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TerminatedNCT02914821Updated Oct 4, 2018

Do Taxes Reduce the Purchasing of Soda?

An interventional study of Simulated tax via 3 cent per ounce price increase in Obesity and Diabetes, sponsored by Harvard University. Terminated. Per ClinicalTrials.gov, last updated 2018-10-04.

Sponsored by Harvard University · Not applicable, Interventional, and Other

Why this study was terminated
Harvard University dining workers went on strike, we hope to relaunch in Fall 2017.
Phase
Not applicable
Study type
Interventional
Enrollment
50
Allocation
Non-randomized
Sex
All
01

Study summary

The study will take place at a cafe managed by university dining services and is located in a university building adjacent to the psychology building. The cafe sells sugar-sweetened beverages and a variety of diet drinks. The campus dining services and the manager of the cafe have given investigators permission to "tax" their sugar sweetened beverages and will provide their sales data for a 12 week period.

The investigators will introduce four arms to the experiment. One arm will be baseline data where business 'as usual' will be conducted and no price increases will be implemented on SSBs. In the general tax condition the investigators will introduce a 3 cent/ounce tax on the five SSB flavors the café offers. In the Pre-K tax condition the investigators will institute a 3 cent/ounce tax but will label the tax as proceeds going to Pre-K education. This is designed after the Philadelphia tax that was recently passed where funds were earmarked to benefit childhood education. In the childhood healthy eating program condition the investigators will institute a 3 cent/ounce tax but will label the tax as proceeds going toward childhood healthy eating programs. In all tax conditions the firm will keep the proceeds, but the research team will make a donation to a Pre-K education non-profit and a childhood healthy eating non-profit of the amount generated by the tax during the study period.

Each experimental arm will run for 3 weeks total (for a total study period of 12 weeks). The conditions will alternate by week (i.e., week 1: business as usual; week 2: general tax; week 3: pre-K tax; week 4: childhood healthy eating tax; week 5: business as usual, etc). A research assistant will visit the café each week to make any necessary changes to signs that will label the drinks.

The investigators will change the signage of the drinks in the cooler during the study period. For the baseline period there will be no changes to the signs made. Currently all beverages are labeled with their name and cost (e.g., Pepsi, $1.89). In the tax conditions the investigators will change the price of the drink (3 cents/ounce) and add a line notifying consumers of the soda 'surcharge' (note "surcharge" will be used in the study because no tax was actually passed by the local government). An example of this sign would be 'Pepsi, $2.29, includes 40 cent sugary drink surcharge.' In the Pre-K tax condition an added line will say, "Pepsi, $2.29, includes a 40 cent sugar sweetened beverage surcharge. Proceeds benefit Pre-K education." In the childhood healthy eating programs condition the text will say, "Pepsi, $2.29, includes a 40 cent sugary drink surcharge. Proceeds benefit Childhood Healthy Eating programs."

Read the detailed description

Diet-related diseases, such as diabetes and obesity, have become pervasive global health challenges, so much so that they are being called epidemics. The problem is particularly acute in the United States where two-thirds of adults and one-third of children are overweight or obese. A key contributor to increased dietary intake is the increased consumption of sugar-sweetened beverages.

Sugar-sweetened beverages (SSBs), also known as soft drinks, are beverages that are sweetened with sugar, high fructose corn syrup, or any other caloric sweetener; this excludes noncaloric (diet) drinks. The average American consumes approximately 47 gallons of SSBs per year. Americans consume about 278 calories more each day than they did 30 years ago and nearly half of this increase is attributable to increased consumption of SSBs. The consumption of SSBs has been cited as a key contributor to obesity and has been linked to other negative health problems, such as diabetes, heart disease, and dental cavities. Therefore, the increase in SSB consumption and the concurrent increase in diet-related diseases pose significant direct and indirect costs to society.

In response to these problems, health experts, laypeople and legislators alike advocate policies to reduce the consumption of SSBs. Several municipalities and states have proposed policies such as taxes, warning labels, and calorie labeling and a few have passed such policies. For example, Berkeley, CA recently adopted a SSB excise tax which charges an additional cent for each ounce of SSB sold. In June 2016, Philadelphia passed a 1.5 cent per ounce tax on sugary drinks and diet sodas.

The investigators believe it is critical to further test the effectiveness of taxes in the field. In this study, the investigators conduct a field experiment that tests different framing of taxes, namely whether the money is earmarked for a particular cause.

02

Conditions studied

  • Obesity
  • Diabetes

Keywords

  • consumption
  • decision making
  • policy
  • sweetened beverages
  • taxes
  • Diet, Food, and Nutrition
03

In context

Lead sponsor

Harvard University is the lead sponsor of 46 studies on the registry; none are open to participants now.

Counted across the registry records on this site, refreshed daily.

04

Who can participate

Ages eligible
Child (0–17), Adult (18–64), Older adult (65+)
Sexes eligible
All
Accepts healthy volunteers
Yes

Inclusion criteria

  • All patrons who purchase a beverage at our study site (retail cafe) during the intervention are eligible for inclusion. The cafe is open to the public, though it primarily serves staff, patients and guests of the research labs in the building.

Exclusion criteria

Exclusion Criteria:

  • There are no exclusion criteria.
05

Study design

Phase
Not applicable
Primary purpose
Other
Allocation
Non-randomized
Intervention model
Crossover assignment
Masking
None (open label)
Enrollment
50 participants (actual)

Study arms

  • No intervention
    Business as Usual (No "Tax")

    Baseline data where business 'as usual' will be conducted and no price increases will be implemented on SSBs.

  • Experimental
    General "Tax" (without named beneficiary)

    In the general tax condition investigators will introduce a 3 cent/ounce tax on the five SSB flavors the café offers. An example of this sign would be 'Pepsi, $2.29, includes 60 cent sugary drink surcharge.'

    Behavioral: Simulated tax via 3 cent per ounce price increase

  • Experimental
    Pre-K "Tax"

    In the Pre-K tax condition investigators will institute a 3 cent/ounce tax but will label the tax as proceeds going to Pre-K education. An example of this sign is, "Pepsi, $2.29, includes a 60 cent sugary drink surcharge to fund Pre-K education."

    Behavioral: Simulated tax via 3 cent per ounce price increase

  • Experimental
    Childhood Healthy Eating "Tax"

    In the Childhood Healthy Eating tax condition investigators will institute a 3 cent/ounce tax but will label the tax as proceeds going to Pre-K education. An example of this sign is, "Pepsi, $2.29, includes a 60 cent sugary drink surcharge to fund Childhood Healthy Eating education."

    Behavioral: Simulated tax via 3 cent per ounce price increase

Interventions

  • BehavioralSimulated tax via 3 cent per ounce price increase

    For each of the 3 experimental conditions, investigators will increase the price of sugar-sweetened beverages by 3 cents per ounce. This price increase will be reflected in the price tag and described as a surcharge. In two of the arms (Pre-K and Childhood Healthy Eating), the beneficiary of the surcharge will be named.

06

What researchers measure

Primary outcomes

  1. Sugar-Sweetened Beverages Sold by Universal Product Code (UPC)

    Using the Universal Product Code (UPC) obtained in sales data, we will sum the total number of sugar sweetened beverages sold in each condition and can calculate this as a share of total beverages sold.

    Time frame: 3-week condition blocks

Secondary outcomes

  1. Average Number of Beverage Calories Purchased Per Customer

    Using the UPCs and nutrition labels, we will calculate the average number of calories purchased that come from beverages.

    Time frame: 3-week condition blocks

  2. Unsweetened Beverages Sold by Universal Product Code (UPC)

    Using the Universal Product Code (UPC) obtained in sales data, we will sum the total number of unsweetened beverages sold in each condition and can calculate this as a share of total beverages sold.

    Time frame: 3-week condition blocks

  3. Changes in types of beverages purchased

    We will examine any changes in the types of beverages purchased during each condition, using the Universal Product Code (UPC) for bottled beverages. For example, if sugar-sweetened beverages sales decrease, do purchases of water increase?

    Time frame: 3 week condition blocks

07

Study locations

No study locations are listed for this record.

08

References and documents

Individual participant data

Plan to share: No

No publications or documents are linked to this record.

09

Updates

Tracking since Sep 25, 2026
No changes since tracking began. The registry record was last updated on Oct 4, 2018, before this site started recording changes on Sep 25, 2026. Its history is on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗
10

Registry details

Key details

Study ID
NCT02914821
Lead sponsor
Harvard University
Responsible party
Leslie John (Principal Investigator, Harvard University) — Principal investigator
First posted
Sep 26, 2016
Start date
Sep 1, 2016
Primary completion
Jan 1, 2018
Completion
Jan 1, 2018
Last update
Oct 4, 2018
View the source record on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗

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