

  • Synthetic digital twins representing adults aged 30 to 65 years.
  • Baseline low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) levels between 115 and 189 mg/dL.
  • Low-to-moderate estimated 10-year cardiovascular risk according to SCORE2.
  • No history of established atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD).
  • No diagnosis of diabetes mellitus at baseline.
  • Availability of the simulated baseline characteristics required for cardiovascular risk estimation and longitudinal computational modeling.

Exclusion criteria

Exclusion Criteria:

  • Synthetic profiles representing individuals younger than 30 years or older than 65 years.
  • Baseline LDL-C levels below 115 mg/dL or above 189 mg/dL.
  • High or very high estimated cardiovascular risk according to SCORE2.
  • History of established ASCVD, including previous myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke, or peripheral arterial disease.
  • Diagnosis of diabetes mellitus at baseline.
  • Synthetic profiles with missing or inconsistent baseline variables required for cardiovascular risk estimation or simulation.
05

Study design

Observational model
Other
Time perspective
Prospective
Enrollment
100,000 participants (actual)
Patient registry
No

Groups and cohorts

  • Lifestyle Management (Reference Group)

    Synthetic digital twins receiving simulated standard lifestyle management, including dietary recommendations, regular physical activity, and cardiovascular risk factor management, without ArmoLIPID Cholesterol Plus supplementation. This group serves as the reference comparator for estimating long-term cardiovascular outcomes over 5, 10, 15, and 20 years.

  • Lifestyle Management + ArmoLIPID Cholesterol Plus

    Synthetic digital twins receiving simulated standard lifestyle management combined with one daily tablet of the new ArmoLIPID Cholesterol Plus formulation, without red yeast rice. The simulation estimates the long-term effects of LDL cholesterol reduction on cumulative cardiovascular exposure and the projected incidence of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) over 5, 10, 15, and 20 years.

  • Exploratory Scenario - Enhanced LDL-C Reduction (Two Tablets Daily)

    Synthetic digital twins receiving simulated standard lifestyle management combined with two tablets daily of the new ArmoLIPID Cholesterol Plus formulation, without red yeast rice. This exploratory scenario assumes a sustained 32% reduction in LDL cholesterol (LDL-C) from baseline and evaluates its potential long-term impact on cumulative LDL-C exposure and the projected incidence of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) over 5, 10, 15, and 20 years. The assumed LDL-C reduction represents a hypothetical enhanced-response scenario and has not been clinically demonstrated for the two-tablet daily regimen. No human participants receive treatment in this simulation.

06

What researchers measure

Primary outcomes

  1. Projected Cumulative Incidence of First Major Adverse Cardiovascular Event (MACE)

    Estimation of the projected cumulative incidence of a first major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE), defined as the composite of cardiovascular death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, or non-fatal stroke, using the Aeterna Deep digital twin simulation platform. The outcome will be assessed across three simulated strategies: lifestyle management alone, lifestyle management combined with one daily tablet of the new ArmoLIPID Cholesterol Plus formulation, and an exploratory scenario involving two tablets daily with an assumed 32% LDL cholesterol reduction. Cumulative event probabilities, absolute risk differences, and model-derived hazard ratios will be estimated at 5, 10, 15, and 20 years. All events are computationally projected and are not observed clinical events in human participants.

    Time frame: From simulation baseline to 5, 10, 15, and 20 years

Secondary outcomes

  1. Projected Cumulative LDL Cholesterol Exposure Over 20 Years

    Estimation of cumulative exposure to low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) over 5, 10, 15, and 20 years, calculated as the area under the simulated LDL-C concentration-time curve and expressed in mg/dL-years. The analysis will compare lifestyle management alone with lifestyle management plus one tablet daily of the new ArmoLIPID Cholesterol Plus formulation and an exploratory two-tablet daily scenario assuming a sustained 32% reduction in LDL-C. Differences in cumulative LDL-C exposure between simulated strategies will be assessed to characterize the potential long-term impact of sustained cholesterol lowering. All LDL-C trajectories are computationally simulated and do not represent longitudinal measurements obtained from human participants.

    Time frame: From simulation baseline to 5, 10, 15, and 20 years

  2. Projected Incidence of Statin Therapy Indication

    Estimation of the projected proportion of synthetic digital twins meeting predefined clinical criteria for initiation of statin therapy over 5, 10, 15, and 20 years. The analysis will compare three simulated strategies: lifestyle management alone, lifestyle management combined with one tablet daily of the new ArmoLIPID Cholesterol Plus formulation, and an exploratory two-tablet daily scenario assuming a sustained 32% reduction in LDL cholesterol (LDL-C). Statin therapy indication will be determined using the cardiovascular risk and LDL-C thresholds specified in the simulation model. Differences between strategies will be assessed to estimate the potential impact of sustained LDL-C lowering on the future need for lipid-lowering pharmacotherapy. All outcomes are computational projections and do not represent treatment decisions made for human participants.

    Time frame: From simulation baseline to 5, 10, 15, and 20 years

  3. Projected Time to First Statin Therapy Indication

    Estimation of the simulated time from baseline to the first occurrence of predefined clinical criteria for statin therapy initiation, expressed in years. The analysis will compare lifestyle management alone, lifestyle management combined with one tablet daily of the new ArmoLIPID Cholesterol Plus formulation, and an exploratory two-tablet daily scenario assuming a sustained 32% reduction in LDL cholesterol (LDL-C). Time-to-event analyses will assess whether sustained LDL-C lowering may delay the projected indication for statin therapy. All outcomes are derived from computational simulations and do not represent actual prescribing decisions or clinical follow-up of human participants.

    Time frame: From simulation baseline up to 20 years

  4. Projected Cardiovascular Outcomes According to Supplementation Adherence

    Assessment of the association between simulated long-term adherence to ArmoLIPID Cholesterol Plus supplementation and the projected cumulative incidence of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), defined as cardiovascular death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, or non-fatal stroke. The analysis will evaluate adherence scenarios incorporated into the Aeterna Deep computational model and compare their projected cardiovascular outcomes over 5, 10, 15, and 20 years. All adherence patterns and cardiovascular events are computationally simulated and do not represent observed behavior or clinical outcomes in human participants.

    Time frame: From simulation baseline to 5, 10, 15, and 20 years

  5. Projected Number Needed to Treat (NNT) to Prevent One Major Adverse Cardiovascular Event

    Estimation of the model-derived number needed to treat (NNT) to prevent one first major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE), defined as cardiovascular death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, or non-fatal stroke. The NNT will be calculated as the inverse of the absolute difference in projected cumulative MACE incidence between lifestyle management alone and each simulated ArmoLIPID Cholesterol Plus supplementation strategy at 5, 10, 15, and 20 years. The analysis will include the one-tablet daily strategy and the exploratory two-tablet daily scenario assuming a sustained 32% reduction in LDL cholesterol. NNT estimates represent hypothetical benefits derived from computational simulations and should not be interpreted as clinically demonstrated treatment effects.

    Time frame: From simulation baseline to 5, 10, 15, and 20 years

  6. Projected Major Adverse Cardiovascular Event-Free Survival Time

    Estimation of the projected time free from a first major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE), defined as cardiovascular death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, or non-fatal stroke, over a 20-year simulation horizon. Restricted mean MACE-free survival time will be estimated from the simulated event-free survival curves and expressed in years. The analysis will compare lifestyle management alone with lifestyle management plus one tablet daily of the new ArmoLIPID Cholesterol Plus formulation and an exploratory two-tablet daily scenario assuming a sustained 32% reduction in LDL cholesterol (LDL-C). Between-strategy differences will be used to quantify the projected gain in MACE-free survival time. All estimates are derived from computational simulations and do not represent observed clinical outcomes in human participants.

    Time frame: From simulation baseline up to 20 years

  7. Model-Derived Hazard Ratio for First Major Adverse Cardiovascular Event (MACE)

    Estimation of model-derived hazard ratios (HRs) for the time to first major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE), defined as cardiovascular death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, or non-fatal stroke. Hazard ratios will compare simulated lifestyle management alone with lifestyle management combined with one tablet daily of the new ArmoLIPID Cholesterol Plus formulation and, separately, an exploratory two-tablet daily scenario assuming a sustained 32% reduction in LDL cholesterol (LDL-C). Estimates will be accompanied by uncertainty intervals derived from the computational model. All hazard ratios represent simulated associations and should not be interpreted as treatment effects demonstrated in a clinical trial involving human participants.

    Time frame: From simulation baseline up to 20 years

07

Study locations

1 site
  • Aeternal Medical Solutions SL
    Madrid, Madrid 28009, Spain
08

References and documents

Publications

  • SCORE2-OP working group and ESC Cardiovascular risk collaboration. SCORE2-OP risk prediction algorithms: estimating incident cardiovascular event risk in older persons in four geographical risk regions. Eur Heart J. 2021 Jul 1;42(25):2455-2467. doi: 10.1093/eurheartj/ehab312. PubMed 34120185 ↗
  • Cholesterol Treatment Trialists' (CTT) Collaboration; Baigent C, Blackwell L, Emberson J, Holland LE, Reith C, Bhala N, Peto R, Barnes EH, Keech A, Simes J, Collins R. Efficacy and safety of more intensive lowering of LDL cholesterol: a meta-analysis of data from 170,000 participants in 26 randomised trials. Lancet. 2010 Nov 13;376(9753):1670-81. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(10)61350-5. Epub 2010 Nov 8. PubMed 21067804 ↗
  • SCORE2 working group and ESC Cardiovascular risk collaboration. SCORE2 risk prediction algorithms: new models to estimate 10-year risk of cardiovascular disease in Europe. Eur Heart J. 2021 Jul 1;42(25):2439-2454. doi: 10.1093/eurheartj/ehab309. PubMed 34120177 ↗
  • Visseren FLJ, Mach F, Smulders YM, Carballo D, Koskinas KC, Back M, Benetos A, Biffi A, Boavida JM, Capodanno D, Cosyns B, Crawford C, Davos CH, Desormais I, Di Angelantonio E, Franco OH, Halvorsen S, Hobbs FDR, Hollander M, Jankowska EA, Michal M, Sacco S, Sattar N, Tokgozoglu L, Tonstad S, Tsioufis KP, van Dis I, van Gelder IC, Wanner C, Williams B; ESC National Cardiac Societies; ESC Scientific Document Group. 2021 ESC Guidelines on cardiovascular disease prevention in clinical practice. Eur Heart J. 2021 Sep 7;42(34):3227-3337. doi: 10.1093/eurheartj/ehab484. No abstract available. PubMed 34458905 ↗
  • Ference BA, Ginsberg HN, Graham I, Ray KK, Packard CJ, Bruckert E, Hegele RA, Krauss RM, Raal FJ, Schunkert H, Watts GF, Boren J, Fazio S, Horton JD, Masana L, Nicholls SJ, Nordestgaard BG, van de Sluis B, Taskinen MR, Tokgozoglu L, Landmesser U, Laufs U, Wiklund O, Stock JK, Chapman MJ, Catapano AL. Low-density lipoproteins cause atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. 1. Evidence from genetic, epidemiologic, and clinical studies. A consensus statement from the European Atherosclerosis Society Consensus Panel. Eur Heart J. 2017 Aug 21;38(32):2459-2472. doi: 10.1093/eurheartj/ehx144. PubMed 28444290 ↗
  • Fogacci F, Di Micoli V, Veronesi M, Cicero AFG. Comparative effect of a nutraceutical compound based on a flavonoid complex from bergamot on plasma lipids, glucose metabolism, and liver enzymes: a 3-arm, double-blind, placebo-controlled, randomized clinical trial. Arch Med Sci. 2022 Sep 9;19(5):1180-1185. doi: 10.5114/aoms/152791. eCollection 2023. PubMed 37732027 ↗

Individual participant data

Plan to share: No — This study is conducted entirely in silico using 100,000 synthetic digital twins generated and analyzed through the Aeterna Deep computational platform. No individual participant data from enrolled human subjects are collected or generated. The underlying synthetic datasets and simulation outputs are not planned for public sharing, as they form part of the proprietary computational framework of Aeterna Medical Solutions SL. Aggregated study findings will be disseminated through scientific publications and reports.

09

Updates

1 registry update since Sep 25, 2026
Registered
First appeared on the registry. No changes since
Oct 23, 2026
Show all 1 update
  1. Oct 23, 2026
    First appeared on the registry

From the registry record's own update history. This site started tracking changes on Sep 25, 2026; for anything earlier, see the record history on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗

10

Registry details

Key details

Study ID
NCT07892092
Lead sponsor
Aeterna Medical Solutions SL
Responsible party
Sponsor
First posted
Oct 23, 2026
Start date
Sep 1, 2026
Primary completion
Oct 3, 2026
Completion
Oct 14, 2026
Last update
Oct 23, 2026
View the source record on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗

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