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RecruitingNCT06323096Updated Mar 21, 2024

Development of Clinical Decision Support System for Severe Patients With Polytrauma

An observational study in Polytrauma, sponsored by Semey State Medical University. Recruiting at 1 site in Kazakhstan. Open to participants aged 28 Years and older. Per ClinicalTrials.gov, last updated 2024-03-21.

Sponsored by Semey State Medical University · Observational

From the registry’s dates

  • Primary completion was expected by Sep 2024, 2 years 2 months ago, but the record still lists the study as recruiting.
  • Started Dec 2020; still recruiting 5 years 11 months later.
Study type
Observational
Model
Case-control
Time perspective
Other
Enrollment
500
Ages
28 Years and older
Sex
All
01

Study summary

The goal of this observational study is to develop a Clinical Decision Support System for severe patients with polytrauma. The main questions it aims to answer are:

  • Is it possible to predict the development of systemic inflammatory response syndrome for the next 24 h after admission?
  • Is it possible to predict the development of blood loss >25% of blood volume for the next 24 h after admission?
  • Is it possible to predict the development of acute traumatic coagulopathy for the next 24 h after admission?
  • Is it possible to predict the development of pneumonia in polytrauma patients?
  • Is it possible to predict the outcome in polytrauma patients?

No intervention is planned for this study.

Read the detailed description

This study aimed to develop a Clinical Decision Support System for the management of severe polytrauma patients at the early inpatient care stage.

Scientific Hypothesis: It is assumed that the use of a clinical decision Support System at the stage of early inpatient care may reduce the mortality rate and adverse outcomes in severe patients with polytrauma.

Study setting The study is planned as a multicenter, non-interventional study, with participation from clinics providing inpatient trauma care for patients with polytrauma. The participating clinics will be selected based on their ability to provide access to a large and diverse population of patients with polytrauma. The research subgroup will be determined by clinics in compliance with the necessary ethical standards. The study will be conducted both retrospectively and prospectively, with data collection spanning a period of at least two years. Retrospective data will be collected from patients' medical records, including information on patient demographics, injury characteristics, diagnostic tests, and treatment modalities. Prospective data will be obtained through standardized patient interviews and clinical assessments, including patient-reported outcomes, clinical measures of physical and psychological functioning, and healthcare utilization. All participating clinics will be required to comply with the rules of medical ethics and deontology as well as local regulations governing access to personal data. In addition, researchers will be required to obtain informed consent from patients or their legal representatives before collecting any data for the study.

Obtained data:

Gender, Age, AIS code for every registered injury, NISS, Vitals on Admission (pulse rate, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, respiratory rate), Complete Blood Count on Admission (Red Blood Cells, Hematocrit, Hemoglobin, Platelets, White Blood Cells), biochemical analysis of blood on admission (total protein, total bilirubin, glucose, urea, creatinine), Blood Coagulation test (Activated Partial Thromboplastin Time, International Normalized Ratio, Fibrinogen), amount of total transfused blood and plasma packs, presence of complications (systemic inflammatory response syndrome, shock, severe hemorrhage [>25% of blood loss], acute traumatic coagulopathy, respiratory distress, pneumonia), length of stay in hospital, length of stay in the intensive care unit, and outcome at hospital discharge.

Additional Data Generation After the initial data were collected, additional fields will be created and calculated. These fields include the AIS field, which will be split into nine fields for each body region, with each field recording the square root of the sum of severity scores for that region; values for MCV, MCH, and MCHC, which will be calculated using the corresponding formulas; the "initial iron deficiency anemia" field, which will be calculated based on the initial MCV value; the "post-hemorrhagic anemia" field, which is calculated based on the initial hemoglobin level and relationship with initial iron deficiency anemia.

Informed Consent will be obtained by a research member who is an emergency/traumatology/ICU doctor, who was trained and explained to all the details of the current study. Consent will be obtained on patient admission to the hospital. Written Consent will be obtained from the patient or his/her legal representative if the patient is temporarily or completely disabled.

Recruitment will be started for every participating clinic separately during their recruitment periods, as defined by personal agreements. The main research clinic (Hospital of Emergency Aid, Semey, the Republic of Kazakhstan) has been participating in the recruitment process since December 1, 2020.

The reason for the recruitment end is the achievement of the minimum sample size by the research group or cancellation of participation in the trial.

The research group will collect a minimum sample size of data that will be used in the process of developing ML models. All the data were divided into training and test samples. Any record with less than 10% missing variables will have missing values imputed, whereas records with more than 10% missing variables will be excluded. Furthermore, additional data will be generated as outlined in the Eligibility Criteria section.

The selected features will be used to predict the following endpoints: the presence of complications (such as systemic inflammatory response syndrome, severe hemorrhage [>25% of blood loss], acute traumatic coagulopathy, respiratory distress, and pneumonia), and the outcome at hospital discharge.

All the developed models will be used for further CDSS development.

Confidentiality No identifiable patient information, such as names, IDs, phone numbers, emails, or addresses, will be collected. All information collected in accordance with the eligibility criteria will be transferred to trial participants via authorized access. After the study ends, any access not related to further work, such as statistical analysis or publications, will be blocked by the main researcher.

02

Conditions studied

  • Polytrauma

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Keywords

  • severe polytrauma
  • clinical decision support system
03

In context

Multiple Trauma

139 studies on the registry are indexed under Multiple Trauma; 32 are open to participants now.

This study's planned enrollment of 500 is above the median of 200 across 84 observational studies indexed under Multiple Trauma.

Browse Multiple Trauma studies →

Lead sponsor

Semey State Medical University is the lead sponsor of 3 studies on the registry; 2 are open to participants now.

Counted across the registry records on this site, refreshed daily.

04

Who can participate

Ages eligible
28 Years and older
Sexes eligible
All
Accepts healthy volunteers
No
Sampling method
Non-probability sample

Study population

According to the World Health Organization (WHO forecast, by 2030 trauma is one of the five leading causes of death. In the Republic of Kazakhstan, road traffic injuries rank 7th among all causes of death (14.7 [the 10-year average is 16.9] per 100,000 population per year).

Considering geographical and epidemiological factors, we chose two regional medical centers and the National Scientific Center of Traumatology and Orthopedics in the Republic of Kazakhstan, providing emergency medical care to patients with polytrauma (the serviced population is 610,000, 1,135,000, and 1,400,000 people, respectively).

Go through the criteria one by one — yes, no or not sure — and take the list to your doctor or the study team. Kept in this browser only.

Inclusion criteria

  • Availability of , signed by the patient or his legal representative;
  • Patients over 18 years of age;
  • Expanded criteria of the new Berlin definition of polytrauma: patients who comply with three conditions:

    1. Presence of damage to one area of the body with an AIS score ≥3 points.
    2. Presence of damage to ≥2 areas of the body with an AIS score of ≥2.
    3. Presence of ≥1 physiological risk factors and/or primary hospitalization in the ICU.
  • Completeness of the medical record in terms of laboratory and instrumental studies and protocol of therapeutic and surgical treatment.

Exclusion criteria

Exclusion Criteria:

  • Refusal to participate in the study at any stage.
  • Death within one hour after hospitalization.
  • Missing data.
  • Patients who seek primary care 24 hours after injury.
  • Patients requiring transfer between profiles and hospitals for implementation of rehabilitation or other stages of therapy.
  • Patients with prematurely interrupted treatment.
  • Trauma combined with suffocation, drowning, frostbite, electrical trauma, or chemical and/or thermal burns.
  • Patients with pathological fractures.
  • Pregnant women.
  • Cases with predominantly severe craniocephalic (GCS \<7 points) or spinal injury (deep paresis and plegias).
Terms in these criteria, in plain language(1)

Underlined terms in the criteria open these too. Explained by clinicaltrials.gg, not part of the registry record. The study team decides who can take part.

Informed consent

Before you join, the study team explains what taking part involves — its purpose, what happens, the risks and possible benefits — and answers your questions, so you can decide freely. Consent is usually recorded on a form (the informed consent form, ICF) signed by you or, where the law allows, by someone legally authorised to decide for you.

You can keep asking questions during the study, you are told of new information that matters, and you can choose to leave at any time.

05

Study design

Observational model
Case-control
Time perspective
Other
Enrollment
500 participants (estimated)
Patient registry
No

Groups and cohorts

  • Polytrauma with SIRS

    No intervention(s) to be administered.

  • Polytrauma with Bloodloss

    No intervention(s) to be administered.

  • Polytrauma with ATC

    No intervention(s) to be administered.

  • Polytrauma with Pneumonia

    No intervention(s) to be administered.

06

What researchers measure

Primary outcomes

  1. Prediction of SIRS

    Rate of SIRS prediction in the 24 h after admission using the developed CDSS.

    Time frame: By the end of January 2024

  2. Rate of ATC prediction in the 24 h after admission using the developed CDSS.

    Rate of ATC prediction in the 24 h after admission using the developed CDSS.

    Time frame: By the end of January 2024

  3. Rate of hemorrage prediction in the 24 h after admission using the developed CDSS.

    Rate of hemorrage prediction in the 24 h after admission using the developed CDSS.

    Time frame: By the end of January 2024

  4. Rate of pneumonia prediction using the developed CDSS.

    Rate of pneumonia prediction within all period of admission using the developed CDSS.

    Time frame: By the end of January 2024

07

Study locations

1 of 1 sites recruiting
  • Emergency Hospital
    Semey, Abai 071400, Kazakhstan
    Recruiting
08

Updates

Tracking since Sep 25, 2026
No changes since tracking began. The registry record was last updated on Mar 21, 2024, before this site started recording changes on Sep 25, 2026. Its history is on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗
09

Registry details

Key details

Study ID
NCT06323096
Lead sponsor
Semey State Medical University
Collaborators
Ministry of Science and Higher Education of the Republic of Kazakhstan
Responsible party
Alexander Prokazyuk (MD, Anesthesiology and ICU specialist, Semey State Medical University) — Principal investigator
First posted
Mar 21, 2024
Start date
Dec 1, 2020
Primary completion
Sep 1, 2024 (estimated)
Completion
Dec 31, 2024 (estimated)
Last update
Mar 21, 2024

Oversight

Data monitoring committee
Yes
FDA-regulated drug
No
FDA-regulated device
No
View the source record on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗

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