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Active, not recruitingNCT05548062ProsperoUpdated Sep 25, 2026

Study to Identify and Describe Predictive Factors for Thromboembolic Events in Patients With High-risk Polycythemia Vera

An observational study in Polycythemia Vera, sponsored by Novartis Pharmaceuticals. Active, not recruiting at 33 sites in Italy. Open to participants aged 18 Years to 99 Years. Per ClinicalTrials.gov, last updated 2026-09-25.

Sponsored by Novartis Pharmaceuticals · Observational

Study type
Observational
Model
Cohort
Time perspective
Prospective
Enrollment
242
Ages
18 Years to 99 Years
Sex
All
01

Study summary

This is a prospective observational study that will enroll patients with high-risk Polycythemia Vera (PV) with at least one Thromboembolic Event (TE) after diagnosis or up to 2 years prior to diagnosis.

This is a non-randomized study, and to ensure a sufficient number of patients in both cohorts, enrollment in each cohort will be terminated once the target of 150 patients has been reached.

Read the detailed description

All patients are already on treatment with hydroxyurea or ruxolitinib at enrollment as per clinical practice and independently of their participation in this study. In addition, the follow-up visits and the evaluation procedures required in the study protocol correspond to current clinical practice. According to local regulations related to observational studies, assessments such as blood tests are justified by the purpose and rationale of the study (i.e., the identification of possible predictive factors of TEs) and are considered current clinical practice. Data related to other procedures will be collected only if such procedures are performed as per clinical practice but are not required otherwise.

Patients in both cohorts will be followed for 3 years after enrollment and will have visits at Months 6, 12, 18, 24, 30 and 36. A time window of ± 1 month is permitted for all visits.

02

Conditions studied

  • Polycythemia Vera

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Keywords

  • polycythemia vera
  • high-risk polycythemia vera
  • PV
  • Ruxolitinib
  • NIS
  • Italy
  • TE
  • predictive factors
  • hydroxyurea
03

In context

Polycythemia Vera

229 studies on the registry are indexed under Polycythemia Vera; 54 are open to participants now.

This study's enrollment of 242 is close to the median of 242 across 43 observational studies indexed under Polycythemia Vera.

Browse Polycythemia Vera studies →

Lead sponsor

Novartis Pharmaceuticals is the lead sponsor of 2,673 studies on the registry; 228 are open to participants now.

Of its 576 completed or terminated interventional studies of FDA-regulated products, 431 (75%) have results posted.

Counted across the registry records on this site, refreshed daily.

04

Who can participate

Ages eligible
18 Years to 99 Years
Sexes eligible
All
Accepts healthy volunteers
No
Sampling method
Non-probability sample

Study population

The study will involve patients in Italy with high-risk Polycythemia Vera

Eligibility criteria

Inclusion Criteria:

  1. Signed informed consent must be obtained prior to participation in the study.
  2. Age ≥18 years.
  3. Diagnosis of PV according to WHO 2008 or WHO 2016 and high-risk stratification according to European LeukemiaNet (ELN) classification.
  4. At least one TE after diagnosis or up to 2 years prior to diagnosis.
  5. Patients on treatment with hydroxyurea at enrollment and for at least 18 months prior to enrollment or those on treatment with ruxolitinib who started treatment up to 18 months before enrollment.
05

Study design

Observational model
Cohort
Time perspective
Prospective
Enrollment
242 participants (actual)
Patient registry
No

Groups and cohorts

  • Hydroxyurea

    Patients being treated with hydroxyurea at enrollment and for at least 18 months prior to enrollment. Patients may switch to ruxolitinib treatment during the study in case of inadequate response or intolerance.

    Other: Hydroxyurea

  • Ruxolitinib

    Patients on treatment with ruxolitinib who started treatment up to 18 months prior to enrollment.

    Other: Ruxolitinib

Interventions

  • OtherHydroxyurea

    Prospective observational study. There is no treatment allocation. Patients prescribed with Hydroxyurea are eligible to enroll into this study.

  • OtherRuxolitinib

    Prospective observational study. There is no treatment allocation. Patients prescribed with Ruxolitinib are eligible to enroll into this study.

06

What researchers measure

Primary outcomes

  1. Percentage of abnormalities presented in patients with Thromboembolic Events (TEs) during the follow up

    Demographics, blood pressure, laboratory blood tests, and use of antiplatelets and/or anticoagulants are predictors of TE occurrence, a univariate Cox regression model for repeated events will be applied for each predictor considering all the TEs occurring within 12 months and the time from baseline to each occurrence. Predictors found statistically significant at the 5% level will then be considered in a multivariate Cox regression model for repeated events.

    Time frame: Up to 36 months

  2. Blood pressure

    Blood pressure is going to be collected

    Time frame: Up to month 36

  3. Number of patients with abnormal Body Mass Index (BMI)

    Number of patients with abnormal Body Mass Index (BMI) will be collected

    Time frame: Up to month 36

  4. Number of patients with abnormal weight

    Number of patients with abnormal weight will be collected

    Time frame: Up to month 36

  5. Number of patients with abnormal Neutrophil (NEP) count

    Number of patients with abnormal Neutrophil (NEP) count will be collected

    Time frame: Up to 36 months

  6. Number of patients with abnormal White blood Count (WBC)

    Number of patients with abnormal White blood Count (WBC) will be collected

    Time frame: Up to 36 months

  7. Number of patients with abnormal Lymphocytes (LYP) count

    Number of patients with abnormal Lymphocytes (LYP) count will be collected

    Time frame: Up to 36 months

  8. Number of participants using antiplatelets and/or anticoagulants on the incidence of TEs

    Number of participants using antiplatelets and/or anticoagulants on the incidence of Thromboembolic Events (TEs) will be collected

    Time frame: Up to 36 months

Secondary outcomes

  1. Synergistic combinations of predictive factors

    Synergistic combinations of predictive factors (Red cell Distribution Width, neutrophils, lymphocytes, neutrophil/ lymphocyte ratio and platelets). Synergy score is defined as the product of the individual significances of variable 1 and 2 (expected) divided by the significance of the two-variable model (observed) To investigate cases of extreme synergy, instances in which two variables split the given cohort into high-risk and low-risk patients are far better than either variable alone. A simple synergy scoring metric to rank variable in terms of synergy (S):S12=(P1\*P2)/P12 where P1 and P2 are the maximum possible (Cox regression derived) p-values for variable 1 and variable 2 and P12 was the max. p-value possible from the combination of variables 1 and 1. This synergy is intended to capture a variable that may provide exclusive non-redundant information when attempting to split a cohort based on risk and may provide an added insight into the functional/clinical rationale of a model

    Time frame: Up to 36 months

  2. Yearly incidence of TEs

    Yearly incidence of Thromboembolic Events (TEs) will be collected

    Time frame: 36 months

  3. Incidence of arterial and venous TEs in the hydroxyurea and ruxolitinib cohorts

    Incidence of arterial and venous TEs in the hydroxyurea and ruxolitinib cohorts will be collected

    Time frame: 36 months

  4. Incidence and severity of adverse events

    Incidence and severity of adverse events according to National Cancer Institute Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events (NCI CTCAE) v5.0.

    Time frame: 36 months

07

Study locations

33 sites
  • Novartis Investigative Site
    Alessandria, AL 15121, Italy
  • Novartis Investigative Site
    Ancona, AN 60020, Italy
  • Novartis Investigative Site
    Bari, BA 70124, Italy
  • Novartis Investigative Site
    Bologna, BO 40138, Italy
  • Novartis Investigative Site
    Como, CO 22100, Italy
  • Novartis Investigative Site
    Cosenza, CS 87100, Italy
  • Novartis Investigative Site
    Catania, CT 95123, Italy
  • Novartis Investigative Site
    Florence, FI 50134, Italy
  • Novartis Investigative Site
    Genova, GE 16132, Italy
  • Novartis Investigative Site
    Lecce, LE 73100, Italy
  • Novartis Investigative Site
    Tricase, LE 73039, Italy
  • Novartis Investigative Site
    Monza, MB 20900, Italy
  • Novartis Investigative Site
    Milan, MI 20122, Italy
  • Novartis Investigative Site
    Palermo, PA 90127, Italy
  • Novartis Investigative Site
    Palermo, PA 90146, Italy
  • Novartis Investigative Site
    Piacenza, PC 29121, Italy
  • Novartis Investigative Site
    Padova, PD 35128, Italy
  • Novartis Investigative Site
    Pisa, PI 56126, Italy
  • Novartis Investigative Site
    Parma, PR 43126, Italy
  • Novartis Investigative Site
    Reggio Calabria, RC 89124, Italy
  • Novartis Investigative Site
    Reggio Emilia, RE 42123, Italy
  • Novartis Investigative Site
    Roma, RM 00161, Italy
  • Novartis Investigative Site
    Roma, RM 00168, Italy
  • Novartis Investigative Site
    Roma, RM 00189, Italy
  • Novartis Investigative Site
    Pagani, SA 84016, Italy
  • Novartis Investigative Site
    Orbassano, TO 10043, Italy
  • Novartis Investigative Site
    Torino, TO 10126, Italy
  • Novartis Investigative Site
    Terni, TR 05100, Italy
  • Novartis Investigative Site
    Varese, VA 21100, Italy
  • Novartis Investigative Site
    Vicenza, VI 36100, Italy
  • Novartis Investigative Site
    Verona, VR 37134, Italy
  • Novartis Investigative Site
    Viterbo, VT 01033, Italy
  • Novartis Investigative Site
    Naples, 80131, Italy
08

References and documents

Individual participant data

Plan to share: No

No publications or documents are linked to this record.

09

Updates

1 registry update since Sep 25, 2026
Minor edits
Nothing that changes what the study is or who can join. Edited: verification date and site details
1 update, last Sep 25, 2026
Show all 1 update
  1. Sep 25, 2026
    Minor edits only
    + 2 other changes: verification date and site details

From the registry record's own update history. This site started tracking changes on Sep 25, 2026; for anything earlier, see the record history on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗

10

Registry details

Key details

Study ID
NCT05548062
Lead sponsor
Novartis Pharmaceuticals
Responsible party
Sponsor
First posted
Sep 21, 2022
Start date
Mar 2, 2023
Primary completion
Aug 31, 2027 (estimated)
Completion
Aug 31, 2027 (estimated)
Last update
Sep 25, 2026

Study contacts

Novartis Pharmaceuticals
study director · Novartis Pharmaceuticals

Oversight

Data monitoring committee
No
View the source record on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗

Not currently enrolling

This study is active, not recruiting, as verified in Sep 2026. You cannot join it, but the record below documents what was studied.

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