CClinicalTrials.gg
CompletedNCT03605810Updated Dec 10, 2019

Study to Develop a Tool to Estimate the Kidney Function in Databases Without Laboratory Data

An observational study in Renal Function, sponsored by Bayer. Completed at 1 site in United States. Open to participants aged 18 Years and older. Per ClinicalTrials.gov, last updated 2019-12-10.

Sponsored by Bayer · Observational

Study type
Observational
Model
Cohort
Time perspective
Retrospective
Enrollment
5,132,200
Ages
18 Years and older
Sex
All
01

Study summary

Scientific analyses are frequently performed on e.g. health insurance databases to study the usage and effectiveness of drugs in real life.

Kidney function is known to have an influence on a patients disease development and/or drug levels in blood.

However, often direct measures for kidney function are not available in databases.

This study plans to develop tools to classify the renal function of patients, which helps scientists to identify patient cohorts (groups of patients sharing same characteristics) for scientific analyses.

Read the detailed description

Renal impairment is a common comorbidity in patients with diverse main underlying diseases and a pathology accompanying increasing age. Renal function might be an important modifier of treatment effects.

Population-based administrative claims databases are increasingly used in large-scale comparative outcomes studies of drug treatments. However, claims databases often lack information on laboratory tests results limiting their usefulness in Real-World Evidence(RWE) research of patients with renal impairment.

There is a need to develop methods for identification of patients with renal dysfunction from healthcare administrative claims-based proxies.

The main objective of this study is the development of algorithms/models to predict eGFR values and/or classes for patients at certain time point based on entries in claims database (demographic characteristics, clinical diagnoses, procedures and drug treatments) for a general population and a variety of use-cases (atrial fibrillation, coronary artery disease, type 2 diabetes mellitus patients sub-populations). To achieve this, modern data-driven machine learning techniques will be applied to discover relationships between renal status, measured by eGFR, and longitudinal patient-level data.

Evaluation of models' performance (out of sample validation, benchmark test, performance differences between eGFR value prediction algorithms and classification models tailored for the pre-defined eGFR classes) will be done as well.

02

Conditions studied

  • Renal Function

Keywords

  • Renal function, eGRF, Atrial fibrillation, Coronary artery disease, Type 2 diabetes mellitus, Machine learning, Prognostic modeling
03

In context

Lead sponsor

Bayer is the lead sponsor of 1,643 studies on the registry; 57 are open to participants now.

Of its 209 completed or terminated interventional studies of FDA-regulated products, 129 (62%) have results posted.

Counted across the registry records on this site, refreshed daily.

04

Who can participate

Ages eligible
18 Years and older
Sexes eligible
All
Accepts healthy volunteers
No
Sampling method
Non-probability sample

Study population

Adult patients with at least one recorded eGFR value in the OPTUM CDM database between January 1, 2007 and December 31, 2016 will be included in the use-case 1 "eGFR population". Further cases refer to the sub-populations of the eGFR-population, namely

  • Atrial fibrillation (AF) sub-population;
  • Coronary artery disease (CAD) sub-population;
  • Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) sub-population.

Eligibility criteria

To be included in the eGFR-population, patients have to have at least one recorded eGFR value in the OPTUM CDM database between January 1, 2007 and December 31, 2016, be adults (>18 years of age at the time of eGFR test) and have at least 370/180 days (180 days serves as sensitivity analysis) of continuous enrollment in medical and pharmacy insurance plans since eGFR test date.

05

Study design

Observational model
Cohort
Time perspective
Retrospective
Enrollment
5,132,200 participants (actual)
Patient registry
No

Groups and cohorts

  • eGFR-population

    To be included in the eGFR-population, patients have to have at least one recorded eGFR value in the OPTUM CDM database between January 1, 2007 and December 31, 2016, be adults (\>18 years of age at the time of eGFR test) and have at least 370/180 days (180 days serves as sensitivity analysis) of continuous enrollment in medical and pharmacy insurance plans since eGFR test date.

    Other: No Intervention

  • Atrial fibrillation (AF) sub-population

    To be included in the AF sub-population patients need to satisfy the inclusion criteria for the eGFR-population; have two inpatient or outpatient diagnoses for AF or atrial flutter on two different days within the study period irrespective of time points when eGFR is measured. Patients with at least one inpatient or outpatient diagnosis or procedure code for mitral stenosis and prosthetic valves within the study period will be excluded.

    Other: No Intervention

  • Coronary artery disease (CAD) sub-population

    To be included in the CAD sub-population patients need to satisfy the inclusion criteria for the eGFR-population; have at least one inpatient CAD diagnosis within the study period irrespective of time points when eGFR is measured.

    Other: No Intervention

  • Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) sub-population

    To be included in the T2DM sub-population patients need to satisfy the inclusion criteria for the eGFR-population; have at least two inpatient or outpatient diagnosis of T2DM on two different days within the study period irrespective of time points when eGFR is measured.

    Other: No Intervention

Interventions

  • OtherNo Intervention

    This study is the development of algorithms/models to predict eGFR values and/or classes for patients at certain time point based on entries in claims database (demographic characteristics, clinical diagnoses, procedures and drug treatments) for a general population and a variety of use-cases (AF, CAD, T2DM patients sub-populations).

06

What researchers measure

Primary outcomes

  1. Performance of classification to predict eGFR

    For numeric models cross-validated performance is measured as correlation via r\*2. Class based performances are measured as cross-validated sensitivities given pre-defined false discovery rates with following definition for positives and negatives: Observed eGFR class X: * positive: eGFR measured at begin of time frame is in class X * negative: eGFR measured at begin of time frame is not in class X Class predicted by model: * positive: eGFR predicted is class X * negative: eGFR predicted is not class X

    Time frame: From eGRF values starting and lasting 180d + 370d

07

Study locations

1 site
  • US OPTUM CDM database
    Whippany, New Jersey 07981, United States
08

References and documents

09

Updates

Tracking since Sep 25, 2026
No changes since tracking began. The registry record was last updated on Dec 10, 2019, before this site started recording changes on Sep 25, 2026. Its history is on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗
10

Registry details

Key details

Study ID
NCT03605810
Lead sponsor
Bayer
Responsible party
Sponsor
First posted
Jul 30, 2018
Start date
Jul 15, 2018
Primary completion
Dec 31, 2018
Completion
Dec 31, 2018
Last update
Dec 10, 2019

Oversight

Data monitoring committee
No
FDA-regulated drug
No
FDA-regulated device
No
View the source record on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗

Not currently enrolling

This study is completed, as verified in Dec 2019. You cannot join it, but the record below documents what was studied.

Follow this study

Get an email when the registry record changes — status, dates, results — or when someone posts here.

Sign in to follow

Discussion

Questions and observations about this study, from anyone following it. Not medical advice, and not a channel to the study team — their contact details are on the registry record.

Sign in to join the discussion. Reading takes no account; posting does. You choose a display name, and a pseudonym is the default.

Nothing here yet. If you are running this trial, taking part in it, or weighing whether to, this is the place to say so.

Start the discussion