ClinicalTrials.gg
RecruitingNCT05946044TOPSUpdated Jul 23, 2026

The Osteoarthritis Prevention Study

An interventional study of Diet and Exercise in Osteoarthritis, Knee, sponsored by Wake Forest University. Recruiting at 4 sites in 2 countries. Open to female participants aged 50 Years and older, including healthy volunteers. Per ClinicalTrials.gov, last updated 2026-07-23.

Sponsored by Wake Forest University · Not applicable, Interventional, and Prevention

From the registry’s dates

  • Started Mar 2024; still recruiting 2 years 7 months later.
Phase
Not applicable
Study type
Interventional
Enrollment
1,230
Allocation
Randomized
Ages
50 Years and older
Sex
Female
01

Study summary

The goal of this study is to establish the efficacy of an intervention of dietary weight loss, exercise, and weight-loss maintenance for knee Osteoarthritis (OA) prevention in adult females aged ≥ 50 years with obesity and no or infrequent knee pain. The primary aim is to compare the effects of a dietary weight loss, exercise, and weight-loss maintenance to an attention control group in preventing the development of structural Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) knee OA. Secondary aims will determine the intervention effects on pain, mobility, health-related quality of life, knee joint compressive forces, inflammatory measures, weight loss, exercise self-efficacy, and cost-effectiveness of this intervention.

Read the detailed description

Osteoarthritis (OA), the leading cause of disability among adults, is without a cure and is associated with significant comorbidities. OA ranks as the third most common diagnosis for hospital inpatient stays with 1.25 M per year, with the knee the most commonly affected weight-bearing joint. This study will address knee OA disease prevention in adult females because prevention of OA is preferable to treatment, females are affected at nearly twice the rate as males, and to date interventions designed to slow or stop knee OA progression have failed. Dietary weight loss, with and without exercise, has level 1 evidence of effective treatment for adults with knee OA and overweight and obesity. Reduced degenerative cartilage changes are also associated with weight loss, making it a possible preventive therapy for people at risk for knee OA. The objective of this Phase III, multi-site (Boston, MA, Chapel Hill, NC, Sydney, Australia, and Winston-Salem, NC) randomized clinical trial is to establish the efficacy of an intervention of dietary weight loss, exercise, and weight-loss maintenance for knee OA prevention. We will establish efficacy in structural, symptomatic, and mechanistic outcomes compared to attention control, and determine the cost-effectiveness of this non-pharmacologic, non-surgical intervention in preventing incident knee OA in adult females aged ≥ 50 years with obesity and no or infrequent knee pain, a cohort at high risk for knee OA.

Participants will be 1,230 ambulatory, community dwelling females with obesity (BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2), and aged ≥ 50 years. Structural and symptomatic eligibility will be determined at the individual knee level. The eligible knee will have no radiographic (Kellgren Lawrence (KL) score ≤ 1) and no MRI knee OA with no or infrequent knee pain (\< 15 days/month) in the same knee. The primary aim is to compare the effects of a 48-month intervention of dietary weight loss, exercise, and weight-loss maintenance to an attention control group in preventing the development of structural (MRI) knee OA using the MRI OA Knee Score (MOAKS). Secondary aims will determine the intervention effects on the Knee Injury and Osteoarthritis Outcome Score (KOOS) pain, mobility (6 minute walk distance), and health-related quality of life (SF-36). Mechanistic secondary outcomes include knee joint compressive forces as a measure of joint loading, IL-6 as an inflammatory measure, and weight loss and exercise self-efficacy. A cost-effectiveness analysis will establish the value of the 48-month D+E (diet and exercise) intervention.

This study is significant in that it will test a critically needed primary prevention intervention of dietary weight loss, exercise, and weight-loss maintenance for females at risk for the development of knee OA designed to reduce incident structural knee OA compared to an attention control group, and intended to maximize health benefits at a reasonable cost.

02

Conditions studied

  • Osteoarthritis, Knee

Keywords

  • Obesity
  • Knee Pain
03

In context

Osteoarthritis, Knee

3,292 studies on the registry are indexed under Osteoarthritis, Knee; 623 are open to participants now.

This study's planned enrollment of 1,230 is above the median of 68 across 2,714 interventional studies indexed under Osteoarthritis, Knee.

Browse Osteoarthritis, Knee studies →

Lead sponsor

Wake Forest University is the lead sponsor of 118 studies on the registry; 7 are open to participants now.

Of its 31 completed or terminated interventional studies of FDA-regulated products, 27 (87%) have results posted.

Counted across the registry records on this site, refreshed daily.

04

Who can participate

Ages eligible
50 Years and older
Sexes eligible
Female
Accepts healthy volunteers
Yes

Go through the criteria one by one — yes, no or not sure — and take the list to your doctor or the study team. Kept in this browser only.

Inclusion criteria

  • Female
  • ≥ 30 kg/m2
  • An eligible knee will have no OA by xray and MRI
  • No or infrequent knee pain (\< 15 days/month) in the same knee

Exclusion criteria

Exclusion Criteria:

  • symptomatic or severe coronary artery disease
  • unable to walk without a device
  • blindness
  • type 1 diabetes
  • active treatment for cancer
  • during the past 12 months knee fracture, anterior cruciate ligament (ACL), medial collateral ligament (MCL), or meniscus injury with or without surgical repair
  • knee injection during the past 6 months
  • bilateral knee OA by x-ray Kellgren-Lawrence (KL) ≥ 2
  • bilateral knee OA by MRI
  • bilateral symptomatic knee OA (frequent bilateral knee pain > 15 days per month)
  • \< 30.0 kg/m2
  • male sex
  • claustrophobia
  • to MRI including body weight > 300 lbs or knee coil does not fit
  • unwillingness or inability to change eating and physical activity habits due to environment
  • cannot speak and read English
  • planning to leave area > 2 months during the 48-month intervention period
Terms in these criteria, in plain language(2)

Underlined terms in the criteria open these too. Explained by clinicaltrials.gg, not part of the registry record. The study team decides who can take part.

BMI (body mass index)

Weight in kilograms divided by height in metres squared. Example: 70 kg and 1.75 m gives 70 ÷ (1.75 × 1.75) ≈ 22.9.

What counts as overweight or obesity differs between countries (some use lower cut-offs), so go by the range the study states.

Contraindication

A reason a treatment, test or procedure should not be given to a particular person, such as an allergy, another illness or a medicine they take.

05

Study design

Phase
Not applicable
Primary purpose
Prevention
Allocation
Randomized
Intervention model
Parallel assignment
Masking
Single (Outcomes assessor)
Enrollment
1,230 participants (estimated)

Study arms

  • No intervention
    Attention Control

    This comparison group provides attention, social interaction, and healthy lifestyle classes. There will be 4, 1-hour face-to-face group meetings per year featuring community health professionals, quarterly newsletters, and quarterly text messages.

  • Experimental
    Diet and Exercise

    The dietary component of the weight loss intervention is characterized by the frequency of contacts, methods to induce dietary restriction, and behavioral therapy strategies. The first 6 months of the diet program is an energy-restricted diet with the option of using partial meal replacements and nutritious snacks (Rapid Nutrition, PLC). The weight loss goal for the diet and exercise group is a minimum of 10% of baseline body weight by the end of year 1. The weight loss phase is followed by 3 years of a weight-loss maintenance program, with the goal of sustaining the achieved weight loss. The exercise component includes 60-minute sessions 2 days per week for 48 months.

    Behavioral: Diet and Exercise

Interventions

  • BehavioralDiet and Exercise

    Group and individual weight loss and weight maintenance sessions combined with exercise throughout the 48 months.

06

What researchers measure

Primary outcomes

  1. Structural knee Osteoarthritis (OA) MRI change Scores

    Compare the effects of a 48-month intervention of dietary weight loss, exercise, and weight-loss maintenance to an attention control group in preventing the development of structural (MRI) knee OA. Assessed using the MRI Osteoarthritis Knee Score (MOAKS). The MOAKS evaluates degenerative changes in the knee, including the location and severity of osteophyte formation, bone marrow lesions, and cartilage loss. The MOAKS classification system of osteophytes has grades ranging from 0 (none) to 3 (large).

    Time frame: Month 48

Secondary outcomes

  1. Knee Pain Scores

    Compare the effects of a 48-month intervention of dietary weight loss, exercise and weight-loss maintenance to an attention control group on the Knee Injury and Osteoarthritis Outcome Score (KOOS pain). Standardized answer options are given (5 Likert boxes) and each question is assigned a score from 0 to 4. A normalized score is calculated for the pain subscale. We will transform the score to a 0-100 scale, with 100 representing the most pain and 0 representing no pain.

    Time frame: Month 48

  2. Mobility Scores

    Compare the effects of a 48-month intervention of dietary weight loss, exercise and weight-loss maintenance to an attention control group on 6-minute walk distance. Assessment of 6 minute walk distance (measured in meters). Greater distance indicates better mobility.

    Time frame: Month 48

  3. Health-Related Quality of Life Scores

    Compare the effects of a 48-month intervention of dietary weight loss, exercise and weight-loss maintenance to an attention control group on health-related quality of life (SF-36). Questions from the SF-36 yield 2 broad summary scores: physical health and mental health. Scores for each domain range from 0 to 100, with a higher score defining a more favorable health state.

    Time frame: Month 48

Other outcomes

  1. Knee Joint Loading Number

    Compare the effects of a 48-month intervention of dietary weight loss, exercise, and weight-loss maintenance to an attention control group on knee joint compressive loads (Newtons). Higher numbers indicate greater loads.

    Time frame: Month 48

  2. Inflammation Value

    Compare the effects of a 48-month intervention of dietary weight loss, exercise, and weight-loss maintenance to an attention control group on plasma Interleukin-6 (IL-6). Higher values indicate more inflammation.

    Time frame: Month 48

  3. Self-Efficacy Scores - exercise

    Compare the effects of a 48-month intervention of dietary weight loss, exercise, and weight-loss maintenance to an attention control group on exercise self-efficacy. Exercise self efficacy will be measured using the walking efficacy for duration scale measures one's ability to walk/jog at a moderately fast pace for various durations. Range 0-100. A higher score indicates a higher self-efficacy. indicate better self-efficacy.

    Time frame: Month 48

  4. Self-Efficacy Scores - weight loss

    Compare the effects of a 48-month intervention of dietary weight loss, exercise, and weight-loss maintenance to an attention control group on weight loss self-efficacy. Weight-loss self efficacy will be measured by the weight efficacy lifestyle questionnaire. A 20-item measure developed to assess self-efficacy for weight management. Participants are asked to rate their confidence to resist the desire to eat using a 10-point scale ranging from 0 not confident to 9 very confident. Total scores range from 0-180. Higher scores indicate better self-efficacy.

    Time frame: Month 48

  5. Cost-Effectiveness Ratios

    To establish the cost-effectiveness of this multimodal weight loss, exercise, and weight-loss maintenance program by conducting cost-effectiveness and budgetary impact analyses using data from the current trial in a validated computer-simulation model of knee OA. The cost-effectiveness ratio provides a measure of value for money. The cost-effectiveness of a specific prevention or treatment strategy is measured in dollars per quality-adjusted life-year gained ($/QALY). a budget impact analysis (BIA) of the weight loss program quantifies the financial consequences of adopting the weight loss program by various payer models.

    Time frame: Month 48

07

Study locations

3 of 4 sites recruiting
08

References and documents

Publications

  • Messier SP, Callahan LF, Losina E, Mihalko SL, Guermazi A, Ip E, Miller GD, Katz JN, Loeser RF, Pietrosimone BG, Soto S, Cook JL, Newman JJ, DeVita P, Spindler KP, Runhaar J, Armitano-Lago C, Duong V, Selzer F, Hill R, Love M, Beavers DP, Saldana S, Stoker AM, Rice PE, Hunter DJ. The osteoarthritis prevention study (TOPS) - A randomized controlled trial of diet and exercise to prevent Knee Osteoarthritis: Design and rationale. Osteoarthr Cartil Open. 2023 Nov 20;6(1):100418. doi: 10.1016/j.ocarto.2023.100418. eCollection 2024 Mar. PubMed 38144515 ↗

Individual participant data

Plan to share: Yes — All of the individual participant data collected during the trial after deidentification.

Supporting information: Study protocol, Informed consent form, Clinical study report

Time frame: Immediately following publication. No end date.

Access criteria: Investigators whose proposed use of the data has been approved by the study P\&P committee. Proposals should be directed to the study PI, Stephen Messier at messier@wfu.edu or the central contact.

09

Timeline

Tracking since Sep 25, 2026
ElapsedEstimatedEstimated, not yet reachedSimilar studies: half by the dot; the band is the middle halfHalf of similar studies reached it by the dot; the band is the middle half, from a quarter to three quarters

Started Mar 2024 (actual). Primary completion is estimated for Jul 2029, 64 months after the start.

Of 1,111 non-industry interventional studies with no phase under Osteoarthritis, Knee, half reached primary completion within 18 months of starting (the median), counting those still running; a quarter within 8 and three quarters within 36. This study's planned 64 months is above that.

Counting every sponsor, half of 1,251 studies reached it within 18 months; a quarter within 8 and three quarters within 36.

How these figures are worked out, and which studies are left out of them.

Registered
Jul 6, 2023
First posted
Jul 14, 2023
StartActual
Mar 21, 2024
Primary completionEst.
Jul 31, 2029
CompletionEst.
Jul 31, 2029
Last update
Jul 23, 2026
What these dates mean
Start.
When the first participant enrolled; while estimated, when the study expects to open to recruitment.
Primary completion.
When the last participant was examined or treated to collect data for the study's main question, its primary outcome. A study that stopped early gives the date its data collection stopped.
Completion.
When the last participant's last visit took place, for every outcome, secondary ones and side effects included: the end of the study. Often later than primary completion, sometimes the same day.
Actual and Est.
Actual means the registry says the date has happened. Est. (estimated) is a date the sponsor plans or expects. It can still move, and the sponsor is expected to change it to actual once it has passed.
No changes since tracking began. The registry record was last updated on Jul 23, 2026, before this site started recording changes on Sep 25, 2026. Its history is on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗
10

Registry details

Key details

Study ID
NCT05946044
Collaborators
National Institute of Arthritis and Musculoskeletal and Skin Diseases (NIAMS), Arthritis Foundation, National Center for Complementary and Integrative Health (NCCIH), Office of Disease Prevention, Office of Research on Women's Health (ORWH), Office of Behavioral and Social Sciences Research (OBSSR), Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, University of Missouri-Columbia, Rapid Nutrition PLC
Responsible party
Sponsor
First posted
Jul 14, 2023
Start date
Mar 21, 2024
Primary completion
Jul 31, 2029 (estimated)
Completion
Jul 31, 2029 (estimated)
Last update
Jul 23, 2026

Study contacts

Jovita Newman
Contact
jollajk@wfu.edu
336-758-3969
Stephen P Messier, Ph.D.
principal investigator · Wake Forest University

Oversight

Data monitoring committee
Yes
FDA-regulated drug
No
FDA-regulated device
No
View the source record on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗

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