ClinicalTrials.gg
Not yet recruitingNCT06778941EPOCH-ALFUpdated Jan 16, 2025

Etiology and Prognostic Analysis of Acute Liver Failure in Chinese Children

An observational study in Acute Liver Failure, sponsored by liyumei. Not yet recruiting. Open to participants aged 28 Days to 18 Years. Per ClinicalTrials.gov, last updated 2025-01-16.

Sponsored by liyumei · Observational

Study type
Observational
Model
Cohort
Time perspective
Other
Enrollment
400
Ages
28 Days to 18 Years
Sex
All
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Study summary

Research Background:

Pediatric acute liver failure (PALF) refers to the sudden onset of severe liver injury in children without known chronic liver disease, leading to multi-system organ dysfunction, with a mortality rate as high as 50%-70%. The etiology of PALF is complex and varied, including infections, metabolic disorders, and toxins. In developed countries, it is often caused by drug and toxin exposure, while in developing countries, viral infections are the primary cause. Additionally, 30%-50% of PALF cases have an unknown etiology, which increases the difficulty of treatment. Current treatment options include medical management, artificial liver support, and liver transplantation. Liver transplantation is the only proven effective treatment, but issues such as organ shortages and the timing of transplantation affect treatment outcomes. Improving diagnostic capabilities for the etiology and exploring optimal treatment strategies are of significant importance in enhancing the clinical success rate of PALF management.

Research Objective:

To explore the etiology and prognostic factors of pediatric acute liver failure (PALF), analyze the relationship between different causes of PALF and prognosis, and the relationship between different treatment modalities and prognosis. This study aims to investigate the correlation between etiology, treatment methods, and outcomes, providing scientific evidence to improve the precision in diagnosis and treatment of PALF and to enhance decision-making and timing judgments for liver transplantation.

Read the detailed description

Data were organized and analyzed using WindRays statistical software. Quantitative data that followed a normal distribution were expressed as mean ± standard deviation (x ± s), and intergroup comparisons were performed using t-tests. For non-normally distributed quantitative data, median (interquartile range) [M (P25, P75)] was used, and intergroup comparisons were conducted using the Mann-Whitney U test. Qualitative data were presented as frequencies (n) and percentages (%), with intergroup comparisons made using χ² or Fisher's exact test. Multivariate logistic and Cox regression analyses were performed to adjust for potential confounding factors in the association between PALF etiology, treatment, and prognosis. Results were presented as odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). A multivariate-adjusted restricted cubic spline model was constructed to examine possible non-linear dose-response relationships between PALF etiology, treatment, and prognosis. Variables were selected using stepwise regression, lasso regression, and best subset regression. Risk scoring models were established using regression analysis, nomograms, scoring systems, decision trees, and machine learning algorithms. Sensitivity analyses were conducted using propensity score matching (PSM), regression analysis, and stratified analysis. The predictive efficacy of the model for PALF prognosis was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC), with AUC ≥ 0.80 indicating good predictive value. Data with missing values less than 5% were deleted directly, and data with missing values between 5% and 20% were imputed using multiple imputation methods.

Handling of lost to follow-up: Multiple contact information and emergency contacts were collected at the beginning of the study to maintain regular communication with the patients and their guardians to reduce the risk of lost follow-up. If follow-up failed, multiple attempts were made to contact participants via phone, email, or other methods. Once lost to follow-up, multiple imputation methods were used to estimate missing data, and sensitivity analyses were conducted (if possible).

02

Conditions studied

  • Acute Liver Failure

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03

In context

Liver Failure, Acute

96 studies on the registry are indexed under Liver Failure, Acute; 20 are open to participants now.

This study's planned enrollment of 400 is above the median of 112 across 34 observational studies indexed under Liver Failure, Acute.

Browse Liver Failure, Acute studies →

Lead sponsor

This is the only study on the registry with liyumei as lead sponsor.

Counted across the registry records on this site, refreshed daily.

04

Who can participate

Ages eligible
28 Days to 18 Years
Sexes eligible
All
Accepts healthy volunteers
No
Sampling method
Non-probability sample

Study population

Criteria for Diagnosing Pediatric Acute Liver Failure

Go through the criteria one by one — yes, no or not sure — and take the list to your doctor or the study team. Kept in this browser only.

Inclusion criteria

  1. According to the diagnostic criteria for PALF, the following conditions must be met:

    ① Severe biochemical liver abnormalities occurring within 8 weeks;

    ② Coagulation disorders uncorrectable by vitamin K: if hepatic encephalopathy is present, (PT) > 15s or international normalized ratio (INR) > 1.5; regardless of the presence of hepatic encephalopathy, PT > 20s or INR > 2.0.

  2. For patients who were admitted twice, only the information from the first hospitalization will be used.
  3. Patients with a history of chronic liver disease (e.g., genetic metabolic factors, drug-induced factors) or biliary obstruction that led to the acute episode are categorized under acute liver failure.
  4. The child's legal guardian has signed a written form.

Exclusion criteria

Exclusion Criteria:

  1. Age > 18 years;
  2. Significant data missing (>10%);
  3. The child's legal guardian refuses participation.
Terms in these criteria, in plain language(2)

Underlined terms in the criteria open these too. Explained by clinicaltrials.gg, not part of the registry record. The study team decides who can take part.

INR, PT and aPTT (clotting tests)

Blood tests of how long blood takes to clot. The INR is the prothrombin time (PT) put on a common scale; about 1 is usual for someone not taking a blood thinner.

Criteria often make an exception for people on a blood thinner such as warfarin, whose INR is raised on purpose.

Informed consent

Before you join, the study team explains what taking part involves — its purpose, what happens, the risks and possible benefits — and answers your questions, so you can decide freely. Consent is usually recorded on a form (the informed consent form, ICF) signed by you or, where the law allows, by someone legally authorised to decide for you.

You can keep asking questions during the study, you are told of new information that matters, and you can choose to leave at any time.

05

Study design

Observational model
Cohort
Time perspective
Other
Enrollment
400 participants (estimated)
Patient registry
No

Groups and cohorts

  • Criteria for Diagnosing Pediatric Acute Liver Failure

    This study is a multi-center, nationwide, dual-perspective, observational, open cohort study. It will recruit eligible hospitalized patients from the First Hospital of Jilin University and other participating institutions across the country for observation.

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What researchers measure

Primary outcomes

  1. Discharge Status

    Cured: * Clinical symptoms such as bleeding tendency and hepatic encephalopathy disappear; * Jaundice resolves (TBil ≤ 2× upper limit of normal); ③ Liver function markers return to baseline; ④ PTA/INR normalizes. Improved: ① Significant improvement in clinical symptoms like bleeding, and disappearance of hepatic encephalopathy; * Significant improvement in jaundice, ascites, and other physical signs; ③ Liver function markers show marked improvement (TBIL \< 5× upper limit of normal, PTA \> 40% or INR \< 1.5). Worsened: No improvement in symptoms or signs of liver failure, liver function deteriorates, and complications increase or worsen. Death or death within one week after withdrawal of treatment. Liver Transplantation.

    Time frame: At discharge (within 1 week)

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Study locations

No study locations are listed for this record.

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References and documents

Individual participant data

Plan to share: No — Due to privacy concerns and the sensitive nature of the data, we do not plan to share individual participant data with other researchers.

No publications or documents are linked to this record.

09

Timeline

Tracking since Sep 25, 2026
ElapsedEstimatedEstimated, not yet reached

Start is estimated for Feb 2025; primary completion for Jun 2029, 52 months later.

How these figures are worked out, and which studies are left out of them.

Registered
Jan 10, 2025
First posted
Jan 16, 2025
StartEst.
Feb 1, 2025
Primary completionEst.
Jun 30, 2029
CompletionEst.
Jun 30, 2029
Last update
Jan 16, 2025
What these dates mean
Start.
When the first participant enrolled; while estimated, when the study expects to open to recruitment.
Primary completion.
When the last participant was examined or treated to collect data for the study's main question, its primary outcome. A study that stopped early gives the date its data collection stopped.
Completion.
When the last participant's last visit took place, for every outcome, secondary ones and side effects included: the end of the study. Often later than primary completion, sometimes the same day.
Actual and Est.
Actual means the registry says the date has happened. Est. (estimated) is a date the sponsor plans or expects. It can still move, and the sponsor is expected to change it to actual once it has passed.
No changes since tracking began. The registry record was last updated on Jan 16, 2025, before this site started recording changes on Sep 25, 2026. Its history is on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗
10

Registry details

Key details

Study ID
NCT06778941
Lead sponsor
liyumei
Responsible party
liyumei (Professor, The First Hospital of Jilin University) — Sponsor-investigator
First posted
Jan 16, 2025
Start date
Feb 1, 2025 (estimated)
Primary completion
Jun 30, 2029 (estimated)
Completion
Jun 30, 2029 (estimated)
Last update
Jan 16, 2025

Study contacts

Yumei Professor Li
Contact
ym_li@jlu.edu.cn
+86 15804301227

Oversight

Data monitoring committee
No
FDA-regulated drug
No
FDA-regulated device
No
View the source record on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗

Not currently enrolling

This study is not yet recruiting, as verified in Jan 2025. You cannot join it, but the record below documents what was studied.

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Discussion

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