ClinicalTrials.gg
CompletedNCT07259616Updated Sep 15, 2026

Incidence of Cervical Cancer in HPV-positive Women With Low-grade Cytological Abnormalities

An observational study in Cervical Intraepithelial Neoplasia, Cervix Uteri Cancer and Human Papilloma Virus, sponsored by Gynaecologisch Oncologisch Centrum Zuid. Completed. Open to female participants. Per ClinicalTrials.gov, last updated 2026-09-15.

Sponsored by Gynaecologisch Oncologisch Centrum Zuid · Observational

Study type
Observational
Model
Cohort
Time perspective
Retrospective
Enrollment
46,079
Sex
Female
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Study summary

The goal of this observational study is to assess the five-year incidence of histologically confirmed cervical cancer among women who test positive for human papillomavirus (HPV) with low-grade cytological abnormalities, to evaluate whether follow-up intensity could be reduced in women participating in the Dutch population-based cervical cancer screening program who are HPV-positive and have low-grade cytological abnormalities - atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance (ASC-US), atypical glandular cells of endocervical origin (AGC), or low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions (LSIL).

The main questions it aims to answer are:

What is the five-year risk of developing cervical cancer in HPV-positive women with low-grade cytological abnormalities?

Does the presence of subsequent low-grade cytology affect the five-year risk of cervical cancer in this population?

Researchers will compare the risk of cervical cancer in HPV-positive women with low-grade abnormalities to women with stable negative for intraepithelial lesion or malignancy (NILM) cytology, since women with stable NILM are discharged from further follow-up back to the screening programme. This will help evaluate whether follow-up intensity can be reduced in women with low-grade abnormalities.

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Conditions studied

  • Cervical Intraepithelial Neoplasia
  • Cervix Uteri Cancer
  • Human Papilloma Virus
  • Cervix Carcinoma
  • Cervix; Intraepithelial Neoplasia

Keywords

  • Human papilloma virus
  • Cervical cancer
  • Low-grade cytological abnormalities
  • Cervical cancer screening
  • Retrospective cohort study
  • Five-year incidence
03

In context

Uterine Cervical Dysplasia

409 studies on the registry are indexed under Uterine Cervical Dysplasia; 76 are open to participants now.

This study's enrollment of 46,079 is above the median of 435 across 110 observational studies indexed under Uterine Cervical Dysplasia.

Browse Uterine Cervical Dysplasia studies →

Lead sponsor

Gynaecologisch Oncologisch Centrum Zuid is the lead sponsor of 6 studies on the registry; 3 are open to participants now.

Counted across the registry records on this site, refreshed daily.

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Who can participate

Ages eligible
Child (0–17), Adult (18–64), Older adult (65+)
Sexes eligible
Female
Accepts healthy volunteers
No
Sampling method
Probability sample

Study population

This retrospective cohort study included women who participated in the population-based cervical cancer screening program in the Netherlands between January 2017 and December 2018. Eligible participants were HPV-positive and had cytology results categorized as atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance (ASC-US), atypical glandular cells of endocervical origin (AGC), or low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (LSIL) or stable negative for intra-epithelial leasion or malignancy (NILM) cytology results after one year according to the Bethesda system.

Go through the criteria one by one — yes, no or not sure — and take the list to your doctor or the study team. Kept in this browser only.

Inclusion criteria

Women who participated in the cervical cancer screening program in the Netherlands between January 2017 and December 2018, who:

  • Tested HPV-positive with cytology results categorized as atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance (ASC-US), atypical glandular cells of endocervical origin (AGC), or low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (LSIL) according to the Bethesda system, or
  • Were HPV-positive and had stable negative for intra-epithelial leasion or (NILM) cytology after one year.

Exclusion criteria

Exclusion Criteria:

  • None
Terms in these criteria, in plain language(1)

Underlined terms in the criteria open these too. Explained by clinicaltrials.gg, not part of the registry record. The study team decides who can take part.

Cancer (malignancy)

Malignancy means cancer. Criteria about another or earlier malignancy ask whether you have had a different cancer, usually within a set number of years.

Some are commonly allowed, such as treated skin cancers other than melanoma and early cancers removed completely — check the exceptions this study lists.

05

Study design

Observational model
Cohort
Time perspective
Retrospective
Enrollment
46,079 participants (actual)
Patient registry
No

Groups and cohorts

  • Cohort low-grade cytological abnormalities

    Women who participated in the population-based cervical cancer screening program in the Netherlands between January 2017 and December 2018 who were HPV positive and with cytology results atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance (ASC-US), atypical glandular cells of endocervical origin (AGC), or low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (LSIL) according to the Bethesda system.

  • Cohort HPV positive and no cervical abnormalities

    Women who participated in the population-based cervical cancer screening program in the Netherlands between January 2017 and December 2018 who were HPV positive and with a stable cytology result negative for intra-epithelial neoplasia according to the Bethesda system.

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What researchers measure

Primary outcomes

  1. Five-year incidence cervical cancer

    Incidence of histologically confirmed cervical cancer within the five-year screening interval.

    Time frame: From enrollment up to 5 years after.

Secondary outcomes

  1. Time to diagnosis of cervical carcinoma

    Time from enrollment to diagnosis of cervical carcinoma

    Time frame: From enrollment up to 5 years after.

  2. All-cause mortality

    The number of participants that died from enrollment up to five years after, all causes of death included.

    Time frame: From enrollment up to 5 years after.

  3. Examination at which the diagnosis cervical carcinoma was established

    Type of examination at which the diagnosis was established

    Time frame: Moment of diagnosis of cervical carcinoma from enrollment up to 5 years after.

  4. Carcinoma subtype

    Histological characteristics of carcinoma (subtype).

    Time frame: Moment of diagnosis of cervical carcinoma within 5 years after enrollment.

  5. Incidence of cervical cancer within 5 years of inclusion stratified by histological diagnosis within three months of enrollment

    Incidence of cervical cancer within 5 years of inclusion stratified by histological diagnosis within three months of baseline abnormal cytology (≤ CIN I vs CIN 2+) and, for the ≤ CIN I group, fur-ther stratified by cytology at 12-month follow-up (no or nondiagnostic cytology, ≤ LSIL, HSIL +).

    Time frame: From enrollment up to 5 years after.

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Study locations

No study locations are listed for this record.

08

References and documents

Publications

  • Cervical cancer screening programme. RIVM n.d. https://www.rivm.nl/en/cervical- cancer-screening-programme (accessed June 1, 2025).
  • WHO guideline for screening and treatment of cervical pre-cancer lesions for cervical cancer prevention n.d. https://www.who.int/publications/i/item/9789240030824 (accessed June 1, 2025).
  • Eramus MC, Palga. Bevolkingsonderzoek Baarmoederhalskanker - Monitor 2017. RIVM 2017.
  • The Netherlands: Integraal Kankercentrum Nederland. National Guidelines: CIN, AIS en VAIN (Dutch). Richtlijnendatabase Federatie Medisch Specialisten;Accessed June 2025.
  • The Netherlands: Integraal Kankercentrum Nederland. National Guidelines: Cervixcytologie- Codering van de uitslag (Dutch). Richtlijnendatabase Federatie Medisch Specialisten; Accessed June 2025.
  • Sharp L, Cotton S, Cruickshank M, Gray NM, Harrild K, Smart L, Walker LG, Little J; TOMBOLA Group. The unintended consequences of cervical screening: distress in women undergoing cytologic surveillance. J Low Genit Tract Dis. 2014 Apr;18(2):142-50. doi: 10.1097/LGT.0b013e31829c97d8. PubMed 24270192 ↗
  • Katki HA, Gage JC, Schiffman M, Castle PE, Fetterman B, Poitras NE, Lorey T, Cheung LC, Raine-Bennett T, Kinney WK. Follow-up testing after colposcopy: five-year risk of CIN 2+ after a colposcopic diagnosis of CIN 1 or less. J Low Genit Tract Dis. 2013 Apr;17(5 Suppl 1):S69-77. doi: 10.1097/LGT.0b013e31828543b1. PubMed 23519308 ↗
  • Ciavattini A, Serri M, Di Giuseppe J, Liverani CA, Gardella B, Papiccio M, Delli Carpini G, Morini S, Clemente N, Sopracordevole F. Long-term observational approach in women with histological diagnosis of cervical low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion: an Italian multicentric retrospective cohort study. BMJ Open. 2019 Jul 3;9(7):e024920. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2018-024920. PubMed 31272971 ↗
  • Bosch FX, Manos MM, Munoz N, Sherman M, Jansen AM, Peto J, Schiffman MH, Moreno V, Kurman R, Shah KV. Prevalence of human papillomavirus in cervical cancer: a worldwide perspective. International biological study on cervical cancer (IBSCC) Study Group. J Natl Cancer Inst. 1995 Jun 7;87(11):796-802. doi: 10.1093/jnci/87.11.796. PubMed 7791229 ↗
  • Jansen EEL, Zielonke N, Gini A, Anttila A, Segnan N, Voko Z, Ivanus U, McKee M, de Koning HJ, de Kok IMCM; EU-TOPIA consortium. Effect of organised cervical cancer screening on cervical cancer mortality in Europe: a systematic review. Eur J Cancer. 2020 Mar;127:207-223. doi: 10.1016/j.ejca.2019.12.013. Epub 2020 Jan 21. PubMed 31980322 ↗
  • Melnikow J, Henderson JT, Burda BU, Senger CA, Durbin S, Weyrich MS. Screening for Cervical Cancer With High-Risk Human Papillomavirus Testing: Updated Evidence Report and Systematic Review for the US Preventive Services Task Force. JAMA. 2018 Aug 21;320(7):687-705. doi: 10.1001/jama.2018.10400. PubMed 30140883 ↗
  • US Preventive Services Task Force; Curry SJ, Krist AH, Owens DK, Barry MJ, Caughey AB, Davidson KW, Doubeni CA, Epling JW Jr, Kemper AR, Kubik M, Landefeld CS, Mangione CM, Phipps MG, Silverstein M, Simon MA, Tseng CW, Wong JB. Screening for Cervical Cancer: US Preventive Services Task Force Recommendation Statement. JAMA. 2018 Aug 21;320(7):674-686. doi: 10.1001/jama.2018.10897. PubMed 30140884 ↗
  • Bruni L, Serrano B, Roura E, Alemany L, Cowan M, Herrero R, Poljak M, Murillo R, Broutet N, Riley LM, de Sanjose S. Cervical cancer screening programmes and age-specific coverage estimates for 202 countries and territories worldwide: a review and synthetic analysis. Lancet Glob Health. 2022 Aug;10(8):e1115-e1127. doi: 10.1016/S2214-109X(22)00241-8. PubMed 35839811 ↗
  • Arbyn M, Weiderpass E, Bruni L, de Sanjose S, Saraiya M, Ferlay J, Bray F. Estimates of incidence and mortality of cervical cancer in 2018: a worldwide analysis. Lancet Glob Health. 2020 Feb;8(2):e191-e203. doi: 10.1016/S2214-109X(19)30482-6. Epub 2019 Dec 4. PubMed 31812369 ↗

Study documents

PDFs hosted by the registry, ClinicalTrials.gov.

Individual participant data

Plan to share: No — The investigators do not have ownership of the individual participant data. Data can be obtained on request at https://aanvraag.palga.nl/login

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Timeline

Tracking since Sep 25, 2026
ElapsedEstimatedEstimated, not yet reached

Ran from Jan 2017 to primary completion in Dec 2023, 83 months.

How these figures are worked out, and which studies are left out of them.

Registered
Sep 24, 2025
First posted
Dec 2, 2025
StartActual
Jan 1, 2017
Primary completionActual
Dec 31, 2023
CompletionActual
Dec 31, 2023
Last update
Sep 15, 2026
What these dates mean
Start.
When the first participant enrolled; while estimated, when the study expects to open to recruitment.
Primary completion.
When the last participant was examined or treated to collect data for the study's main question, its primary outcome. A study that stopped early gives the date its data collection stopped.
Completion.
When the last participant's last visit took place, for every outcome, secondary ones and side effects included: the end of the study. Often later than primary completion, sometimes the same day.
Actual and Est.
Actual means the registry says the date has happened. Est. (estimated) is a date the sponsor plans or expects. It can still move, and the sponsor is expected to change it to actual once it has passed.
No changes since tracking began. The registry record was last updated on Sep 15, 2026, before this site started recording changes on Sep 25, 2026. Its history is on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗
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Registry details

Key details

Study ID
NCT07259616
Lead sponsor
Gynaecologisch Oncologisch Centrum Zuid
Collaborators
PALGA foundation, Amphia Hospital, Maastricht University
Responsible party
Jurgen M.J. Piek (Principal investigator, Gynaecologisch Oncologisch Centrum Zuid) — Principal investigator
First posted
Dec 2, 2025
Start date
Jan 1, 2017
Primary completion
Dec 31, 2023
Completion
Dec 31, 2023
Last update
Sep 15, 2026

Oversight

Data monitoring committee
No
FDA-regulated drug
No
FDA-regulated device
No
View the source record on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗

Not currently enrolling

This study is completed, as verified in Sep 2026. You cannot join it, but the record below documents what was studied.

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