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CompletedNCT04509778Updated Aug 12, 2020

Develop a Psychosis Risk Calculator for Chinese Mental Health Servises

An observational study in Clinical High-risk, sponsored by Shanghai Mental Health Center. Completed at 1 site in China. Open to participants aged 14 Years to 45 Years. Per ClinicalTrials.gov, last updated 2020-08-12.

Sponsored by Shanghai Mental Health Center · Observational

Study type
Observational
Model
Cohort
Time perspective
Prospective
Enrollment
200
Ages
14 Years to 45 Years
Sex
All
01

Study summary

This project will use the collected clinical and biological information of high-risk groups, use embedded computer chips, and use big data background analysis system to comprehensively evaluate the risk of high-risk groups, and build a mental illness risk estimator completely relying on the sample data of Chinese population and with independent intellectual property rights.

The calculator function and the risk calculation standard verified by the model can obtain the risk degree of each patient's progress to psychosis in the next two years. This calculator will play an important role in the prevention and treatment of psychosis.

Read the detailed description

Severe mental disorders, mainly schizophrenia (SZ), affect 16 million Chinese population. At present, due to the lack of effective techniques and standards for early risk identification, the intervention opportunity for prevention and optimal efficacy is often missed.

In previous cohort studies , it has been found that this clinical high-risk(CHR) population can be effectively identified before its onset. Since 2011, the project team has been relying on the ShangHai At Risk for Psychosis Program, 300 CHRs were enrolled in the clinic through screening and diagnostic interview. The baseline clinical and event-related EEG indicators of this cohort were collected. The cohort was followed up for 2 years, with a follow-up completion rate of nearly 90%, it was found that the clinical outcome of high-risk groups was nearly one third, and the proportion of patients would be converted to schizophrenia within 2 years. This conversion rate is very consistent with the results of cohort studies of other large high-risk groups in the world. In view of this conversion ratio, many countries, such as the United States, have begun to use the baseline information to build prediction models, so as to form a psychiatric prediction tool.

After 5 years of accumulation, the project team has sufficient data to build a psychosis risk prediction model suitable for Chinese people, truly realize the goal of early diagnosis and treatment, and further support with the integration of key identification technologies and big data calculation.

02

Conditions studied

  • Clinical High-risk

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Keywords

  • calculator; conversion
03

In context

Psychotic Disorders

1,626 studies on the registry are indexed under Psychotic Disorders; 293 are open to participants now.

This study's enrollment of 200 is above the median of 150 across 245 observational studies indexed under Psychotic Disorders.

Browse Psychotic Disorders studies →

Lead sponsor

Shanghai Mental Health Center is the lead sponsor of 267 studies on the registry; 93 are open to participants now.

Counted across the registry records on this site, refreshed daily.

04

Who can participate

Ages eligible
14 Years to 45 Years
Sexes eligible
All
Accepts healthy volunteers
No
Sampling method
Non-probability sample

Study population

Help-seeking first-visit participants will be consecutively recruited from the Shanghai Psychotherapy and Psychological Counselling Centre at the Shanghai Mental Health Centre. They will be screened for eligibility by their clinicians.

Inclusion criteria

  • be aged 14 to 45-year-old;
  • have had at least 6-years of primary education;
  • be drug-naïve;
  • be understanding the survey, be willing to enrol in the study and sign the informed consent;
  • Through the Structured Interview for Prodromal Syndromes/Scale of Prodromal Symptoms (SIPS/SOPS), the participants should meet the Criteria of Prodromal Syndrome. Participants should fulfil at least one of the prodromal syndrome criteria: (1) brief intermittent psychotic syndrome, (2) attenuated positive symptom syndrome, or (3) genetic risk and deterioration syndrome.

Exclusion criteria

Exclusion Criteria:

  • Through the Mini-International Neuropsychiatric Interview (MINI), Axis I mental disorders such as schizophrenia, affective disorders, and anxiety spectrum disorders will be excluded;
  • Acute or chronic renal failure; liver cirrhosis or active liver diseases;
  • Abnormal laboratory tests results judged by the researchers to be clinically significant and considered to affect the efficacy of the test drugs or the safety of the subjects;
  • Severe or unstable physical diseases, including: neurological disorders (delirium, dementia, stroke, epilepsy, migraine, etc.), congestive heart failure, angina pectoris, myocardial infarction, arrhythmia, hypertension (including untreated or uncontrolled hypertension), malignant tumours, immune compromise, and blood glucose above 12 mmol/L;
  • Alcohol abuse within 30 days, or alcohol or drug dependence within 6 months before the trial;
  • Pregnant or lactating women, or women in childbearing age who are positive in urine human chorionic gonadotropin test, or men and women who do not take effective contraceptive measures or plan for pregnancy within 3 months after the initiation of the trial;
  • Stroke within the last month;
  • Participating in any clinical trial within 30 days before the baseline;
  • Other situations judged by the investigators not to be suitable for the clinical trial.
05

Study design

Observational model
Cohort
Time perspective
Prospective
Enrollment
200 participants (actual)
Patient registry
No

Groups and cohorts

  • SHARP

    ShangHai At Risk for Psychosis

    Other: routine clinical treatment

Interventions

  • Otherroutine clinical treatment

    Participants will be informed that this is not a treatment study and it involves naturalistic follow-up without any extra intervention. They will otherwise follow the routine clinical treatment procedure.

06

What researchers measure

Primary outcomes

  1. Conversion to psychosis

    It will be determined using the criteria for the Presence of Psychotic Symptoms from SIPS. Specifically, the conversion will be defined by the presence of level 6 positive symptoms (the rating "6" refers to severe and psychotic symptoms) identified as either dangerous, disorganised, or occurring at least one hour a day on average, over four days a week for at least 16 hours.

    Time frame: 4 weeks

  2. Poor function

    It will be determined by GAF score. Specifically, poor function outcome is defined as the GAF score of less than 60 at the follow-up point.

    Time frame: 4 weeks

07

Study locations

1 site
  • Shanghai Mental Health Center
    Shanghai, 200030, China
08

References and documents

Individual participant data

Plan to share: Yes

Supporting information: Study protocol, Sap, Icf, Csr, Analytic code

No publications or documents are linked to this record.

09

Updates

Tracking since Sep 25, 2026
No changes since tracking began. The registry record was last updated on Aug 12, 2020, before this site started recording changes on Sep 25, 2026. Its history is on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗
10

Registry details

Key details

Study ID
NCT04509778
Lead sponsor
Shanghai Mental Health Center
Responsible party
Tianhong ZHANG (Associate Professor, Shanghai Mental Health Center) — Principal investigator
First posted
Aug 12, 2020
Start date
Dec 1, 2016
Primary completion
Dec 1, 2017
Completion
Dec 1, 2017
Last update
Aug 12, 2020

Oversight

FDA-regulated drug
No
FDA-regulated device
No
View the source record on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗

Not currently enrolling

This study is completed, as verified in Aug 2020. You cannot join it, but the record below documents what was studied.

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