ClinicalTrials.gg
RecruitingNCT06997185Updated May 30, 2025

Communicating Uncertainties Associated With the Benefits and Risks of New Cancer Drugs

An interventional study of Statement communicating uncertainty with a single arm trial and Statement communicating uncertainty with limited study duration in Cancer, sponsored by London School of Economics and Political Science. Recruiting at 1 site in United States. Open to participants aged 18 Years and older, including healthy volunteers. Per ClinicalTrials.gov, last updated 2025-05-30.

Sponsored by London School of Economics and Political Science · Not applicable, Interventional, and Other

From the registry’s dates

  • Primary completion was expected by Jun 2025, 1 year 4 months ago, but the record still lists the study as recruiting.
  • Started May 2025; still recruiting 1 year 5 months later.
Phase
Not applicable
Study type
Interventional
Enrollment
3,000
Allocation
Randomized
Ages
18 Years and older
Sex
All
01

Study summary

This nationally representative randomized survey of US adults will evaluate the effect of using brief statements to communicate different sources of uncertainty about the benefits and harms of new cancer drugs on participants' decisions and understanding.

Read the detailed description

Many newer cancer drugs are approved before uncertainties with their underlying clinical trial evidence have been adequately studied, in turn making it difficult to accurately determine the drug's benefits and harms. Prescription drug information rarely communicates these uncertainties. In a nationally representative sample of US adults, this study will evaluate the effect of using brief statements to communicate different sources of uncertainty about the benefits and harms of new cancer drugs on participants' decisions and understanding.

In the pre-intervention phase, participants will be given information about a hypothetical new drug approved for the treatment of non-small cell lung cancer. Participants will be asked how likely they would be to take the drug, and how certain they are that the drug will work. Participants will then be randomized to 1 of 5 statements about a source of uncertainty with the drug's evidence that were based on the most common sources of uncertainties with new cancer drugs that are cited in FDA approval decisions: (1) single-arm trial designs, (2) limited study populations (i.e., generalizability of clinical trial evidence), and (3) limited study durations (i.e., long-term benefits and harms). Two additional uncertainties were also included that are frequently mentioned in the scientific literature: (4) the use of unvalidated surrogate endpoints to support new cancer drug approvals, and (5) uncertain treatment effect size (i.e., the magnitude of therapeutic benefit). The post-intervention questions will re-assess participants' decision making and perceptions of uncertainty, as well as their understanding of the uncertainty communicated in the statement.

02

Conditions studied

  • Cancer

Browse trials for

Keywords

  • Cancer
  • Uncertainty
  • Prescription drug information
03

In context

Neoplasms

9,610 studies on the registry are indexed under Neoplasms; 2,508 are open to participants now.

This study's planned enrollment of 3,000 is above the median of 50 across 7,429 interventional studies indexed under Neoplasms.

Browse Neoplasms studies →

Lead sponsor

London School of Economics and Political Science is the lead sponsor of 14 studies on the registry; 3 are open to participants now.

Counted across the registry records on this site, refreshed daily.

04

Who can participate

Ages eligible
18 Years and older
Sexes eligible
All
Accepts healthy volunteers
Yes

Go through the criteria one by one — yes, no or not sure — and take the list to your doctor or the study team. Kept in this browser only.

Inclusion criteria

  • Adults 18 years of age and older
  • Adults fluent in English
  • Adults residing in the United States

Exclusion criteria

Exclusion Criteria:

  • Participants who do not meet each of the 3 inclusion criteria
05

Study design

Phase
Not applicable
Primary purpose
Other
Allocation
Randomized
Intervention model
Parallel assignment
Masking
Double (Participant, Investigator)
Enrollment
3,000 participants (estimated)

Study arms

  • Experimental
    Single arm trial

    Other: Statement communicating uncertainty with a single arm trial

  • Experimental
    Limited study duration (long-term benefits and harms)

    Other: Statement communicating uncertainty with limited study duration

  • Experimental
    Limited study population (generalizability)

    Other: Statement communicating uncertainty with a limited study population

  • Experimental
    Unvalidated surrogate endpoint

    Other: Statement communicating uncertainty with an unvalidated surrogate endpoint

  • Experimental
    Treatment effect size (magnitude of benefit)

    Other: Statement communicating uncertainty with treatment effect size

Interventions

  • OtherStatement communicating uncertainty with a single arm trial

    Because Zenova has not been compared to other treatments, it is unknown if Zenova is better, the same, or worse than other treatments for non-small cell lung cancer.

  • OtherStatement communicating uncertainty with limited study duration

    Since patients given Zenova were followed for a short time, the longer-term benefits and harms of taking Zenova are unknown.

  • OtherStatement communicating uncertainty with a limited study population

    Zenova has not been studied in patients similar to Alex (patients with her race and ethnicity). It is unknown whether Zenova will work and what harms it will have for patients like her.

  • OtherStatement communicating uncertainty with an unvalidated surrogate endpoint

    Zenova has only been shown to shrink the size of tumors. It is unknown whether Zenova improves how patients feel or how long they live.

  • OtherStatement communicating uncertainty with treatment effect size

    It is unknown whether patients with non-small cell lung cancer will notice an improvement with Zenova.

06

What researchers measure

Primary outcomes

  1. Change in decisions

    "Imagine you were Alex and diagnosed with non-small cell lung cancer. How likely are you to take the new drug, Zenova?" 4-point Likert scale for decision: very likely; somewhat likely; somewhat unlikely; very unlikely.

    Time frame: 15-minute survey. Change in decisions is assessed by participants answers to the question pre- and post-intervention.

  2. Understanding

    Please answer rate your agreement with the following statements. Zenova works better than other treatments for non-small cell lung cancer Zenova's longer-term benefits and harms are well known Zenova has been studied in patients that are similar to Alex (race and ethnicity) Zenova improves how patients feel or how long they live Zenova has a very large benefit for patients with non-small cell lung cancer 5-point Likert scale for understanding: strongly disagree; somewhat disagree; neither disagree or agree; somewhat agree; strongly agree.

    Time frame: 15-minute survey. Assessed post-intervention.

Secondary outcomes

  1. Change in perception of uncertainty

    "How certain are you that Zenova will work for Alex?" 4-point Likert scale for perception of uncertainty: very uncertain; somewhat uncertain; somewhat certain; very certain.

    Time frame: 15-minute survey. Change in perception of uncertainties is assessed by participants answers to the question pre- and post-intervention.

Other outcomes

  1. Perceived importance of knowing about uncertainty

    Was the additional information about Zenova helpful to your decision? 4-point Likert scale: strongly disagree; somewhat disagree; somewhat agree; strongly agree. Do you think that uncertainties about drug benefits and harms should always be communicated? 4-point Likert scale: strongly disagree; somewhat disagree; somewhat agree; strongly agree. Which of these uncertainties do you think are important to know when deciding about taking a new drug? * Unknown whether the drug is better or worse than other treatments. * Unknown what the long-term benefits and harms of the drug are. * Unknown how well the drug will work for you (for example, someone of your age, of your race, or with your health conditions). * Unknown whether the drug will help you feel better or live longer. * Unknown whether the drug will make a noticeable difference (the benefits are too small to notice). 4-point Likert scale: not at all important; somewhat unimportant; somewhat important; very important.

    Time frame: 15-minute survey. Assessed post-intervention.

07

Study locations

1 of 1 sites recruiting
  • Harvard Medical School and Harvard Pilgrim Health Care Institute
    Boston, Massachusetts 02139, United States
    Recruiting
08

References and documents

Publications

  • Cherla A, Wagner AK, Woloshin S, Davis C, Bourgeois FT, Mossialos E, Naci H. Communicating Uncertainties About the Benefits and Risks of New Cancer Drugs: Two Randomized Clinical Trials. JAMA Intern Med. 2026 Oct 12. doi: 10.1001/jamainternmed.2026.4969. Online ahead of print. PubMed 42862585 ↗

Study documents

  • Protocol, analysis plan and consent form · May 8, 2025

Documents are hosted by the registry — open the source record to download them.

Individual participant data

Plan to share: No

09

Updates

Tracking since Sep 25, 2026
No changes since tracking began. The registry record was last updated on May 30, 2025, before this site started recording changes on Sep 25, 2026. Its history is on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗
10

Registry details

Key details

Study ID
NCT06997185
Lead sponsor
London School of Economics and Political Science
Collaborators
Harvard Medical School / Harvard Pilgrim Health Care Institute
Responsible party
Sponsor
First posted
May 30, 2025
Start date
May 9, 2025
Primary completion
Jun 2025 (estimated)
Completion
Jun 2025 (estimated)
Last update
May 30, 2025

Study contacts

Avi Cherla
Contact
a.j.cherla@lse.ac.uk
16172011718

Oversight

Data monitoring committee
No
FDA-regulated drug
No
FDA-regulated device
No
View the source record on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗

Interested in this study?

Eligibility is decided by the study team. Share this record with your doctor or contact the team directly.

Contact study team

Follow this study

Get an email when the registry record changes — status, dates, results — or when someone posts here.

Sign in to follow

Discussion

Questions and observations about this study, from anyone following it. Not medical advice, and not a channel to the study team — their contact details are on the registry record.

Sign in to join the discussion. Reading takes no account; posting does. You choose a display name, and a pseudonym is the default.

Nothing here yet. If you are running this trial, taking part in it, or weighing whether to, this is the place to say so.

Start the discussion