CClinicalTrials.gg
Active, not recruitingNCT01791829LUMINAUpdated Jun 17, 2026

A Prospective Cohort Study Evaluating Risk of Local Recurrence Following Breast Conserving Surgery and Endocrine Therapy in Low Risk Luminal A Breast Cancer

An observational study in Breast Cancer, sponsored by Ontario Clinical Oncology Group (OCOG). Active, not recruiting at 27 sites in Canada. Open to female participants aged 55 Years and older. Per ClinicalTrials.gov, last updated 2026-06-17.

Sponsored by Ontario Clinical Oncology Group (OCOG) · Observational

Study type
Observational
Model
Cohort
Time perspective
Prospective
Enrollment
500
Ages
55 Years and older
Sex
Female
01

Study summary

This is a multicentre, single-arm prospective cohort study evaluating risk of ipsilateral breast tumour recurrence(IBTR) following breast conserving surgery (BCS) in a group of women postulated to be at low risk for recurrence. Women with luminal A breast cancer determined by immunohistochemical(IHC) and other low risk clinical testing (see below) will be treated with endocrine therapy (tamoxifen or aromatase inhibitor) for five years and will not be treated with breast irradiation (BI). Subjects will be followed for 10 years and will be assessed for recurrent disease, new primary cancer and survival.

Read the detailed description

The independent prognostic ability of the luminal A subtype has been demonstrated in two retrospective analyses of prospective trials and suggests that luminal A combined with other known clinical prognostic factors could be used to select patients treated with BCS at very low risk for IBTR who could avoid BI. Given that using intrinsic subtyping combined with other clinical factors to identify women who could avoid BI would be a major change in clinical practice, we propose that a prospective study is necessary to confirm that such an approach can accurately identify a group of women at very low risk for IBTR following BCS.

We anticipate that the risk of IBTR in the low risk group is likely to be lower than that observed in previous trials (predicted to be \< 5% at 5 years and \< 10% at 10 years) for several reasons: first, our selection criteria (node negative, luminal A, > or = 55 years, tumours \< or = 2cm, excision margin > or = 1mm post-BCS, absence of lobular cancers, extensive intraductal component and lymphovascular invasion) are more restrictive than in previous trials and second, the risks of IBTR are steadily decreasing over time due to improvements in mammographic screening, pre-op staging, tumour localization, and surgical practice. The expected low failure rates are unlikely to warrant the use of radiation.

A prospective cohort study was identified as the most appropriate and efficient design as our primary hypothesis is that a group of patients at very low risk of IBTR can be identified. A randomized trial could address the effectiveness of radiation in such a cohort of patients, but would require a much larger sample size to detect very small differences, which would not be clinically meaningful. During the conduct of this trial it is anticipated that patients who do not meet study criteria or who decline study enrollment, will continue to receive BI after BCS.

02

Conditions studied

  • Breast Cancer

Browse trials for

Keywords

  • Luminal A
  • Ipsilateral Breast Tumour Recurrence
03

In context

Breast Neoplasms

12,544 studies on the registry are indexed under Breast Neoplasms; 2,892 are open to participants now.

This study's enrollment of 500 is above the median of 184 across 2,642 observational studies indexed under Breast Neoplasms.

Browse Breast Neoplasms studies →

Lead sponsor

Ontario Clinical Oncology Group (OCOG) is the lead sponsor of 56 studies on the registry; 4 are open to participants now.

Counted across the registry records on this site, refreshed daily.

04

Who can participate

Ages eligible
55 Years and older
Sexes eligible
Female
Accepts healthy volunteers
No
Sampling method
Probability sample

Study population

This is a multicentre, single-arm prospective cohort study evaluating risk of IBTR following BCS in a group of women postulated to be at low risk for recurrence. Subjects will be followed for 10 years and will be assessed for recurrent disease, new primary cancer and survival. The primary outcome is IBTR

Inclusion criteria

  1. Female patient > or = 55 years of age with a new diagnosis of invasive carcinoma of the breast (ductal, tubular or mucinous only) with primary tumour \< or =2cm on microscopic exam, with no evidence of metastatic disease;
  2. ER positive (> or =1%) and PR positive (>20%) and HER2 negative (Immunohistochemical (IHC) or In Situ Hybridization (ISH) approach);
  3. Treated by BCS with microscopically clear resection margins > or = 1mm for invasive and non-invasive disease or no residual disease on re-excision;
  4. Negative axillary node involvement determined by sentinel node biopsy or axillary node dissection.

Exclusion criteria

Exclusion Criteria:

  1. Clinical or pathological evidence of T4 disease (i.e. extension to chest wall, skin involvement, peau d'orange, or inflammatory breast cancer).
  2. Multifocal or multicentric disease.
  3. Evidence of an extensive intraductal component (defined as a tumour that is composed of 25% or more of DCIS and the DCIS extends beyond the gross dimensions of the tumour), or disease limited to micro invasion only.
  4. Grade 3 histology for invasive disease
  5. Evidence of lymphovascular invasion.
  6. Evidence of disease on pre-operative mammogram, aside from primary cancer treated by breast conserving surgery.
  7. Bilateral malignancy of the breast (synchronous or metachronous).
  8. Known BRCA 1 or 2 mutations.
  9. History of non-breast cancer malignancies if not disease free for > 5 years and considered low risk of recurrence with the exception of treated carcinoma in-situ of the cervix, endometrium or colon, melanoma in-situ and basal or squamous cell carcinoma of the skin.
  10. Serious non-malignant disease associated with a life expectancy \< 10 years.
  11. Inability to be treated with or to tolerate endocrine therapy.
  12. Psychiatric or addictive disorder, which would preclude obtaining informed consent or adherence to protocol.
  13. Geographic inaccessibility for follow-up.
  14. Inability to understand or unable to provide written informed consent.
  15. Inability to be registered on study within 12 weeks of the last surgical procedure on the breast.
  16. Central testing for Ki67 > 13.25% consistent with the luminal B subtype
05

Study design

Observational model
Cohort
Time perspective
Prospective
Enrollment
500 participants (actual)
Patient registry
No
Biospecimen retention
Samples with dna

Groups and cohorts

  • Luminal A with other Clinical Criteria

    BCS postulated to be at low risk for IBTR following Endocrine Therapy

06

What researchers measure

Primary outcomes

  1. Ipsilateral Breast Tumour Recurrence (IBTR)

    The primary outcome is IBTR defined as recurrent invasive or in-situ cancer in the ipsilateral breast during follow-up. Histological evidence of recurrence will be required. All recurrences will be reviewed by a central adjudication committee.

    Time frame: 5 years

Secondary outcomes

  1. Recurrence Free interval (RFI)

    Recurrence free interval (RFI) defined as time from registration to time of documented recurrent disease (ipsilateral breast, regional or distant)

    Time frame: 5 years

  2. Event-free survival (EFS)

    Event-free survival (EFS) defined as the time from registration to the time of documented IBTR, regional (ipsilateral axilla, supraclavicular or internal mammary nodes), distant recurrence (bone, liver, lung, brain, etc.), contralateral breast cancer, new primary cancer or death

    Time frame: 5 years

  3. Overall survival (OS)

    Overall survival (OS) defined as time from registration to death of any cause

    Time frame: 5 years

07

Study locations

27 sites
  • Tom Baker Cancer Centre
    Calgary, Alberta T2N 4N2, Canada
  • Abbotsford Centre
    Abbotsford British Columbia, British Columbia V2S 0C2, Canada
  • BC Cancer Agency, Centre for the North
    Prince George, British Columbia V2M 7E9, Canada
  • BCCA - Vancouver Centre
    Vancouver, British Columbia V5Z 4E6, Canada
  • BC Cancer Agency
    Victoria, British Columbia V9R 6V5, Canada
  • Cancer Care Manitoba
    Winnipeg, Manitoba R3E 0V9, Canada
  • Royal Victoria Regional Health Centre
    Barrie, Ontario L4M 6M2, Canada
  • Northeastern Ontario Regional Cancer Centre
    Greater Sudbury, Ontario P3E 5J1, Canada
  • Juravinski Cancer Centre
    Hamilton, Ontario L8V 1C3, Canada
  • Cancer Centre of Southern Ontario at Kingston
    Kingston, Ontario, Canada
  • Grand River Regional Cancer Centre
    Kitchener, Ontario N2G 1G3, Canada
  • London Regional Cancer Centre
    London, Ontario N6A 4L6, Canada
  • R.S. McLaughlin Durham Regional Cancer Centre
    Oshawa, Ontario L1G 2B9, Canada
  • Ottawa Regional Cancer Centre
    Ottawa, Ontario K1H 8L6, Canada
  • Algoma District Cancer Program
    Sault Ste. Marie, Ontario P6B 0A8, Canada
  • Niagara Health System
    St. Catharines, Ontario L2S 0A9, Canada
  • Thunder Bay Regional Health Sciences
    Thunder Bay, Ontario P7B 6V4, Canada
  • Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre
    Toronto, Ontario M4N 3M5, Canada
  • Princess Margaret Cancer Centre
    Toronto, Ontario M5G 1Z6, Canada
  • Centre integre de sante et de services sociaux de laval (CISSS de Laval)
    Laval, Quebec H7M 3L9, Canada
  • CHUM - Hopital Notre Dame
    Montreal, Quebec H2L 4M1, Canada
  • The Jewish General Hospital
    Montreal, Quebec H3T1E2, Canada
  • McGill University Health Centre
    Montreal, Quebec H4A 3J1, Canada
  • CHUQ - Pavillon Hotel-Dieu de Quebec
    Québec, Quebec G1R 2J6, Canada
  • CHUS - Hopital Fleurimont
    Sherbrooke, Quebec J1H 5N4, Canada
  • The Allan Blair Cancer Centre
    Regina, Saskatchewan S4T 7T1, Canada
  • Saskatoon Cancer Centre
    Saskatoon, Saskatchewan S7N 4H4, Canada
08

References and documents

Publications

  • Nielsen TO, Leung SCY, Riaz N, Mulligan AM, Kos Z, Bane A, Whelan TJ. Ki67 assessment protocol as an integral biomarker for avoiding radiotherapy in the LUMINA breast cancer trial. Histopathology. 2023 Dec;83(6):903-911. doi: 10.1111/his.15032. Epub 2023 Aug 23. PubMed 37609778 ↗
  • Whelan TJ, Smith S, Parpia S, Fyles AW, Bane A, Liu FF, Rakovitch E, Chang L, Stevens C, Bowen J, Provencher S, Theberge V, Mulligan AM, Kos Z, Akra MA, Voduc KD, Hijal T, Dayes IS, Pond G, Wright JR, Nielsen TO, Levine MN; LUMINA Study Investigators. Omitting Radiotherapy after Breast-Conserving Surgery in Luminal A Breast Cancer. N Engl J Med. 2023 Aug 17;389(7):612-619. doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa2302344. PubMed 37585627 ↗

Related links

09

Updates

Tracking since Sep 25, 2026
No changes since tracking began. The registry record was last updated on Jun 17, 2026, before this site started recording changes on Sep 25, 2026. Its history is on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗
10

Registry details

Key details

Study ID
NCT01791829
Lead sponsor
Ontario Clinical Oncology Group (OCOG)
Collaborators
British Columbia Cancer Agency, McMaster University
Responsible party
Sponsor
First posted
Feb 15, 2013
Start date
Jul 2013
Primary completion
Mar 2023
Completion
Jul 2027 (estimated)
Last update
Jun 17, 2026

Study contacts

Tim Whelan, MD
principal investigator · Ontario Clinical Oncology Group (OCOG)
Sally Smith, MD
principal investigator · British Columbia Cancer Agency (BCCA)

Oversight

Data monitoring committee
Yes
View the source record on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗

Not currently enrolling

This study is active, not recruiting, as verified in Aug 2023. You cannot join it, but the record below documents what was studied.

Follow this study

Get an email when the registry record changes — status, dates, results — or when someone posts here.

Sign in to follow

Discussion

Questions and observations about this study, from anyone following it. Not medical advice, and not a channel to the study team — their contact details are on the registry record.

Sign in to join the discussion. Reading takes no account; posting does. You choose a display name, and a pseudonym is the default.

Nothing here yet. If you are running this trial, taking part in it, or weighing whether to, this is the place to say so.

Start the discussion