CClinicalTrials.gg
CompletedNCT05402436Updated Jan 16, 2025

Breast Screening Atypia and Subsequent Development of Cancer in England

An observational study in Breast Cancer, sponsored by University of Warwick. Completed at 1 site in United Kingdom. Open to female participants aged 47 Years to 73 Years. Per ClinicalTrials.gov, last updated 2025-01-16.

Sponsored by University of Warwick · Observational

Study type
Observational
Model
Cohort
Time perspective
Other
Enrollment
3,238
Ages
47 Years to 73 Years
Sex
Female
01

Study summary

During breast screening, atypical epithelial proliferations (atypia) can be detected. These are not cancer, but may mean that a woman is more likely to develop breast cancer in the future. This study explores how atypia develop into breast cancer in terms of number of women, time to cancer development, cancer type and severity, and whether this varies for different types of atypia. The results will be used to create new guidelines for how women with atypia should be followed up.

Read the detailed description

In England, breast cancer screening is offered every three years to women aged 50 to 70. In an increasing number of women atypical epithelial proliferations (atypias) are detected. Atypias are a heterogeneous group of abnormalities, which are not cancer but carry a low but significant rate of associated malignancy. Detecting these lesions has uncertain benefit because of insufficient evidence on their risk of subsequent development into breast cancer. This information is key to optimising follow-up and subsequent screening. This study undertakes the first analysis of the Sloane atypia data by reporting the proportion of women with atypia who develop breast cancer by type of atypia (atypical ductal hyperplasia (ADH) or atypical intraductal epithelial proliferation (AIDEP), flat epithelial atypia (FEA), and lobular in situ neoplasia (LISN: atypical lobular hyperplasia (ALH) and lobular carcinoma in situ (LCIS)) and in what time frame.

This large-scale study of atypia uses the English screening programme data from the Sloane cohort study. The Sloane atypia project is a prospective cohort of atypia diagnosed through the UK NHS Breast Screening Programme from April 2003 to the present. For this analysis, English screening units are included with radiology, histopathology, surgery and radiotherapy proformas. Subsequent development of breast cancer has been identified by matching women by NHS number and date of birth to the English Cancer Registry held by the National Cancer Registration and Analysis Service (NCRAS). The atypia cases are also matched to the Mortality and Birth Information System to collect mortality data for censoring follow-up, and the Breast Screening Data Repository for information on invitation and attendance at subsequent screening mammography appointments.

Study objectives are:

  1. To characterise atypia in terms of type, method of investigation and women's demographics;
  2. To determine breast cancer risk over time by type of atypia;
  3. To characterise the nature of subsequent cancers detected, and their prognostic features;
  4. To communicate results to clinicians and women;
  5. To recommend changes to the NHS Breast Screening Programme quality standards.
02

Conditions studied

  • Breast Cancer

Keywords

  • Screening
  • Observational
03

In context

Lead sponsor

University of Warwick is the lead sponsor of 26 studies on the registry; 3 are open to participants now.

Counted across the registry records on this site, refreshed daily.

04

Who can participate

Ages eligible
47 Years to 73 Years
Sexes eligible
Female
Accepts healthy volunteers
No
Sampling method
Probability sample

Study population

Women with atypia diagnosed during breast cancer screening in England between 1st January 2003 and 30th June 2018.

Inclusion criteria

  • Diagnosis of epithelial atypia (ADH (including AIDEP), LISN (both ALH and LCIS) and FEA) in the Sloane database between 1st January 2003 and 30th June 2018

Exclusion criteria

Exclusion Criteria:

  • bilateral primary cases
  • the "best prognosis" atypia of the bilateral primaries
  • atypia with co-existing DCIS
  • pleomorphic LCIS (as these are managed akin to DCIS)
  • unknown type of atypia
  • cases not from England
  • patients without follow-up until 31 December 2018
05

Study design

Observational model
Cohort
Time perspective
Other
Enrollment
3,238 participants (actual)
Patient registry
No

Groups and cohorts

  • Women attending Breast Cancer Screening in England with an atypia diagnosis

    Women attending Breast Cancer Screening in England with an atypia diagnosis between 1st January 2003 and 30th June 2018

    Other: A diagnosis of atypia as part of the English screening programme

Interventions

  • OtherA diagnosis of atypia as part of the English screening programme

    An atypia diagnosis of either ADH (including AIDEP), LISN (both ALH and LCIS) or FEA

06

What researchers measure

Primary outcomes

  1. Invasive breast cancer at 3 years following atypia diagnosis

    Invasive breast cancer rate at 3 years following atypia diagnosis (representing the first round of screening) for all atypia, by type of atypia, by level of management off atypia, by three 5-year periods (deviding study period into 2003 to 2007, 2008 to 2012 and 2013 to 2018), by location (ipsilateral, contralateral), by age group, and by complete vs incomplete reporting of atypia cases by screening centres

    Time frame: Cumulative incidence of invasive breast cancer with all cause mortality as a competing risk at 3 years following atypia diagnosis

  2. Invasive breast cancer at 6 years following atypia diagnosis

    Invasive breast cancer rate at 6 years following atypia diagnosis (representing the second round of screening) for all atypia, by type of atypia, by level of management off atypia, by three 5-year periods (deviding study period into 2003 to 2007, 2008 to 2012 and 2013 to 2018), by location (ipsilateral, contralateral), by age group, and by complete vs incomplete reporting of atypia cases by screening centres

    Time frame: Cumulative incidence of invasive breast cancer with all cause mortality as a competing risk at 6 years following atypia diagnosis

Secondary outcomes

  1. Invasive breast cancer at 1-year following atypia diagnosis

    Invasive breast cancer rate at 1-year following atypia diagnosis (representing likely missed cancers at screening) for all atypia, by type of atypia, by level of management of atypia, by three 5-year periods (deviding study period into 2003 to 2007, 2008 to 2012 and 2013 to 2018), by location (ipsilateral, contralateral), by age group, and by complete vs incomplete reporting of atypia cases by screening centres

    Time frame: Cumulative incidence of invasive breast cancer with all cause mortality as a competing risk at 1-year following atypia diagnosis

  2. Invasive cancer or non-invasive cancer (Ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS)) at 1 year following atypia diagnosis

    Rate of invasive breast cancer or DCIS at 1 year following atypia diagnosis for all atypia and by type and location of atypia

    Time frame: Cumulative incidence of invasive breast cancer or DCIS with all cause mortality as a competing risk at 1 year following atypia diagnosis

  3. Invasive cancer or non-invasive cancer (Ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS)) at 3 years following atypia diagnosis

    Rate of invasive breast cancer or DCIS at 3 years following atypia diagnosis for all atypia and by type and location of atypia

    Time frame: Cumulative incidence of invasive breast cancer or DCIS with all cause mortality as a competing risk at 3 years following atypia diagnosis

  4. Invasive cancer or non-invasive cancer (Ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS)) at 6 years following atypia diagnosis

    Rate of invasive breast cancer or DCIS at 6 years following atypia diagnosis for all atypia and by type and location of atypia

    Time frame: Cumulative incidence of invasive breast cancer or DCIS with all cause mortality as a competing risk at 6 years following atypia diagnosis

07

Study locations

1 site
  • Univesity of Warwick
    Coventry, Warwickshire CV47AL, United Kingdom
08

References and documents

Publications

  • Jenkinson D, Freeman K, Clements K, Hilton B, Dulson-Cox J, Kearins O, Stallard N, Wallis MG, Sharma N, Kirwan C, Pinder S, Provenzano E, Shaaban AM, Stobart H, McDonnell S, Thompson AM, Taylor-Phillips S. Breast screening atypia and subsequent development of cancer: protocol for an observational analysis of the Sloane database in England (Sloane atypia cohort study). BMJ Open. 2022 Jan 7;12(1):e058050. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2021-058050. PubMed 34996804 ↗
  • Freeman K, Mansbridge A, Stobart H, Clements K, Wallis MG, Pinder SE, Kearins O, Shaaban AM, Kirwan CC, Wilkinson LS, Webb S, O'Sullivan E, Jenkins J, Wright S, Taylor K, Bailey C, Holcombe C, Wyld L, Edwards K, Jenkinson DJ, Sharma N, Provenzano E, Hilton B, Stallard N, Thompson AM, Taylor-Phillips S. Evidence-informed recommendations on managing breast screening atypia: perspectives from an expert panel consensus meeting reviewing results from the Sloane atypia project. Br J Radiol. 2024 Feb 2;97(1154):324-330. doi: 10.1093/bjr/tqad053. PubMed 38265306 ↗
  • Freeman K, Jenkinson D, Clements K, Wallis MG, Pinder SE, Provenzano E, Stobart H, Stallard N, Kearins O, Sharma N, Shaaban A, Kirwan CC, Hilton B, Thompson AM, Taylor-Phillips S; Sloane Project Steering Group. Atypia detected during breast screening and subsequent development of cancer: observational analysis of the Sloane atypia prospective cohort in England. BMJ. 2024 Feb 1;384:e077039. doi: 10.1136/bmj-2023-077039. PubMed 38302129 ↗

Individual participant data

Plan to share: No — The investigators do not have Office for Data Release permissions to share these data more widely, but can assist other researchers in applying for access.

09

Updates

Tracking since Sep 25, 2026
No changes since tracking began. The registry record was last updated on Jan 16, 2025, before this site started recording changes on Sep 25, 2026. Its history is on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗
10

Registry details

Key details

Study ID
NCT05402436
Lead sponsor
University of Warwick
Collaborators
University Hospitals Coventry and Warwickshire NHS Trust, King's College London, The Leeds Teaching Hospitals NHS Trust
Responsible party
Sian Taylor-Phillips (Professor of Population Health, University of Warwick) — Principal investigator
First posted
Jun 2, 2022
Start date
Dec 1, 2021
Primary completion
Dec 30, 2023
Completion
Dec 30, 2023
Last update
Jan 16, 2025

Oversight

Data monitoring committee
No
FDA-regulated drug
No
FDA-regulated device
No
View the source record on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗

Not currently enrolling

This study is completed, as verified in Jan 2025. You cannot join it, but the record below documents what was studied.

Follow this study

Get an email when the registry record changes — status, dates, results — or when someone posts here.

Sign in to follow

Discussion

Questions and observations about this study, from anyone following it. Not medical advice, and not a channel to the study team — their contact details are on the registry record.

Sign in to join the discussion. Reading takes no account; posting does. You choose a display name, and a pseudonym is the default.

Nothing here yet. If you are running this trial, taking part in it, or weighing whether to, this is the place to say so.

Start the discussion