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CompletedNCT04574895Updated Dec 19, 2023

Using a Real-Time Risk Prediction Model to Predict Pediatric Venous Thromboembolism (VTE) Events

An interventional study of Hematology Review in Venous Thromboembolism, Pediatrics and Deep Vein Thrombosis, sponsored by Vanderbilt University Medical Center. Completed at 1 site in United States. Open to participants aged 0 Years to 21 Years. Per ClinicalTrials.gov, last updated 2023-12-19.

Sponsored by Vanderbilt University Medical Center · Not applicable, Interventional, and Screening

Phase
Not applicable
Study type
Interventional
Enrollment
17,427
Allocation
Randomized
Ages
0 Years to 21 Years
Sex
All
01

Study summary

The study will evaluate the effectiveness of a novel, real-time risk prediction model for identifying pediatric patients at risk for developing in-hospital blood clots (or venous thromboembolism [VTE]) based on data easily extracted from the electronic medical record. The study will assess whether using the risk percentages for developing VTE derived from the model increases the number of high-risk patients screened by the pediatric hematology team, which may may lead to an overall reduction in the number of pediatric VTEs seen at Monroe Carell Jr. Children's Hospital at Vanderbilt.

Read the detailed description

VTE risk factors in adult hospitalized patients are well established and prevention strategies have been implemented for many years. Unfortunately, VTE prevention guidelines are not well established in children, and the pathophysiology of pediatric VTE is sufficiently different from adults that adult studies cannot be extrapolated to pediatrics. There are no randomized trials in pediatrics to determine whether a risk prediction model helps prevent pediatric VTEs.

A risk prediction model was developed that can be applied at admission and updated daily to predict pediatric patients at higher risk for developing a VTE. This model was developed from electronically extracted data from all admissions to the Monroe Carell Jr. Children's Hospital at Vanderbilt from January 1, 2010 to October 31, 2017. Cases were identified based on ICD-9/10 codes. Potential covariates were identified from previous studies and known risk factors for VTE development. The variables with the highest adjusted odds ratio (OR) for developing VTE were history of thrombosis (OR 8.7, 95% confidence interval (CI) 6.6-11.3, p\<0.01), presence of a central venous line (OR 4.9, 95%CI 4.0-5.8, p\<0.01), and cardiology consultation (OR 4.0, 95%CI 3.3-4.8, p\<0.01). Additional significant variables include whether a blood gas was performed, infectious disease consultation, diagnosis of cancer, age, mean corpuscular hemoglobin concentration (MCHC), red cell distribution width (RDW), lactate, and whether surgery was performed.

There have been several smaller pediatric VTE risk prediction models that have been developed and published. However, none of these have been evaluated for efficacy in a prospective trial, and none of these studies have used a randomized trial approach to evaluate benefit in identifying pediatric patients at high risk for developing VTE. Therefore, the investigators are performing a randomized, pragmatic trial to evaluate the pediatric VTE risk prediction model and its efficacy at predicting pediatric patients at higher risk for developing a VTE.

02

Conditions studied

  • Venous Thromboembolism
  • Pediatrics
  • Deep Vein Thrombosis
  • Pulmonary Embolism

Keywords

  • Pediatric Hematology
  • Venous Thromboembolism
  • Risk Prediction Model
  • General Pediatrics
03

In context

Pulmonary Embolism

739 studies on the registry are indexed under Pulmonary Embolism; 159 are open to participants now.

This study's enrollment of 17,427 is above the median of 150 across 381 interventional studies indexed under Pulmonary Embolism.

Browse Pulmonary Embolism studies →

Lead sponsor

Vanderbilt University Medical Center is the lead sponsor of 824 studies on the registry; 164 are open to participants now.

Of its 122 completed or terminated interventional studies of FDA-regulated products, 91 (75%) have results posted.

Counted across the registry records on this site, refreshed daily.

04

Who can participate

Ages eligible
0 Years to 21 Years
Sexes eligible
All
Accepts healthy volunteers
No

Inclusion criteria

  1. All pediatric patients 0-21 years of age who are admitted to an inpatient unit of Monroe Carell Jr. Children's Hospital at Vanderbilt will be included in the study.

Exclusion criteria

Exclusion Criteria:

  1. Receiving prophylactic or therapeutic dosing of anticoagulants, including enoxaparin, warfarin, bivalirudin, apixaban, rivaroxaban, dabigatran, and edoxaban.
  2. Patients admitted under "observation status"
05

Study design

Phase
Not applicable
Primary purpose
Screening
Allocation
Randomized
Intervention model
Parallel assignment
Masking
Single (Outcomes assessor)
Enrollment
17,427 participants (actual)

Study arms

  • Other
    VTE risk prediction scores

    Patients in the intervention arm will have their VTE risk prediction scores presented to the study team daily on weekdays via an automated report, which will list patients in descending order of risk severity for review by the VTE research team each weekday. Starting with the highest risk patients, the VTE research team will review each patient and clinical situation, and then the VTE research team will directly discuss risks/benefits of prophylactic anticoagulation with the admitting team. Patients with a risk score \<2.5% will not be reviewed, and the investigators anticipate most of the intervention arm patients will fall into this category (based on our previous data, the investigators anticipate \>90% of all patients will score \<2.5%). The VTE risk report will be re-calculated based on updated EHR data every day at midnight.

    Other: Hematology Review

  • No intervention
    Standard of care

    Patients randomized to the control arm will continue to receive current standard of care anticoagulation practice, which is at the discretion of the admitting team. In general, nearly no pediatric patients are offered prophylactic anticoagulation unless a previous VTE has been identified. This currently is at the discretion of the provider and no risk scoring is used. VTE risk prediction scores will be calculated and stored for analysis, these will not be visible to the study team in real time.

Interventions

  • OtherHematology Review

    VTE study team will review VTE risk percentages provided via automated report daily on weekdays and approach the primary team directly if the patient is appropriate for clinical antithrombotic interventions.

06

What researchers measure

Primary outcomes

  1. Number of VTE Events

    Number of VTE events per hospital admission encounter, per study arm. A VTE event will be defined as an acute venous thromboembolic event (e.g. deep vein thrombosis, pulmonary embolism, etc).

    Time frame: 1 year

Secondary outcomes

  1. Total Number of Patients Started on Anticoagulation

    Total number of patients, without contraindications to anticoagulant medications as described by the prescriber information for heparin and enoxaparin determined by the consulting hematologist, who are begun on prophylactic anticoagulation, by study arm

    Time frame: 1 year

  2. Total Number of High-Risk Patients Started on Anticoagulation

    Total number of high-risk patients, without contraindications to anticoagulant medications as described by the prescriber information for heparin and enoxaparin determined by the consulting hematologist, who are begun on prophylactic anticoagulation, by study arm

    Time frame: 1 year

  3. Total Number of Patients Started On Anticoagulation If It Was Recommended

    Total number of patients, without contraindications to anticoagulant medications as described by the prescriber information for heparin and enoxaparin determined by the consulting hematologist, who are begun on anticoagulation medications compared to the total number of patients for which initiation of anticoagulation was recommended by the VTE research team

    Time frame: 1 year

  4. Total Number of Bleeding Events

    Total number of bleeding events per number of patients begun on prophylactic anticoagulation, by study arm, during hospitalization. The bleeding events will be defined and scored using the WHO bleeding scale. Grade 1 (petechial bleeding) and 2 (mild blood loss) will be considered adverse events and grade 3 (bleeding requiring transfusion) and 4 (fatal bleeding) will be considered serious adverse events.

    Time frame: 1 year

07

Study locations

1 site
  • Vanderbilt University Medical Center
    Nashville, Tennessee 37232, United States
08

References and documents

Publications

  • Walker SC, Creech CB, Domenico HJ, French B, Byrne DW, Wheeler AP. A Real-time Risk-Prediction Model for Pediatric Venous Thromboembolic Events. Pediatrics. 2021 Jun;147(6):e2020042325. doi: 10.1542/peds.2020-042325. Epub 2021 May 19. PubMed 34011634 ↗
  • Walker SC, French B, Moore R, Domenico HJ, Wanderer JP, Balla S, Creech CB, Byrne DW, Wheeler AP. Use of a real-time risk-prediction model to identify pediatric patients at risk for thromboembolic events: study protocol for the Children's Likelihood Of Thrombosis (CLOT) trial. Trials. 2022 Oct 22;23(1):901. doi: 10.1186/s13063-022-06823-7. PubMed 36273203 ↗
  • Walker SC, French B, Moore RP, Domenico HJ, Wanderer JP, Mixon AS, Creech CB, Byrne DW, Wheeler AP. Model-Guided Decision-Making for Thromboprophylaxis and Hospital-Acquired Thromboembolic Events Among Hospitalized Children and Adolescents: The CLOT Randomized Clinical Trial. JAMA Netw Open. 2023 Oct 2;6(10):e2337789. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2023.37789. PubMed 37831448 ↗

Individual participant data

Plan to share: No

09

Updates

Tracking since Sep 25, 2026
No changes since tracking began. The registry record was last updated on Dec 19, 2023, before this site started recording changes on Sep 25, 2026. Its history is on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗
10

Registry details

Key details

Study ID
NCT04574895
Lead sponsor
Vanderbilt University Medical Center
Responsible party
Shannon Walker (Clinical Fellow, Vanderbilt University Medical Center) — Principal investigator
First posted
Oct 5, 2020
Start date
Nov 2, 2020
Primary completion
Jan 31, 2022
Completion
Dec 1, 2023
Last update
Dec 19, 2023

Study contacts

Allison P Wheeler, MD
study director · Vanderbilt University Medical Center
Buddy Creech, MD
study chair · Vanderbilt University Medical Center

Oversight

Data monitoring committee
No
FDA-regulated drug
No
FDA-regulated device
No
View the source record on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗

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